Biwolfia wrote:My opinion: abolish all houses, and everyone learns to live in the trees.
So you are an extreme primativist.
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by Maricarland » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:56 pm
Biwolfia wrote:My opinion: abolish all houses, and everyone learns to live in the trees.
by Torrocca » Wed Aug 11, 2021 3:04 pm
by Maricarland » Thu Aug 12, 2021 5:58 am
by Senkaku » Thu Aug 12, 2021 5:59 am
Torrocca wrote:Give the homeless homes, and start building up, then clean up the suburban sprawl.
by Biwolfia » Fri Aug 13, 2021 4:21 am
Maricarland wrote:Biwolfia wrote:Actually, I'm more of an environmentalist, I want this so less trees get cut down. That way, we'll actually have oxygen.
I agree with protecting the environment and the preservation of trees. I am a proponent of reforestation and urban forestry. However, I fail to see how that means we should forgo housing as a species.
P.S. Good news, scientists have found a way to grow plant tissue, such as wood, in the lab, just like what they are doing with cellular agriculture (cultured meat/lab-grown meat). That means they can simply pour a plant cell culture and serum into a mold for a table or chair or whatever, and the plant (wood) cells would just grow into the shape of the furniture. Once this technology is mature, we can have wood and paper products without ever having to cut down another tree.
by Shofercia » Tue Aug 31, 2021 3:22 pm
Forsher wrote:Have you watched any of the videos, Shof? No? Then don't waste my time.
Forsher wrote:Excuse me, dealing with some bullshit. No need to trouble the thread.
Forsher wrote:Shofercia wrote:
Your point was that your point didn't matter?
Let's quote you: "It doesn't matter whether they're paying jointly or separately. It doesn't matter if their rubbish is collected jointly or separately"
Now, let's quote what you're replying to: "So... it bang for buck per person is entirely irrelevant. Gotcha."
Forsher wrote:Here is your example:
10 people live in an apartment complex that's worth $2,500,000. They jointly pay $25,000 in taxes, on average $2,500 apiece. The city spends $15,000 to service them, or $1,500, on average, per person. Thus the next average bang for the buck for one of these people is $1,000.
The city pays $15,000 to service them. That's the key metric.
Forsher wrote:Let's say your ten people are five couples that are pregnant. How many babies would they need to have before they're spending more than $15,000 to service the complex? No idea? You better have an idea...
Forsher wrote:it's one of the arguments you're trying to prove... that the costs scale so much with density that if you take "revenues collected from the people at an address divided by the people at the address" - "cost of services rendered to an address by the number of people at an address". (The other argument you're trying to prove is that US municipalities actually run their finances this way.)
Forsher wrote:The thing about cities is that their costs quite often have nothing to do with their revenues due to this thing called "future costs". Now the obvious example of this is "debt" which, in public finance, is generally taken to mean "borrowing from tomorrow to spend today". It's an inter-temporal concept.
Forsher wrote:However, what also happens is this thing called depreciation:In economics, depreciation is the gradual decrease in the economic value of the capital stock of a firm, nation or other entity, either through physical depreciation, obsolescence or changes in the demand for the services of the capital in question. If the capital stock is {\displaystyle K_{t}}K_{t} in one period {\displaystyle t}t, gross (total) investment spending on newly produced capital is {\displaystyle I_{t}}I_t and depreciation is {\displaystyle D_{t}}D_{t}, the capital stock in the next period, {\displaystyle K_{t+1}}{\displaystyle K_{t+1}}, is {\displaystyle K_{t}+I_{t}-D_{t}}{\displaystyle K_{t}+I_{t}-D_{t}}. The net increment to the capital stock is the difference between gross investment and depreciation, and is called net investment.
What this means in the context of roads, is that you build them first and then you don't have to spend money on them until (basically) they need replacing.
Forsher wrote:The same is true of houses.
Forsher wrote:The thing is, that suburban expansion in the USA was pretty much paid for by state and/or federal governments, rather than developers or municipalities, but the replacement of the depreciated assets won't be.
Forsher wrote:Now, you can access grants to build new roads and suburbs, but that doesn't solve the financial position municipalities all across the USA face... unless you believe Ponzi Schemes are financially stable... because the single family home zones aren't financially sensible developments. And why aren't they? Because the costs scale in terms of people much slower than they scale in terms of land.
Forsher wrote:(And, also, in a lot of the US, municipalities have to pay for costs that occur in their borders but the people actually work and spend money in other municipalities. This is the inverse to the death spiral of population loss in inner suburbs.)
Forsher wrote:But let's go back to the five couples in the apartment complex. If they all have babies, they're going to suddenly be a minimum of 15 people, right? And babies don't earn money, so they're still going to be paying $25,000 in taxes, but now that totals out to nearly $1667 each. Which means even if the costs remain completely static, that $15,000 means the bang for buck per person translates to a bang for buck per person of just $667 (actually, ever so slightly less). More people being covered for the same cost, is a good thing. But bang per buck per person means it's a bad thing.
Forsher wrote:Okay, okay, cities sometimes do crazy shit like this all the time (here's a video talking about that), so let's take into account the notion that maybe we've got multiple single family zones. Ten, say. And they all follow the same rules that Shof previously laid out: "One person living in a house that's worth $500,000, pays $5,000 in Property Taxes to the city, hypothetically speaking. The city spends $2,500 to service said person. Thus the net bang for the buck for that person is $2,500."
Right, so ten people, gives us $50,000 now, and $25,000 and we still have a net bang for the buck (why is it net? I thought the whole point was that bang for buck per person was that it meant "profit" which is, in this sense, already a net amount??).
Now, let's add in 1 extra person per house. And as Shofercia says "It doesn't matter whether they're paying jointly or separately" and it doesn't how much these people earn (they can all be babies again) because it's the properties that earn money for the city. So, now we've got $50k revenue/20 - $25k tax/20 = 2,500 - 1,250 = $1250. Hmm, the single family houses are still winning. But 2 people per house isn't a family, is it? Might not even be a couple.
Okay, so in 2019 there were 107.21 million residents of rentals in the US. At the same time, there were 80.68 million owner occupied households in the US and some 328.9 million people (Google). So, we can say from the first source that renters of single family homes averaged out at just over 3 people per house. Not 1, 3. If we assume that everyone in an owner occupied home (328.9 - 107.21) was in a single family home, then we'd have 2.74 (2dp), which will underestimate the number we're interested in (since we're including owner occupiers of 1 bedroom flats). Also, in 2009 anyway, rental dwellings averaged fewer people than owner occupied ones (pg. 19). (We're using estimates because I didn't have any luck finding the number and I'm already bored of trying to find it.)
Right, so let's use 3 since it's a round number. $50k revenue/30 - $25k tax/30 = 1667 - 1,250 = $833. Wow, bang for buck per person has gone way down. But it turns out (first source) that a 10 unit apartment complex has an average occupancy (people per unit) of 2, so we better be fair to Shofercia's example and compare like with like... $25,000/20 - $15,000/20 = 1250 - 750 = $500. Oh, noes, this completely fake example that I didn't give the time of day before validates the beliefs of the person who made it up out of hot air.
Forsher wrote:Shocking.
Interestingly, $1250 > $700, so we still have, even with this example, the case that improving density whilst using data based average occupancies decreases the cost of providing services per person.
Forsher wrote:Shofercia wrote:Making flippant jokes is impolite. The fact that you think that's absurd is quite telling.
No, flippant jokes aren't impolite either. It's absurd that you care about this. In fact, I rather suspect you don't care about this and are instead using it as a justification for ignoring the point... that user pays principles are used in a wide variety of city service contexts, including in more than 70% (by the only source we've seen) of American municipalities, for the exact example (water) you brought up as an area to demonstrate that bang for buck per person mattered. The problem being, of course, that in a user pays system, you'd expect only cost recovery. But, hey, maybe municipalities are profit driven entities...
Forsher wrote:Shofercia wrote:
First, that example contained plenty of data. Second, when you say things like single family zoning is a major feature of the main reason cities go bankrupt in the US you should be able to name a single city in the US that went bankrupt for that reason. Otherwise you're simply spouting nonsense for the sake of spouting nonsense.
Or, alternatively, I made a claim that is substantiated by several Youtube videos that you refuse to watch because...
And, no, that article contained statements of fact (so we assume) about one example. A datum.
Forsher wrote:Shofercia wrote:Furthermore, despite semantics, a lack of real life examples, and lots of YouTube videos, if a city is bankrupt and has to be bailed out by the state, in my book that's still a bankrupt city.
Which has what to do with whether or not your source is factually correct about a topic it purports to provide information on? And excuse me for being careful about what words mean when you're currently claiming that you meant "profit" by "bang for buck (per person)".
Forsher wrote:Shofercia wrote:That why I provided two sources with several examples. You couldn't even provide a single non-YouTube source. Here's an actual document after all of five seconds on Google, coming from reality: https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/LSB10116.pdf
You'll note nothing in there talks about "most cities go bankrupt (or whatever semantic term you want to use) because of pension schemes" which is what you're claiming it proves. Everything in green makes it pretty clear that your source is about pensions and is interested in convincing people to care about public pensions... in fact, it doesn't even have an interest in why cities are bankrupt. Did you, like, read this?
Forsher wrote:Shofercia wrote:That's from the Congressional Research Service. And it's a PDF document, not a YouTube video. And it has all of information ready in the first paragraph. But I'm not asking you for that, I'm just asking you to name a single city.
Which can't prove, let alone substantiate, the point I'm making at all. Similarly to how you can't prove "most" with a source that says "a number of". In contrast, the Youtube videos do back up what I'm saying.
Forsher wrote:Shofercia wrote:No, it asks for several cities, but it order to get several cities, you have to name at least one city. If I ask for eight cities, that means you have to name eight individual cities. You've yet to name a single city.
Asking me to say "1+1 = window" doesn't advance my argument at all. Neither does naming one, or many, cities.
Forsher wrote:Shofercia wrote:Relevant to what? The fact that it's easier for cities to raise revenue from wealthier individuals than poorer individuals on property taxes and sales taxes? Or the fact that one rich person uses less services than several poor people, while contributing similar property tax revenues to the city? That's common sense. And you've yet to name a single city Forsher.
But cities don't work like that, do they Shofercia?
by Georgists » Sun Sep 05, 2021 3:34 pm
Kowani wrote:effortpost later
build more fucking homes, abolish single-family zoning requirements, throw mandatory parking minimums out the window, end local control of zoning, build decent public transit systems (to address the contradiction of density and car culture), revamp the owned but uninhabitable homes (which is the vast majority of them, for the 500 people going to pile in here with "well actually there are more homes than homeless people"), and stop planning around cars
but the big two are simple: abolish single-family zoning and build more apartments/townhouses/duplexes/condos
we're undoing the legacy of harland bartholomew and making functioning cities for once
Shofercia wrote:The economic ignorance of this thread...
Where to even begin. Ok, let's go with rent control. Ever wonder why housing in rent controlled areas is subpar when compared to housing in non-rent controlled areas? We live in a globalized economy, so investors always have non rent controlled investments available. Between a rent controlled investment, and a non rent controlled investment, (all else being equal,) the wiser investors will most likely choose the latter, leaving the ones who do poor research to invest in rent controlled areas. Who do you think will be better managers, the ones who know how to research or the ones who don't? Whoopsie.
Next economically dumb idea - abolish single family zoning. Who's paying those property taxes for schools? You've abolished single family zoning, congratulations, there goes a large chunk of the school budget. Way to go! Now we have even more unprepared students entering college, and failing out with massive student loans. Yee haw! Oh, you'll raise income taxes? That'll just accelerate migration to Texas and other no income tax states even more, especially since the majority of white collar workers are working from home. Whoopsie. It'll also defund the police, since it'll defund the city budget in general.
So how to actually fix this crisis... how about payments for those willing to study retraining programs at community colleges or trade schools? That'll help with the rent. How about fixing the state's mental healthcare system, which is in glorious disarray? How about lowering the costs of universities, that have grown astronomically, or encouraging students to attend trade schools or commit to apprenticeships?
We live in a globalized economy. The wealthy aren't bound to live in California, and can actually leave the state. Currently they're moving in because of economic conditions, but if you change those, welp, California's already losing the lower and middle classes, so...
by Great Algerstonia » Sun Sep 05, 2021 3:47 pm
Biwolfia wrote:My opinion: abolish all houses, and everyone learns to live in the trees.
Resilient Acceleration wrote:After a period of letting this discussion run its course without my involvement due to sheer laziness and a new related NS project, I have returned with an answer and that answer is Israel.
by Neanderthaland » Sun Sep 05, 2021 3:49 pm
Biwolfia wrote:My opinion: abolish all houses, and everyone learns to live in the trees.
by Great Algerstonia » Sun Sep 05, 2021 3:54 pm
Resilient Acceleration wrote:After a period of letting this discussion run its course without my involvement due to sheer laziness and a new related NS project, I have returned with an answer and that answer is Israel.
by The Black Forrest » Sun Sep 05, 2021 10:40 pm
by Maricarland » Sun Sep 05, 2021 11:21 pm
by Antipatros » Sun Sep 05, 2021 11:45 pm
by Alcala-Cordel » Sun Sep 05, 2021 11:58 pm
by Forsher » Mon Sep 06, 2021 1:12 am
by Torrocca » Mon Sep 06, 2021 5:51 am
by Valentine Z » Mon Sep 06, 2021 5:54 am
Torrocca wrote:The Black Forrest wrote:
As compared to?…..
They don't really need a comparison, considering it's obvious how bad suburban sprawl is on its own based on land wastage, lack of service coverage, and fueling of car culture and other bad things, but if you must:
Apartments are unironically millions of times better, especially when done right. Building upward saves so much land, and if you make apartment buildings mixed-use and give them plenty of greenspace and other services per city block (ala Soviet microdistricts, for example), and make the apartments themselves decently-spacious and livable for a family, then you can have a really, REALLY good and functional setup that works for thousands to tens of thousands of people in just a single square kilometer or less.
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by Torrocca » Mon Sep 06, 2021 6:08 am
Valentine Z wrote:Torrocca wrote:
They don't really need a comparison, considering it's obvious how bad suburban sprawl is on its own based on land wastage, lack of service coverage, and fueling of car culture and other bad things, but if you must:
Apartments are unironically millions of times better, especially when done right. Building upward saves so much land, and if you make apartment buildings mixed-use and give them plenty of greenspace and other services per city block (ala Soviet microdistricts, for example), and make the apartments themselves decently-spacious and livable for a family, then you can have a really, REALLY good and functional setup that works for thousands to tens of thousands of people in just a single square kilometer or less.
Oui to that.
Though personally for me, I will just buy a small piece of non-suburb land in Burma (not exactly relevant to the topic, I know), for a small house. I like cozy places.
by Valentine Z » Mon Sep 06, 2021 6:23 am
Torrocca wrote:Valentine Z wrote:Oui to that.
Though personally for me, I will just buy a small piece of non-suburb land in Burma (not exactly relevant to the topic, I know), for a small house. I like cozy places.
I never knew about that Singapore example, but that's honestly great. More countries need to adopt systems like that, or ones even better.
♪ If you are reading my sig, I want you to have the best day ever ! You are worth it, do not let anyone get you down ! ♪
Glory to De Geweldige Sierlijke Katachtige Utopia en Zijne Autonome Machten ov Valentine Z !
(✿◠‿◠) ☆ \(^_^)/ ☆
♡ Issues Thread ♡ Photography Stuff ♡ Project: Save F7. ♡ Stats Analysis ♡
♡ The Sixty! ♡ Valentian Stories! ♡ Gwen's Adventures! ♡
• Never trouble trouble until trouble troubles you.
• World Map is a cat playing with Australia.
by Maricarland » Mon Sep 06, 2021 6:51 am
Torrocca wrote:Valentine Z wrote:Oui to that.
Though personally for me, I will just buy a small piece of non-suburb land in Burma (not exactly relevant to the topic, I know), for a small house. I like cozy places.
I never knew about that Singapore example, but that's honestly great. More countries need to adopt systems like that, or ones even better.
by The Black Forrest » Mon Sep 06, 2021 9:48 am
Torrocca wrote:The Black Forrest wrote:
As compared to?…..
They don't really need a comparison, considering it's obvious how bad suburban sprawl is on its own based on land wastage, lack of service coverage, and fueling of car culture and other bad things, but if you must:
Apartments are unironically millions of times better, especially when done right.
Building upward saves so much land, and if you make apartment buildings mixed-use and give them plenty of greenspace and other services per city block (ala Soviet microdistricts, for example), and make the apartments themselves decently-spacious and livable for a family, then you can have a really, REALLY good and functional setup that works for thousands to tens of thousands of people in just a single square kilometer or less.
by The Black Forrest » Mon Sep 06, 2021 9:53 am
Forsher wrote:Alcala-Cordel wrote:As opposed to pretty much everywhere else. Suburbs are just so fake and unsustainable, like that town from the Lorax movie.
The best way to think about suburbs is as "car generating processes".
And this is true whether we imagine Over the Hedge/American style suburbs or the gradual expansion of low density residences around older settlements familiar in most of the rest of the world.
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