Civic Duty and Sausages Too(An Australian Election Thread)

by **Duhon** » Sat May 18, 2019 3:26 am

AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

by **Australian rePublic** » Sat May 18, 2019 3:29 am

Marginal seats don't seem to be swinging

by **Neu Leonstein** » Sat May 18, 2019 3:30 am

Does anyone know if there's a likely bias in early election votes? Like, did one party encourage it more than the other.

by **Duhon** » Sat May 18, 2019 3:32 am

Egg Boy's in town, apparently
That's as much as I can process right now

by **Australian rePublic** » Sat May 18, 2019 3:36 am

Neu Leonstein wrote:Does anyone know if there's a likely bias in early election votes? Like, did one party encourage it more than the other.

I think Labor was winning those

by **Shrillland** » Sat May 18, 2019 3:39 am

The ACT Senate list has been called:
Labor: 1
Liberals: 1

by **Neu Leonstein** » Sat May 18, 2019 3:43 am

Australian rePublic wrote:I think Labor was winning those

And those aren't in the sample that is being counted right now, if I understand it right? In which case, how confident are we that any of this tonight is actually really reflective of how it'll turn out?

by **Dazchan** » Sat May 18, 2019 3:44 am

Neu Leonstein wrote:
Australian rePublic wrote:I think Labor was winning those

And those aren't in the sample that is being counted right now, if I understand it right? In which case, how confident are we that any of this tonight is actually really reflective of how it'll turn out?

While this election did have a record amount of prepolling, I doubt it would make a noticeable difference in the result.

by **Shrillland** » Sat May 18, 2019 3:45 am

Neu Leonstein wrote:
Australian rePublic wrote:I think Labor was winning those

And those aren't in the sample that is being counted right now, if I understand it right? In which case, how confident are we that any of this tonight is actually really reflective of how it'll turn out?

Well, most of the press is saying these are going to be the expected results, though they have wavered at brief intervals. Even so, I think that the results in Queensland at least aren't going to change.

by **Australian rePublic** » Sat May 18, 2019 3:58 am

I'm truely shocked. More than the USA election. I expected Trump to win, I didn't expecting ScoMo

by **Shrillland** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:00 am

Australian rePublic wrote:I'm truely shocked. More than the USA election. I expected Trump to win, I didn't expecting ScoMo

In retrospect, it was for much the same reason that Trump won, workers didn't want to see their jobs taken away even if there could be some benefit to it down the road. So the originally wavering Queensland became what it always was, a Coalition fortress.

by **Australian rePublic** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:00 am

I hope that Labor don't make a comeback

by **Australian rePublic** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:03 am

I shouldda put money on the LNP. They were over $5!

by **Shrillland** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:04 am

A lot of Senators have been called:

New South Wales:
Coalition: 3
Labor: 2
Greens: 1

Victoria:
Coalition: 3
Labor: 2
Greens: 1

Queensland:
LNP: 3
Labor: 1
One Nation: 1
Unresolved: 1(between Larissa Waters of Greens and Clive Palmer of UAP)

South Australia:
Liberals: 3
Labor: 2
Greens: 1

by **Neu Leonstein** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:05 am

Australian rePublic wrote:I shouldda put money on the LNP. They were over $5!

Betting markets were more sure about a big ALP win than the polls were: https://www.afr.com/news/politics/natio ... 515-p51nir

by **Australian rePublic** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:05 am

My first vote went to small business party, my second vote to LNP. But sadly, I live in a safe seat, so, it maked very little difference

by **Australian rePublic** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:07 am

Bloody ads on the ABC Livestream... I don't care, I just wanna see the results

by **Neu Leonstein** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:08 am

Time for Quexit?

by **Australian rePublic** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:10 am

Neu Leonstein wrote:Time for Quexit?

No. Most of the country is blue. Time for NTxit

by **Turbofolkia** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:14 am

Think about how much damage Palmer has done. He’s acted as a stalking horse for the Libs and channelled any anti Morrison Govt protest away from Labor and back to the Libs.

Not that I’m absolving Shorten of any blame. Honestly the Hillary Clinton of Australian politics. When Labor will have another take-no-prisoners style leader like Keating, I will never know. Sigh.

by **Australian rePublic** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:14 am

Sadly, Labor's making a comeback. Go Libs! I hope you win this!

by **Shrillland** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:16 am

Australian rePublic wrote:Sadly, Labor's making a comeback. Go Libs! I hope you win this!

A comeback? Liberals are holding onto their seats in WA fairly well, they're going to win tonight...I say from America as the sun's rising.

by **Australian rePublic** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:17 am

Shrillland wrote:
Australian rePublic wrote:Sadly, Labor's making a comeback. Go Libs! I hope you win this!

A comeback? Liberals are holding onto their seats in WA fairly well, they're going to win tonight...I say from America as the sun's rising.

I doubt that 40% havd even been counted in WA. It hasn't even been an hour since polls closed there!

by **Dazchan** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:17 am

Shrillland wrote:
Australian rePublic wrote:Sadly, Labor's making a comeback. Go Libs! I hope you win this!

A comeback? Liberals are holding onto their seats in WA fairly well, they're going to win tonight...I say from America as the sun's rising.

There are only 8 seats left. It is literally impossible for the ALP to win. The best they could do is 73 seats.

by **Neu Leonstein** » Sat May 18, 2019 4:20 am

Turbofolkia wrote:Think about how much damage Palmer has done. He’s acted as a stalking horse for the Libs and channelled any anti Morrison Govt protest away from Labor and back to the Libs.

Not that I’m absolving Shorten of any blame. Honestly the Hillary Clinton of Australian politics. When Labor will have another take-no-prisoners style leader like Keating, I will never know. Sigh.

I'm not sure about the Shorten point. He put together a strong set of policy proposals. The problem looks to me more like they went too hard on a Labor programme, when the country as a whole is clearly sitting on the fence.

Civic Duty and Sausages Too(An Australian Election Thread)

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