2019 US Miscellaneous Election Thread

[San Lumen]

They can be quite predictive believe it or not of the popularity of a executive and the national trend

Kentucky could very well flip as Bevin is very unpopular and Louisiana is probably lean D

Mississippi is a whole other ballgame. Its probingly lean Republican but Democrats have a excellent candidate in Jin Hood. Hood however could be screwed over by a Jim Crow era law that requires a candidate to win a majority of the State House districts a very difficult feat for a Democrat to pull off. It neither candidate wins a majority of seats the election is thrown to the state legislature who even if Hood won the most votes could give the election to the Republican.

Hopefully the law is challenged in court as a violation one man, one vote which it almost certainly is.

Where are you getting this, I'm not seeing it anywhere.

EDIT: Never mind, I found it.
Last time this happened was in 1999, for anyone interested, and the prevailing opinion at the time was that the popular vote winner should get the House's nod, but this is a different world from that time.

In this day and age I don’t think Republicans would give a second thought to overturning the popular vote given they can legally do so in this instance

[Shrillland]

I won't repeat the other topic, but we do indeed have another vacancy in NC-3(Jacksonville-Outer Banks). This is R +12, and Jones was fairly moderate, so this one could swing if the momentum's there.

[San Lumen]

I won't repeat the other topic, but we do indeed have another vacancy in NC-3(Jacksonville-Outer Banks). This is R +12, and Jones was fairly moderate, so this one could swing if the momentum's there.

It’s very unlikely it flips. It’s a safe republican district

[Thermodolia]

So in just a few days early voting for the Gwinnett county transit referendum will begin. I’m hoping it succeeds. If it does it will be MARTA’s biggest expansion in years

[Valrifell]

Don't know where else to put this but retired astronaut Mark Kelly is running for McCain's seat in 2020

[San Lumen]

Don't know where else to put this but retired astronaut Mark Kelly is running for McCain's seat in 2020

Considering that election is next year it belongs in a thread for the 2020 elections

[Valrifell]

Don't know where else to put this but retired astronaut Mark Kelly is running for McCain's seat in 2020

Considering that election is next year it belongs in a thread for the 2020 elections

The thread specifically designated "presidential"?

[San Lumen]

Considering that election is next year it belongs in a thread for the 2020 elections

The thread specifically designated "presidential"?

Well there is more than just President next year. There is house elections again as well as a third of the senate and 14 governors. It should be 2020 us elections

[Shrillland]

Well, two days ago in the State College-Susquehanna byelection, the Democratic nominating convention was canceled after the commonwealth party couldn't find more than one candidate, which is a bad sign. Then again, we weren't expecting much. So Penn State cyber-security professor Marc Fridenberg will be running against a Republican to be decided.

https://www.padems.com/2019/02/pennsylvania-democratic-party-announces-candidate-for-special-election-in-the-12th-congressional-district/

[San Lumen]

Well, two days ago in the State College-Susquehanna byelection, the Democratic nominating convention was canceled after the commonwealth party couldn't find more than one candidate, which is a bad sign. Then again, we weren't expecting much. So Penn State cyber-security professor Marc Fridenberg will be running against a Republican to be decided.

https://www.padems.com/2019/02/pennsylvania-democratic-party-announces-candidate-for-special-election-in-the-12th-congressional-district/

Its a very red district so im not surprised. Congressional Special elections can create weird results plus they are not very good indicators of the national mood. Special state legislative elections are.

[Oldenfranck]

WV 3rd
Obviously not as good as previous years, but still downright damn impressive

[San Lumen]

https://www.richmond.com/news/virginia/ ... 8792d.html

Democrats chances for the taking the Virginia House of Delegates in November just got even better. A federal court has ordered the state to adopt a redrawn fairer map. Under the new lines Speaker of the House Kirk Cox is in a competitive seat.

Republicans say they will appeal to the Supreme Court but thats not a surprise as free and fair elections are an annoyance to them

[Shrillland]

https://www.richmond.com/news/virginia/government-politics/general-assembly/federal-court-orders-virginia-to-adopt-redrawn-house-of-delegates/article_27d92130-87f8-5dad-be82-8ca76698792d.html

Democrats chances for the taking the Virginia House of Delegates in November just got even better. A federal court has ordered the state to adopt a redrawn fairer map. Under the new lines Speaker of the House Kirk Cox is in a competitive seat.

Republicans say they will appeal to the Supreme Court but thats not a surprise as free and fair elections are an annoyance to them

Speaking of states, there were a couple of state byelections on Tuesday, Georgia's 176th House(Waycross-Lakeland) had No Overall Majority but Republicans hold the seat since both of them going to the runoff in March are Republican, and Texas' 125th House(Castroville-Leon Creek) had No Overall Majority so GOP businessman Fred Rangel will go against former San Antonio city Councillor and Democrat Fred Lopez later on, this is also expected to be a Democratic hold. Next week, there are state house races in Virginia and South Carolina.

[San Lumen]

https://www.richmond.com/news/virginia/government-politics/general-assembly/federal-court-orders-virginia-to-adopt-redrawn-house-of-delegates/article_27d92130-87f8-5dad-be82-8ca76698792d.html

Democrats chances for the taking the Virginia House of Delegates in November just got even better. A federal court has ordered the state to adopt a redrawn fairer map. Under the new lines Speaker of the House Kirk Cox is in a competitive seat.

Republicans say they will appeal to the Supreme Court but thats not a surprise as free and fair elections are an annoyance to them

Speaking of states, there were a couple of state byelections on Tuesday, Georgia's 176th House(Waycross-Lakeland) had No Overall Majority but Republicans hold the seat since both of them going to the runoff in March are Republican, and Texas' 125th House(Castroville-Leon Creek) had No Overall Majority so GOP businessman Fred Rangel will go against former San Antonio city Councillor and Democrat Fred Lopez later on, this is also expected to be a Democratic hold. Next week, there are state house races in Virginia and South Carolina.

The Virginia seat is most likely a safe democratic district but with the Governor and Lt. Governor scandal who knows what could happen

[Shrillland]

Speaking of states, there were a couple of state byelections on Tuesday, Georgia's 176th House(Waycross-Lakeland) had No Overall Majority but Republicans hold the seat since both of them going to the runoff in March are Republican, and Texas' 125th House(Castroville-Leon Creek) had No Overall Majority so GOP businessman Fred Rangel will go against former San Antonio city Councillor and Democrat Fred Lopez later on, this is also expected to be a Democratic hold. Next week, there are state house races in Virginia and South Carolina.

The Virginia seat is most likely a safe democratic district but with the Governor and Lt. Governor scandal who knows what could happen

I wouldn't call it safe. Boysko never got above 55%, and the 86th(Reston-Herndon) elected Republicans by similar margins before her election in '13. Moreover, it's not going to change according to the new map.

[San Lumen]

The Virginia seat is most likely a safe democratic district but with the Governor and Lt. Governor scandal who knows what could happen

I wouldn't call it safe. Boysko never got above 55%, and the 86th(Reston-Herndon) elected Republicans by similar margins before her election in '13. Moreover, it's not going to change according to the new map.

Northern Virginia is changing dramatically. The district flipping would be a huge shock given its demographics

[Shrillland]

Well, today we've got a couple of state by-elections(one a test case on the mood in Virginia), but the first big race is a week from today, and you know what that means. Here's my take on next week.

All there is is Chicago's mayoral election, but a city that size deserves some interest. This is what I call the 23rd Party Congress since Illinois is effectively run like a Soviet Republic and also because this is the 23rd election in a row where a Democrat will be mayor of Chicago(no Republican has held the title since Bill Thompson-a friend of Al Capone-lost in 1931). It's a crowded race, but there are four major contenders that could go on to the April runoff.

First, we have former Commerce Secretary and White House Chief of Staff, Bill Daley. He is, of course, of that Daley family, and he has the endorsement of the Tribune, Congressman Bobby Rush, and Al Gore among others. When he entered the race, he upended the contest that was going between the original two top contenders, and he's got a 12.5% average in the polls. Next, we have former Ward 4 Alderwoman and current President of the Cook County Board of Commissioners Toni Preckwinkle. She has the SEIU, the ultra-powerful Chicago Teachers Union, Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky, and the Hyde Park Herald on her side. She's also leading in the polls with an average of 18%. Third, we have State Comptroller Susana Mendoza, who left a lot of people sore(myself included) when she decided to run for Mayor after just getting re-elected Comptroller last year. She was also a popular former City Clerk and member of the State House. Her fight with Preckwinkle evaporated in the wake of Daley's run, but she's still averaging 9.5% and has the Labourers, the UFCW, and Stacey Abrams behind her. Fourth, we have former State Board of Education Chairman and party insider Gery Chico. He doesn't have as many endorsements behind him, but he does have a good share of the polls with an 8% average.

I'm saying it'll be Daley and Preckwinkle going on to April, and Daley will likely win election then.

[San Lumen]

Well, today we've got a couple of state by-elections(one a test case on the mood in Virginia), but the first big race is a week from today, and you know what that means. Here's my take on next week.

All there is is Chicago's mayoral election, but a city that size deserves some interest. This is what I call the 23rd Party Congress since Illinois is effectively run like a Soviet Republic and also because this is the 23rd election in a row where a Democrat will be mayor of Chicago(no Republican has held the title since Bill Thompson-a friend of Al Capone-lost in 1931). It's a crowded race, but there are four major contenders that could go on to the April runoff.

First, we have former Commerce Secretary and White House Chief of Staff, Bill Daley. He is, of course, of that Daley family, and he has the endorsement of the Tribune, Congressman Bobby Rush, and Al Gore among others. When he entered the race, he upended the contest that was going between the original two top contenders, and he's got a 12.5% average in the polls. Next, we have former Ward 4 Alderwoman and current President of the Cook County Board of Commissioners Toni Preckwinkle. She has the SEIU, the ultra-powerful Chicago Teachers Union, Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky, and the Hyde Park Herald on her side. She's also leading in the polls with an average of 18%. Third, we have State Comptroller Susana Mendoza, who left a lot of people sore(myself included) when she decided to run for Mayor after just getting re-elected Comptroller last year. She was also a popular former City Clerk and member of the State House. Her fight with Preckwinkle evaporated in the wake of Daley's run, but she's still averaging 9.5% and has the Labourers, the UFCW, and Stacey Abrams behind her. Fourth, we have former State Board of Education Chairman and party insider Gery Chico. He doesn't have as many endorsements behind him, but he does have a good share of the polls with an 8% average.

I'm saying it'll be Daley and Preckwinkle going on to April, and Daley will likely win election then.

I really hope Daley doesnt win as the last thing Chicago needs is more corruption but the city is already openly corrupt anyway.

In addition to the by election in Virginia today. Madison, Wisconsin has its mayoral primary today. The two candidates with the most votes advances to the general election April 2nd when there will also be an election for Wisconsin Supreme Court.

[Shrillland]

Well, today we've got a couple of state by-elections(one a test case on the mood in Virginia), but the first big race is a week from today, and you know what that means. Here's my take on next week.

All there is is Chicago's mayoral election, but a city that size deserves some interest. This is what I call the 23rd Party Congress since Illinois is effectively run like a Soviet Republic and also because this is the 23rd election in a row where a Democrat will be mayor of Chicago(no Republican has held the title since Bill Thompson-a friend of Al Capone-lost in 1931). It's a crowded race, but there are four major contenders that could go on to the April runoff.

First, we have former Commerce Secretary and White House Chief of Staff, Bill Daley. He is, of course, of that Daley family, and he has the endorsement of the Tribune, Congressman Bobby Rush, and Al Gore among others. When he entered the race, he upended the contest that was going between the original two top contenders, and he's got a 12.5% average in the polls. Next, we have former Ward 4 Alderwoman and current President of the Cook County Board of Commissioners Toni Preckwinkle. She has the SEIU, the ultra-powerful Chicago Teachers Union, Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky, and the Hyde Park Herald on her side. She's also leading in the polls with an average of 18%. Third, we have State Comptroller Susana Mendoza, who left a lot of people sore(myself included) when she decided to run for Mayor after just getting re-elected Comptroller last year. She was also a popular former City Clerk and member of the State House. Her fight with Preckwinkle evaporated in the wake of Daley's run, but she's still averaging 9.5% and has the Labourers, the UFCW, and Stacey Abrams behind her. Fourth, we have former State Board of Education Chairman and party insider Gery Chico. He doesn't have as many endorsements behind him, but he does have a good share of the polls with an 8% average.

I'm saying it'll be Daley and Preckwinkle going on to April, and Daley will likely win election then.

I really hope Daley doesnt win as the last thing Chicago needs is more corruption but the city is already openly corrupt anyway.

In addition to the by election in Virginia today. Madison, Wisconsin has its mayoral primary today. The two candidates with the most votes advances to the general election April 2nd when there will also be an election for Wisconsin Supreme Court.

Oh, Lumen, it'll just mean that the three most prominent families in the state hold the three biggest offices. If we're going to emulate the USSR circa 1978, we might as well go all the way with it.

[San Lumen]

I really hope Daley doesnt win as the last thing Chicago needs is more corruption but the city is already openly corrupt anyway.

In addition to the by election in Virginia today. Madison, Wisconsin has its mayoral primary today. The two candidates with the most votes advances to the general election April 2nd when there will also be an election for Wisconsin Supreme Court.

Oh, Lumen, it'll just mean that the three most prominent families in the state hold the three biggest offices. If we're going to emulate the USSR circa 1978, we might as well go all the way with it.

I guess so. Hilarious take on it.

Plus next week in addition to the Chicago elections there are five by-elections in Connecticut for the state legislature due to the incumbents taking positions with Governor Ned Lamont's administration. There are two for the state House and three in the State Senate. Four of five are safe districts. One is lean democrat.

Plus there is a special election for New York City public advocate due to the incumbents resignation from being elected Attorney General.

[San Lumen]

In the by election in Virginia HD-86 Northern Virginia the democrat Ibraheem Samirah won in a slight underperformance of baselines with 60 percent of the vote probably due to the independent candidate on the ballot. He will be the second Muslim elected to the Virginia Legislature

Democrats are likely still heavily favored to wrest control of the state legislature in November despite the underperformance here.

[Shrillland]

In the by election in Virginia HD-86 Northern Virginia the democrat Ibraheem Samirah won in a slight underperformance of baselines with 60 percent of the vote probably due to the independent candidate on the ballot. He will be the second Muslim elected to the Virginia Legislature

Democrats are likely still heavily favored to wrest control of the state legislature in November despite the underperformance here.

Well, as for the other race in SC, there's nothing there to look at, it's safe GOP. Next round of state legislatives is on Saturday with seven house seats in Louisiana.

[San Lumen]

In the by election in Virginia HD-86 Northern Virginia the democrat Ibraheem Samirah won in a slight underperformance of baselines with 60 percent of the vote probably due to the independent candidate on the ballot. He will be the second Muslim elected to the Virginia Legislature

Democrats are likely still heavily favored to wrest control of the state legislature in November despite the underperformance here.

Well, as for the other race in SC, there's nothing there to look at, it's safe GOP. Next round of state legislatives is on Saturday with seven house seats in Louisiana.

and not much excitement in any of those districts as some of them have only candidates of one party running and others have so many candidates I believe there will be runoff.

Next week's by elections in Connecticut will be far more interesting

[Shrillland]

Well, the state of North Carolina has determined that the 9th District race last year was indeed fraudulent, so there will be a new election later this year: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/the-latest-gop-candidate-says-new-election-should-be-called/ar-BBTTUOA?li=BBnb7Kz

[San Lumen]

Well, the state of North Carolina has determined that the 9th District race last year was indeed fraudulent, so there will be a new election later this year: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/the-latest-gop-candidate-says-new-election-should-be-called/ar-BBTTUOA?li=BBnb7Kz

I wonder if Democrats will be favored to win it now. Though with this proven fraud it does makes one question GOP victories in other places.