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US Midterm Elections Megathread III: Hitting The Wall

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Corrian
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Postby Corrian » Thu Nov 01, 2018 10:57 am

Hakons wrote:
Mystic Warriors wrote:


Oh teh noes!!!! The economists hate it. Do these happen to be conservatives?


Are you... disparaging actual professionals on economics? Rent control fails massively pretty much every time. Here's a wiki section with several sources.

"A ceiling on rents reduces the quantity and quality of housing available."

"...the economics profession has reached a rare consensus: Rent control creates many more problems than it solves."

"Given the current research, there seems to be little one can say in favor of rent control."

Wonder what the best solution is, then.
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Thermodolia
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Anarchy

Postby Thermodolia » Thu Nov 01, 2018 11:12 am

Valgora wrote:
Valrifell wrote:
But, see, I openly identify as one of those sides. Accepting this would also imply I'm part of a problem.

But that cant be, I'm literally flawless.


I have a way to test this:
What is your opinion of Iron Maiden?

Good. Great band. Still not the best though
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Thu Nov 01, 2018 11:47 am

Thermodolia wrote:
Valgora wrote:
I have a way to test this:
What is your opinion of Iron Maiden?

Good. Great band. Still not the best though

Sorry what is the relevance here?

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Shrillland
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Postby Shrillland » Thu Nov 01, 2018 11:47 am

San Lumen wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:Good. Great band. Still not the best though

Sorry what is the relevance here?


I'm sure Val will tell us in due course.

I've heard better, but they're all right.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Thu Nov 01, 2018 11:49 am

Shrillland wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Sorry what is the relevance here?


I'm sure Val will tell us in due course.

I've heard better, but they're all right.


I guess. Getting back to elections I am starting to get very worried about Florida. I don't get why the Governor's race is so close. There is no comparison between the candidates. What's your take? Do you think Gillum will win? I trust your predictions.

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Shrillland
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Postby Shrillland » Thu Nov 01, 2018 11:54 am

San Lumen wrote:
Shrillland wrote:
I'm sure Val will tell us in due course.

I've heard better, but they're all right.


I guess. Getting back to elections I am starting to get very worried about Florida. I don't get why the Governor's race is so close. There is no comparison between the candidates. What's your take? Do you think Gillum will win? I trust your predictions.


Well, it's close because Florida's a very divided state politically speaking. As for who'll win, it'll be Gillum. When even Republican pollsters have him 2-3 points ahead, he's probably got it. Not to mention a major red stronghold(Panama City area) will suffer from depressed turnout due to the hurricane a few weeks ago.
How America Came to This, by Kowani: Racialised Politics, Ideological Media Gaslighting, and What It All Means For The Future
Plebiscite Plaza 2026
Confused by the names I use for House districts? Here's a primer!
In 1963, Doctor Who taught us all we need to know about politics when a cave woman said, "Old men see no further than tomorrow's meat".

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Thu Nov 01, 2018 11:55 am

Shrillland wrote:
San Lumen wrote:
I guess. Getting back to elections I am starting to get very worried about Florida. I don't get why the Governor's race is so close. There is no comparison between the candidates. What's your take? Do you think Gillum will win? I trust your predictions.


Well, it's close because Florida's a very divided state politically speaking. As for who'll win, it'll be Gillum. When even Republican pollsters have him 2-3 points ahead, he's probably got it. Not to mention a major red stronghold(Panama City area) will suffer from depressed turnout due to the hurricane a few weeks ago.


I hope you are right. Plus ive heard independent voters are breaking heavily for Democrats in early voting. I trust your wisdom.

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Shrillland
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Postby Shrillland » Thu Nov 01, 2018 11:57 am

San Lumen wrote:
Shrillland wrote:
Well, it's close because Florida's a very divided state politically speaking. As for who'll win, it'll be Gillum. When even Republican pollsters have him 2-3 points ahead, he's probably got it. Not to mention a major red stronghold(Panama City area) will suffer from depressed turnout due to the hurricane a few weeks ago.


I hope you are right. Plus ive heard independent voters are breaking heavily for Democrats in early voting. I trust your wisdom.


I don't think of myself as especially wise....
How America Came to This, by Kowani: Racialised Politics, Ideological Media Gaslighting, and What It All Means For The Future
Plebiscite Plaza 2026
Confused by the names I use for House districts? Here's a primer!
In 1963, Doctor Who taught us all we need to know about politics when a cave woman said, "Old men see no further than tomorrow's meat".

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Thu Nov 01, 2018 11:58 am

Shrillland wrote:
San Lumen wrote:
I hope you are right. Plus ive heard independent voters are breaking heavily for Democrats in early voting. I trust your wisdom.


I don't think of myself as especially wise....


I think you are. You were quite accurate in your primary predictions

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Shrillland
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Postby Shrillland » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:04 pm

By the way, I probably won't call every single race in the House, just the major ones and the ones that change(which are mostly overlapping so it all works out). I also plan to call Senators, Governors and referenda...but back to now.

We all said what we think of the Senate, but what about the House? I admit I have a somewhat more modest outlook than some, I think it'll be 219-225 for the Democrats.
How America Came to This, by Kowani: Racialised Politics, Ideological Media Gaslighting, and What It All Means For The Future
Plebiscite Plaza 2026
Confused by the names I use for House districts? Here's a primer!
In 1963, Doctor Who taught us all we need to know about politics when a cave woman said, "Old men see no further than tomorrow's meat".

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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:04 pm

Shrillland wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Sorry what is the relevance here?


I'm sure Val will tell us in due course.

I've heard better, but they're all right.

Metallica is the best.
Male, Jewish, lives somewhere in AZ, Disabled US Military Veteran, Oorah!, I'm GAY!
I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
Click for Da Funies

RIP Dya

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Valrifell
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Postby Valrifell » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:15 pm

Shrillland wrote:By the way, I probably won't call every single race in the House, just the major ones and the ones that change(which are mostly overlapping so it all works out). I also plan to call Senators, Governors and referenda...but back to now.

We all said what we think of the Senate, but what about the House? I admit I have a somewhat more modest outlook than some, I think it'll be 219-225 for the Democrats.


That's extremely modest for the dems, imo.
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Shrillland
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Postby Shrillland » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:18 pm

Valrifell wrote:
Shrillland wrote:By the way, I probably won't call every single race in the House, just the major ones and the ones that change(which are mostly overlapping so it all works out). I also plan to call Senators, Governors and referenda...but back to now.

We all said what we think of the Senate, but what about the House? I admit I have a somewhat more modest outlook than some, I think it'll be 219-225 for the Democrats.


That's extremely modest for the dems, imo.


Yeah, but that's still a gain of 24-30 seats, and that's most of the tossups when you look seat-by-seat.
How America Came to This, by Kowani: Racialised Politics, Ideological Media Gaslighting, and What It All Means For The Future
Plebiscite Plaza 2026
Confused by the names I use for House districts? Here's a primer!
In 1963, Doctor Who taught us all we need to know about politics when a cave woman said, "Old men see no further than tomorrow's meat".

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Myrensis
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Founded: Oct 05, 2010
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Postby Myrensis » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:21 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Shrillland wrote:
I'm sure Val will tell us in due course.

I've heard better, but they're all right.


I guess. Getting back to elections I am starting to get very worried about Florida. I don't get why the Governor's race is so close. There is no comparison between the candidates. What's your take? Do you think Gillum will win? I trust your predictions.


Because the rapidly growing backbone of Republican politics in Florida is rich white retirees who would drag themselves across 10 miles of broken glass to vote to stop the darkies and young people from ruining the (insanely whitewashed, rose-tinted version of) America they remember!

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:36 pm

Myrensis wrote:
San Lumen wrote:
I guess. Getting back to elections I am starting to get very worried about Florida. I don't get why the Governor's race is so close. There is no comparison between the candidates. What's your take? Do you think Gillum will win? I trust your predictions.


Because the rapidly growing backbone of Republican politics in Florida is rich white retirees who would drag themselves across 10 miles of broken glass to vote to stop the darkies and young people from ruining the (insanely whitewashed, rose-tinted version of) America they remember!

I think that is a fair assessment. Though I would say instead they long for the what they consider the good times of the 1950s
Last edited by San Lumen on Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Mystic Warriors
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Postby Mystic Warriors » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:36 pm

Hakons wrote:
Mystic Warriors wrote:


Oh teh noes!!!! The economists hate it. Do these happen to be conservatives?


Are you... disparaging actual professionals on economics? Rent control fails massively pretty much every time. Here's a wiki section with several sources.

"A ceiling on rents reduces the quantity and quality of housing available."

"...the economics profession has reached a rare consensus: Rent control creates many more problems than it solves."

"Given the current research, there seems to be little one can say in favor of rent control."



Conservative economists. Rent control works everywhere it has been enacted.
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Mystic Warriors
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Postby Mystic Warriors » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:40 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
Greater vakolicci haven wrote:I hope Kemp can pull it off, this shouldn't be a close fight.

Kemp is a fucking retard. Honestly it should be a lot closer than this



Kemp was down by 1 in the last poll, and only up by 2 in 3 others. Abraham's can still win and I hope she does.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:41 pm

Mystic Warriors wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:Kemp is a fucking retard. Honestly it should be a lot closer than this



Kemp was down by 1 in the last poll, and only up by 2 in 3 others. Abraham's can still win and I hope she does.


I hope she does. She is by far the superior candidate.

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Maineiacs
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Postby Maineiacs » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:42 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Myrensis wrote:
Because the rapidly growing backbone of Republican politics in Florida is rich white retirees who would drag themselves across 10 miles of broken glass to vote to stop the darkies and young people from ruining the (insanely whitewashed, rose-tinted version of) America they remember!

I think that is a fair assessment. Though I would say instead they long for the what they consider the good times of the 1950s



More accurately, they long for life to be like a '50s sitcom.
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Mystic Warriors
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Postby Mystic Warriors » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:43 pm

Page wrote:
Trumptonium1 wrote:
Do you have a more reputable source?


It's about a racist ad that Trump ran. You can ignore CNN's commentary and simply watch the ad, unless you think CNN made up an imaginary ad to make Trump look bad, which would be really, really stupid.




:rofl:


He totally buys into that fake news garbage. Anything that attacks Trump is fake news and not reputable. CNN not reputable....you have got to be kidding me.
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Hakons
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Postby Hakons » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:43 pm

Corrian wrote:
Hakons wrote:
Are you... disparaging actual professionals on economics? Rent control fails massively pretty much every time. Here's a wiki section with several sources.

"A ceiling on rents reduces the quantity and quality of housing available."

"...the economics profession has reached a rare consensus: Rent control creates many more problems than it solves."

"Given the current research, there seems to be little one can say in favor of rent control."

Wonder what the best solution is, then.


Expensive housing is usually the result of a housing shortage. There's more demand than the actual amount of housing, so people pay more for it. Any government action taken to address this should try to increase the amount of housing, thus meeting the demand and lowering the price for consumers (this is why rent controls are so terrible, because creating price ceilings increases shortages). In California's case, the government should subsidize the housing market in some way. They could give tax breaks or subsidize companies to make housing developments. The government could also directly make its own public housing, but hopefully not in the form of the dystopian Projects made in the 20th century. All of this would of course be a sizable tax burden, but providing housing or making it easier to obtain housing is one of the more important things a state can do.

At least, that's my take on it. :p
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Mystic Warriors
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Postby Mystic Warriors » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:46 pm

Page wrote:
Trumptonium1 wrote:
I watched the ad on Twitter and I see no racism. First of all Mexicans aren't a race. Second of all the issue is legitimate. Third of all how can facts be racist?

He's not saying all mestizos are inferior or murderers. He's literally showing a video of Democrats letting in (or wanting to let in) people who admit by themselves they are murderers. How many more would Democrats like to let in?


First of all, this ad uses utterly ridiculous doublethink, claiming the man who killed those cops was illegal but also that was he "let in" by Democrats? Which one is it? If he was here illegally, then no one "let him in", if he was "let in" then he would have had legal status.

The claim that Democrats let him in is also ridiculous. Which fucking Democrats? Congressional ones? Nope. The Dems in California? Nope. The Dems in the city? Nope. Politicians don't let anyone come in or keep anyone out. That's on border patrol and the courts. Such a claim would be like saying that Republicans let al-Queda in in 2001, as if there was someone saying "yes, I am letting you through, I'm giving you permission to be here."

The caravan of Honduran refugees has nothing to do with that guy, and the one guy who supposedly said he was seeking a pardon for attempted murder, there is absolutely no context to this situation at all.

This ad appeals to the lowest common denominator. It's only effective on people who don't think about it.




Very well said. Good job.
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Mystic Warriors
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Founded: May 10, 2018
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Postby Mystic Warriors » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:51 pm

Hakons wrote:
Mystic Warriors wrote:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of ... verty_rate


Its 16.4% and dropping.


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demogra ... California


The population is rising not declining.


The poverty threshold is a national statistic, and it doesn't apply evenly in every state. A person in Indiana just above the poverty line is going to have a better life than a person in California just above the poverty line, since the cost of living is very different. When factoring in what your income can actually buy, California has the highest poverty rate in the nation.



Only using the supplement poverty measure which is total crap. It uses medical costs which can't be measured evenly from person to person.
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Mystic Warriors
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Postby Mystic Warriors » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:53 pm

Hakons wrote:
Mystic Warriors wrote:

Has the burning cross been removed? :rofl:


Seriously, I want prop 10 so we can get rent control.


Rent control creates decrepit housing, not affordable housing.



Proof ? No? Got you. That has not been the case, unless you think Canada is a ghetto.
Last edited by Mystic Warriors on Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Thermodolia
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Founded: Oct 07, 2011
Anarchy

Postby Thermodolia » Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:53 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Mystic Warriors wrote:

Kemp was down by 1 in the last poll, and only up by 2 in 3 others. Abraham's can still win and I hope she does.


I hope she does. She is by far the superior candidate.

That’s not saying much. A wet rag would be better than Kemp because at least it won’t accidentally release your social security information and other vital information
Male, Jewish, lives somewhere in AZ, Disabled US Military Veteran, Oorah!, I'm GAY!
I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
Click for Da Funies

RIP Dya

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