UK Politics Thread XI: Boris' Big Bombastic Brexit Bash

[Fartsniffage]

I never said it was the primary goal. I called it an unintended consequence.

For three candidates; out of 60; maybe.

Somebody sound the last trumpet; the political apocalypse is at hand.

Purdah kicks in and Arch goes from fair and balanced to frothing Lib Dem supporter. I love it.

[Vassenor]

I never said it was the primary goal. I called it an unintended consequence.

For three candidates; out of 60; maybe.

Somebody sound the last trumpet; the political apocalypse is at hand.

Ooookay...

[The Huskar Social Union]

Thats a nice report on Russian Donors you have there, be a real shame if someone blocked it.

[The Archregimancy]

For three candidates; out of 60; maybe.

Somebody sound the last trumpet; the political apocalypse is at hand.

Purdah kicks in and Arch goes from fair and balanced to frothing Lib Dem supporter. I love it.

I don't think I've ever hidden that I'm a LibDem supporter; that's been fairly common knowledge since at least the 2010 election - which is why I've already asked for other mods to step in should moderating this thread prove necessary during the election.

All that said, I don't think my analysis of the seats where Unite to Remain candidates are running against pro-Remain Labour candidates is wrong because of my political bias. Interpretation of data can vary depending on perspective, of course, but I did my best to keep that seat by seat analysis grounded in fact rather than vague bellyfeel plusgood assertions.

[The Archregimancy]

Morgan (Portsmouth South) is in a marginal, but one with an unusual history. Portsmouth South has been won by all three parties in the three elections between 2010-2017 (SDP then LibDem Mike Hancock held the seat from '84-'87, and then again from '97-'15), and the LibDems control Portsmouth City Council with much of their support focused in the south of Portsmouth (a city I know well; a close family member was a candidate for Portsmouth North in the 1970s); so while the LibDems fell from first to third over two elections (and Labour have gone from third to first in the same time period), the LibDems will have serious aspirations to take a seat that they held for nearly 20 years prior to 2015. So not a huge surprise they're making an effort here.

I've managed to track down a constituency poll from a reputable polling company for Portsmouth South. It's a single poll, dates from the very end of last month, and uses a smaller polling sample than you'd usually get in a nationwide poll, so the usual caveats apply; but:

https://www.portsmouth.co.uk/news/polit ... -1-9129758

(you may need to pause your adblocker to access the site)

Lib Dems - 30 per cent (+13 from 2017)
Conservative - 27 per cent (-11)
Labour - 24 per cent (-17)
Brexit Party - 14 per cent (new)

Mr Morgan is, of course, welcome to stand down as the Labour candidate if he doesn't want to split the Remainer vote and throw the seat to the Tories.


And of course I'm being facetious; I wouldn't expect a sitting MP to stand down for another party. But it does help to show how complex the current electoral picture is.

[Fartsniffage]

Purdah kicks in and Arch goes from fair and balanced to frothing Lib Dem supporter. I love it.

I don't think I've ever hidden that I'm a LibDem supporter; that's been fairly common knowledge since at least the 2010 election - which is why I've already asked for other mods to step in should moderating this thread prove necessary during the election.

All that said, I don't think my analysis of the seats where Unite to Remain candidates are running against pro-Remain Labour candidates is wrong because of my political bias. Interpretation of data can vary depending on perspective, of course, but I did my best to keep that seat by seat analysis grounded in fact rather than vague bellyfeel plusgood assertions.

I was being light hearted Arch...

I just never seen you quite this intense about your political support for the Lib Dems.

[The Blaatschapen]

I don't think I've ever hidden that I'm a LibDem supporter; that's been fairly common knowledge since at least the 2010 election - which is why I've already asked for other mods to step in should moderating this thread prove necessary during the election.

All that said, I don't think my analysis of the seats where Unite to Remain candidates are running against pro-Remain Labour candidates is wrong because of my political bias. Interpretation of data can vary depending on perspective, of course, but I did my best to keep that seat by seat analysis grounded in fact rather than vague bellyfeel plusgood assertions.

I was being light hearted Arch...

I just never seen you quite this intense about your political support for the Lib Dems.

His support is surging

[The Huskar Social Union]

I was being light hearted Arch...

I just never seen you quite this intense about your political support for the Lib Dems.

His support is surging

L I B D E M S U R G E

L I B D E M S U R G E

L I B D E M S U R G E

L I B D E M S U R G E

[The Huskar Social Union]

Allegations of SInn Fein stealing votes in Foyle from a supposed former member of Sinn Fein


If it is true, it is very very interesting and would serve as a prime example of why Sinn Fein and the DUP need smashed.

[Salandriagado]

I don't think I've ever hidden that I'm a LibDem supporter; that's been fairly common knowledge since at least the 2010 election - which is why I've already asked for other mods to step in should moderating this thread prove necessary during the election.

All that said, I don't think my analysis of the seats where Unite to Remain candidates are running against pro-Remain Labour candidates is wrong because of my political bias. Interpretation of data can vary depending on perspective, of course, but I did my best to keep that seat by seat analysis grounded in fact rather than vague bellyfeel plusgood assertions.

I was being light hearted Arch...

I just never seen you quite this intense about your political support for the Lib Dems.

Including when he was literally a Lib Dem candidate?

[Fartsniffage]

I was being light hearted Arch...

I just never seen you quite this intense about your political support for the Lib Dems.

Including when he was literally a Lib Dem candidate?

Especially then. He literally wanted to lose so he could move to Egypt.

[The Huskar Social Union]

Including when he was literally a Lib Dem candidate?

Especially then. He literally want to lose so he could move to Egypt.

Yellow streak of victory vs dusting old Cleopatra's bones

Tough call like.

[Ostroeuropa]

The majority of Homeless people in the UK have jobs, but cannot afford rent in their area, according to new analysis. (55%).

https://ponderwall.com/index.php/2019/1 ... s-britain/

1/200 people in the UK are homeless.

Over 1/400 people in the UK have jobs, but cannot afford a place to stay.

This is due to wages not rising and a freeze on housing benefits in a time of escalating rent costs.

[The Huskar Social Union]

The majority of Homeless people in the UK have jobs, but cannot afford rent in their area, according to new analysis. (55%).

https://ponderwall.com/index.php/2019/1 ... s-britain/

1/200 people in the UK are homeless.

Over 1/400 people in the UK have jobs, but cannot afford a place to stay.

This is due to wages not rising and a freeze on housing benefits in a time of escalating rent costs.

Maybe they just lack common sense like the people who died at grenfell as the right honour gentleman Jacob Rees Mogg informed us of in his enlightened wisdom.

[Ostroeuropa]

The majority of Homeless people in the UK have jobs, but cannot afford rent in their area, according to new analysis. (55%).

https://ponderwall.com/index.php/2019/1 ... s-britain/

1/200 people in the UK are homeless.

Over 1/400 people in the UK have jobs, but cannot afford a place to stay.

This is due to wages not rising and a freeze on housing benefits in a time of escalating rent costs.

Maybe they just lack common sense like the people who died at grenfell as the right honour gentleman Jacob Rees Mogg informed us of in his enlightened wisdom.

The Last Leg suggested we empirically test Moggs level of common sense by giving him a headset and putting him inside a building before setting it on fire and seeing what he does. Does he turn it on to receive instructions from the fire brigade on what to do, or not.

It would get good ratings as a reality show, and who knows, by the time the Tories are done with the human rights act it might even be legal.

[The Huskar Social Union]

Maybe they just lack common sense like the people who died at grenfell as the right honour gentleman Jacob Rees Mogg informed us of in his enlightened wisdom.

The Last Leg suggested we empirically test Moggs level of common sense by giving him a headset and putting him inside a burning building and seeing what he does. Does he turn it on to receive instructions from the fire brigade on what to do, or not.

Ive not watched that show in ages, need to get back to it.

[Fartsniffage]

Keith Vaz isn't standing. Thank god.

[Ostroeuropa]

The Last Leg suggested we empirically test Moggs level of common sense by giving him a headset and putting him inside a burning building and seeing what he does. Does he turn it on to receive instructions from the fire brigade on what to do, or not.

Ive not watched that show in ages, need to get back to it.

Was a pretty good segment. The host just kept escalating until he lost the audiences support then moved on.

For the record, the audience got nervous around the time he said Jacob Rees Mogg is worse than cancer and gave a list of reasons why. All hunky dory til then. I think Mogg legitimately pissed them off.

[Risottia]

The majority of Homeless people in the UK have jobs, but cannot afford rent in their area, according to new analysis. (55%).

https://ponderwall.com/index.php/2019/1 ... s-britain/

1/200 people in the UK are homeless.

Over 1/400 people in the UK have jobs, but cannot afford a place to stay.

This is due to wages not rising and a freeze on housing benefits in a time of escalating rent costs.

Good, it's about time the plebs went back where they belong.

Now, now, I hear the colonists might be restless yon side of the pond.

[Kavagrad]

Right, so who's ready for the Daily Mail to go berserk tomorrow when Corbyn's poppy turns out to be at slightly the wrong angle or something?

[Crysuko]

Right, so who's ready for the Daily Mail to go berserk tomorrow when Corbyn's poppy turns out to be at slightly the wrong angle or something?

He may as well walk into parliament with a big iron on his lapel

[Shrillland]

Right, so who's ready for the Daily Mail to go berserk tomorrow when Corbyn's poppy turns out to be at slightly the wrong angle or something?

At least the Daily Mail will try to be accurate, the Sun will call it the "fake flower of false fealty" or some such thing, say it's actually a marigold, and declare said marigolds to be unpatriotic things that only unwashed Labourites and Lib Dem wafflers would ever grow in their gardens.

[SD_Film Artists]

His support is surging

L I B D E M S U R G E

L I B D E M S U R G E

L I B D E M S U R G E

L I B D E M S U R G E

Your meme (or prophetic vision of the near future) will make a fine addition to my *cough* collection.

[An Alan Smithee Nation]

I don't think Artisanal Gin Lane would be the same. Maybe Spice Lane?

[Vassenor]

So apparently Boris made such a fool of himself at the Cenotaph yesterday that the BBC, in its commitment to truth and balance, used footage of him from 2016 instead when recapping on the News this morning.