Die Volkstaat wrote:this is the one forum I've visited that isn't full of trolls, idiots, and people suffering either from insanity, extremism, or insane cognitive dissonance.
are we browsing different forums or something
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by Frasers » Wed May 06, 2015 5:49 pm
Die Volkstaat wrote:this is the one forum I've visited that isn't full of trolls, idiots, and people suffering either from insanity, extremism, or insane cognitive dissonance.
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 5:54 pm
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 5:55 pm
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 5:56 pm
New Werpland wrote:Who will get most votes?
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 5:58 pm
Purger wrote:It seems the silent majority have different opinions than most post on this thread suggests, and tomorrow the silent majority will not be silent anymore. If NSG could only be a constituency for the British parliament... ah.
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 5:59 pm
Vashtanaraada wrote:The silent majority in the UK are literally silent. Most people don't vote.
by Die Volkstaat » Wed May 06, 2015 6:00 pm
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:00 pm
Purger wrote:Vashtanaraada wrote:The silent majority in the UK are literally silent. Most people don't vote.
Actually the turnouts during the generals elections are usually high.
My personall wish is that the LibDems disapear from the parliament completely, UKIP becomes 10 or more seats and eventually a UKIP-Torry coalition formed in order to force an EU referendum.
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:00 pm
Ravenflight wrote:LOL Tories on the same as Green. Take that Cameron
by Die Volkstaat » Wed May 06, 2015 6:01 pm
Steamtopia wrote:Purger wrote:Actually the turnouts during the generals elections are usually high.
My personall wish is that the LibDems disapear from the parliament completely, UKIP becomes 10 or more seats and eventually a UKIP-Torry coalition formed in order to force an EU referendum.
Literally zero percent chance of that happening. Lib Dems will hold 25-30 seats, UKIP will win three at most, and a UKIP-Tory coalition wouldn't even be able to form a minority government.
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:03 pm
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:04 pm
Die Volkstaat wrote:Steamtopia wrote:Literally zero percent chance of that happening. Lib Dems will hold 25-30 seats, UKIP will win three at most, and a UKIP-Tory coalition wouldn't even be able to form a minority government.
That's his personal wish. And, what seats do you think the LibDems will hold onto that will give them up to 30 seat? It seems so...unlikely.
I'd give the LibDems 15-20, with 20 being the maximum. As for the UKIP, I imagine they'll hold onto Clacton, maybe take Thurrock, maybe take Rochester, and there is a super slim possibility that they'll take something else. So, three seats, maybe two, sounds right.
by Parti Ouvrier » Wed May 06, 2015 6:05 pm
by Die Volkstaat » Wed May 06, 2015 6:06 pm
Steamtopia wrote:Die Volkstaat wrote:
That's his personal wish. And, what seats do you think the LibDems will hold onto that will give them up to 30 seat? It seems so...unlikely.
I'd give the LibDems 15-20, with 20 being the maximum. As for the UKIP, I imagine they'll hold onto Clacton, maybe take Thurrock, maybe take Rochester, and there is a super slim possibility that they'll take something else. So, three seats, maybe two, sounds right.
It's not very unlikely. Lib Dem seats are usually Lib Dem strongholds from the very start. The rest of their votes are spread out equally.
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:06 pm
Steamtopia wrote:For those curious, here are the final polls.
BMG: CON 34%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 10%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
TNS: CON 33%, LAB 32%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6%
Opinium: CON 35%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 12%, GRN 6%
ICM: CON 35%, LAB 35%, LIBDEM 9%, UKIP 11%, GRN 3%
Panelbase: CON 31%, LAB 33%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 16%, GRN 5%
YouGov: CON 34%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 10%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
Survation: CON 31.4%, LAB 31.4%, LIBDEM 9.6%, UKIP 15.7%, GRN 4.8%
ComRes: CON 35%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 9%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
And for those interested in Scotland and Wales:
YouGov Scotland: CON 14%, LAB 28%, LIBDEM 7%, SNP 48%
YouGov Wales: CON 25%, LAB 39%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 12%, PLAID 13%
by Parti Ouvrier » Wed May 06, 2015 6:07 pm
Steamtopia wrote:For those curious, here are the final polls.
BMG: CON 34%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 10%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
TNS: CON 33%, LAB 32%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6%
Opinium: CON 35%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 12%, GRN 6%
ICM: CON 35%, LAB 35%, LIBDEM 9%, UKIP 11%, GRN 3%
Panelbase: CON 31%, LAB 33%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 16%, GRN 5%
YouGov: CON 34%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 10%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
Survation: CON 31.4%, LAB 31.4%, LIBDEM 9.6%, UKIP 15.7%, GRN 4.8%
ComRes: CON 35%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 9%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
And for those interested in Scotland and Wales:
YouGov Scotland: CON 14%, LAB 28%, LIBDEM 7%, SNP 48%
YouGov Wales: CON 25%, LAB 39%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 12%, PLAID 13%
by Atlanticatia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:07 pm
Steamtopia wrote:For those curious, here are the final polls.
BMG: CON 34%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 10%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
TNS: CON 33%, LAB 32%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6%
Opinium: CON 35%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 12%, GRN 6%
ICM: CON 35%, LAB 35%, LIBDEM 9%, UKIP 11%, GRN 3%
Panelbase: CON 31%, LAB 33%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 16%, GRN 5%
YouGov: CON 34%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 10%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
Survation: CON 31.4%, LAB 31.4%, LIBDEM 9.6%, UKIP 15.7%, GRN 4.8%
ComRes: CON 35%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 9%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
And for those interested in Scotland and Wales:
YouGov Scotland: CON 14%, LAB 28%, LIBDEM 7%, SNP 48%
YouGov Wales: CON 25%, LAB 39%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 12%, PLAID 13%
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:07 pm
Die Volkstaat wrote:Steamtopia wrote:It's not very unlikely. Lib Dem seats are usually Lib Dem strongholds from the very start. The rest of their votes are spread out equally.
They could lose a few former strongholds, as well as many seats they barely held onto in 2005 and 2010. I'm not underestimating them, like some here, but I expect them to lose half of their seats.
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:08 pm
Parti Ouvrier wrote:Steamtopia wrote:For those curious, here are the final polls.
BMG: CON 34%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 10%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
TNS: CON 33%, LAB 32%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6%
Opinium: CON 35%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 12%, GRN 6%
ICM: CON 35%, LAB 35%, LIBDEM 9%, UKIP 11%, GRN 3%
Panelbase: CON 31%, LAB 33%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 16%, GRN 5%
YouGov: CON 34%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 10%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
Survation: CON 31.4%, LAB 31.4%, LIBDEM 9.6%, UKIP 15.7%, GRN 4.8%
ComRes: CON 35%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 9%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
And for those interested in Scotland and Wales:
YouGov Scotland: CON 14%, LAB 28%, LIBDEM 7%, SNP 48%
YouGov Wales: CON 25%, LAB 39%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 12%, PLAID 13%
Nate Silver's website has these predictions:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives ... edictions/
You can also hover over your own constituency.
by Parti Ouvrier » Wed May 06, 2015 6:11 pm
Steamtopia wrote:Parti Ouvrier wrote:
Nate Silver's website has these predictions:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives ... edictions/
You can also hover over your own constituency.
56% Tory in my constituency. To nobody's surprise.
by Die Volkstaat » Wed May 06, 2015 6:12 pm
Atlanticatia wrote:Steamtopia wrote:For those curious, here are the final polls.
BMG: CON 34%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 10%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
TNS: CON 33%, LAB 32%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6%
Opinium: CON 35%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 12%, GRN 6%
ICM: CON 35%, LAB 35%, LIBDEM 9%, UKIP 11%, GRN 3%
Panelbase: CON 31%, LAB 33%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 16%, GRN 5%
YouGov: CON 34%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 10%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
Survation: CON 31.4%, LAB 31.4%, LIBDEM 9.6%, UKIP 15.7%, GRN 4.8%
ComRes: CON 35%, LAB 34%, LIBDEM 9%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
And for those interested in Scotland and Wales:
YouGov Scotland: CON 14%, LAB 28%, LIBDEM 7%, SNP 48%
YouGov Wales: CON 25%, LAB 39%, LIBDEM 8%, UKIP 12%, PLAID 13%
Final averages:
CON 33.55%
LAB 33.4%
It could really go either way, especially when you consider margin of error.
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:13 pm
by Confederate Ramenia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:13 pm
The Flutterlands wrote:Because human life and dignity is something that should be universally valued above all things in society.
Benito Mussolini wrote:Everybody has the right to create for himself his own ideology and to attempt to enforce it with all the energy of which he is capable.
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:13 pm
Die Volkstaat wrote:Atlanticatia wrote:
Final averages:
CON 33.55%
LAB 33.4%
It could really go either way, especially when you consider margin of error.
Well, yes, but if the election is this close, Labour will probably have more seats than the Tories, albeit only by a few seats. Now, I don't think the election will be 33-33, but rather 34.5% to 32.5% or so, with the Tories beating Labour by one or two points.
I keep making predictions, but given the exit polls, this is it, no joke, my predictions.
Tories: 277
Labour: 272
LibDems: 20
Greens: 1
UKIP: 2-3
Scotland
SNP: 52
Wales
Plaid: 3-4
Also, I loled when I saw this map. Why? Just look at Scotland, it's more yellow than a bright taxi cab.
http://www.electionforecast.co.uk/graph ... winner.svg
by Steamtopia » Wed May 06, 2015 6:14 pm
Confederate Ramenia wrote:Vote UKIP because you can't barrage the Farage. No I don't live in UK.
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