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2020 US General Election Thread XI: Is It Over Yet?

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Who Do You Anticipate Winning the 2020 Election and How?

Decisive Donald Trump Victory (Both Popular & Electoral Win)
39
8%
Pyrrhic Donald Trump Victory (Electoral Win/Popular Loss)
198
39%
Contingent Election (Electoral Tie, Vote Goes to House & Senate)
32
6%
Decisive Joe Biden Victory (Both Popular & Electoral Win)
208
41%
Pyrrhic Joe Biden Victory (Electoral Win/Popular Loss)
31
6%
 
Total votes : 508

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Esalia
Minister
 
Posts: 2182
Founded: Oct 22, 2020
Ex-Nation

Postby Esalia » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:46 am

Dresderstan wrote:
Valrifell wrote:
The system was abused by populists to secure power. How is that not a failure.

Who voted the populists in, the electorate.


And the system designed to stop them failed.

This is like designing a "crash-proof" car, it getting crashed, then blaming the driver.
Formerly Estanglia.

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Anti: Things I think are bad.

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Borderlands of Rojava
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 14812
Founded: Jul 27, 2020
Ex-Nation

Postby Borderlands of Rojava » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:46 am

Cannot think of a name wrote:As the continued counting is going more or less again...as predicted, I still refuse to yell into the void at an uncaring god, but my bit of gloom and doom will manifest as this: Is someone thinking about putting a little extra security on the vote counting centers for PA? Because some idiot is going to attack them...pretty good chance, yeah? Pretty good chance someone or some group is going to go down there and ‘stop them illegal vote counting’. Some idiot is already in the hyping themselves up stage of that...pretty sure that’s happening right now\


Nothing can stop what's coming. There's no brakes on the Happening Train.
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"The devil is out there. Hiding behind every corner and in every nook and cranny. In all of the dives, all over the city. Before you lays an entire world of enemies, and at day's end when the chips are down, we're a society of strangers. You cant walk by someone on the street anymore without crossing the road to get away from their stare. Welcome to the Twilight Zone. The land of plague and shadow. Nothing innocent survives this world. If it can't corrupt you, it'll kill you."

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The Commonwealth of Tennessee
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Founded: Jan 20, 2016
Ex-Nation

Postby The Commonwealth of Tennessee » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:46 am

Insaanistan wrote:Away down South in the land of traitors
Rattlesnakes and alligators
Ride away (Ride away)
Come away (Come away)
Ride away (Ride away)
Come away.
Where cotton’s king and men are chattel
Union boys will win the battles

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New haven america
Post Czar
 
Posts: 49050
Founded: Oct 08, 2012
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby New haven america » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:46 am

Cannot think of a name wrote:As the continued counting is going more or less again...as predicted, I still refuse to yell into the void at an uncaring god, but my bit of gloom and doom will manifest as this: Is someone thinking about putting a little extra security on the vote counting centers for PA? Because some idiot is going to attack them...pretty good chance, yeah? Pretty good chance someone or some group is going to go down there and ‘stop them illegal vote counting’. Some idiot is already in the hyping themselves up stage of that...pretty sure that’s happening right now\

Hey Nevada decided to stop counting votes.

No reason, just because.
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Tarsonis
Post Czar
 
Posts: 39839
Founded: Sep 20, 2017
Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

San Lumen wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:I’d prefer we do it by house district. That way people could feel like they mattered in say California

Or just have popular vote


And if the popular vote goes against you, you'll bitch about us not having a system that protects against racist mobs
“Never believe that [fascists] are completely unaware of the absurdity of their replies. They know that their remarks are frivolous, open to challenge. But they are amusing themselves, for it is their adversary who is obliged to use words responsibly, since he believes in words. The [fascists] have the right to play. They even like to play with discourse for, by giving ridiculous reasons, they discredit the seriousness of their interlocutors. They delight in acting in bad faith, since they seek not to persuade by sound argument but to intimidate and disconcert. If you press them too closely, they will abruptly fall silent, loftily indicating by some phrase that the time for argument is past.”
― Jean-Paul Sartre

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Eukaryotic Cells
Ambassador
 
Posts: 1761
Founded: Aug 10, 2020
Ex-Nation

Postby Eukaryotic Cells » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

At the very least, PV should be a tiebreaker if the EC is tied. The House delegation system is vulnerable to gerrymandering.

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Borderlands of Rojava
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 14812
Founded: Jul 27, 2020
Ex-Nation

Postby Borderlands of Rojava » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

Nejii wrote:
Picairn wrote:"The Holy Roman Empire was neither Holy nor Roman nor an Empire." - Voltaire.


The HRE was meant to act as a unifier of Western/Central Europe but to be honest, it was a pain in the arse. It always was.


It was that time Germans adopted Italian style governance and cooperation.
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"The devil is out there. Hiding behind every corner and in every nook and cranny. In all of the dives, all over the city. Before you lays an entire world of enemies, and at day's end when the chips are down, we're a society of strangers. You cant walk by someone on the street anymore without crossing the road to get away from their stare. Welcome to the Twilight Zone. The land of plague and shadow. Nothing innocent survives this world. If it can't corrupt you, it'll kill you."

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San Lumen
Post Kaiser
 
Posts: 97918
Founded: Jul 02, 2009
New York Times Democracy

Postby San Lumen » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

Tarsonis wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Rural America is a threat to this country.


dang son, calling those people who make your food terrorists now.

Didn’t say that. They voted for a racist, xenophobic, homophobic, conspiracy theorist bigot. I have nothing but contempt for them.

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Aeritai
Minister
 
Posts: 2208
Founded: Oct 25, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Aeritai » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

San Lumen wrote:
Dresderstan wrote:Not when your a direct threat to the Republic and all it holds dear like you are saying right now.

Rural America is a threat to this country.


So you dislike farmers now? Okay then...
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Thermodolia
Post Kaiser
 
Posts: 79496
Founded: Oct 07, 2011
Anarchy

Postby Thermodolia » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

Valrifell wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:I’d prefer we do it by house district. That way people could feel like they mattered in say California


That makes the disparity in popular vote - EC votes worse, actually, iirc.

Yes but I don’t think we are going to be able to do the other option. It might suck for a time but it’s a step forward if it is a small one
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Forsher
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 23242
Founded: Jan 30, 2012
New York Times Democracy

Postby Forsher » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

Shofercia wrote:So whether or not the public accepts the voting results is not relevant in a democracy - there's reality, and then there are Forsher's theories.


How you've come to this conclusion I have no idea. It's got nothing at all to do with what we've been talking about.

Of course, you're also wrong about the conclusion... if the public doesn't accept the results and something happens, then you're not talking about a democracy... we're talking revolution, revolt, rebellion, coups and what have you. And if the public "doesn't accept the results" but "the results are what's implemented anyway", the public's lack of acceptance is... irrelevant. Far from ideal, but completely fucking irrelevant to our conversation.

You do realize that having a recount might let the public become more accepting of a result, right? And that a recount isn't that complicated. Also, if a state is poorly run, it might have major issues, and I'm saying that I wouldn't be surprised if Whitmer's Administration has major issues.


None of which matters to whether or not Google colours Michigan in like other uncalled states OR whether or not a recount will change the result (and thereby justify Google's decision to colour all uncalled states the same way... or not)... you know the ONLY things we've been talking about.

But you deliberately choose to ignore reality, and attempt to focus on theory, treating Michigan like any other state, and you cannot even grasp why that's wrong. And even among your boring theoretical explanations, that are, quite honestly, making me sleepy, even there you admit that it's possible. I stated that I wouldn't be surprised. Did I state it was the likely outcome? Nope. Maybe I'm just hard to surprise, did you ever think of that one, Forsher? Probably not.


Go to bed, Shof. You've got no idea what we're talking about:

Forsher wrote:
Shofercia wrote:Agreed. That's why I'm a bit hesitant to say that x won or y won. Not a smart thing for Trump to declare victory, or Biden for that matter, (thankfully he didn't, yet,) or Google treating genuinely leaning states the same as they're treating states where margin of victory is less than one percent.


A lead of 1 percentage point, at the level of US states, is usually going to be measured in tens of thousands of votes (and frequently leads within 1 percentage point). To have a recount actually change matters, tens of thousands of votes have to be miscounted... which is extremely unlikely. Similarly, a lead is a lead and all that actually matters is the final count... acting like certain kinds of surmountable leads are better than others merely serves to give the impression that some leads are more legitimate than others (which is exactly the problem with Trump's little declaration).


That's it. That's the entire conversation. It's about Google and candidates claiming to have won when they shouldn't have. It's not about the legitimacy of the results, the prospect of revolution and the capacity of recounts to contribute to and attenuate the same.
Last edited by Forsher on Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Borderlands of Rojava
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 14812
Founded: Jul 27, 2020
Ex-Nation

Postby Borderlands of Rojava » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

New haven america wrote:
Cannot think of a name wrote:As the continued counting is going more or less again...as predicted, I still refuse to yell into the void at an uncaring god, but my bit of gloom and doom will manifest as this: Is someone thinking about putting a little extra security on the vote counting centers for PA? Because some idiot is going to attack them...pretty good chance, yeah? Pretty good chance someone or some group is going to go down there and ‘stop them illegal vote counting’. Some idiot is already in the hyping themselves up stage of that...pretty sure that’s happening right now\

Hey Nevada decided to stop counting votes.

No reason, just because.


What
Leftist, commie and Antifa Guy. Democratic Confederalist, Anti-racist

"The devil is out there. Hiding behind every corner and in every nook and cranny. In all of the dives, all over the city. Before you lays an entire world of enemies, and at day's end when the chips are down, we're a society of strangers. You cant walk by someone on the street anymore without crossing the road to get away from their stare. Welcome to the Twilight Zone. The land of plague and shadow. Nothing innocent survives this world. If it can't corrupt you, it'll kill you."

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Sanghyeok
Negotiator
 
Posts: 5035
Founded: Dec 29, 2016
Ex-Nation

Postby Sanghyeok » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

Broader Confederate States wrote:
Picairn wrote:The EC still heavily favors small states over large states. Truly tyranny of the minority.

and on the other hand, having direct vote would make elections mere formalities as people #votebluenomatterwho for every election with the only exception being an exceptionally bad democratic candidate.


The first thing you need to do is change your country so blue represents conservatives and red represents progressives. Seriously, your maps are painful to see...
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Mini custard puddings
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New haven america
Post Czar
 
Posts: 49050
Founded: Oct 08, 2012
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby New haven america » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

Esalia wrote:
Dresderstan wrote:Who voted the populists in, the electorate.


And the system designed to stop them failed.

This is like designing a "crash-proof" car, it getting crashed, then blaming the driver.

>_>
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That's all folks~

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Thermodolia
Post Kaiser
 
Posts: 79496
Founded: Oct 07, 2011
Anarchy

Postby Thermodolia » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

San Lumen wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:I’d prefer we do it by house district. That way people could feel like they mattered in say California

Or just have popular vote

Ya gotta compromise somewhere
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>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
Click for Da Funies

RIP Dya

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Valrifell
Post Czar
 
Posts: 31235
Founded: Aug 18, 2013
Democratic Socialists

Postby Valrifell » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

Tarsonis wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Or just have popular vote


And if the popular vote goes against you, you'll bitch about us not having a system that protects against racist mobs


The Republicans haven't secured the popular vote since Bush 2004.
T H E U N I O N O F F R A T E R N A L S O C I A L I S T L A B O R C O L L E C T I V E S
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San Lumen
Post Kaiser
 
Posts: 97918
Founded: Jul 02, 2009
New York Times Democracy

Postby San Lumen » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

Tarsonis wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Or just have popular vote


And if the popular vote goes against you, you'll bitch about us not having a system that protects against racist mobs

It would be perfectly fair

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Atheris
Negotiator
 
Posts: 6401
Founded: Oct 05, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Atheris » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

Insaanistan wrote:Away down South in the land of traitors
Rattlesnakes and alligators
Ride away (Ride away)
Come away (Come away)
Ride away (Ride away)
Come away.
Where cotton’s king and men are chattel
Union boys will win the battles

We'll all go down to Dixie, away! (Away!)
Each Dixie boy must understand,
That he must mind his Uncle Sam.
Away (Away), Away (Away)
We'll all go down to Dixie!
Away (Away), Away (Away)
We'll all go down to Dixie!
#FreeNSGRojava
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Tarsonis
Post Czar
 
Posts: 39839
Founded: Sep 20, 2017
Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

Esalia wrote:
Dresderstan wrote:Who voted the populists in, the electorate.


And the system designed to stop them failed.

This is like designing a "crash-proof" car, it getting crashed, then blaming the driver.


to be fair, the system isn't designed to prevent populism just mitigate it..
“Never believe that [fascists] are completely unaware of the absurdity of their replies. They know that their remarks are frivolous, open to challenge. But they are amusing themselves, for it is their adversary who is obliged to use words responsibly, since he believes in words. The [fascists] have the right to play. They even like to play with discourse for, by giving ridiculous reasons, they discredit the seriousness of their interlocutors. They delight in acting in bad faith, since they seek not to persuade by sound argument but to intimidate and disconcert. If you press them too closely, they will abruptly fall silent, loftily indicating by some phrase that the time for argument is past.”
― Jean-Paul Sartre

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Picairn
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 11253
Founded: Feb 21, 2020
New York Times Democracy

Postby Picairn » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am

Tarsonis wrote:Yes, I imagine Rhode Island and Wyoming enjoy actually having some say and not being dragged around by Cali Texas and NY

Having some say? How many candidates actually went to those states? All I see is the swing states matter most and safe states don't.
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Major-Tom
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 16279
Founded: Mar 09, 2016
Ex-Nation

Postby Major-Tom » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:48 am

If PA goes Trump, but MI and WI go Biden, Biden will win solely because of Arizona. Fuck me, this is a weird timeline.

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Borderlands of Rojava
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 14812
Founded: Jul 27, 2020
Ex-Nation

Postby Borderlands of Rojava » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:48 am

San Lumen wrote:
Tarsonis wrote:
dang son, calling those people who make your food terrorists now.

Didn’t say that. They voted for a racist, xenophobic, homophobic, conspiracy theorist bigot. I have nothing but contempt for them.


Not everyone in rural America did that. Didnt Vermont go for Biden?
Leftist, commie and Antifa Guy. Democratic Confederalist, Anti-racist

"The devil is out there. Hiding behind every corner and in every nook and cranny. In all of the dives, all over the city. Before you lays an entire world of enemies, and at day's end when the chips are down, we're a society of strangers. You cant walk by someone on the street anymore without crossing the road to get away from their stare. Welcome to the Twilight Zone. The land of plague and shadow. Nothing innocent survives this world. If it can't corrupt you, it'll kill you."

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Ifreann
Post Overlord
 
Posts: 177268
Founded: Aug 07, 2005
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Ifreann » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:48 am

Tarsonis wrote:
Ifreann wrote:Cool how you can switch from smugly claiming that Lumen doesn't support democracy to smugly supporting an unequal, undemocratic system.


One its fully democratic. And I've never been a proponent of unfettered democracy. I'm a fan of republicanism. And I don't call to burn down my system after I don't get my way. So I can sit a smugly as a oyster in a cloister.

Republicans translating the support of a minority of the country into absolute political power is not democratic.


The Commonwealth of Tennessee wrote:
Ifreann wrote:To stop Democrats from winning.

Honestly, and I am curious, why do you think this?

The last few years have made it more obvious than ever that Republicans just want to keep power, democracy be damned.
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Washington Resistance Army
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 59026
Founded: Aug 08, 2011
Father Knows Best State

Postby Washington Resistance Army » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:48 am

San Lumen wrote:
Dresderstan wrote:Not when your a direct threat to the Republic and all it holds dear like you are saying right now.

Rural America is a threat to this country.


Hmm, no.
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Mandicoria
Senator
 
Posts: 4045
Founded: Sep 10, 2011
Ex-Nation

Postby Mandicoria » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:48 am

If I'm proven wrong about Trump winning by Biden takin those 3 states then I'm buying me and my friends drinks. Cheers lads hope it happens.
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