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Coronavirus Thread V: A Shot in the Arm (READ OP)

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Imperialisium
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Postby Imperialisium » Tue Sep 29, 2020 12:10 pm

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
San Lumen wrote:If many people dont get it some restrictions might never be lifted and lockdowns become a fact of life. Its unlikely many would want that and many industries will not survive that.


Lumen, are you aware that pandemics don’t last forever? Right?


Common cold (which is what COVID essentially is) has been around for millennia. Never doubt the ability for wolves to prey on sheep. The pandemic is over when it’s said to be over. As pessimistic as this sounds it wouldn’t be the first time fear of disease was used for control.
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The Greater Ohio Valley
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Postby The Greater Ohio Valley » Tue Sep 29, 2020 12:13 pm


I’m really hoping we don’t top Spanish Flu’s 50 million.
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Imperialisium
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Postby Imperialisium » Tue Sep 29, 2020 12:18 pm

The Greater Ohio Valley wrote:

I’m really hoping we don’t top Spanish Flu’s 50 million.


Unlikely. The fatality rate is about 0.008% if you actually die from it. Should you die from other causes but have COVID in your system as an ancillary contributor or it was just present at some point inside you before you died (which the vast majority of deaths are from these two categories) then it’s 0.04% death rate.

It’s been almost a year and only now reaching one million? Nah, fortunately this virus ain’t got the legs nor the chops to kick Humanity’s teeth in like Spanish Flu did. If it did the infected rate would be 1/3 of the overall population with a proportional death rate likely approaching over 500 million by now. We’re not even close to either.
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Andsed
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Postby Andsed » Tue Sep 29, 2020 12:18 pm

Kowani wrote:
Andsed wrote:Oh yes step cotton, go down my throat all up in my wet saliva and test me for the cowonavirus.

I am so so sorry for this

Go sit in the corner and think about what you've done.

I know what I did.
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Nanatsu no Tsuki
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Postby Nanatsu no Tsuki » Tue Sep 29, 2020 12:41 pm

Imperialisium wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
Lumen, are you aware that pandemics don’t last forever? Right?


Common cold (which is what COVID essentially is) has been around for millennia. Never doubt the ability for wolves to prey on sheep. The pandemic is over when it’s said to be over. As pessimistic as this sounds it wouldn’t be the first time fear of disease was used for control.


Although there are coronavirus induced colds, I would like to correct your assertion that CoVID19 is like the common cold. It’s not.
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Fartsniffage
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Postby Fartsniffage » Tue Sep 29, 2020 12:42 pm

Imperialisium wrote:
The Greater Ohio Valley wrote:I’m really hoping we don’t top Spanish Flu’s 50 million.


Unlikely. The fatality rate is about 0.008% if you actually die from it. Should you die from other causes but have COVID in your system as an ancillary contributor or it was just present at some point inside you before you died (which the vast majority of deaths are from these two categories) then it’s 0.04% death rate.

It’s been almost a year and only now reaching one million? Nah, fortunately this virus ain’t got the legs nor the chops to kick Humanity’s teeth in like Spanish Flu did. If it did the infected rate would be 1/3 of the overall population with a proportional death rate likely approaching over 500 million by now. We’re not even close to either.


Spanish flu got a huge leg up by WW1. No measures were taken to mitigate it until after the war. Add to that the fact ventilators didn't exist.

If we had done nothing then the deaths would have been much higher. Probably not 50 million but a really unpleasant number.

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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:04 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
Lumen, are you aware that pandemics don’t last forever? Right?

Yes but if a lot people don't get the vaccine its likely many executives will keep imposing restrictions or do on and off lockdowns for years to come.


Lock downs are better for the environment. I hadn’t seen that tone of blue skys we had during the full lock down. Road travel was fun as well!

I am for it!
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:05 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Yes but if a lot people don't get the vaccine its likely many executives will keep imposing restrictions or do on and off lockdowns for years to come.


Lock downs are better for the environment. I hadn’t seen that tone of blue skys we had during the full lock down. Road travel was fun as well!

I am for it!

Id rather not have on and off lockdowns. That's not living. We can makes things greener without shutting down the Earth.

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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:07 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
Lock downs are better for the environment. I hadn’t seen that tone of blue skys we had during the full lock down. Road travel was fun as well!

I am for it!

Id rather not have on and off lockdowns. That's not living. We can makes things greener without shutting down the Earth.


It was actually greener when people were locked down. There is a benefit to the planet. World wide lock down. We can actually reverse global warming!
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:08 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Id rather not have on and off lockdowns. That's not living. We can makes things greener without shutting down the Earth.


It was actually greener when people were locked down. There is a benefit to the planet. World wide lock down. We can actually reverse global warming!

for how long might I ask?

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Austria-Bohemia-Hungary
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Postby Austria-Bohemia-Hungary » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:09 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
Lock downs are better for the environment. I hadn’t seen that tone of blue skys we had during the full lock down. Road travel was fun as well!

I am for it!

Id rather not have on and off lockdowns. That's not living. We can makes things greener without shutting down the Earth.

The modern high intensity profit maximising world is not going to prevent the planet going tits up for humanity.
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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:15 pm

Austria-Bohemia-Hungary wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Id rather not have on and off lockdowns. That's not living. We can makes things greener without shutting down the Earth.

The modern high intensity profit maximising world is not going to prevent the planet going tits up for humanity.


Exactly; as I have heard a few CEOs state. “It’s not my problem. It’s my successors problem”
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:18 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
It was actually greener when people were locked down. There is a benefit to the planet. World wide lock down. We can actually reverse global warming!

for how long might I ask?


About 2 to 3 years should do it just right.
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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Western Fardelshufflestein
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Postby Western Fardelshufflestein » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:19 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
Lock downs are better for the environment. I hadn’t seen that tone of blue skys we had during the full lock down. Road travel was fun as well!

I am for it!

Id rather not have on and off lockdowns. That's not living. We can makes things greener without shutting down the Earth.


The problem with lockdowns, from my six months of experience, is the detrimental effect they have on mental health. You can't interact in-person, everything you had to look forward to is canceled or so drastically pared as to feel like a knockoff, your favorite activities are virtual--you literally cannot escape the regulations or the fact that the virus exists. Even in places like houses of worship, there are ropes and strings and colorful stickers reminding you that you must follow directions and nothing is normal. The bottom line is that it amps up my anxiety, except it is not something that exists in my own head. It is a physical trigger, and it is ubiquitous.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:20 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
San Lumen wrote:for how long might I ask?


About 2 to 3 years should do it just right.


Il' pass thank you. And if you shut down the economy for two years there would be nothing left to reopen.

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Valrifell
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Democratic Socialists

Postby Valrifell » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:20 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Id rather not have on and off lockdowns. That's not living. We can makes things greener without shutting down the Earth.


It was actually greener when people were locked down. There is a benefit to the planet. World wide lock down. We can actually reverse global warming!


That isn't true, since the majority of CO2 comes from massive corporations which barely stopped rather than individuals doing anything. The net emissions into the atmosphere changed, but not that significantly in the grand scheme of things.
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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:21 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
About 2 to 3 years should do it just right.


Il' pass thank you. And if you shut down the economy for two years there would be nothing left to reopen.


Oh but the people who remote worked will have all that money stored up and will start new businesses.
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:23 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
San Lumen wrote:
Il' pass thank you. And if you shut down the economy for two years there would be nothing left to reopen.


Oh but the people who remote worked will have all that money stored up and will start new businesses.

If you think that your delusional and have no understanding of economics. Plus isolation is terrible for mental health.
Last edited by San Lumen on Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:23 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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Imperialisium
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Postby Imperialisium » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:24 pm

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
Imperialisium wrote:
Common cold (which is what COVID essentially is) has been around for millennia. Never doubt the ability for wolves to prey on sheep. The pandemic is over when it’s said to be over. As pessimistic as this sounds it wouldn’t be the first time fear of disease was used for control.


Although there are coronavirus induced colds, I would like to correct your assertion that CoVID19 is like the common cold. It’s not.


Your correction is incorrect so my point stands. I’ll extrapolate why you are incorrect however.

By definition it is the same family as the common cold. Common cold is just a catch all non-medical term for minor illnesses causing symptoms in your respiratory system. Possibly other systems for those with comorbid conditions like diabetes, AIDs, or already sick with something else. Mainly Coronaviruses and Rhinoviruses which cause “common colds” (COVID-19 which is scientifically classified as SARS-Cov-2). Influenzas are also sometimes lumped in, why “Cold and Flu,” is a phrase and the latter kills up to 650k globally a season (December-February is typical) with no batting an eyelash from anyone outside of the medical field. Over thirty million Americans alone last year were estimated to have been infected or sick (symptomatic from seasonal influenza).

True to the casual name the vast majority of these ailments under “common colds” or even flu are non-fatal. Giving either no noticeable health problems or minor symptoms. Death mainly afflicting compromised immune system groups, infants, and the elderly.

Now, as mentioned above by Fartsniffage if humanity had done nothing there likely would have been more deaths and hospitalizations. Not downplaying it at all. But when you get to the meat of the virus it’s not all that 28 Days Later level of fear mongering it’s been made out to be. Odds are half of NS has already had contact with it and lived.
Last edited by Imperialisium on Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Western Fardelshufflestein
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Postby Western Fardelshufflestein » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:24 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
Oh but the people who remote worked will have all that money stored up and will start new businesses.

If you think that your delusional and have no understanding of economics. Plus isolation is terrible for mental health.

I would definitely say my mental health has worsened over the past six months. While I'm not super extroverted, I miss just being able to hang out with people. And, like, seeing the entirety of their faces. I cannot take another three months of lockdowns, let alone another year.
(Basically, my little brain will explode and I'll go cray-cray.)
Last edited by Western Fardelshufflestein on Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:26 pm

Western Fardelshufflestein wrote:
San Lumen wrote:If you think that your delusional and have no understanding of economics. Plus isolation is terrible for mental health.

I would definitely say my mental health has worsened over the past six months. While I'm not super extroverted, I miss just being able to hang out with people. And, like, seeing the entirety of their faces. I cannot take another three months of lockdowns, let alone another year.
(Basically, my little brain will explode and I'll go cray-cray.)

I feel the same as you do. I want to go back to the lively city. The countryside is very stifling to me.
Last edited by San Lumen on Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Western Fardelshufflestein
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Postby Western Fardelshufflestein » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:28 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Western Fardelshufflestein wrote:I would definitely say my mental health has worsened over the past six months. While I'm not super extroverted, I miss just being able to hang out with people. And, like, seeing the entirety of their faces. I cannot take another three months of lockdowns, let alone another year.
(Basically, my little brain will explode and I'll go cray-cray.)

I feel the same as you do. I want to go back to the lively city. The countryside is very stifling to me.

I'm just worried because I see no end to this. And what if they continued these regulations whenever we get a vaccine? Just...no.
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Tiny, Shakespeare-obsessed island nation northeast of NZ settled by HRE emigrants who thought they'd landed in the West Indies. F7 Stuff Mostly Not Canon; RP is in real time; Ignore Stats; Still Not Kenneth Branagh. | A L A S T A I R C E P T I O N
The Western Fardelshufflestein Sentinel | 27 November 2022 bUt wHy iS tHE rUm gOnE!?

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Valrifell
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Democratic Socialists

Postby Valrifell » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:29 pm

Imperialisium wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
Although there are coronavirus induced colds, I would like to correct your assertion that CoVID19 is like the common cold. It’s not.


Your correction is incorrect so my point stands. I’ll extrapolate why you are incorrect however.

By definition it is the same family as the common cold. Common cold is just a catch all non-medical term for minor illnesses causing symptoms in your respiratory system. Possibly other systems for those with comorbid conditions like diabetes, AIDs, or already sick with something else. Mainly Coronaviruses and Rhinoviruses which cause “common colds” (COVID-19 which is scientifically classified as SARS-Cov-2). Influenzas are also sometimes lumped in, why “Cold and Flu,” is a phrase and the latter kills up to 650k globally a season (December-February is typical) with no batting an eyelash from anyone outside of the medical field. Over thirty million Americans alone last year were estimated to have been infected or sick (symptomatic from seasonal influenza).

True to the casual name the vast majority of these ailments under “common colds” or even flu are non-fatal. Giving either no noticeable health problems or minor symptoms. Death mainly afflicting compromised immune system groups, infants, and the elderly.

Now, as mentioned above by Fartsniffage if humanity had done nothing there likely would have been more deaths and hospitalizations. Not downplaying it at all. But when you get to the meat of the virus it’s not all that 28 Days Later level of fear mongering it’s been made out to be. Odds are half of NS has already had contact with it and lived.


"I'm not downplaying it but it's kinda like the flu and we don't get uppity about that, now do we?"

Ok so you are downplaying it.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:30 pm

Western Fardelshufflestein wrote:
San Lumen wrote:I feel the same as you do. I want to go back to the lively city. The countryside is very stifling to me.

I'm just worried because I see no end to this. And what if they continued these regulations whenever we get a vaccine? Just...no.

It will end. It has too.

I dont think they will.

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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:30 pm

Imperialisium wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
Lumen, are you aware that pandemics don’t last forever? Right?


Common cold (which is what COVID essentially is) has been around for millennia. Never doubt the ability for wolves to prey on sheep. The pandemic is over when it’s said to be over. As pessimistic as this sounds it wouldn’t be the first time fear of disease was used for control.


Oh you have to stop listening to trump and start listening to science and the virologists. One thing covid is starting to do is cause sepsis. Not exactly a cold.

https://www.global-sepsis-alliance.org/ ... oronavirus

Tip: If you are going to make claims; have sources to back them up else you will violate the misinformation rule.
Last edited by The Black Forrest on Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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