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by United States of Devonta » Wed Aug 05, 2020 3:22 pm
Ask Devonta a Question/Embassy ProgramUS Air Force E-4Twenty-Five, Male, Lightskin, Social Democrat, Proud Kansan
Proud member of the IFC, SA, IHAPC, IDS, PEDC, IBE, ISA nation!
by Cisairse » Wed Aug 05, 2020 3:33 pm
by La Xinga » Wed Aug 05, 2020 3:35 pm
Cisairse wrote:Of course if I had to make a prediction for November, I'd expect the race to contract quite a bit, and for Biden's victory to be quite close.
I would be very surprised if Biden wins more than 355 electoral votes. I expect the map will look similar to 2012's, except Trump to win Iowa, and Biden to win Arizona, NE-2, and possibly North Carolina.
EDIT: Wait, I just realized, that is literally the map I posted earlier if Trump wins GA and TX and Biden wins FL.
by Cisairse » Wed Aug 05, 2020 3:41 pm
La xinga wrote:Cisairse wrote:Of course if I had to make a prediction for November, I'd expect the race to contract quite a bit, and for Biden's victory to be quite close.
I would be very surprised if Biden wins more than 355 electoral votes. I expect the map will look similar to 2012's, except Trump to win Iowa, and Biden to win Arizona, NE-2, and possibly North Carolina.
EDIT: Wait, I just realized, that is literally the map I posted earlier if Trump wins GA and TX and Biden wins FL.
I think Trump would win Ohio too, don't you?
by Aureumterra » Wed Aug 05, 2020 3:49 pm
Cisairse wrote:La xinga wrote:I think Trump would win Ohio too, don't you?
No, I definitely see Ohio swinging back to the Democrats this election. That is, assuming Biden wins the election overall. I believe that Ohio will not yet give up their status as bellwether state; they are a tilt-red state in terms of raw political leaning, but the country is itself tilt-red due to how our election system works.
For the record I feel the same way about Florida for the same reason. I don't believe we will see Biden flip only MI, PA, and AZ to achieve a "skinny victory." Biden will either lose, or will win most swing states.
by Asle Leopolka » Wed Aug 05, 2020 3:57 pm
by Aureumterra » Wed Aug 05, 2020 4:03 pm
Asle Leopolka wrote:United States of Devonta wrote:
Hm Pennsylvania voting to the left of Michigan, I doubt it. Michigan will goto Biden by the highest margin of any Rust Belt state.
Also, I don't think Ohio will vote to the right of Iowa.
Biden's from Scranton, PA, so unless he does something monumentally stupid between now and November it'll be a fairly deep blue.
by Dresderstan » Wed Aug 05, 2020 4:07 pm
Aureumterra wrote:Asle Leopolka wrote:Biden's from Scranton, PA, so unless he does something monumentally stupid between now and November it'll be a fairly deep blue.
Why? I mean why does him being from Pennsylvania ensure Pennsylvania going deep blue? Trump is from New York, obviously that’s not going red.
by Cannot think of a name » Wed Aug 05, 2020 4:08 pm
Aureumterra wrote:Asle Leopolka wrote:Biden's from Scranton, PA, so unless he does something monumentally stupid between now and November it'll be a fairly deep blue.
Why? I mean why does him being from Pennsylvania ensure Pennsylvania going deep blue? Trump is from New York, obviously that’s not going red.
by United States of Devonta » Wed Aug 05, 2020 4:12 pm
Ask Devonta a Question/Embassy ProgramUS Air Force E-4Twenty-Five, Male, Lightskin, Social Democrat, Proud Kansan
Proud member of the IFC, SA, IHAPC, IDS, PEDC, IBE, ISA nation!
by Asle Leopolka » Wed Aug 05, 2020 4:18 pm
Aureumterra wrote:Asle Leopolka wrote:Biden's from Scranton, PA, so unless he does something monumentally stupid between now and November it'll be a fairly deep blue.
Why? I mean why does him being from Pennsylvania ensure Pennsylvania going deep blue? Trump is from New York, obviously that’s not going red.
by Zurkerx » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:04 pm
by The Black Forrest » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:21 pm
Zurkerx wrote:Trump and the RNC raised $165 Million for July, out raising Biden and DNC's $140 million.
However, Biden and DNC have almost the same amount of cash-on hand as Trump and the RNC: Biden has $294 Million on hand; Trump has over $300 million. Just only a few months ago, it seemed Biden would struggle to close the gap. Now he has comfortably closed it and can go toe-to-toe with Trump, who has probably spent more money than Biden at this point.
by Zurkerx » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:27 pm
by Zurkerx » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:28 pm
The Black Forrest wrote:Zurkerx wrote:Trump and the RNC raised $165 Million for July, out raising Biden and DNC's $140 million.
However, Biden and DNC have almost the same amount of cash-on hand as Trump and the RNC: Biden has $294 Million on hand; Trump has over $300 million. Just only a few months ago, it seemed Biden would struggle to close the gap. Now he has comfortably closed it and can go toe-to-toe with Trump, who has probably spent more money than Biden at this point.
Trump is going to need more as he will be spending money on states which should have been safe.
by Greater Miami Shores » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:30 pm
by Davinhia » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:32 pm
by Greater Miami Shores » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:34 pm
Davinhia wrote:I don't like any party but the Greens are my choice from that list and closest believe in what I do
However when it comes to dems vs republicans, I'm just so sick of the democrats and their shit so I'd choose republicans
by Neutraligon » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:34 pm
Davinhia wrote:I don't like any party but the Greens are my choice from that list and closest believe in what I do
However when it comes to dems vs republicans, I'm just so sick of the democrats and their shit so I'd choose republicans
by The Black Forrest » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:36 pm
Davinhia wrote:I don't like any party but the Greens are my choice from that list and closest believe in what I do
However when it comes to dems vs republicans, I'm just so sick of the democrats and their shit so I'd choose republicans
by Greater Miami Shores » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:37 pm
by Greater Miami Shores » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:39 pm
by Zurkerx » Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:42 pm
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