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2020 US General Election Thread VI: Covid for VP!

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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How do You Plan to Vote This Year?

At a Polling Place
40
22%
By Mail(If Allowed)
42
23%
Early Voting
6
3%
I Won't Vote
14
8%
I Can't Vote(To Young/Outside the US)
80
44%
 
Total votes : 182

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Vassenor
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Left-wing Utopia

Postby Vassenor » Thu Apr 30, 2020 11:42 am

Corrian wrote:
San Lumen wrote:and hopefully this helps get Sanders supporters on board and they dont vote third party in the fall throwing the election to Trump again

Daily reminder that Sanders supporters voted for Clinton in greater numbers, faster, than Clinton supporters ever voted for Obama. So we can't really blame them for how they voted. It was just an overall shitty election year.


And more Sanders voters flipped Trump in the key four states than his margin of victory.
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Zurkerx
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Postby Zurkerx » Thu Apr 30, 2020 11:42 am

Corrian wrote:We just can't get rid of Kobach, can we?


What did he do now? But some good news on him:Appeals court backs ruling against voter registration law in Kansas.

A federal appeals court on Wednesday backed a lower court’s ruling that a Kansas voter identification law crafted by former Secretary of State Kris Kobach is unconstitutional and violates the National Voter Registration Act.
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Jerzylvania
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Postby Jerzylvania » Thu Apr 30, 2020 11:45 am

General Election Poll from St. Anselm College - New Hampshire: Biden 50 Trump 42.

Wasn't NH decided by a couple thousand votes in 2016?
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Corrian
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Postby Corrian » Thu Apr 30, 2020 11:47 am

Vassenor wrote:
Corrian wrote:Daily reminder that Sanders supporters voted for Clinton in greater numbers, faster, than Clinton supporters ever voted for Obama. So we can't really blame them for how they voted. It was just an overall shitty election year.


And more Sanders voters flipped Trump in the key four states than his margin of victory.

Doesn't matter. They still voted Clinton as much as possible compared to Clinton supporters for Obama. It sucks they did that, but its likely the types that were just fed up with the whole system, and I can't blame them.

Zurkerx wrote:
Corrian wrote:We just can't get rid of Kobach, can we?


What did he do now? But some good news on him:Appeals court backs ruling against voter registration law in Kansas.

A federal appeals court on Wednesday backed a lower court’s ruling that a Kansas voter identification law crafted by former Secretary of State Kris Kobach is unconstitutional and violates the National Voter Registration Act.

Just that he lost the governor's race so now he's trying for the Senate.
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Outer Sparta
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Postby Outer Sparta » Thu Apr 30, 2020 11:48 am

Jerzylvania wrote:General Election Poll from St. Anselm College - New Hampshire: Biden 50 Trump 42.

Wasn't NH decided by a couple thousand votes in 2016?

Clinton won NH by a few percentage points. The Senate race was nail-biting with Ayotte losing to Maggie Hassan by the tiniest of margins.
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Zurkerx
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Anarchy

Postby Zurkerx » Thu Apr 30, 2020 11:52 am

Outer Sparta wrote:
Jerzylvania wrote:General Election Poll from St. Anselm College - New Hampshire: Biden 50 Trump 42.

Wasn't NH decided by a couple thousand votes in 2016?

Clinton won NH by a few percentage points. The Senate race was nail-biting with Ayotte losing to Maggie Hassan by the tiniest of margins.


Actually no, Clinton got 47.62% to Trump's 47.25% and arguably, if Johnson wasn't in the race, he would have won the State. So, it was under .5% points.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Unit ... _Hampshire
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Outer Sparta
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Postby Outer Sparta » Thu Apr 30, 2020 12:18 pm

Zurkerx wrote:
Outer Sparta wrote:Clinton won NH by a few percentage points. The Senate race was nail-biting with Ayotte losing to Maggie Hassan by the tiniest of margins.


Actually no, Clinton got 47.62% to Trump's 47.25% and arguably, if Johnson wasn't in the race, he would have won the State. So, it was under .5% points.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Unit ... _Hampshire

Oh damn I don't recall it being that close. The Senate race, however, now that was a razor-thin margin.
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The Huskar Social Union
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Left-wing Utopia

Postby The Huskar Social Union » Thu Apr 30, 2020 12:19 pm

Outer Sparta wrote:
Jerzylvania wrote:General Election Poll from St. Anselm College - New Hampshire: Biden 50 Trump 42.

Wasn't NH decided by a couple thousand votes in 2016?

Clinton won NH by a few percentage points. The Senate race was nail-biting with Ayotte losing to Maggie Hassan by the tiniest of margins.

48% to 47.8% according to wikipedia

Just about 1k votes.
Last edited by The Huskar Social Union on Thu Apr 30, 2020 12:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Thu Apr 30, 2020 12:23 pm

Jerzylvania wrote:General Election Poll from St. Anselm College - New Hampshire: Biden 50 Trump 42.

Wasn't NH decided by a couple thousand votes in 2016?

Yes and a margin like That might be enough for Sununu to lose reelection

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Washington Resistance Army
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Postby Washington Resistance Army » Thu Apr 30, 2020 12:41 pm

Zurkerx wrote:
Outer Sparta wrote:Clinton won NH by a few percentage points. The Senate race was nail-biting with Ayotte losing to Maggie Hassan by the tiniest of margins.


Actually no, Clinton got 47.62% to Trump's 47.25% and arguably, if Johnson wasn't in the race, he would have won the State. So, it was under .5% points.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Unit ... _Hampshire


That's one thing I always found amusing about the vitriol towards third parties in 2016. If they weren't in the race Trump not only would have had a better win but he very possibly could have won the popular vote too.
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Jerzylvania
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Jerzylvania » Thu Apr 30, 2020 12:42 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Jerzylvania wrote:General Election Poll from St. Anselm College - New Hampshire: Biden 50 Trump 42.

Wasn't NH decided by a couple thousand votes in 2016?

Yes and a margin like That might be enough for Sununu to lose reelection


Chris isn't as awful as his Dad John Sununu though it would still be good to see him defeated.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Thu Apr 30, 2020 12:43 pm

Jerzylvania wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Yes and a margin like That might be enough for Sununu to lose reelection


Chris isn't as awful as his Dad John Sununu though it would still be good to see him defeated.

The margin was much closer than expected in 2018 and in a Presidential year an upset isnt out of the question

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Major-Tom
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Ex-Nation

Postby Major-Tom » Thu Apr 30, 2020 1:28 pm

Jerzylvania wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Yes and a margin like That might be enough for Sununu to lose reelection


Chris isn't as awful as his Dad John Sununu though it would still be good to see him defeated.


I always read Sununu as Snusnu, which...yeah.

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Gormwood
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Postby Gormwood » Thu Apr 30, 2020 1:36 pm

Major-Tom wrote:
Jerzylvania wrote:
Chris isn't as awful as his Dad John Sununu though it would still be good to see him defeated.


I always read Sununu as Snusnu, which...yeah.

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Kannap
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Postby Kannap » Thu Apr 30, 2020 1:37 pm



It has since been restored - got an email from the campaign about that today.

EDIT: Though a quick search on Twitter doesn't seem to be showing it, so I dunno

EDIT2: Found it, but only by clicking the link in the email. Couldn't search it on Twitter. Search still isn't pulling it up even though I follow it now lol
Last edited by Kannap on Thu Apr 30, 2020 1:41 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Kannap
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Postby Kannap » Thu Apr 30, 2020 1:45 pm

Page wrote:Howie Hawkins has an impressive platform and he seems like a much better candidate than Jill Stein was. I browsed his website and I was impressed by the fact that he called for community control of the police, an issue I have strong feelings towards. And O like the fact that he is a union man.


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Valrifell
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Postby Valrifell » Thu Apr 30, 2020 1:46 pm

Kannap wrote:
Page wrote:Howie Hawkins has an impressive platform and he seems like a much better candidate than Jill Stein was. I browsed his website and I was impressed by the fact that he called for community control of the police, an issue I have strong feelings towards. And O like the fact that he is a union man.


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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Thu Apr 30, 2020 2:01 pm

Kannap wrote:
Page wrote:Howie Hawkins has an impressive platform and he seems like a much better candidate than Jill Stein was. I browsed his website and I was impressed by the fact that he called for community control of the police, an issue I have strong feelings towards. And O like the fact that he is a union man.


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Entre Rios
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Left-Leaning College State

Postby Entre Rios » Thu Apr 30, 2020 2:08 pm

Accidentally put this in the MAGAthread... so now posted here.

Re: 2020 election (and beyond):
- Biden will pick Kamala Harris as his VP (because the Dems need to be seen to practice what they preach about women and minorities).
- He'll win in November (though by a narrower margin than predicted/expected - it'll come down to Wisconsin!)
- Ohio will end its trend as the bellwether state, backing Trump over winner Biden.
- More women will come forward with sexual harassment/assault claims against Biden (both during the election and while in office).
- Biden's presidency will be marked by lacklustre, unambitious policy and personal damage control.
- Democrat infighting (especially from the left of the party) will prove more debilitating than Republican opposition; moderate Republican gains at midterms.
- Biden, if he sees out the term, cites age and announces early on (maybe after those uncomfortable but not Obama level catastrophic midterms) that he won't run in 2024.
- VP Harris becomes favorite for 2024 Dem nomination (no guarantee).
- Pence, Cruz, and Second Try Romney (possibly with Nikki Haley in the mix) all set out their stalls early for the 2024 Republican nomination.
- Hmm maybe first female POTUS in 2024.

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Vassenor
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Postby Vassenor » Thu Apr 30, 2020 2:11 pm

Entre Rios wrote:Accidentally put this in the MAGAthread... so now posted here.

Re: 2020 election (and beyond):
- Biden will pick Kamala Harris as his VP (because the Dems need to be seen to practice what they preach about women and minorities).
- He'll win in November (though by a narrower margin than predicted/expected - it'll come down to Wisconsin!)
- Ohio will end its trend as the bellwether state, backing Trump over winner Biden.
- More women will come forward with sexual harassment/assault claims against Biden (both during the election and while in office).
- Biden's presidency will be marked by lacklustre, unambitious policy and personal damage control.
- Democrat infighting (especially from the left of the party) will prove more debilitating than Republican opposition; moderate Republican gains at midterms.
- Biden, if he sees out the term, cites age and announces early on (maybe after those uncomfortable but not Obama level catastrophic midterms) that he won't run in 2024.
- VP Harris becomes favorite for 2024 Dem nomination (no guarantee).
- Pence, Cruz, and Second Try Romney (possibly with Nikki Haley in the mix) all set out their stalls early for the 2024 Republican nomination.
- Hmm maybe first female POTUS in 2024.


Harris has too much baggage with said minorities.
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Kannap
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Postby Kannap » Thu Apr 30, 2020 2:12 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Kannap wrote:
Join the dark side, we have cookies.


Not sure enough people like the idea of President who goes by the name Howie.


Much better name than the other generic boring options. Joe? Donald? *shudders thinking of 2016* Gary?!
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Entre Rios
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Postby Entre Rios » Thu Apr 30, 2020 2:21 pm

Vassenor wrote:
Entre Rios wrote:Accidentally put this in the MAGAthread... so now posted here.

Re: 2020 election (and beyond):
- Biden will pick Kamala Harris as his VP (because the Dems need to be seen to practice what they preach about women and minorities).
- He'll win in November (though by a narrower margin than predicted/expected - it'll come down to Wisconsin!)
- Ohio will end its trend as the bellwether state, backing Trump over winner Biden.
- More women will come forward with sexual harassment/assault claims against Biden (both during the election and while in office).
- Biden's presidency will be marked by lacklustre, unambitious policy and personal damage control.
- Democrat infighting (especially from the left of the party) will prove more debilitating than Republican opposition; moderate Republican gains at midterms.
- Biden, if he sees out the term, cites age and announces early on (maybe after those uncomfortable but not Obama level catastrophic midterms) that he won't run in 2024.
- VP Harris becomes favorite for 2024 Dem nomination (no guarantee).
- Pence, Cruz, and Second Try Romney (possibly with Nikki Haley in the mix) all set out their stalls early for the 2024 Republican nomination.
- Hmm maybe first female POTUS in 2024.


Harris has too much baggage with said minorities.

Possibly true. I do think the Dems will push for a woman of color though. I am 100% certain Biden's VP will be a woman though.
Last edited by Entre Rios on Thu Apr 30, 2020 2:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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New Socialist South Africa
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Founded: Aug 31, 2013
New York Times Democracy

Postby New Socialist South Africa » Thu Apr 30, 2020 3:24 pm

Entre Rios wrote:Accidentally put this in the MAGAthread... so now posted here.

Re: 2020 election (and beyond):
- Biden will pick Kamala Harris as his VP (because the Dems need to be seen to practice what they preach about women and minorities).
- He'll win in November (though by a narrower margin than predicted/expected - it'll come down to Wisconsin!)
- Ohio will end its trend as the bellwether state, backing Trump over winner Biden.
- More women will come forward with sexual harassment/assault claims against Biden (both during the election and while in office).
- Biden's presidency will be marked by lacklustre, unambitious policy and personal damage control.
- Democrat infighting (especially from the left of the party) will prove more debilitating than Republican opposition; moderate Republican gains at midterms.
- Biden, if he sees out the term, cites age and announces early on (maybe after those uncomfortable but not Obama level catastrophic midterms) that he won't run in 2024.
- VP Harris becomes favorite for 2024 Dem nomination (no guarantee).
- Pence, Cruz, and Second Try Romney (possibly with Nikki Haley in the mix) all set out their stalls early for the 2024 Republican nomination.
- Hmm maybe first female POTUS in 2024.


I'm not sure Biden will pick Harris, especially after she called him out for opposing busing in the debates. I think his campaign will know she will be asked about that if he picks her, and they know that the Republicans can go after her quite a bit for going from attacking him for working with segregationists to being his running mate.

I still think Tammy Baldwin is the best choice (of the conceivable options), and she could help win over more leftist voters, and help him win back Wisconsin, which I also think might be very close. I doubt he will pick her though.

I think he will probably pick Amy Klobuchar, especially if he promised her the position in return for her dropping out and endorsing him right before super Tuesday, or maybe Gretchen Whitmer, because they represent similar political beliefs and because she might be able to help him win back Michigan. Otherwise he might pick Stacey Abrams, but only if he thinks he really needs to double down on winning African-American voters, and if he thinks he has a chance of narrowly winning Georgia.

As for the 2024 Republican primary, I suspect Senator Tom Cotton might attempt to take up Trump's mantle, minus any of Trumps sporadic anti-interventionism and plus a desire for endless war with pretty much everyone other than Israel and Saudi Arabia, so the world might have another deranged American war hawk to look forward to.
Last edited by New Socialist South Africa on Thu Apr 30, 2020 3:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Jerzylvania
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Posts: 14850
Founded: Aug 10, 2016
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Jerzylvania » Thu Apr 30, 2020 3:54 pm

Entre Rios wrote:Accidentally put this in the MAGAthread... so now posted here.

Re: 2020 election (and beyond):
- Biden will pick Kamala Harris as his VP (because the Dems need to be seen to practice what they preach about women and minorities).
- He'll win in November (though by a narrower margin than predicted/expected - it'll come down to Wisconsin!)
- Ohio will end its trend as the bellwether state, backing Trump over winner Biden.
- More women will come forward with sexual harassment/assault claims against Biden (both during the election and while in office).
- Biden's presidency will be marked by lacklustre, unambitious policy and personal damage control.
- Democrat infighting (especially from the left of the party) will prove more debilitating than Republican opposition; moderate Republican gains at midterms.
- Biden, if he sees out the term, cites age and announces early on (maybe after those uncomfortable but not Obama level catastrophic midterms) that he won't run in 2024.
- VP Harris becomes favorite for 2024 Dem nomination (no guarantee).
- Pence, Cruz, and Second Try Romney (possibly with Nikki Haley in the mix) all set out their stalls early for the 2024 Republican nomination.
- Hmm maybe first female POTUS in 2024.


I'd bet Harris is not able to get thru the vetting process.
Donald Trump has no clue as to what "insuring the domestic tranquility" means

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South Odreria 2
Minister
 
Posts: 3102
Founded: Aug 26, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby South Odreria 2 » Thu Apr 30, 2020 4:40 pm

Entre Rios wrote:Accidentally put this in the MAGAthread... so now posted here.

Re: 2020 election (and beyond):
- Biden will pick Kamala Harris as his VP (because the Dems need to be seen to practice what they preach about women and minorities).
- He'll win in November (though by a narrower margin than predicted/expected - it'll come down to Wisconsin!)
- Ohio will end its trend as the bellwether state, backing Trump over winner Biden.
- More women will come forward with sexual harassment/assault claims against Biden (both during the election and while in office).
- Biden's presidency will be marked by lacklustre, unambitious policy and personal damage control.
- Democrat infighting (especially from the left of the party) will prove more debilitating than Republican opposition; moderate Republican gains at midterms.
- Biden, if he sees out the term, cites age and announces early on (maybe after those uncomfortable but not Obama level catastrophic midterms) that he won't run in 2024.
- VP Harris becomes favorite for 2024 Dem nomination (no guarantee).
- Pence, Cruz, and Second Try Romney (possibly with Nikki Haley in the mix) all set out their stalls early for the 2024 Republican nomination.
- Hmm maybe first female POTUS in 2024.


Seems pretty plausible for the most part. Romney running again is the one thing that definitely won't happen. Cruz might run but I doubt he gets anywhere. Hawley and especially DeSantis are promising candidates besides Haley.
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