Indiana voters let's go
I would put this as a pure toss-up. Somewhat unrelated, Trump had a rally in Ft. Wayne (largest city in my home district)
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by Hakons » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:42 pm
by The South Falls » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:43 pm
by Hakons » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:45 pm
The South Falls wrote:Washington Resistance Army wrote:
For Texas he absolutely is. Running on things Medicare For All, guns bans, total support for abortion etc etc isn't exactly a winning platform for a southern state.
Yea, maybe drop the guns and abortion. Support those later. How about economic, bread and butter campaigns.
by Washington Resistance Army » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:46 pm
by Tobleste » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:46 pm
The South Falls wrote:Washington Resistance Army wrote:
For Texas he absolutely is. Running on things Medicare For All, guns bans, total support for abortion etc etc isn't exactly a winning platform for a southern state.
Yea, maybe drop the guns and abortion. Support those later. How about economic, bread and butter campaigns.
by The South Falls » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:49 pm
by Conserative Morality » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:50 pm
Hakons wrote:
The Texas economy has been booming under Republican policies. I think they're the fastest growing state, though I might be wrong
by Greater vakolicci haven » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:51 pm
The South Falls wrote:Hakons wrote:
The Texas economy has been booming under Republican policies. I think they're the fastest growing state, though I might be wrong
It was booming under Ann Richards, but you're correct.
Cali/NY/Texas are the triplet.
But, anyway, I would think that things like "school choice way over public schools" are hard to swallow.
by The South Falls » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:51 pm
by The South Falls » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:52 pm
by Greater vakolicci haven » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:54 pm
by Telconi » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:54 pm
by Greater vakolicci haven » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:56 pm
by The South Falls » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:56 pm
by Hakons » Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:59 pm
by Valgora » Mon Nov 05, 2018 5:01 pm
MT+FanT+some PMT
Multi-species.
Current gov't:
Founded 2023
Currently 2027
by Major-Tom » Mon Nov 05, 2018 5:05 pm
by Thermodolia » Mon Nov 05, 2018 5:23 pm
by Telconi » Mon Nov 05, 2018 5:24 pm
by Thermodolia » Mon Nov 05, 2018 5:26 pm
by Idzequitch » Mon Nov 05, 2018 5:31 pm
Major-Tom wrote:While we're all making predictions, here are mine. Nate Silver himself came by and said they looked great.
House: 226D, 209R, Dems regain control narrowly, only sustain a few losses (MN's Duluth district comes to mind)
Senate: 51-49 R, no real change as Dems pick up Nevada and squeak in a super, super narrow win in AZ (48.5-48.0) or something like that. Dems lose ND and MO at the same time (by 3-4 points in ND and 1-2 points in MO. Dems manage to hold on by 1-2 points in FL, MT & IN, and by bigger 3-6 point margins in WV, OH.
If I had to guesstimate the margins of victory (going by intervals of .5%) in the swing Senate seats, I would say as follows;
AZ: 48.5% (D) & 48.0% (R) (possibly lower margin of victory here).
NV: 49.0% (D) & 47.5% (R).
MT: 48.5% (D) & 47.5% (R), I expect Tester's winning margin to be smaller than some expect.
FL: 49.5% (D) & 48.0% (R).
TX: 50.0% (R) & 47.0% (D).
IN: 49.0% (D) & 47.0% (R).
TN: 50.5% (R) & 47.5% (D).
MO: 49.0% (R) & 48.0% (D).
ND: 51.5% (R) & 47.5% (D).
This is all, of course, speculation.
by Valgora » Mon Nov 05, 2018 5:32 pm
Thermodolia wrote:I think the democrats will hold all current seats except for ND which will be a R pickup
And the democrats will pick up both NV and AZ for a net gain of Dem +1. 50-50 is my prediction.
In the house I’m predicting 230D-205R
MT+FanT+some PMT
Multi-species.
Current gov't:
Founded 2023
Currently 2027
by Idzequitch » Mon Nov 05, 2018 5:34 pm
Thermodolia wrote:I think the democrats will hold all current seats except for ND which will be a R pickup
And the democrats will pick up both NV and AZ for a net gain of Dem +1. 50-50 is my prediction.
In the house I’m predicting 230D-205R
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