Quintium wrote:Marcunia wrote:They've had the luck to produce fine leaders and the luck to be on a good geopolitical location. The latter is something that Serbia sadly didn't have.
Actually, their location is more a curse than a blessing. They're the piggy in the middle. They're stuck between France on one side and Eastern Europe, which in living memory was basically just Russia, on the other, and Italy lurking just a little while south. And like all of Europe, in this 'globalized' world, there's a lot of one-way migration. The Germans have been at the receiving end of many unfortunate mass migratory movements that generally ended in violence and upheaval, from prehistory to last month when it turned out Germany is having to accept more Middle Easterners and Africans than ever.
1) Minor note, but encouraging immigration is probably one of the most important strategic goals Germany should adopt today. Germany's population is set to decline very significantly in the next century - this is a major weakness of Germany's, and I expect its industrial sector to suffer. In the long-term, Germany's high-tech economy (like those of other westernized countries experiencing population decline, such as Japan) will probably make a transition to more mechanized, robot-intensive manufacturing (as they already have begun to) in order to displace the dwindling workforce. Either that or outsource manufacturing to other economies with more dynamic workforces (Nigeria, for example). Nanotechnology development could be a gamechanger, though, so I won't make any predictions. Nonetheless, in the short/midterm (the next half-century or so), Germany really should encourage as much immigration as possible.
2) There are obvious benefits to being isolated from threats (the US and Britain have natural geographic advantages that isolate them from serious threats, which has allowed them to pursue globe-spanning, ambitious policy goals without fear for their own backyards), but being threatened also has its own benefits. Germany has been forced to engage in serious competition with its nearby rivals - competition far more intense than Britain or the US. And this has prompted Germany in earlier times to become a military superpower - not because Germans are just evil (though this is not me being an apologist for Nazism, make no mistake), but because Germany must militarize for its own security. Germany's very precarious security situation begs it to be hawkish, which is why Germany must dominate its neighbors to survive (so that no one of its neighbors presents such a threat that it could dominate Germany - see: Napoleon). **
**The best analogy I can give is that of an industrial monopoly. Say that company A has a monopoly on the automobile industry. It has obvious advantages - because there are no competitors, it can afford to get lazy (its security situation affords it a great amount of freedom). But if company A exists in a highly competitive automotive industry, it must be innovative and aggressive to survive. Germany is in the latter situation (much like Russia and Iran - geographically insecure and surrounded by threats), whereas Britain and the US are in the former situation.