American Politics VII: Virginia Reel

[North Washington Republic]

I can't tell if that's supposed to be pervert or preserve.

Perverting the republic would solve a few things.

Well, I’m asexual, so it would be boring and slightly uncomfortable for me. Lol

[Kowani]

Republicans file lawsuit challenging Oregon Democrats' recently adopted congressional districts, arguing it violates the state constitution and asking the court to draw a new map

[Lord Dominator]

Perverting the republic would solve a few things.

Well, I’m asexual, so it would be boring and slightly uncomfortable for me. Lol

Indeed

[North Washington Republic]

Republicans file lawsuit challenging Oregon Democrats' recently adopted congressional districts, arguing it violates the state constitution and asking the court to draw a new map

Republicans: Gerrymandering is only okay when we do it!

[Lord Dominator]

Republicans file lawsuit challenging Oregon Democrats' recently adopted congressional districts, arguing it violates the state constitution and asking the court to draw a new map

Republicans: Gerrymandering is only okay when we do it!

In fairness, Democrats weren’t exactly innocent of it either before discovering non-partisan redistricting

[North Washington Republic]

Republicans: Gerrymandering is only okay when we do it!

In fairness, Democrats weren’t exactly innocent of it either before discovering non-partisan redistricting

A non-partisan redistricting would result in more competitive seats.

[Diahon]

what the fuck what the actual fuck

Texas officials removed two webpages in late August that provided resources for LGBTQ youths — including a link to a suicide prevention hotline — a few hours after criticism from one of Gov. Greg Abbott’s Republican primary challengers.

The candidate, Don Huffines, who owns a real estate development company in the Dallas area, wrote Aug. 31 on Twitter: “It’s offensive to see @GregAbbott_TX use our tax dollars to advocate for transgender ideology. This must end.”

[Rusozak]

what the fuck what the actual fuck

Texas officials removed two webpages in late August that provided resources for LGBTQ youths — including a link to a suicide prevention hotline — a few hours after criticism from one of Gov. Greg Abbott’s Republican primary challengers.

The candidate, Don Huffines, who owns a real estate development company in the Dallas area, wrote Aug. 31 on Twitter: “It’s offensive to see @GregAbbott_TX use our tax dollars to advocate for transgender ideology. This must end.”

Meanwhile in the developing nation known as Texas...

[Lord Dominator]

what the fuck what the actual fuck

Meanwhile in the developing nation known as Texas...

Texas is a long-term US occupation in the name of bettering it

nods

[Alcala-Cordel]

what the fuck what the actual fuck

Texas officials removed two webpages in late August that provided resources for LGBTQ youths — including a link to a suicide prevention hotline — a few hours after criticism from one of Gov. Greg Abbott’s Republican primary challengers.

The candidate, Don Huffines, who owns a real estate development company in the Dallas area, wrote Aug. 31 on Twitter: “It’s offensive to see @GregAbbott_TX use our tax dollars to advocate for transgender ideology. This must end.”

including a link to a suicide prevention hotline

What the fuck is right.

[Eahland]

what the fuck what the actual fuck

Meanwhile in the developing nation known as Texas...

"Developing" is the opposite of what Texas is doing.

[Diahon]

what the fuck what the actual fuck

including a link to a suicide prevention hotline

What the fuck is right.

what are a few lives when you don't have the power to fiddle them to death?

[Diahon]

and fucking speaking of FUCKING FIDDLING

Greg Abbott was using taxpayer dollars to advocate for transgender ideology and the Human Rights Campaign.

Our campaign made him stop. I will never back down in the fight for Texas.

that's abbott's primary opponent don huffines for you

also

by removing the gop from power, you also remove them from even considering power

dwell upon that, americans, and do it

[Comerciante]

and fucking speaking of FUCKING FIDDLING

Greg Abbott was using taxpayer dollars to advocate for transgender ideology and the Human Rights Campaign.

Our campaign made him stop. I will never back down in the fight for Texas.

that's abbott's primary opponent don huffines for you

also

by removing the gop from power, you also remove them from even considering power

dwell upon that, americans, and do it

You would have to convince your average American to act within their own interest beyond yelling out slogans.

Good Luck with that.

[Gravlen]

Honestly? 30 years later it sure doesn't feel like we won.

We didn't. A corrupt oligarchy succeeded the Soviet Union and China is a pragmatic foe.

We're also lead by corrupt leaders similar to those of Russia (not promoting Russiagate) in the sense that they use the state to line their own pockets at the expense of everyone else.

The US won the cold war in the same way it won the war in Afghanistan and Iraq: With no exit strategy and no vision beyond the immediate conflict, and driven by individuals eagerly taking advantage of the aftermath in order to line their own pockets and secure their own personal power.

[Gravlen]

For me it wasn’t because of the symptoms but the possibility of complications. I am pretty active dude, I don’t want to have heart and lung problems. I also want to have a family so ED and infertility isn’t something I want.

I'm very active too. My job is very demanding, and I go to the gym every day anyway.

But the prospect of complications don't worry me, because the statistics are on my side.

The only thing that would make me consider getting the vaccine is if I was routinely around elderly people, or if I were already unhealthy.

The statistics are on your side if you play russian roulette as well.

The argument you're making is trash.

[The Jamesian Republic]

what the fuck what the actual fuck

Texas officials removed two webpages in late August that provided resources for LGBTQ youths — including a link to a suicide prevention hotline — a few hours after criticism from one of Gov. Greg Abbott’s Republican primary challengers.

The candidate, Don Huffines, who owns a real estate development company in the Dallas area, wrote Aug. 31 on Twitter: “It’s offensive to see @GregAbbott_TX use our tax dollars to advocate for transgender ideology. This must end.”

So instead of helping people we are just going to let them commit suicide? Nice to know where their priorities are.

[New haven america]

Uh, we won the cold war.

I believe the suggestion is that the KGB won their battles against the CIA but ultimately lost the war.

Nah, the KGB's doing quite well atm.

They make up a decent chunk of the Russian government, including the Dictatorship Presidency.

[Diahon]

what the fuck what the actual fuck

So instead of helping people we are just going to let them commit suicide? Nice to know where their priorities are.

guy's lieutenant governor went on tv to proclaim that the old can go fuck themselves for the economy in case of covid

that was last year

then last winter happened

they're fine with suffering and death, totally fine

[Austria-Bohemia-Hungary]

So instead of helping people we are just going to let them commit suicide? Nice to know where their priorities are.

guy's lieutenant governor went on tv to proclaim that the old can go fuck themselves for the economy in case of covid

that was last year

then last winter happened

they're fine with suffering and death, totally fine

So... can I call these esteemed individuals purveyors of suffering and death yet? <.>

[Deblar]

what the fuck what the actual fuck

Texas officials removed two webpages in late August that provided resources for LGBTQ youths — including a link to a suicide prevention hotline — a few hours after criticism from one of Gov. Greg Abbott’s Republican primary challengers.

The candidate, Don Huffines, who owns a real estate development company in the Dallas area, wrote Aug. 31 on Twitter: “It’s offensive to see @GregAbbott_TX use our tax dollars to advocate for transgender ideology. This must end.”

…

What. The. Fu-

[Forsher]

The current generic ballot tracker is 44% Dem-41% Rep

in order to beat Republican geographic bias, the Democrats need to win...around 51%

(Image)

That is the most confusing graph I’ve ever seen.

It's not good, yes.

The thin dark line is y=x/45 degree.

The numbers are the data points for various elections about which a linear trend with confidence intervals is plotted.

More importantly, I don't think it backs up Kowani's conclusion. It's just saying that a party in power is more popular in polls held 436 days out from a midterm than they are in polls on the election day.

That is the most confusing graph I’ve ever seen.

it is...about 2 months old, so the trendline is a bit off (Dems were getting 48% on the generic ballot at the time, and we're 4% below that)
but to sum up
the dotted orange lines mark the confidence interval
the solid orange line marks the current generic ballot polling average (projected)
the important one's the black line-it's what percentage of the vote was needed to overcome the Republican's structural advantage that corresponding year
so ours is set at about 51%

notably, on the 538 graph, the dems have only gotten that high on a few outlier polls

Are you sure about that Kowani? The black line just seems to be y=x, you can see that it's entered at the intersection of the panels in the graph.

I did find a 538 graph that actually compares the polling average to electoral results and I added a y=x line to it myself:

It doesn't include the years, but you can see that the Democrats do usually poll better (x-axis) than they do in the election (y-axis), thus the x,y points fall below the y=x line. Unfortunately, there's no trend line, but an eyeball trend would be something like:

Eyeballing both graphs together leads me to think that it'll be a R+7 midterm (Kowani's graph => a 46% polling average for the Dems on election day, or a R+4, which on my eyeballed trend is R+7 or something thereabouts).

[Shrillland]

Commonwealth Attorney General Josh Shapiro becomes first Democrat to run for Governor of Pennsylvania

[Deblar]

Commonwealth Attorney General Josh Shapiro becomes first Democrat to run for Governor of Pennsylvania

My ass almost thought that said “Ben Shapiro”, lol

[Shrillland]

Commonwealth Attorney General Josh Shapiro becomes first Democrat to run for Governor of Pennsylvania

My ass almost thought that said “Ben Shapiro”, lol

Nothing would surprise me anymore tbh.