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Coronavirus Thread IV: Legends, Laments and Lockdowns

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Have you or anyone in your vincinity been affected by COVID-19?

I don't know anyone who has been diagnosed with COVID-19
300
44%
I know someone was diagnosed with COVID-19
159
23%
Someone very close to me was diagnosed with COVID-19
42
6%
I know someone who was hospitalized with COVID-19
62
9%
Someone very close to me was hospitalized with COVID-19
30
4%
I was diagnosed with COVID-19
23
3%
I was hospitalized with COVID-19
9
1%
I don't know/unsure/other
57
8%
 
Total votes : 682

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Valrifell
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Postby Valrifell » Mon May 25, 2020 4:38 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Estanglia wrote:
I didn't think it would in the first place, because for that video to happen so much would have to go right/wrong perfectly.

Still, I hope that we don't get to the point where the choice is that or large numbers of dead.

It would never happen. Thats not a world many people would want or accept


Never is a word that doesn't really play with reality. Observe;

"We could never have a major outbreak in current year, sanitation and germ theory eradicated major outbreaks."
HAVING AN ALL CAPS SIG MAKES ME FEEL SMART

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Mon May 25, 2020 4:43 pm

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watc ... l-shopping

California will allow religious services to resume and retail to reopen

https://thehill.com/policy/internationa ... en-june-15
Most shops in in the UK will be allowed to reopen june 15th
Last edited by San Lumen on Mon May 25, 2020 4:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Mon May 25, 2020 4:43 pm

Valrifell wrote:
San Lumen wrote:It would never happen. Thats not a world many people would want or accept


Never is a word that doesn't really play with reality. Observe;

"We could never have a major outbreak in current year, sanitation and germ theory eradicated major outbreaks."


Have you seen the video in question? If so you really think many would want or accept that dystopian world?

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Fartsniffage
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Postby Fartsniffage » Mon May 25, 2020 4:46 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Valrifell wrote:
Never is a word that doesn't really play with reality. Observe;

"We could never have a major outbreak in current year, sanitation and germ theory eradicated major outbreaks."


Have you seen the video in question? If so you really think many would want or accept that dystopian world?


You really want to get a grip. No one wants a lockdown forever but people do accept it needs to happen for a bit.

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Rojava Free State
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Postby Rojava Free State » Mon May 25, 2020 4:54 pm

Fartsniffage wrote:
San Lumen wrote:
Have you seen the video in question? If so you really think many would want or accept that dystopian world?


You really want to get a grip. No one wants a lockdown forever but people do accept it needs to happen for a bit.


Didn't they just allow groups of 10 to gather in New York? The lockdown is loosening there.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Mon May 25, 2020 4:55 pm

Rojava Free State wrote:
Fartsniffage wrote:
You really want to get a grip. No one wants a lockdown forever but people do accept it needs to happen for a bit.


Didn't they just allow groups of 10 to gather in New York? The lockdown is loosening there.

Yes they did

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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Mon May 25, 2020 5:05 pm

San Lumen wrote:https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/499440-california-to-allow-places-of-worship-to-reopen-in-store-retail-shopping

California will allow religious services to resume and retail to reopen

https://thehill.com/policy/internationa ... en-june-15
Most shops in in the UK will be allowed to reopen june 15th


He can call on it. Luckily many people don’t buy the message. Many services still going through zoom/webex/etc. Store retail isn’t opening in mass. Still doing the curbside stuff.
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Mon May 25, 2020 5:06 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
San Lumen wrote:https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/499440-california-to-allow-places-of-worship-to-reopen-in-store-retail-shopping

California will allow religious services to resume and retail to reopen

https://thehill.com/policy/internationa ... en-june-15
Most shops in in the UK will be allowed to reopen june 15th


He can call on it. Luckily many people don’t buy the message. Many services still going through zoom/webex/etc. Store retail isn’t opening in mass. Still doing the curbside stuff.

That’s their choice then

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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Mon May 25, 2020 5:13 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
He can call on it. Luckily many people don’t buy the message. Many services still going through zoom/webex/etc. Store retail isn’t opening in mass. Still doing the curbside stuff.

That’s their choice then


:blink: Changed your views?
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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Nanatsu no Tsuki
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Postby Nanatsu no Tsuki » Mon May 25, 2020 5:15 pm

Liriena wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
In Spanish we call them “pendejos”.

I like "mononeuronales" myself.


Hah, I like that. :lol2:
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Albrenia
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Postby Albrenia » Mon May 25, 2020 5:22 pm

I'm very glad this pandemic isn't quite as bad as initial projections (yet, don't want to jinx it, heh). Can you imagine how many people would have died if it really did have a 1-3% death rate across all age and health groups?

Also has shown some countries really need to work on their community spirit.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Mon May 25, 2020 5:23 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
San Lumen wrote:That’s their choice then


:blink: Changed your views?

If it’s the choice of the business I have no problem with it

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Estanglia
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Postby Estanglia » Mon May 25, 2020 6:16 pm

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
Estanglia wrote:
Wow.

Can we make a word for all these idiots that are just helping to spread this virus and ironically continuing and justifying the measures they defy/oppose? Idiot doesn't feel good enough.


In Spanish we call them “pendejos”.


Pendejo (according to the Diccionario de la lengua española de la Real Academia Española, lit.: "a pubic hair'[c] is, according to the Chicano poet José Antonio Burciaga, "basically describes someone who is stupid or does something stupid."[c] Burciaga said that the word is often used while not in polite conversation.[c] It may be translated as "dumbass" or "asshole" in many situations, though it carries an extra implication of willful incompetence, or innocent gullibility that's ripe for others to exploit.


Today I learned (assuming the Wikipedia for Spanish profanity (a page I didn't even realise existed until now) is correct) that Spanish has a word that sums up exactly my thoughts on a good chunk of the Coronavirus protests: willfully incompetent assholes.

Liriena wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
In Spanish we call them “pendejos”.

I like "mononeuronales" myself.


I'm guessing that that's something like "people with one brain cell", in which case there's another appropriate word.
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Nanatsu no Tsuki
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Postby Nanatsu no Tsuki » Mon May 25, 2020 6:17 pm

Estanglia wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
In Spanish we call them “pendejos”.


Pendejo (according to the Diccionario de la lengua española de la Real Academia Española, lit.: "a pubic hair'[c] is, according to the Chicano poet José Antonio Burciaga, "basically describes someone who is stupid or does something stupid."[c] Burciaga said that the word is often used while not in polite conversation.[c] It may be translated as "dumbass" or "asshole" in many situations, though it carries an extra implication of willful incompetence, or innocent gullibility that's ripe for others to exploit.


Today I learned (assuming the Wikipedia for Spanish profanity (a page I didn't even realise existed until now) is correct) that Spanish has a word that sums up exactly my thoughts on a good chunk of the Coronavirus protests: willfully incompetent assholes.

Liriena wrote:I like "mononeuronales" myself.


I'm guessing that that's something like "people with one brain cell", in which case there's another appropriate word.


Ayup, on both things. ;}
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Your story isn't over;֍Help save transgender people's lives֍Help for feral cats
Cat with internet access||Supposedly heartless, & a d*ck.||Is maith an t-earra an tsíocháin.||No TGs
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Postby Luziyca » Mon May 25, 2020 6:19 pm

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The Lone Alliance
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Postby The Lone Alliance » Mon May 25, 2020 6:20 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:There could be a hospitalization bias.
Not everyone who is sick goes to hospital (what it will cost them is surely a factor, has there been any change there?)
Not everyone who goes to hospital gets admitted (has there been any change in hospital admission standards?)

But regardless of that, it could be that not much has changed despite the "end of lockdown". There were people not observing it before the "end" was announced. Also there would be people now, exercising precautions (a voluntary lockdown if you will). Not hospitalization bias, but this explanation that only some people have actually changed their behavior, accounts for the expected spike not occurring.

One thing clearly has changed in those states: more businesses are open. Perhaps after all, just requiring or recommending precautions in businesses, but not shutting them entirely, would have been the best approach. (Then there's Sweden...)

This is why I think that even if we do get a second outbreak the world is not likely to return to a lockdown strategy again, at least not in places that have a stable working healthcare system, I could see lockdowns happening if a second waves hits a developing country hard, but even then there's issues a developing nation's economy won't be able to survive a second lockdown, if they even survived the first one.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Mon May 25, 2020 6:32 pm

The Lone Alliance wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:There could be a hospitalization bias.
Not everyone who is sick goes to hospital (what it will cost them is surely a factor, has there been any change there?)
Not everyone who goes to hospital gets admitted (has there been any change in hospital admission standards?)

But regardless of that, it could be that not much has changed despite the "end of lockdown". There were people not observing it before the "end" was announced. Also there would be people now, exercising precautions (a voluntary lockdown if you will). Not hospitalization bias, but this explanation that only some people have actually changed their behavior, accounts for the expected spike not occurring.

One thing clearly has changed in those states: more businesses are open. Perhaps after all, just requiring or recommending precautions in businesses, but not shutting them entirely, would have been the best approach. (Then there's Sweden...)

This is why I think that even if we do get a second outbreak the world is not likely to return to a lockdown strategy again, at least not in places that have a stable working healthcare system, I could see lockdowns happening if a second waves hits a developing country hard, but even then there's issues a developing nation's economy won't be able to survive a second lockdown, if they even survived the first one.

I agree a second lockdown is very unlikely.

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/ ... 111715302/

When you have reports of 37 percent of unemployed Americans running out of food a second lockdown is very unlikely to happen

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Nanatsu no Tsuki
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Postby Nanatsu no Tsuki » Mon May 25, 2020 6:36 pm

Ok, my mother just linked me to a news piece in Puerto Rico. Two doctors there are carrying a study under compassionate care for CoVID19 patients. The study has 13 participants, two of which were released from hospital after getting treated with immunosuppressants like cortisone and steroids and responding well: https://www.notiuno.com/covid-19/doctor ... 3dd77.html

Translation:
The infectologist, Javier Morales, said in the program En Caliente with Carmen Jovet that, together with Dr. Fernando Cabanillas, has managed, through a study, to stop the development and subsequent complications of coronavirus in patients using steroids and cortisone.

"It has been found that there are some substances in the body that one can measure and that are elevated at the preamble of disaster. (Personal note: this seems to refer to the cytokine storm that has killed quite a few CoVID19 patients) Interleukin 6 is one of those substances in patients who get complications. In patients with elevated Interleukin 6, we give them steroids under medical supervision. Right now, of the 13 patients participating in the study, two of them were already discharged. These are patients who were expected to get complications with the disease,”, Morales said.

Immunosuppressive therapy is already being used in the protocols of many hospitals to fight coronavirus.

First, there is the “infectious phase” in which the patient becomes infected and, later, in certain patients, the second, “inflammatory phase” appears, in which the virus “is limited to the lungs” and, therefore, it would be most important for the patient because it makes them “go critical”. It is, at that critical moment, where the use of immunosuppressants could avoid fatal consequences.

This treatment would only be applied to the most severe cases and at a very specific stage in the infection. Similar studies are underway in France, Germany and Italy.

For his part, oncologist Fernando Cabanillas, said that the recent statements of the Health Secretary, Lorenzo González, that he anticipates another wave of coronavirus infections and said that it will serve to immunize the population is “a double-edged sword” (Personal note: this part doesn’t make much sense in Spanish either. If I were to venture a guess, I think this is an allusion to a possible vaccine or that the PR Health Secretary could’ve thought about immunization of the population with immunosuppressants- but it doesn’t make sense).



There’s audio of the show if anyone who speaks and understands Spanish wishes to listen to.

Edit: translation correction.
Edit 2: I can’t into translation today. <~<
Edit 3: ok, after a fourth read of the last part of the article, I’m 95% certain it’s an allusion to the second wave and promoting herd immunity.
Last edited by Nanatsu no Tsuki on Mon May 25, 2020 7:11 pm, edited 7 times in total.
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Estanglia
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Postby Estanglia » Mon May 25, 2020 6:49 pm

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
Estanglia wrote:
Pendejo (according to the Diccionario de la lengua española de la Real Academia Española, lit.: "a pubic hair'[c] is, according to the Chicano poet José Antonio Burciaga, "basically describes someone who is stupid or does something stupid."[c] Burciaga said that the word is often used while not in polite conversation.[c] It may be translated as "dumbass" or "asshole" in many situations, though it carries an extra implication of willful incompetence, or innocent gullibility that's ripe for others to exploit.


Today I learned (assuming the Wikipedia for Spanish profanity (a page I didn't even realise existed until now) is correct) that Spanish has a word that sums up exactly my thoughts on a good chunk of the Coronavirus protests: willfully incompetent assholes.



I'm guessing that that's something like "people with one brain cell", in which case there's another appropriate word.


Ayup, on both things. ;}


Nice to know I now have more words to describe some of the people I am very quickly losing sympathy for.

I get wanting these lockdown measures to end (particularly in the US, where it seems like there's not enough help for some people and seemingly not enough political will (or at least the political will is constantly challenged/blocked) to change that). I get protesting too, since that's a way to explicitly express that you're not okay with the continued lockdowns and wanting them to be over.

I want people to do it safely, for their own sake as much as others. Proper social distancing, masks, etc. If someone's legitimately suffering under this lockdown, and find protesting their only or main outlet to express that, them getting infected will just worsen their current state. The people who don't do that, or worse are conspiracy theorist nutjobs of the same breed as the 5g tower attackers or are using weapons to attempt to intimidate people, I'm quickly losing whatever sympathy I still have left for them.
Yeah: Egalitarianism, equality
Meh: Labour, the EU
Nah: pointless discrimination, authoritarianism, Brexit, Trump, both American parties, the Conservatives
I flop between "optimistic about the future" and "pessimistic about the future" every time I go on NSG.

(Taken 29/08/2020)
Political compass test:
Economic Left/Right: -6.75
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -6.05

8values thinks I'm a Libertarian Socialist.

Torrocca wrote:"Your honor, it was not mein fault! I didn't order the systematic genocide of millions of people, it was the twenty kilograms of pure-cut Bavarian cocaine that did it!"

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Estanglia
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Ex-Nation

Postby Estanglia » Mon May 25, 2020 7:05 pm

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:Ok, my mother just linked me to a news piece in Puerto Rico. Two doctors there are carrying a study under compassionate care for CoVID19 patients. The study has 13 participants, two of which were released from hospital after getting treated with immunosuppressants like cortisone and steroids and responding well: https://www.notiuno.com/covid-19/doctor ... 3dd77.html

Translation:
The infectologist, Javier Morales, said in the program En Caliente with Carmen Jovet that, together with Dr. Fernando Cabanillas, he has managed, through a study, to stop the development and subsequent complications of coronavirus in patients, using steroids and cortisone.

"It has been found that there are some substances that one can measure and that are the preamble to disaster. And there is Interleukin 6, in patients who get complications. In patients who elevate Interleukin we give them steroids under medical supervision. Until now of the 13 patients in the study, two of them were discharged. These are patients who were expected to get complications with the disease,”, Morales said.

Immunosuppressive therapy is already being used in the protocols of many hospitals to fight coronavirus.

First, there is the "infectious phase in which the patient becomes infected" and, later, in certain patients, the "second, inflammatory phase" appears, in which the virus "is limited to the lungs" and, therefore, it would be most important for the patient because it makes them "go into a critical state". It is, at that critical moment, where the use of immunosuppressants could avoid fatal consequences.

This treatment would only be applied to the most severe cases and at a very specific moment in the infection. Similar studies are underway in France, Germany and Italy.

For his part, oncologist Fernando Cabanillas, said that the recent statements of the Health Secretary, Lorenzo González, that he anticipates another wave of coronavirus infections and said that it will serve to immunize the population is "a double-edged sword".



There’s audio of the show if anyone who speaks and understands Spanish wishes to listen to.


When a patient reaches the point where the immune system begins to overreact and potentially cause more harm than good, give them immunosuppressants to reduce/prevent that overreaction (is at least what I gathered from the translation, since the source is blocked for me and I would've probably had to google translate anyway if the article's in Spanish, since my secondary school Spanish probably isn't enough)).

It's interesting that something that sounds so counterintuitive as "suppress the immune system whilst someone's fighting off an infection" could actually have some positive effects. Interesting, helpful, and kind of morbid.
Yeah: Egalitarianism, equality
Meh: Labour, the EU
Nah: pointless discrimination, authoritarianism, Brexit, Trump, both American parties, the Conservatives
I flop between "optimistic about the future" and "pessimistic about the future" every time I go on NSG.

(Taken 29/08/2020)
Political compass test:
Economic Left/Right: -6.75
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -6.05

8values thinks I'm a Libertarian Socialist.

Torrocca wrote:"Your honor, it was not mein fault! I didn't order the systematic genocide of millions of people, it was the twenty kilograms of pure-cut Bavarian cocaine that did it!"

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Shrillland
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Postby Shrillland » Mon May 25, 2020 7:06 pm

Estanglia wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
Ayup, on both things. ;}


Nice to know I now have more words to describe some of the people I am very quickly losing sympathy for.

I get wanting these lockdown measures to end (particularly in the US, where it seems like there's not enough help for some people and seemingly not enough political will (or at least the political will is constantly challenged/blocked) to change that). I get protesting too, since that's a way to explicitly express that you're not okay with the continued lockdowns and wanting them to be over.

I want people to do it safely, for their own sake as much as others. Proper social distancing, masks, etc. If someone's legitimately suffering under this lockdown, and find protesting their only or main outlet to express that, them getting infected will just worsen their current state. The people who don't do that, or worse are conspiracy theorist nutjobs of the same breed as the 5g tower attackers or are using weapons to attempt to intimidate people, I'm quickly losing whatever sympathy I still have left for them.


Unfortunately, this will, I think, kill the last hopes of providing help for some people(in the form of some kind of national health)once and for all.
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Nanatsu no Tsuki
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Postby Nanatsu no Tsuki » Mon May 25, 2020 7:06 pm

Estanglia wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:Ok, my mother just linked me to a news piece in Puerto Rico. Two doctors there are carrying a study under compassionate care for CoVID19 patients. The study has 13 participants, two of which were released from hospital after getting treated with immunosuppressants like cortisone and steroids and responding well: https://www.notiuno.com/covid-19/doctor ... 3dd77.html

Translation:


There’s audio of the show if anyone who speaks and understands Spanish wishes to listen to.


When a patient reaches the point where the immune system begins to overreact and potentially cause more harm than good, give them immunosuppressants to reduce/prevent that overreaction (is at least what I gathered from the translation, since the source is blocked for me and I would've probably had to google translate anyway if the article's in Spanish, since my secondary school Spanish probably isn't enough)).

It's interesting that something that sounds so counterintuitive as "suppress the immune system whilst someone's fighting off an infection" could actually have some positive effects. Interesting, helpful, and kind of morbid.


I’ve added a few corrections for flow, some personal notes too since there are portions of the article that are unclear or make no sense.
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Liriena
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Postby Liriena » Mon May 25, 2020 7:24 pm

Rojava Free State wrote:
Liriena wrote:Eventually, yes. Preferably when we aren't facing an outbreak that could collapse our healthcare system and decimate our aging population. Over 20% of the population of Buenos Aires would be at serious risk if we didn't keep the outbreak in check.


That many people?

Over 20% of the population of Buenos Aires is over the age of 60.
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Trollgaard
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Postby Trollgaard » Mon May 25, 2020 7:29 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The Lone Alliance wrote:This is why I think that even if we do get a second outbreak the world is not likely to return to a lockdown strategy again, at least not in places that have a stable working healthcare system, I could see lockdowns happening if a second waves hits a developing country hard, but even then there's issues a developing nation's economy won't be able to survive a second lockdown, if they even survived the first one.

I agree a second lockdown is very unlikely.

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/ ... 111715302/

When you have reports of 37 percent of unemployed Americans running out of food a second lockdown is very unlikely to happen


Didn't Trump say we aren't doing more lockdowns even if second wave does come?

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Postby -SARS- » Mon May 25, 2020 7:40 pm

Trollgaard wrote:
San Lumen wrote:I agree a second lockdown is very unlikely.

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/ ... 111715302/

When you have reports of 37 percent of unemployed Americans running out of food a second lockdown is very unlikely to happen


Didn't Trump say we aren't doing more lockdowns even if second wave does come?


Sounds like this fall is going to be the perfect time for me to take that big American road trip I've been daydreaming of. I'll ask COVID if it wants to be my travel buddy.
This nation is made with pure 100% all-natural SARS. Non-GMO, gluten-free, and ZERO ADDED SUGAR!

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