ARIsyan- wrote:Order of Maesters wrote:
The redistribution process is largely non-partisan.
My region (Lower Mainland BC) has been butchered but that’s predicated on challenging demographics and a poorly defined mandate from the commission, not partisan influence.
North Saskatchewan going liberal and Algoma going conservative was not something I expected, it otherwise hasn't changed much
I am surprised this is surprising - its just based on math.
In the case of Desnethe - Missinippi - Churchill River, the fact is much of the arable, rural land in the riding - traditional conservative heartlands where most of their vote in the riding is present - are being shifted elsewhere. The remainder is a fairly sparsely populated region that has a very large Indigenous population. This area broke for the Liberals fairly convincingly in 2021, as you can see in the polling precinct results. No guarantee they win it in 2025 due to changing vote patters but it does make things easier for them.
If things haven't changed much, how exactly would you claim it appeared gerrymandered per your first post?
Luziyca wrote:ARIsyan- wrote:North Saskatchewan going liberal and Algoma going conservative was not something I expected, it otherwise hasn't changed much
338 still shows Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River as being a safe Tory hold, with the NDP and Liberals both in a race for second. Then again, it doesn't seem like 338 has updated the constituency borders to reflect the changes made in the redistribution, given that Saskatoon-Grasswood is still a thing, and not Saskatoon South, so...
338's numbers won't be truly helpful until they update the map. Since the new boundaries will only come into force (i.e. apply in the next election) if the election is held after April 2024 (which is highly likely) than I suspect we can anticipate that they will shift the map shortly thereafter.