GOP Primary Megathread III: Third Time's A Charm

by **Arlenton** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:01 pm

Merizoc wrote:
Arlenton wrote:Florida??? It went to Obama by less than a point against Romney.

Demographic shifts are not kind to Republicans.

Not when they get 27% of the Hispanic vote. The goal for Kasich is to not do that.

by **Arlenton** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:03 pm

Corrian wrote:Little Trump Dude on The Guardian just told me that Trump is "Building a new Republican Party"

A more working class white centered paleocon party?

Democrat pickup in Orange county, CA.

by **Blakk Metal** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:06 pm

Corrian wrote:Little Trump Dude on The Guardian just told me that Trump is "Building a new Republican Party"

He actually said this.

by **Arlenton** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:06 pm

Apparently Trump doesn't know where Rome is?

by **Eol Sha** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:08 pm

Arlenton wrote:Apparently Trump doesn't know where Rome is?

It's in Georgia.

by **Novus America** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:09 pm

Eol Sha wrote:
Arlenton wrote:Apparently Trump doesn't know where Rome is?

It's in Georgia.

So is Athens.

by **Geilinor** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:10 pm

Arlenton wrote:
Merizoc wrote:Kasich likely wouldn't win Florida.

No kidding.

Florida??? It went to Obama by less than a point against Romney.

Kasich and Romney are pretty politically similar and the Democratic nominee will have Obama voters with them.

by **MERIZoC** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:13 pm

Arlenton wrote:
Merizoc wrote:Demographic shifts are not kind to Republicans.

Not when they get 27% of the Hispanic vote. The goal for Kasich is to not do that.

And as a milquetoast republican I'm sure he'll do a great job.

by **Arlenton** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:14 pm

Geilinor wrote:
Arlenton wrote:Florida??? It went to Obama by less than a point against Romney.

Kasich and Romney are pretty politically similar, to me at least.

I think Kasich has less of the "shady businessman" thing than Romney, but I guess.

The thing is all a Republican has to do to pick up FL is to have the black turnout decrease by one point, not too difficult with Obama off the ballot. Unfortunately Cruz and Trump will screw this up by doing worse than Romney with whites and Hispanics.

Last.FM · by **Corrian** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:34 pm

Well, Kasich tanked in Baltimore City now.

by **Novus America** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:37 pm

Corrian wrote:Well, Kasich tanked in Baltimore City now.

So he only got 1 of the 3?

Seriously how many Republicans are left in Baltimore?

Last.FM · by **Corrian** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:43 pm

Novus America wrote:Seriously how many Republicans are left in Baltimore?

3,500 for Trump in Baltimore City.

by **Novus America** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:48 pm

Corrian wrote:
Novus America wrote:Seriously how many Republicans are left in Baltimore?

3,500 for Trump in Baltimore City.

More than I expected. I am quite suprised.

by **The United Territories of Providence** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 8:17 pm

It would appear to me, that if Indiana goes for Trump, he will reach 1237. If Cruz and Kasich were right, there should have been no reason why Trump should have swept tonight with 50%< in every state. But he did, which would suggest that perhaps...Trump does have a mandate. In a 3 Candidate race, it's not easy to get 50%. But Trump did, in Pennsylvania. I single out that state because it's fairly representative of the country, and Trump swept.

I'm almost certain that Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee, unless the Party changes the rules before the convention (likely) or Cruz surges in California (also likely) while Kasich outperforms in New Mexico and Oregon (who the hell knows really).

Last.FM · by **Corrian** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 8:21 pm

Aren't these last few states Trumps first real 50% wins, too?

by **Galloism** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 8:25 pm

Corrian wrote:Aren't these last few states Trumps first real 50% wins, too?

NY was the first one.

Last.FM · by **Corrian** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 8:26 pm

How the hell does Pennsylvania only have 17 delegates on the Republican side compared to Democrats 180?

Last.FM · by **Corrian** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 8:27 pm

Galloism wrote:
Corrian wrote:Aren't these last few states Trumps first real 50% wins, too?

NY was the first one.

Now he has had 5 in one day....

by **Galloism** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 8:29 pm

Corrian wrote:How the hell does Pennsylvania only have 17 delegates on the Republican side compared to Democrats 180?

Most of pennsylvania's delegates are unbound by the popular vote.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/04/26/politics/ ... sich-cruz/

Last.FM · by **Corrian** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 8:46 pm

Galloism wrote:
Corrian wrote:How the hell does Pennsylvania only have 17 delegates on the Republican side compared to Democrats 180?

Most of pennsylvania's delegates are unbound by the popular vote.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/04/26/politics/ ... sich-cruz/

Ew, that sounds like a caucus.

by **Farnhamia** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 8:56 pm

Corrian wrote:
Galloism wrote:Most of pennsylvania's delegates are unbound by the popular vote.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/04/26/politics/ ... sich-cruz/

Ew, that sounds like a caucus.

Pennsylvania Unbound! *runs away*

by **Cyrisnia** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 9:02 pm

A moment of silence for the Cruz and Kasich campaigns, please.

by **Planita** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 9:08 pm

Even with his five state sweep, he is still not on track.

by **Eol Sha** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 9:11 pm

Planita wrote:Even with his five state sweep, he is still not on track.

Erm, that hasn't been updated since last week.

by **Planita** » Tue Apr 26, 2016 9:14 pm

Eol Sha wrote:
Planita wrote:Even with his five state sweep, he is still not on track.

Erm, that hasn't been updated since last week.

I know that but the target for this set of primaries is 989 (although it hasn't updated it still shows the line representing the delegates he needs). He only has 950. Probably add a few more.

GOP Primary Megathread III: Third Time's A Charm

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