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The Polska Electoral Polka(A Polish Election Thread)

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Who do you support?

PiS
26
28%
PO
11
12%
SLD
6
7%
Wiosna
33
36%
PSL
3
3%
Kukiz' 15
4
4%
Other(Please tell us who)
9
10%
 
Total votes : 92

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Shrillland
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 22511
Founded: Apr 12, 2010
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Shrillland » Sun Oct 13, 2019 6:04 am

The polls close in just under six hours, 21:00 CEST, 15:00 EDT...and I may be absent for the initial exit polls, in fact I probably will be. I will be here later on though.
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The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp
Post Czar
 
Posts: 34994
Founded: Dec 18, 2013
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp » Sun Oct 13, 2019 7:11 am

Wiosna beacuse PiS is extremist trash.

User avatar
Forumland
Spokesperson
 
Posts: 131
Founded: Aug 09, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Forumland » Sun Oct 13, 2019 10:56 am

to give an idea of what daily life is like, here are the prices of various foods in Poland

pistachios are more expensive than I expected...

Shrillland wrote:The polls close in just under six hours, 21:00 CEST, 15:00 EDT...and I may be absent for the initial exit polls, in fact I probably will be. I will be here later on though.

honestly you should just post this instead

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Forumland
Spokesperson
 
Posts: 131
Founded: Aug 09, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Forumland » Sun Oct 13, 2019 12:19 pm

The official results page is here.

the Ipsos exit poll shows PiS at 239 seats which is down on what they showed in 2015 (PiS at 242)

To prevent a repeat of 2015 where the SLD coalition was locked out because of the 8% coalition threshold, everyone is running theoretically as a single party (except for KO, but they'll make it in anyway), so keep that in mind.

User avatar
Shrillland
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 22511
Founded: Apr 12, 2010
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Shrillland » Sun Oct 13, 2019 12:52 pm

Still a majority, but not a big one, so they can't go roll over things like the constitution. Better than I thought it would be.
How America Came to This, by Kowani: Racialised Politics, Ideological Media Gaslighting, and What It All Means For The Future
Plebiscite Plaza 2024
Confused by the names I use for House districts? Here's a primer!
In 1963, Doctor Who taught us all we need to know about politics when a cave woman said, "Old men see no further than tomorrow's meat".

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Dresderstan
Negotiator
 
Posts: 7071
Founded: Jan 18, 2016
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Dresderstan » Sun Oct 13, 2019 1:00 pm

Honestly I kind of expected more from this election. With a 16 point lead I would have expected PiS to make big gains.

User avatar
Forumland
Spokesperson
 
Posts: 131
Founded: Aug 09, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Forumland » Sun Oct 13, 2019 1:00 pm

Shrillland wrote:Still a majority, but not a big one, so they can't go roll over things like the constitution. Better than I thought it would be.

It is a Polish poll, so I'd brace myself for inaccuracies anyway even if it was broadly accurate in 2015.

Dresderstan wrote:Honestly I kind of expected more from this election. With a 16 point lead I would have expected PiS to make big gains.

That's because the SLD alliance is projected to enter the Sejm after it was shut out in 2015.
Last edited by Forumland on Sun Oct 13, 2019 1:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Definitely Not Trumptonium
Diplomat
 
Posts: 724
Founded: Mar 13, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Definitely Not Trumptonium » Sun Oct 13, 2019 1:04 pm

Hopefully they get a majority, they've been doing an astounding job with sound economic policies. All of the ""centrist"" parties have debt-fueled plans while Konfederacja is a libertarian joke. Amazingly they're fueling private market wage growth and huge government spending growth despite tax cuts and debt falling as a portion of the economy every year, a stellar performance -- and that growth doesn't seem to be stopping anytime soon, though it will inevitably slow down. And all of this done despite EU money freefalling, not that EU money has ever made up more than 5% of the budget anyway.

In just four years PiS has brought Poland from wages just slightly below Portugal and Greece to roughly equivalent of Belgium/Austria/Italy when adjusted for prices, so anyone who doesn't understand why voters would want to keep them is a bit dull. Polish minimum wages are now equivalent to Israel and United States, and despite this, wage growth is speeding up, inflation is controllable and below 2.5% target and the labour market continues to tighten as there's more jobs than unemployed people.

Having been in Poland last week, I didn't see a single non-PiS banner in people's homes, except in Krakow but *even there* in the second largest city, PiS was by far far most dominant. It's also amazing to see the transformation of the country, and as a yearly visitor you can see how quickly things change visually. For example, cars. In just four years cars on the road turned out from an average of 10 year old Peugeots to 5 year old Mercs. You hear adverts for Maserati on RMF FM and you see adverts for luxury items being torn down because they're bought faster than they are imported or produced. Schools around the country are expanding and being rebuilt to modernise them, and despite EU funds for road infrastructure running out, there seems to be more roadworks for new roads than ever before, especially for local roads and expressways.

For their next government they are promising to rebuild hospitals after finishing schools, and increasing the minimum wage from American to West European levels, with 4000zl a month by 2022, which will be around the same minimum wage as the Netherlands. That's even more economically leftist than the Left Alliance, who proposed 3500 by the same year and no raises for pensioners despite large tax increases to fund fuck knows what other than punish the wealthy for being wealthy with their plan to uncap social contribution taxes.

In short, they are guaranteed to win tomorrow's election. The question is whether they will be able to run the country as their own coalition again (as PiS is actually a party made up of 3 parties) or will they have to link up with the libertarian Konfederacia or worse the Polish Coalition (agrarians, mildly centrist)

Their social policies are crap, but who gives a shit about LGBT rights when wages are rising 10% a year? ;)
I sexually identify as Michael Jackson and my preferred pronouns are He / Hee!

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The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp
Post Czar
 
Posts: 34994
Founded: Dec 18, 2013
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp » Mon Oct 14, 2019 6:03 am

Forumland wrote:The official results page is here.

the Ipsos exit poll shows PiS at 239 seats which is down on what they showed in 2015 (PiS at 242)

To prevent a repeat of 2015 where the SLD coalition was locked out because of the 8% coalition threshold, everyone is running theoretically as a single party (except for KO, but they'll make it in anyway), so keep that in mind.

Atleast they lost some seats. Next Polish election hope they get even less seats.

User avatar
Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia
Ambassador
 
Posts: 1016
Founded: Aug 13, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia » Mon Oct 14, 2019 5:38 pm

Definitely Not Trumptonium wrote:Their social policies are crap, but who gives a shit about LGBT rights when wages are rising 10% a year? ;)

1930s NSDAP version:
"Their political and social policies are crap, but who gives a shit about democracy and human rights when the German economy is rapidly recovering year by year? ;)"

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Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia
Ambassador
 
Posts: 1016
Founded: Aug 13, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia » Mon Oct 14, 2019 5:51 pm

The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp wrote:
Forumland wrote:The official results page is here.

the Ipsos exit poll shows PiS at 239 seats which is down on what they showed in 2015 (PiS at 242)

To prevent a repeat of 2015 where the SLD coalition was locked out because of the 8% coalition threshold, everyone is running theoretically as a single party (except for KO, but they'll make it in anyway), so keep that in mind.

Atleast they lost some seats. Next Polish election hope they get even less seats.

The biggest gain of this election howewer was the leftist Razem-Wiosna-SLD alliance, which went from virtually no representation at all in the Sejm to over 49 seats in the span of just 4 years, while both PO and PiS suffered some losses within the chamber (And PiS lost its Senate majority altogether from the preliminary results we received so far).
Last edited by Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia on Mon Oct 14, 2019 5:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Werpman
Lobbyist
 
Posts: 18
Founded: Sep 11, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Werpman » Mon Oct 14, 2019 7:22 pm

An excellent result for Lewica! I was surprised that they were able to pull off doing the pragmatic thing and not handing this to PiS again.

How does Trumptonium feel about ZP losing some of its clout?

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Nakena
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 15010
Founded: May 06, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Nakena » Mon Oct 14, 2019 7:24 pm

Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia wrote:
Definitely Not Trumptonium wrote:Their social policies are crap, but who gives a shit about LGBT rights when wages are rising 10% a year? ;)

1930s NSDAP version:
"Their political and social policies are crap, but who gives a shit about democracy and human rights when the German economy is rapidly recovering year by year? ;)"


Food is the first thing, morals come later.

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Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia
Ambassador
 
Posts: 1016
Founded: Aug 13, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia » Mon Oct 14, 2019 7:29 pm

Nakena wrote:
Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia wrote:1930s NSDAP version:
"Their political and social policies are crap, but who gives a shit about democracy and human rights when the German economy is rapidly recovering year by year? ;)"


Food is the first thing, morals come later.

Ironically, after the devastation the fascists caused as a result of their catastrophic ideology, food shortages and economic crises were rampant across a good portion of Europe, thus sacrificing both morals and food.

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Nakena
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 15010
Founded: May 06, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Nakena » Mon Oct 14, 2019 7:38 pm

Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia wrote:
Nakena wrote:
Food is the first thing, morals come later.

Ironically, after the devastation the fascists caused as a result of their catastrophic ideology, food shortages and economic crises were rampant across a good portion of Europe, thus sacrificing both morals and food.


I was paraphrasing Bertholt Brecht. However anyways, it remains that people appear to have voted for the PiS (whose ideology I do not share nor endorse) for their economic and social policy rather than necessarily agreeing with their ideology or their stance on LGBT issues. I do not believe they will cause an mayham to an degree that everything comes crashing down.
Last edited by Nakena on Mon Oct 14, 2019 7:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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North German Realm
Senator
 
Posts: 4494
Founded: Jan 27, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby North German Realm » Mon Oct 14, 2019 10:36 pm

Nakena wrote:
Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia wrote:Ironically, after the devastation the fascists caused as a result of their catastrophic ideology, food shortages and economic crises were rampant across a good portion of Europe, thus sacrificing both morals and food.


I was paraphrasing Bertholt Brecht. However anyways, it remains that people appear to have voted for the PiS (whose ideology I do not share nor endorse) for their economic and social policy rather than necessarily agreeing with their ideology or their stance on LGBT issues. I do not believe they will cause an mayham to an degree that everything comes crashing down.

And were PiS to do anything, those who voted because "muh bread more important than other people's freedom/security" are just as responsible as those who voted becuase "fuck X group" all the same.
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Norddeutscher Bund
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5 Nov, 2020
Die Morgenpost: "We will reconsider our relationship with Poland" Reichskanzler Lagenmauer says after Polish president protested North German ultimatum that made them restore reproductive freedom. | European Society votes not to persecute Hungary for atrocities committed against Serbs, "Giving a rogue state leave to commit genocide as it sees fit." North German delegate bemoans. | Negotiations still underway in Rome, delegates arguing over the extent of indemnities Turkey might be made to pay, lawful status of Turkish collaborators during occupation of Azerbaijan, Cyprus, Syria.

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Nakena
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 15010
Founded: May 06, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Nakena » Tue Oct 15, 2019 12:02 am

North German Realm wrote:
Nakena wrote:
I was paraphrasing Bertholt Brecht. However anyways, it remains that people appear to have voted for the PiS (whose ideology I do not share nor endorse) for their economic and social policy rather than necessarily agreeing with their ideology or their stance on LGBT issues. I do not believe they will cause an mayham to an degree that everything comes crashing down.

And were PiS to do anything, those who voted because "muh bread more important than other people's freedom/security" are just as responsible as those who voted becuase "fuck X group" all the same.


I do not disagree entirely, still its a slippery slope. Because some people cannot afford or have the luxury to make another decision.
Last edited by Nakena on Tue Oct 15, 2019 12:03 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia
Ambassador
 
Posts: 1016
Founded: Aug 13, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia » Tue Oct 15, 2019 11:26 am

North German Realm wrote:
Nakena wrote:
I was paraphrasing Bertholt Brecht. However anyways, it remains that people appear to have voted for the PiS (whose ideology I do not share nor endorse) for their economic and social policy rather than necessarily agreeing with their ideology or their stance on LGBT issues. I do not believe they will cause an mayham to an degree that everything comes crashing down.

And were PiS to do anything, those who voted because "muh bread more important than other people's freedom/security" are just as responsible as those who voted becuase "fuck X group" all the same.

Indeed. As Benjamin Franklin said:
"Those who would give up essential Liberty to purchase a little temporary Safety deserve neither Liberty nor Safety."

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Polszcza
Lobbyist
 
Posts: 18
Founded: Mar 16, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Polszcza » Tue Oct 15, 2019 5:58 pm

I never vote, because every party is horrible/disorganised/ineffective/making deals with the Yanks/Brussels/Berlin/SB/banks while neglecting to build independent Polish industry, foster a genuine, unique Polish high culture, promote Polish R&D, and revise the concordat with the Holy See.

Plus, voting is a sham anyway. People make promises to gain power and do nothing/mess things up after gaining power, only to repeat those same promises during the next round of elections.

So yeah, death to democracy and may the best autocrat emerge to bring about a rebirth in our Ojczyzna!

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Nakena
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 15010
Founded: May 06, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Nakena » Tue Oct 15, 2019 6:39 pm

Polszcza wrote:I never vote, because every party is horrible/disorganised/ineffective/making deals with the Yanks/Brussels/Berlin/SB/banks while neglecting to build independent Polish industry, foster a genuine, unique Polish high culture, promote Polish R&D, and revise the concordat with the Holy See.

Plus, voting is a sham anyway. People make promises to gain power and do nothing/mess things up after gaining power, only to repeat those same promises during the next round of elections.

So yeah, death to democracy and may the best autocrat emerge to bring about a rebirth in our Ojczyzna!


Strasserist?

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The tanks of herp
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Posts: 13
Founded: Oct 14, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby The tanks of herp » Tue Oct 15, 2019 7:37 pm

Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia wrote:
The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp wrote:Atleast they lost some seats. Next Polish election hope they get even less seats.

The biggest gain of this election howewer was the leftist Razem-Wiosna-SLD alliance, which went from virtually no representation at all in the Sejm to over 49 seats in the span of just 4 years, while both PO and PiS suffered some losses within the chamber (And PiS lost its Senate majority altogether from the preliminary results we received so far).

Excellent!

Here is hoping that the Razem-Wiosna-SLD alliance continues to grow.

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Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia
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Founded: Aug 13, 2019
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Postby Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia » Tue Oct 15, 2019 8:20 pm

Nakena wrote:
Polszcza wrote:I never vote, because every party is horrible/disorganised/ineffective/making deals with the Yanks/Brussels/Berlin/SB/banks while neglecting to build independent Polish industry, foster a genuine, unique Polish high culture, promote Polish R&D, and revise the concordat with the Holy See.

Plus, voting is a sham anyway. People make promises to gain power and do nothing/mess things up after gaining power, only to repeat those same promises during the next round of elections.

So yeah, death to democracy and may the best autocrat emerge to bring about a rebirth in our Ojczyzna!


Strasserist?

His flag is literally identical to the insignia of the ONR-Falanga, so yeah, he is most likely a Strasserist.

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North German Realm
Senator
 
Posts: 4494
Founded: Jan 27, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby North German Realm » Tue Oct 15, 2019 11:02 pm

Polszcza wrote:I never vote, because every party is horrible/disorganised/ineffective/making deals with the Yanks/Brussels/Berlin/SB/banks while neglecting to build independent Polish industry, foster a genuine, unique Polish high culture, promote Polish R&D, and revise the concordat with the Holy See.

Plus, voting is a sham anyway. People make promises to gain power and do nothing/mess things up after gaining power, only to repeat those same promises during the next round of elections.

So yeah, death to democracy and may the best autocrat emerge to bring about a rebirth in our Ojczyzna!

That is one of the least healthy attitudes regarding electoral tradition I have ever read anywhere.

Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia wrote:
North German Realm wrote:And were PiS to do anything, those who voted because "muh bread more important than other people's freedom/security" are just as responsible as those who voted becuase "fuck X group" all the same.

Indeed. As Benjamin Franklin said:
"Those who would give up essential Liberty to purchase a little temporary Safety deserve neither Liberty nor Safety."

Essentially, and the funniest part is that they eventually lose both.
-----------------
-----------------
-----------------
North German Confederation
NationStates Flag Bracket II - 6th place!

Norddeutscher Bund
Homepage || Overview | Sovereign | Chancellor | Military | Legislature || The World
5 Nov, 2020
Die Morgenpost: "We will reconsider our relationship with Poland" Reichskanzler Lagenmauer says after Polish president protested North German ultimatum that made them restore reproductive freedom. | European Society votes not to persecute Hungary for atrocities committed against Serbs, "Giving a rogue state leave to commit genocide as it sees fit." North German delegate bemoans. | Negotiations still underway in Rome, delegates arguing over the extent of indemnities Turkey might be made to pay, lawful status of Turkish collaborators during occupation of Azerbaijan, Cyprus, Syria.

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Nakena
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 15010
Founded: May 06, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Nakena » Tue Oct 15, 2019 11:14 pm

North German Realm wrote:That is one of the least healthy attitudes regarding electoral tradition I have ever read anywhere.


I absolutly agree. This is by far the dumbest and most stupidest thing to do. I may do not agree with the political systems, or even the entire foundation upon which is build. But I've with a vote I've still have an possibility to influence things, however little, towards a more desireable outcome within what currently exists. Even though this will not result in something I genuinely desire, want or like, it is still one move I can make.

So why waste it?
Last edited by Nakena on Tue Oct 15, 2019 11:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Polszcza
Lobbyist
 
Posts: 18
Founded: Mar 16, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Polszcza » Tue Oct 15, 2019 11:18 pm

Czechoslovakia and Zakarpatia wrote:
Nakena wrote:
Strasserist?

His flag is literally identical to the insignia of the ONR-Falanga, so yeah, he is most likely a Strasserist.

Identical? Not really. First, ONR (both pre- and post-war) uses a green flag. Second, the “falanga” symbol is geometric. See this link. https://pl.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ruch_Narodowo-Radykalny

As for my insignia, I trust that you’ve never examined the Polish naval jack (both current and past)? All I’ve done is taken the heraldic i.e. realistic arm of the naval jack and given it the szczerbiec (Poland’s traditional sword). If I were a Strasserist/ONR supporter/MWp etc., I would have used the National Democratic “Mieczyk Chrobrego”.

Call me whatever, but I will be an arse about symbolism and accuracy.

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