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UK Politics Thread V: Upon This Blasted Heath

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Which of the following do you want to keep post-Brexit

Freedom of Movement
31
13%
Single Market Access
62
25%
Both of the Above
102
41%
Neither of the Above
53
21%
 
Total votes : 248

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Wolfmanne2
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Postby Wolfmanne2 » Thu Sep 29, 2016 3:42 pm

Chestaan wrote:
Wolfmanne2 wrote:That's human nature in the sense that is a completely rational approach to take. Changing economic systems or abolishing the one we have will not change human nature and human nature will cause imperfections. If something falls in value because the value of a product is overstated, tough luck; it happens all the time and the economy keeps on chugging along. But people get things right too; for instance, if you thought that the iPhone was revolutionary when it came out and people would buy it because of how good a product was, you would have been correct because it was a big seller, people did buy it and Apple's share price went up. And that financial investment from the purchasing of those stocks partially could have contributed to that (i.e. might had been used to cut down production costs) - but overall, the product itself was good enough in its own right that it would have been a profitable investment.


We're not in the pre-crash world. There was a lot wrong with the pre-crash world. If something is broken, fix it. If something isn't broken, don't fix it and certainly don't do what you'd like to do which is break it completely and try use some glue to fix it back together again.


Well of course. That's perfectly rationally behaviour; if a company is in trouble, then you're going to make less of a return and it is safe-bet to pull out. If you're concerned about short-term investments, then there are government policies that can encourage people to stick it out for the long-term (I don't think this is good policy, but as an example you could allocate extra voting powers to those own shares in a company for, say, three years). Capitalism can be made responsible.

Perfection is difficult to obtain. Is the system flawed? Yes. Does it need tinkering? Yes. Should we fix or destroy things that aren't broken? No.


Nowhere here have I made the argument that we need to rip the system apart. I am simply stating that the compensation received by the financial sector is vastly greater than it's value added.

My point about the self fulfilling prophecy, the CDOs, Keynesian beauty contest etc. was that using market values for assets is not a perfect indicator of how well a company (and certainly not an economy) is doing. In many cases valuations can be rationally based on arbitrary rumours. Institutions can collapse on the whims of the financial sector even if they had high positive value.

My other point is that the financial sector doesn't add information. We already have the information in the public sphere, and if they have information that we do not that is illegal insider training. The information is all there. Information leads prices, not the other way around.

As a communist, then by definition you must by definition believe that the financial sector has to be significantly reformed beyond recognition if not abolished?

It isn't the only source of information, but it is another source of information. If a headline about Microsoft's performance does come out, how the stock market responds is in an indicator of what sort of situation the company has found itself in and how positive or negative it is.

The point you've made isn't something that people don't know. Of course things can be overvalued. They can also be undervalued. I think that's just human nature.

The compensation received might be greater than the value added, but then all that needs to be done is that legislation needs to address that, though not to the point that we drive companies involved in finance abroad and lose more than we gain. It's fine line to balance. You also have to remember that, in spite of what Elepsis thinks, finance is more than moving numbers from one Excel spreadsheet to another. It is a very high skilled job for the best and the brightest and them earning a large amount is money is justifiable in terms of what they contribute. Should it be as high as it is in many cases? No. But as a generality, I'd say for the products financiers provide and the net benefits that are provided what they earn is justifiable.

Souseiseki wrote:
Wolfmanne2 wrote:There is social value. Take stock market trading. Base on what is traded we can figure out which companies are healthy, how the economy is progressing, figure out where economic markers are etc. A stable and booming stock market is an indicator of prosperity. Traders are one big focus group for us all to see how well the economy is doing - and as a benefit, they make money for said economy for doing just that (there aren't going to be big losses, there are risky trades and safe trades, but like in all economic sectors they do spread risk).


so an entirely incidental benefit of what they do, then? i mean, we could eventually create a system where the number of drunk men in suits blowing party horns becomes a good measure of how healthy the economy is but i don't think that would be a good argument towards the inherent value of getting drunk and mass utilizing novelty party items.

Lots of things can be used to determine how healthy an economy is. If a company that specialised in getting people drink and mass utilizing novelty party items was on the stock markets and was booming, then yes, it is an indicator that the economy is healthy, because such an activity of pointless so I could conclude that disposable incomes among a subset of the population has risen so high so that they can do this.
Last edited by Wolfmanne2 on Thu Sep 29, 2016 3:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Great Nepal
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Postby Great Nepal » Thu Sep 29, 2016 3:45 pm

Chestaan wrote:
Great Nepal wrote:Yes and sitting in that chair would be valuable, quantifiable so in fact - to the tune of €100 million; and in contributes something - tax of about €40 million. A task, or product has no innate value over what someone else is willing to pay for it; given someone is willing to pay for financial services it by definition is valuable.


By your definition, if I paid a hitman to murder an innocent person this would be valuable to the economy.

Yes it'd the hitman can now go and buy something with that money and continue to grow the economy, if he pays tax it is also contributes to the economy. We just trend to put value on human life which is higher than contribution from ending one would be however, when it comes to voluntary and non harmful transaction between two parties, there's no such limitation.

Chestaan wrote: Or I suppose what I am saying is that creating actual value to society is different to monetary value.

So what creates 'actual value to society' and why?

Chestaan wrote:Unless you are trying to say that the value of the parts of the financial sector I am talking about is solely realised by those within the financial sector, and that those parts contribute nothing to societal value. Again I would go back to the casino example. Options and futures, and less obviously the market for secondary shares adds no more value than a casino.

Casinos provide as much societal value as anything else, they provide entertainment and possibility to win money in exchange for money; which is then pushed through the economy in form of employment, and other transactions; as well as directly to government who can invest in other projects in form of tax. No different than say someone manufacturing a TV.
Last edited by Great Nepal on Sun Nov 29, 1995 7:02 am, edited 1 time in total.


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Imperializt Russia
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Postby Imperializt Russia » Thu Sep 29, 2016 3:49 pm

Wolfmanne2 wrote:
Imperializt Russia wrote:I guess that makes up for his time in office, which I've also never heard anyone say good things about. Carter's presidency is a perpetual punchline, every time I've heard him brought up or referenced.

I actually don't think he was that bad. He merely followed the ongoing economic consensus that existed so he wasn't some profligate, started the road to peace in Israel/Palestine and then had his Presidency tarnished by the embassy siege (the Iranians released the prisoners merely to spite Carter upon his defeat). He wasn't some great - but he wasn't an incompetent either.

To be fair, the failure of Eagle Claw gave US the strong special forces capability it enjoys today.
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Wolfmanne2
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Postby Wolfmanne2 » Thu Sep 29, 2016 3:50 pm

Imperializt Russia wrote:
Wolfmanne2 wrote:I actually don't think he was that bad. He merely followed the ongoing economic consensus that existed so he wasn't some profligate, started the road to peace in Israel/Palestine and then had his Presidency tarnished by the embassy siege (the Iranians released the prisoners merely to spite Carter upon his defeat). He wasn't some great - but he wasn't an incompetent either.

To be fair, the failure of Eagle Claw gave US the strong special forces capability it enjoys today.

Hmm, if it was an inevitability that the US would have to learn a big lesson then Carter was extremely unlucky. I guess someone who gets attacked by a rabbit is unlucky - like no matter how you tell it people will just imagine a cute bunny or something.
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Imperializt Russia
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Postby Imperializt Russia » Thu Sep 29, 2016 3:52 pm

Wolfmanne2 wrote:
Imperializt Russia wrote:To be fair, the failure of Eagle Claw gave US the strong special forces capability it enjoys today.

Hmm, if it was an inevitability that the US would have to learn a big lesson then Carter was extremely unlucky. I guess someone who gets attacked by a rabbit is unlucky - like no matter how you tell it people will just imagine a cute bunny or something.

Nearly all public bodies from the military to government departments learn by failure more than anyone else.

Because all policy costs lives.
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Hydesland
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Postby Hydesland » Thu Sep 29, 2016 4:03 pm

Chestaan wrote:
The Nihilistic view wrote:
It's not a zero sum game in the slightest.


How is it not? If I make a profit on assets I sold, say shares, where does that money come from? With derivatives such as options and futures this is even more obvious.

It's not the same as investing in a company that has just issued shares. One provides capital to a company where the other is purely speculation.


No one would buy initial share offerings if you couldn't sell them again, trading provides much needed liquidity - allowing companies to finance capital more easily and cheaply.

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Hydesland
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Postby Hydesland » Thu Sep 29, 2016 4:06 pm

Chestaan wrote:Information leads prices, not the other way around.


No, it's simultaneous - changes in price are informative.

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Imperializt Russia
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Postby Imperializt Russia » Thu Sep 29, 2016 6:35 pm

Leading Britain's Conversation brings us another article on overblowing antisemitism in Labour.
http://www.lbc.co.uk/hot-topics/anti-se ... sm-corbyn/

LBC's editor interviewed a Labour activist, of the Chingford branch, called Naomi Wimborne-Idrissi. In this interview, she made comments about MP Ruth Smeeth. I'm not too sure, but from the rest of the article, I believe this is the MP who famously walked out of the unveiling of the Labour antisemitism report.
In it, she said that Smeeth was "part of a conspiracy to undermine Corbyn", by walking out. And suggesting it was an organised act.

"Ruth Smeeth is one of those people who is against Jeremy Corbyn's socialist vision...she participated in an attempt to undermine the launch of a really important report about racism," claimed Wimborne-Idrissi. "Did anybody know about racism after the release of that report? No they didn't. All they knew was that an angry Jewish MP had run out of the room."

Now, Naomi didn't suggest there was a "Jewish conspiracy" (in fact, she isn't ascribed the use of the word "conspiracy" at all, this is the word the LBC repeatedly uses to summarise her comments). She suggested there was an act, one could consider to be conspiratorial, and made reference to Smeeth's Jewish identity as part of that. This is not suggesting "she did it because she was Jewish".
One key argument in this point is that Naomi Wimborne-Idrissi is Jewish herself, and a leading figure on several anti-Israel Jewish groups.

She also suggested that MP Louise Ellman was part of such a "plot" to undermine Corbyn.

LBC played these comments to two other Labour MPs in Merseyside, Allison McGovern and Wes Streeting. Ms McGovern was moved to tears over this.

"I just hate to hear people who I feel have given a massive amount to the Labour movement...to hear them denegrated I find it quite hurtful.

"Louise is a brilliant person and what she's putting up with at the moment is just too much."



Personally? This particular article is bloody confusing. Not reading the original comments as originally made, it comes off as trying to allude to things that were not made.
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Lamadia 2016
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Postby Lamadia 2016 » Thu Sep 29, 2016 11:20 pm

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Marcurix
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Postby Marcurix » Thu Sep 29, 2016 11:26 pm



Probably because it would make it harder for Londoners to find places to live and drive already substantial prices higher?
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Postby Vassenor » Thu Sep 29, 2016 11:30 pm

Marcurix wrote:


Probably because it would make it harder for Londoners to find places to live and drive already substantial prices higher?


No one cares about the proletariat and their so-called housing crisis. Not when we need to make it easier for Russian oligarchs to buy their sixteenth homes.
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Great Nepal
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Postby Great Nepal » Thu Sep 29, 2016 11:32 pm

Marcurix wrote:


Probably because it would make it harder for Londoners to find places to live and drive already substantial prices higher?

We could always build more homes, using the tax revenue from FDOs; but no lets crack down on investments instead.
Last edited by Great Nepal on Sun Nov 29, 1995 7:02 am, edited 1 time in total.


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Shamhnan Insir
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Postby Shamhnan Insir » Thu Sep 29, 2016 11:35 pm

Great Nepal wrote:
Marcurix wrote:
Probably because it would make it harder for Londoners to find places to live and drive already substantial prices higher?

We could always build more homes, using the tax revenue from FDOs; but no lets crack down on investments instead.

Yes, lets just build more homes... With all the free space we have to do so...
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Great Nepal
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Postby Great Nepal » Thu Sep 29, 2016 11:43 pm

Shamhnan Insir wrote:
Great Nepal wrote:We could always build more homes, using the tax revenue from FDOs; but no lets crack down on investments instead.

Yes, lets just build more homes... With all the free space we have to do so...

Yes, we're totally running out of free space, not like we have land area for 3,350,000 homes in London, nor that traditional houses are incredibly wasteful land wise.
Last edited by Great Nepal on Sun Nov 29, 1995 7:02 am, edited 1 time in total.


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Philjia
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Postby Philjia » Thu Sep 29, 2016 11:50 pm



Because it's continuing to push London property prices to increasingly stupid levels, and if the people buying are all Saudi oil barons the only new houses built are going to be for Saudi oil barons. It's neither sustainable nor good for London.
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Postby Olivaero » Thu Sep 29, 2016 11:52 pm

I've gotta say i'm tired of the contant "We have no space" meme. We have plenty of space for new houses or apartment buildings we just arent using it. Its wilful mismanagement on the governments part because they want to incentivise not mandate construction for their ideological goals.

It reminds me a bit of global food poverty, we have enough food its just not getting used, because of inefficiency inherent in the free market, when it comes to getting the needy what they need unless they have the cash.
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Shamhnan Insir
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Postby Shamhnan Insir » Thu Sep 29, 2016 11:56 pm

Great Nepal wrote:
Shamhnan Insir wrote:Yes, lets just build more homes... With all the free space we have to do so...

Yes, we're totally running out of free space, not like we have land area for 3,350,000 homes in London, nor that traditional houses are incredibly wasteful land wise.

Where are you getting 3 million from? I read 300,000 from maximised use of brownfield sites in the GLA.

What do you define as traditional houses? The reason for the commuter belt and satellite hubs is because of city dwellers who don't want to live in a box.
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Nationalism is an infantile disease, it is the measles of humanity.
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Great Nepal
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Postby Great Nepal » Fri Sep 30, 2016 12:03 am

Shamhnan Insir wrote:
Great Nepal wrote:Yes, we're totally running out of free space, not like we have land area for 3,350,000 homes in London, nor that traditional houses are incredibly wasteful land wise.

Where are you getting 3 million from? I read 300,000 from maximised use of brownfield sites in the GLA.

What do you define as traditional houses? The reason for the commuter belt and satellite hubs is because of city dwellers who don't want to live in a box.

350k from GLA brownfield, 430k from GLA greenfield (forgot about that first time), 3mil from non-GLA but London greenfield; getting central government to transfer the last one might be tricky but once we build in first two, it'll be politically impossible for them to refuse.

Traditional homes as detached/semi/terraced houses genetically designed to house one or two families only; that land under the house just got entirely wasted. By building vertically, we make much better use of the space.
Last edited by Great Nepal on Sun Nov 29, 1995 7:02 am, edited 1 time in total.


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Philjia
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Postby Philjia » Fri Sep 30, 2016 12:05 am

Olivaero wrote:I've gotta say i'm tired of the contant "We have no space" meme. We have plenty of space for new houses or apartment buildings we just arent using it. Its wilful mismanagement on the governments part because they want to incentivise not mandate construction for their ideological goals.

It reminds me a bit of global food poverty, we have enough food its just not getting used, because of inefficiency inherent in the free market, when it comes to getting the needy what they need unless they have the cash.


We need shut like low rise flats to help people get onto the property ladder, but nobody is building them.
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⚧ Trans rights. ⚧
Pragmatic ethical utopian socialist, IE I'm for whatever kind of socialism is the most moral and practical. Pro LGBT rights and gay marriage, pro gay adoption, generally internationalist, ambivalent on the EU, atheist, pro free speech and expression, pro legalisation of prostitution and soft drugs, and pro choice. Anti authoritarian, anti Marxist. White cishet male.

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Olivaero
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Postby Olivaero » Fri Sep 30, 2016 12:16 am

Philjia wrote:
Olivaero wrote:I've gotta say i'm tired of the contant "We have no space" meme. We have plenty of space for new houses or apartment buildings we just arent using it. Its wilful mismanagement on the governments part because they want to incentivise not mandate construction for their ideological goals.

It reminds me a bit of global food poverty, we have enough food its just not getting used, because of inefficiency inherent in the free market, when it comes to getting the needy what they need unless they have the cash.


We need shut like low rise flats to help people get onto the property ladder, but nobody is building them.

Yeah i would bet a good portion of my money that they arn't being built because low cost functional housing isnt cost effective with land prices in london.
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Shamhnan Insir
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Postby Shamhnan Insir » Fri Sep 30, 2016 12:19 am

Great Nepal wrote:
Shamhnan Insir wrote:Where are you getting 3 million from? I read 300,000 from maximised use of brownfield sites in the GLA.

What do you define as traditional houses? The reason for the commuter belt and satellite hubs is because of city dwellers who don't want to live in a box.

350k from GLA brownfield, 430k from GLA greenfield (forgot about that first time), 3mil from non-GLA but London greenfield; getting central government to transfer the last one might be tricky but once we build in first two, it'll be politically impossible for them to refuse.

Traditional homes as detached/semi/terraced houses genetically designed to house one or two families only; that land under the house just got entirely wasted. By building vertically, we make much better use of the space.

So there will be no greenfield, even beyond greater London. I'm no Londoner but a city without greenfield spaces is horribly depressing and to be honest it would damage the city. I agree with building vertically to make most use of the space, however I would begin this work within the city as it currently stands.
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Nationalism is an infantile disease, it is the measles of humanity.
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Great Nepal
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Postby Great Nepal » Fri Sep 30, 2016 12:40 am

Philjia wrote:


Because it's continuing to push London property prices to increasingly stupid levels, and if the people buying are all Saudi oil barons the only new houses built are going to be for Saudi oil barons. It's neither sustainable nor good for London.

Over the next ten years foreign investment in London property is expected to be upto £150bn, if we imposed 1% tax which reduced the investment by 5%, we'd still raise £2.85bn. Average cost of building a flat in 10 flat scheme costs £1201 per sq meter. If we build average size flats at 75 sq meters, it'd cost £90,075 per flat. Since its brownfield and in London lets up the price by 50% to £135,112 per flat.
With new tax income, if you throw 30% at admin, you could still afford to build 14,765 flats; house all rough sleepers and have 7,265 places to spare.
Last edited by Great Nepal on Sun Nov 29, 1995 7:02 am, edited 1 time in total.


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Great Nepal
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Postby Great Nepal » Fri Sep 30, 2016 12:57 am

Shamhnan Insir wrote:
Great Nepal wrote:350k from GLA brownfield, 430k from GLA greenfield (forgot about that first time), 3mil from non-GLA but London greenfield; getting central government to transfer the last one might be tricky but once we build in first two, it'll be politically impossible for them to refuse.

Traditional homes as detached/semi/terraced houses genetically designed to house one or two families only; that land under the house just got entirely wasted. By building vertically, we make much better use of the space.

So there will be no greenfield, even beyond greater London. I'm no Londoner but a city without greenfield spaces is horribly depressing and to be honest it would damage the city. I agree with building vertically to make most use of the space, however I would begin this work within the city as it currently stands.

Oh yes we should use brownfield before going after greenbelt, and perhaps move towards requiring new builds to be flats, but I disagree on greenfield - that land is literally just sitting there, going to waste. Let's build homes, public transport, epic pools, and parks; just because we develop it doesn't mean we should convert it to concete jungle - we have opportunity to turn the area into awesome, and beautiful extension of London with all that entails. Redesignate area with less demand upon it as national park to make up environmental impact.
Last edited by Great Nepal on Fri Sep 30, 2016 1:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
Last edited by Great Nepal on Sun Nov 29, 1995 7:02 am, edited 1 time in total.


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Wolfmanne2
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Postby Wolfmanne2 » Fri Sep 30, 2016 2:12 am


I put it to you, you don't think building new affordable houses is a good thing? Answer this.
Last edited by Wolfmanne2 on Fri Sep 30, 2016 2:15 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Postby Val Halla » Fri Sep 30, 2016 2:23 am

There is a housing crisis. If the options are between doing nothing, building affordable houses, or building houses nobody can afford, the choice should be obvious
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