Rufford wrote:Llamalandia wrote:Yeah, in theory. Of course, that doesn't prevent the rogue madman or terrorists who are ok with destroying the world. Plus eventually missile defense probably could evolve to the point of being nearly 100 percent effective, of course it would also have to be an ongoing process as countermeasures will no be developed to help icbm s evade or doubter the defenses. But I'd rather an arms race based on making better shields than more or bigger bombs.
As missile defences evolve, so do the delivery systems. And the ICBM is leading the arms race: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RS-28_Sarmat
Yeah, in large part bc of the stupid anti ballistic missile treat signed by Nixon. But ya know what, no ones ever been killed by missile defense systems, whereas how many have been killed by nukes, oh yeah, large parts of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Look, bottom line I'm not advocating nations just unilaterally give up their nuclear arsenals, but honestly the Cold War has been over for 30 years and despite putins best efforts isn't likely to come back. The threat of a massive first strike and possible retaliation are both rather remote now. The real threat is from accidental launches and rogue state or non state actors. And I'm not too worried about the DPRK or Iran developing even rudimentary mirv in the near future, and certainly I'm not worried they can produce them on a sufficient scale to thwart a well developed abm system.