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Nuclear Weapons: Your Opinion

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Do you oppose Nuclear Weapons?

No
182
50%
Yes
136
38%
Other (Please State)
44
12%
 
Total votes : 362

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Llamalandia
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Founded: Dec 07, 2011
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Postby Llamalandia » Sat Aug 13, 2016 3:44 pm

Rufford wrote:
Llamalandia wrote:Yeah, in theory. Of course, that doesn't prevent the rogue madman or terrorists who are ok with destroying the world. Plus eventually missile defense probably could evolve to the point of being nearly 100 percent effective, of course it would also have to be an ongoing process as countermeasures will no be developed to help icbm s evade or doubter the defenses. But I'd rather an arms race based on making better shields than more or bigger bombs.

As missile defences evolve, so do the delivery systems. And the ICBM is leading the arms race: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RS-28_Sarmat

Yeah, in large part bc of the stupid anti ballistic missile treat signed by Nixon. But ya know what, no ones ever been killed by missile defense systems, whereas how many have been killed by nukes, oh yeah, large parts of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Look, bottom line I'm not advocating nations just unilaterally give up their nuclear arsenals, but honestly the Cold War has been over for 30 years and despite putins best efforts isn't likely to come back. The threat of a massive first strike and possible retaliation are both rather remote now. The real threat is from accidental launches and rogue state or non state actors. And I'm not too worried about the DPRK or Iran developing even rudimentary mirv in the near future, and certainly I'm not worried they can produce them on a sufficient scale to thwart a well developed abm system.

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Novus America
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Postby Novus America » Sat Aug 13, 2016 3:47 pm

Rufford wrote:
Llamalandia wrote:Yeah, in theory. Of course, that doesn't prevent the rogue madman or terrorists who are ok with destroying the world. Plus eventually missile defense probably could evolve to the point of being nearly 100 percent effective, of course it would also have to be an ongoing process as countermeasures will no be developed to help icbm s evade or doubter the defenses. But I'd rather an arms race based on making better shields than more or bigger bombs.

As missile defences evolve, so do the delivery systems. And the ICBM is leading the arms race: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RS-28_Sarmat


Sure delivery systems evolve. But that is fine. It is the nature of things. Missile defense systems evolve too.

The RS-28 is an inexplicably stupid missile. We got rid of our heavy, liquid fueled silo launched missiles. Because they are obsolete.

Sure it has 15 MIRVs but if shot down in the mid phase it is putting too many eggs in one basket. And with New Start it leaves the Russians with fewer missiles.

You can leave the RS-28 and MAD with your disco albums and bell bottoms.
Last edited by Novus America on Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Llamalandia
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Founded: Dec 07, 2011
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Postby Llamalandia » Sat Aug 13, 2016 3:50 pm

Novus America wrote:
Rufford wrote:As missile defences evolve, so do the delivery systems. And the ICBM is leading the arms race: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RS-28_Sarmat


Sure delivery systems evolve. But that is fine. It is the nature of things. Missile seems we systems evolve too.

The RS-28 is an inexplicably stupid missile. We got rid of our heavy, liquid fueled silo launche missiles. Because they are obsolete.

Sure it has 15 MIRVs but if shot down in the mid phase it putting too many eggs in one basket. And with New Start it leaves the Russisns with fewer missiles.

You can leave the RS-28 and MAD with your disco albums and bell bottoms.

Plus I'm pretty sure modern abm systems can neutralize multiple warheads simultaneously now, heck pretty sure we have interceptors that can even take out multiple seperate warheads if they are still in close enough proximity. And that's just what has actually been made public.

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Dooom35796821595
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Postby Dooom35796821595 » Sat Aug 13, 2016 3:54 pm

Llamalandia wrote:
Novus America wrote:
Sure delivery systems evolve. But that is fine. It is the nature of things. Missile seems we systems evolve too.

The RS-28 is an inexplicably stupid missile. We got rid of our heavy, liquid fueled silo launche missiles. Because they are obsolete.

Sure it has 15 MIRVs but if shot down in the mid phase it putting too many eggs in one basket. And with New Start it leaves the Russisns with fewer missiles.

You can leave the RS-28 and MAD with your disco albums and bell bottoms.

Plus I'm pretty sure modern abm systems can neutralize multiple warheads simultaneously now, heck pretty sure we have interceptors that can even take out multiple seperate warheads if they are still in close enough proximity. And that's just what has actually been made public.


You do realise that high end MIRVs travel at hypersonic speeds at over 24 times the speed of sound? If you have a missile with twelve warheads, three live and nine decoys there's no certainty of hitting all three nukes.
When life gives you lemons, you BURN THEIR HOUSE DOWN!
Anything can be justified if it is cool. If at first you don't succeed, destroy all in your way.
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Novus America
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Postby Novus America » Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:00 pm

Rufford wrote:
Llamalandia wrote:A learn to speak AMERICAN please. B MAD and deterrence is stupid as hell. If the US makes it so that no can effectively use icbm then that is a good thing. I mean, it might be better to just get rid of all nukes but that seems unlikely to happen. This seems like the next best alternative.

Sorry I forgot you were an expert on everything. You clearly seem to think your nuclear strategy is better than the one that has kept peace between nuclear powers since the late 40s/50s.


Umm MAD only applied to NATO v the Soviets. Also it did not exist in the 40s or 50s. The Soviet nuclear forces were very weak until the mid 60s. In the 40s and 50s NATO had overwhelming nuclear forces to compensate for inferior conventional forces. MAD became nevcessary only after the Soviets caught up in terms of nuclear forces while still have overwhelming conventional forces. In the 80s NATO had strong enough conventional forces to provide a conventional deterent, thus making MAD less relevant. It is now dead with the Soviet Union, Russian doctrine includes the use of limited strikes and tactical nukes.

MAD thus like bell bottoms, disco and brutalist architecture is a curious and grotesque relic of the 70s.
Last edited by Novus America on Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Llamalandia
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Founded: Dec 07, 2011
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Postby Llamalandia » Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:03 pm

Dooom35796821595 wrote:
Llamalandia wrote:Plus I'm pretty sure modern abm systems can neutralize multiple warheads simultaneously now, heck pretty sure we have interceptors that can even take out multiple seperate warheads if they are still in close enough proximity. And that's just what has actually been made public.


You do realise that high end MIRVs travel at hypersonic speeds at over 24 times the speed of sound? If you have a missile with twelve warheads, three live and nine decoys there's no certainty of hitting all three nukes.

Well that is why you have tech that can discriminate between live warheads and decoys and also lots of interceptor missiles... or possibly space based platforms in the future.

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Novus America
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Postby Novus America » Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:05 pm

Dooom35796821595 wrote:
Llamalandia wrote:Plus I'm pretty sure modern abm systems can neutralize multiple warheads simultaneously now, heck pretty sure we have interceptors that can even take out multiple seperate warheads if they are still in close enough proximity. And that's just what has actually been made public.


You do realise that high end MIRVs travel at hypersonic speeds at over 24 times the speed of sound? If you have a missile with twelve warheads, three live and nine decoys there's no certainty of hitting all three nukes.


You will never be certain. That is not the point. Missile defenses are designed to shoot things going that fast. But the big weakness of MIRVs is if you hit the missile before they deploy they lose 12 warheads instead of one. Hence US missile defenses incude systems that attack missiles in mid course, before they deploy their MIRVs.

Liquid fueled and silo launched are still obsolete. If you are going to use MIRVs at least put them on a mobile solid fueled missile.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Dooom35796821595
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Founded: Sep 11, 2011
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Postby Dooom35796821595 » Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:08 pm

Llamalandia wrote:
Dooom35796821595 wrote:
You do realise that high end MIRVs travel at hypersonic speeds at over 24 times the speed of sound? If you have a missile with twelve warheads, three live and nine decoys there's no certainty of hitting all three nukes.


Well that is why you have tech that can discriminate between live warheads and decoys and also lots of interceptor missiles... or possibly space based platforms in the future.


No. Inteceptors work best when they target the first stage launch. And there is no way to determine what MIRV is live and what is a decoy at Mk24, let alone time enough to respond.
When life gives you lemons, you BURN THEIR HOUSE DOWN!
Anything can be justified if it is cool. If at first you don't succeed, destroy all in your way.
"Your methods are stupid! Your progress has been stupid! Your intelligence is stupid! For the sake of the mission, you must be terminated!”

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Dooom35796821595
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Postby Dooom35796821595 » Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:12 pm

Novus America wrote:
Dooom35796821595 wrote:
You do realise that high end MIRVs travel at hypersonic speeds at over 24 times the speed of sound? If you have a missile with twelve warheads, three live and nine decoys there's no certainty of hitting all three nukes.


You will never be certain. That is not the point. Missile defenses are designed to shoot things going that fast. But the big weakness of MIRVs is if you hit the missile before they deploy they lose 12 warheads instead of one. Hence US missile defenses incude systems that attack missiles in mid course, before they deploy their MIRVs.

Liquid fueled and silo launched are still obsolete. If you are going to use MIRVs at least put them on a mobile solid fueled missile.


The previous poster was speculating on the ability to take out MIRVs after they deploy from the third stage, I was just pointing out that that is the worst point to target the missile, and would have the lowest success rate.
When life gives you lemons, you BURN THEIR HOUSE DOWN!
Anything can be justified if it is cool. If at first you don't succeed, destroy all in your way.
"Your methods are stupid! Your progress has been stupid! Your intelligence is stupid! For the sake of the mission, you must be terminated!”

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Novus America
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Postby Novus America » Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:14 pm

Dooom35796821595 wrote:
Llamalandia wrote:
Well that is why you have tech that can discriminate between live warheads and decoys and also lots of interceptor missiles... or possibly space based platforms in the future.


No. Inteceptors work best when they target the first stage launch. And there is no way to determine what MIRV is live and what is a decoy at Mk24, let alone time enough to respond.


Well it depends on the decoy. If it is a decoy warhead of the same size and weight you cannot tell. But you can discrimnate between warheads and countermeasures like flares and Mylar balloons.

But yes it is best to shoot down the missile before it can deploy its warheads at all, thus killing all MIRVs with one defensive missile.

Though a 100% effective missile defense is not neccesary. It just needs to be credible enough to make the opponent doubt the effectiveness of his missiles.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Llamalandia
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Founded: Dec 07, 2011
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Postby Llamalandia » Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:16 pm

Dooom35796821595 wrote:
Novus America wrote:
You will never be certain. That is not the point. Missile defenses are designed to shoot things going that fast. But the big weakness of MIRVs is if you hit the missile before they deploy they lose 12 warheads instead of one. Hence US missile defenses incude systems that attack missiles in mid course, before they deploy their MIRVs.

Liquid fueled and silo launched are still obsolete. If you are going to use MIRVs at least put them on a mobile solid fueled missile.


The previous poster was speculating on the ability to take out MIRVs after they deploy from the third stage, I was just pointing out that that is the worst point to target the missile, and would have the lowest success rate.

True, though I believe we do or at least have been developing the technology to do that in case we don't detect the launch right away. But yeah, pretty much the sooner you can take out the missile the better. Much harder to target deployed warheads, not impossible.

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Novus America
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Postby Novus America » Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:17 pm

Dooom35796821595 wrote:
Novus America wrote:
You will never be certain. That is not the point. Missile defenses are designed to shoot things going that fast. But the big weakness of MIRVs is if you hit the missile before they deploy they lose 12 warheads instead of one. Hence US missile defenses incude systems that attack missiles in mid course, before they deploy their MIRVs.

Liquid fueled and silo launched are still obsolete. If you are going to use MIRVs at least put them on a mobile solid fueled missile.


The previous poster was speculating on the ability to take out MIRVs after they deploy from the third stage, I was just pointing out that that is the worst point to target the missile, and would have the lowest success rate.


True, on that you are correct. Though are layered missile defense should have sytems to target the MIRVs that get past the mid course interceptors. The idea being that hopefully their reduced number is easier to deal with.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Novus America
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Founded: Jun 02, 2014
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Postby Novus America » Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:23 pm

Llamalandia wrote:
Dooom35796821595 wrote:
The previous poster was speculating on the ability to take out MIRVs after they deploy from the third stage, I was just pointing out that that is the worst point to target the missile, and would have the lowest success rate.

True, though I believe we do or at least have been developing the technology to do that in case we don't detect the launch right away. But yeah, pretty much the sooner you can take out the missile the better. Much harder to target deployed warheads, not impossible.


We do have a system designed to hit missiles in the second or mid course stage.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ground- ... se_Defense
Though it is still in early developement and limited deployment.

Of course the best is to kill it in the boost phase, but you have to get close enough to the launch before or right after the launch, which is extremely difficult. You would need spaced based lasers for that, which have been proposed but are beyond our current abilities.
Last edited by Novus America on Sat Aug 13, 2016 4:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Lalaki
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Postby Lalaki » Sat Aug 13, 2016 8:15 pm

Bad, but not easily dealt with.

I wouldn't want the United States reducing its stockpile of nuclear weapons (which protect not only Americans but also our allies across the globe) as it may allow China, Russia, and other nuclear states to gain power on the geopolitical stage. That's not a sentiment to take lightly.
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Xenunian Galactic Confederacy
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Postby Xenunian Galactic Confederacy » Sat Aug 13, 2016 8:24 pm

Indo-Malaysia wrote:Are Nuclear Weapons in your opinion, good or bad?

Nuclear Weapons, have brought up issues in the past, à la Tony Blair and in particular locations. I have mixed views about the topic. With them being a devastating, radiation-inducing weapon, that can leave large areas rendered uninhabitable for a long time, I oppose them. However, I feel it is necessary for nations to own these, as deterrents from others using it (MAD/Mutual Assured Destruction), thus making a Nuclear Attack less likely in theory.


What are your thoughts NSG?



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No, seriously, it means we will commit M.A.S ( Mutually Assured Suicide ).

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Internationalist Bastard
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Postby Internationalist Bastard » Sat Aug 13, 2016 8:48 pm

Untilwe figure out a way to completly eliminate the possibility of them ever existing again, we unfortunatley can't disarm them
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Dooom35796821595
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Postby Dooom35796821595 » Sat Aug 13, 2016 9:02 pm

Internationalist Bastard wrote:Untilwe figure out a way to completly eliminate the possibility of them ever existing again, we unfortunatley can't disarm them


Once a door is opened, it cannot be closed.
When life gives you lemons, you BURN THEIR HOUSE DOWN!
Anything can be justified if it is cool. If at first you don't succeed, destroy all in your way.
"Your methods are stupid! Your progress has been stupid! Your intelligence is stupid! For the sake of the mission, you must be terminated!”

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Imperializt Russia
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Postby Imperializt Russia » Sat Aug 13, 2016 9:40 pm

Llamalandia wrote:
Dooom35796821595 wrote:
You do realise that high end MIRVs travel at hypersonic speeds at over 24 times the speed of sound? If you have a missile with twelve warheads, three live and nine decoys there's no certainty of hitting all three nukes.

Well that is why you have tech that can discriminate between live warheads and decoys and also lots of interceptor missiles... or possibly space based platforms in the future.

That technology doesn't exist.

The most effective method for destroying MIRVs with decoy warheads is to kill the MIRV bus before it can deploy any warheads of decoys.
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Benevolent One
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Postby Benevolent One » Sat Aug 13, 2016 10:06 pm

Indo-Malaysia wrote:Are Nuclear Weapons in your opinion, good or bad?

Nuclear Weapons, have brought up issues in the past, à la Tony Blair and in particular locations. I have mixed views about the topic. With them being a devastating, radiation-inducing weapon, that can leave large areas rendered uninhabitable for a long time, I oppose them. However, I feel it is necessary for nations to own these, as deterrents from others using it (MAD/Mutual Assured Destruction), thus making a Nuclear Attack less likely in theory.


What are your thoughts NSG?


Stop proliferation. Reduce number of warheads. Biosphere is at stake. Use of offensive nuclear weapons in a conflict will inevitably become "use them or lose them."
The end of human sustainability by way of a total environmental poisoning would be the result. Not only suicide by the human species but the ultimate murder of Gaia. Unforgivable.

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Novus America
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Postby Novus America » Sun Aug 14, 2016 1:51 am

Benevolent One wrote:
Indo-Malaysia wrote:Are Nuclear Weapons in your opinion, good or bad?

Nuclear Weapons, have brought up issues in the past, à la Tony Blair and in particular locations. I have mixed views about the topic. With them being a devastating, radiation-inducing weapon, that can leave large areas rendered uninhabitable for a long time, I oppose them. However, I feel it is necessary for nations to own these, as deterrents from others using it (MAD/Mutual Assured Destruction), thus making a Nuclear Attack less likely in theory.


What are your thoughts NSG?


Stop proliferation. Reduce number of warheads. Biosphere is at stake. Use of offensive nuclear weapons in a conflict will inevitably become "use them or lose them."
The end of human sustainability by way of a total environmental poisoning would be the result. Not only suicide by the human species but the ultimate murder of Gaia. Unforgivable.


Limiting proliferation is much easier said than done. How would you do it? Same thing with further reducing numbers as they have been reduced very far and few countries are interested in further cuts. Especially not unilateral ones.

Use of nuclear weapons would not destroy the entire human species nor cause "total enviromental poisoning". There is plenty of life on Bikini Atoll, despite us nuking it multiple times with very large nuclear weapons.

They could cause a lot of damage to be sure, but you exaggerate. Plus you should not bring religion into it as it makes it harder to evaluate your arguement from a rational perspective.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Imperializt Russia
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Postby Imperializt Russia » Sun Aug 14, 2016 4:38 am

The Chernobyl exclusion zone is probably the densest and most diverse biosphere in Eurasia.
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Rufford
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Postby Rufford » Sun Aug 14, 2016 7:45 am

Novus America wrote:
Benevolent One wrote:
Stop proliferation. Reduce number of warheads. Biosphere is at stake. Use of offensive nuclear weapons in a conflict will inevitably become "use them or lose them."
The end of human sustainability by way of a total environmental poisoning would be the result. Not only suicide by the human species but the ultimate murder of Gaia. Unforgivable.


Limiting proliferation is much easier said than done. How would you do it? Same thing with further reducing numbers as they have been reduced very far and few countries are interested in further cuts. Especially not unilateral ones.

Use of nuclear weapons would not destroy the entire human species nor cause "total enviromental poisoning". There is plenty of life on Bikini Atoll, despite us nuking it multiple times with very large nuclear weapons.

They could cause a lot of damage to be sure, but you exaggerate. Plus you should not bring religion into it as it makes it harder to evaluate your arguement from a rational perspective.

The environmental consequences of a nuclear attack are exaggerated. Yes they do cause destruction in the area surrounding the point of detonation, but the long term effects are not as bad as many people say they are. Take Hiroshima as an example, they had cleared the bodies within three days and the city was all but rebuilt by 1950. Nuclear bombs just do the job of a lot of conventional bombers in a short time, with a relatively small amount of of radiation as a by product. Only 15% of deaths due to nuclear bombings came from radiation, and most deaths came from the subsequent fires. The effects of going into areas affected by extreme radiation are overstated, in my opinion mostly to deter people from going back into an area like Fukushima in the immediate aftermath to loot or something. They are running tours to Fukushima, Chernobyl and almost every other place that something similar has happened. There even using fucking Pokemon Go to get tourists to go to Fukushima
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Imperializt Russia
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Postby Imperializt Russia » Sun Aug 14, 2016 7:55 am

One peculiar curiosity about the Hiroshima bombings is that the Japanese people had a lower tolerance for radiation than studies suggested people would have. The LD50, the level at which absorbed radiation will kill half of all people exposed to it, for full-body radiation exposure is about 350 rads (archaic unit).

In Hiroshima, it was something like 220.
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Rufford
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Postby Rufford » Sun Aug 14, 2016 8:54 am

Imperializt Russia wrote:One peculiar curiosity about the Hiroshima bombings is that the Japanese people had a lower tolerance for radiation than studies suggested people would have. The LD50, the level at which absorbed radiation will kill half of all people exposed to it, for full-body radiation exposure is about 350 rads (archaic unit).

In Hiroshima, it was something like 220.

Does anyone know why?
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Imperializt Russia wrote: my posts to you will come across as aggressive (mostly because they are).

HMS Vanguard wrote:My observations are ahead of their time
This poster may exhibit a
Lamadia wrote:dangerous socialist attitude

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Lamadia II wrote:hideous socialist, left-wing views

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Postby Imperializt Russia » Sun Aug 14, 2016 8:57 am

Sadly I don't have the book with me.
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