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France Prime Minister ousted in Vote of No Confidence

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Polytheist Pagan
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France Prime Minister ousted in Vote of No Confidence

Postby Polytheist Pagan » Wed Dec 04, 2024 12:27 pm

https://www.france24.com/en/europe/2024 ... approaches

French Prime Minister Michel Barnier -- who was appointed by Macron in a Minority Government -- just lost in a Vote of No Confidence after trying to force through the budget, which was opposed by both the left and right. In order to block the budget, both sides put forward Motions of No Confidence. The first passed, with no need for the second to be heard. This is the first time a Government has been ousted through a Vote of No Confidence since 1962 (when Georges Pompidou lost in a Vote of No Confidence under the Presidency of Charles de Gaulle) and is would likely be the Shortest serving PM in French History. The last time this happened, the National Assembly was dissolved and new elections were held. However, because Macron dissolved Parliament earlier, which lead to this situation, the earliest that new elections can occur is next summer.

Personally, it is clear that Macron has invited this onto himself. When the left won a majority in the National Assembly, he should have appointed a PM from the left -- which is what has happened when similar results occurred under prior Presidents. Had Macron actually followed precedent, then the situation in France would likely be better (at least politically).
Last edited by Polytheist Pagan on Wed Dec 04, 2024 12:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Ariddia
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Postby Ariddia » Wed Dec 04, 2024 1:18 pm

Polytheist Pagan wrote:Personally, it is clear that Macron has invited this onto himself. When the left won a majority in the National Assembly, he should have appointed a PM from the left -- which is what has happened when similar results occurred under prior Presidents. Had Macron actually followed precedent, then the situation in France would likely be better (at least politically).


In fairness to Macron (and I say this a French leftist who really doesn't like him), if he'd appointed a PM from the left, the government would have been brought down by a vote of no confidence even faster.

There seems to be no possible government able to have the support of a majority in the National Assembly. So we're likely to see seven more months of chaos, and then early elections.

It is, however, his fault for having called elections last July. Why he did so remains a mystery. I can only imagine two possibilities.

Either he was deluded and disconnected enough to think he could actually win them.

Or he thought the far right would win, he would appoint a far-right PM, and the far right would discredit itself in office between now and 2027, ensuring it wouldn't win the next presidential election. If that was his gambit, it was not only deluded but morally culpable.
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Askio
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Postby Askio » Wed Dec 04, 2024 1:23 pm

France should switch to a parliamentary system - instead of the president appointing governments, whichever coalition of parties that manages to get more than 50% of the votes in the chamber should set up the government, because such a government can function normally (i.e. pass budgets and laws) - minority governments, especially when appointed from outside are more often than not a recipe for disaster.

With that said, I think the budget was kinda good ngl - Barnier wanted to close the budget deficit and enact a lot of unpopular but necessary policies - though Barnier will never be as good of a technocrat as Draghi was
Last edited by Askio on Wed Dec 04, 2024 1:25 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Postby Ifreann » Wed Dec 04, 2024 1:27 pm

Macron should try declaring martial law, I hear that's a popular move for presidents lately.
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Askio
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Postby Askio » Wed Dec 04, 2024 1:39 pm

In my opinion the centre parties should form a coalition with the left-wing parties, because that's what the majority wanted in the elections - but alas France doesn't have the parliamentary culture necessary for that
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Postby Bilancorn » Wed Dec 04, 2024 1:42 pm

Askio wrote:In my opinion the centre parties should form a coalition with the left-wing parties, because that's what the majority wanted in the elections - but alas France doesn't have the parliamentary culture necessary for that

I think right now the major difference between parties is if they are pro-EU or Anti-EU... We all know Le Pen's views on Europe, so... Yeah, I agree.
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Ariddia
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Postby Ariddia » Wed Dec 04, 2024 1:45 pm

Askio wrote:In my opinion the centre parties should form a coalition with the left-wing parties, because that's what the majority wanted in the elections - but alas France doesn't have the parliamentary culture necessary for that


That pretty much sums it up yes.

Olivier Faure, the leader of the centre-left PS, is asking for a government of the left with a confidence and supply agreement with the centrists.

He's not likely to get it, though. The centrist / centre-right parties may be able to tolerate the PS but won't allow more radical left-wing parties anywhere near government.
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Postby Phoeniae » Wed Dec 04, 2024 2:10 pm

Ariddia wrote:
Askio wrote:In my opinion the centre parties should form a coalition with the left-wing parties, because that's what the majority wanted in the elections - but alas France doesn't have the parliamentary culture necessary for that


That pretty much sums it up yes.

Olivier Faure, the leader of the centre-left PS, is asking for a government of the left with a confidence and supply agreement with the centrists.

He's not likely to get it, though. The centrist / centre-right parties may be able to tolerate the PS but won't allow more radical left-wing parties anywhere near government.


I also share askio_ petition, for sure. also, I never thought ariddia_ to be french, I mind read some of him in british page with some accuracy. not necessarly to be congressman faure, still the essence is there.

the “parliamentary culture” could also be debated, coalition can be done nonetheless, presidentialism is also whataboutism argument, the way anglo-saxons would say.

center to center left can surely pass: see italy. I do not dare for claim to be as more acknowledged than a french, surely the opposite is true. however, trust this take.
Last edited by Phoeniae on Wed Dec 04, 2024 2:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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The Archregimancy
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Postby The Archregimancy » Wed Dec 04, 2024 3:04 pm

Ariddia wrote:Olivier Faure, the leader of the centre-left PS, is asking for a government of the left with a confidence and supply agreement with the centrists.


That strikes me as near-suicidal as a political manoeuvre; indeed, it would surely inevitably lead to Fauré's requiem.


(sorry)

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Postby San Lumen » Wed Dec 04, 2024 3:17 pm

so what happens now? a new election?

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Postby EcoWondra » Wed Dec 04, 2024 5:33 pm

“Another French government has collapsed”
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San Lumen wrote:so what happens now? a new election?


That place has some serious problems and some very crazy people all clamoring to make them worse, no wonder it feels like a home away from home to so many Americans.
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Postby Ethel mermania » Wed Dec 04, 2024 5:41 pm

Ariddia wrote:
Polytheist Pagan wrote:Personally, it is clear that Macron has invited this onto himself. When the left won a majority in the National Assembly, he should have appointed a PM from the left -- which is what has happened when similar results occurred under prior Presidents. Had Macron actually followed precedent, then the situation in France would likely be better (at least politically).


In fairness to Macron (and I say this a French leftist who really doesn't like him), if he'd appointed a PM from the left, the government would have been brought down by a vote of no confidence even faster.

There seems to be no possible government able to have the support of a majority in the National Assembly. So we're likely to see seven more months of chaos, and then early elections.

It is, however, his fault for having called elections last July. Why he did so remains a mystery. I can only imagine two possibilities.

Either he was deluded and disconnected enough to think he could actually win them.

Or he thought the far right would win, he would appoint a far-right PM, and the far right would discredit itself in office between now and 2027, ensuring it wouldn't win the next presidential election. If that was his gambit, it was not only deluded but morally culpable.

Not sure why morally culpable, but I believe that was the plan.
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Polytheist Pagan
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Postby Polytheist Pagan » Wed Dec 04, 2024 6:04 pm

San Lumen wrote:so what happens now? a new election?

New Elections can not happen until June or July next year.

So really, we wait for Macron to appoint a new PM ig.

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Postby Washington Resistance Army » Wed Dec 04, 2024 6:15 pm

Perhaps Macron should consider declaring martial law.
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Postby Deblar » Wed Dec 04, 2024 6:36 pm

truly the france moment of all time
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Postby Corrian » Wed Dec 04, 2024 7:26 pm

Can the world calm down for 5 minutes?
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Ariddia
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Postby Ariddia » Wed Dec 04, 2024 10:52 pm

The Archregimancy wrote:
Ariddia wrote:Olivier Faure, the leader of the centre-left PS, is asking for a government of the left with a confidence and supply agreement with the centrists.


That strikes me as near-suicidal as a political manoeuvre; indeed, it would surely inevitably lead to Fauré's requiem.


(sorry)


Well played. It's true, and hadn't occurred to me. :D

Ethel mermania wrote:
Ariddia wrote:It is, however, his fault for having called elections last July. Why he did so remains a mystery. I can only imagine two possibilities.

Either he was deluded and disconnected enough to think he could actually win them.

Or he thought the far right would win, he would appoint a far-right PM, and the far right would discredit itself in office between now and 2027, ensuring it wouldn't win the next presidential election. If that was his gambit, it was not only deluded but morally culpable.

Not sure why morally culpable, but I believe that was the plan.


Morally culpable because one should not deliberately hand over power to the far right, for obvious moral reasons.
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Postby Floofybit » Wed Dec 04, 2024 10:58 pm

I appreciate the president is named after one of their best desserts.
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Ethel mermania
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Postby Ethel mermania » Thu Dec 05, 2024 4:35 am

Floofybit wrote:I appreciate the president is named after one of their best desserts.

The napoleon is a much better dessert. It is richer, creamer. ..
https://www.hvst.com/posts/the-clash-of ... s-wl2TQBpY

The West won the world not by the superiority of its ideas or values or religion … but rather by its superiority in applying organized violence. Westerners often forget this fact; non-Westerners never do.
--S. Huntington

The most fundamental problem of politics is not the control of wickedness but the limitation of righteousness. 

--H. Kissenger

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Ethel mermania
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Postby Ethel mermania » Thu Dec 05, 2024 4:41 am

Ariddia wrote:
The Archregimancy wrote:
That strikes me as near-suicidal as a political manoeuvre; indeed, it would surely inevitably lead to Fauré's requiem.


(sorry)


Well played. It's true, and hadn't occurred to me. :D

Ethel mermania wrote:Not sure why morally culpable, but I believe that was the plan.


Morally culpable because one should not deliberately hand over power to the far right, for obvious moral reasons.


If the will of the people is far right, it would be immoral not to turn over power.

In his calculus, while he still has some ability to moderate their extremism. And to show the people their inability to lead. As opposed to them sweeping in for a full presidential term, and doing what they want unfettered by reason. It is a mitigation strategy.
https://www.hvst.com/posts/the-clash-of ... s-wl2TQBpY

The West won the world not by the superiority of its ideas or values or religion … but rather by its superiority in applying organized violence. Westerners often forget this fact; non-Westerners never do.
--S. Huntington

The most fundamental problem of politics is not the control of wickedness but the limitation of righteousness. 

--H. Kissenger

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Postby Slembana » Thu Dec 05, 2024 5:31 am

Good. Barnier was an incredibly popular choice chosen from the party that got the fewest amount of seats.
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Now we patiently wait for the fascists and the marxists to come to an agreement,


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Bogmarsh in the mud wrote:

Let those who are not irrevocably committed to Centrism suffer the consequences of their choices, offer them absolutely no assistance to keep body and soul together.

If you’re not part of the solution, you’re part of the problem.
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Postby Risottia » Thu Dec 05, 2024 7:07 am

Gaullist being ousted? Yay.
This is going to lead to further gains for Le Pen, as the Barnier cabinet was the "genius" brainchild of the Élysée, though. The next presidential elections are going to be a bloody mess.
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