Sequential find just minutes apart.
https://www.nationstates.net/page=deck/ ... _history=1
by Select Two » Sat Sep 30, 2023 5:45 pm
by Tinhampton » Sat Sep 30, 2023 7:38 pm
by Improper Classifications » Sat Sep 30, 2023 7:41 pm
by Ostrovskiy » Sat Sep 30, 2023 8:31 pm
by Select One » Sat Sep 30, 2023 8:36 pm
Tinhampton wrote:Select Two answered five issues today.
Conclusion
48,973,690,000 x [6 / (0.196^2 x 0.804^3)] ≈ 1 / 14,717,491,351,562
The odds of getting two Season 3 packs, and getting the same card in each pack, over a five-issue span is one in 14.7 trillion.
For a sense of scale: the odds of winning the British National Lottery twice are "only" one in 2,030tn. 59 choose 6 is 45,057,474. Squared is 2,030,175,963,260,676.
You're more likely to draw five legendaries in one (Season 3) pack - the odds of that are about one in 13.65tn. Derived from 0.1^5 * [6 / (0.196 x 0.804^4)], although the real S3 legendary rate is more like 1/992 - because there are 223 of them - and I don't know why.
by Ioavollr » Sat Sep 30, 2023 11:25 pm
Tinhampton wrote:...
by Select One » Sun Oct 01, 2023 5:46 am
Ioavollr wrote:Dividing by the 25% rate of getting two packs nets a final probability of pulling any card twice in 5 issues as about 1 in 173,877. This is about the same chance as being killed by lightning.
by Tinhampton » Tue Oct 03, 2023 12:47 pm
by Riemstagrad » Tue Oct 03, 2023 1:05 pm
3-10-2023 21:28:30 CEST: Found by Rariteiten VIII
3-10-2023 21:28:20 CEST: Found by Rariteiten VIII
by Select One » Thu Oct 05, 2023 1:45 pm
Riemstagrad wrote:
- Code: Select all
3-10-2023 21:28:30 CEST: Found by Rariteiten VIII
3-10-2023 21:28:20 CEST: Found by Rariteiten VIII
on this card: https://www.nationstates.net/page=deck/ ... _history=1
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