@ Nachtkrapp Hall, Ebenbühel
5-0-0-0 Elejamie are taking on a 3-0-0-2 Savojar team that has to do something for the fans at home after what happened in the World Cup. The ranks suggest this might be as lopsided as the seeding suggests - Elejamie should have little trouble, but we're honestly not that convinced that the 'home' team will have an easy time.
@ Doppeleissportzgortzeinkellerhall, Neuntal
This one might be closer than we might give it credit for, being between a 5-0-0-0 Mercedini side and a Kelssek team that at times barely scored a C (ok, C+) in the group stage. While they play in what is effectively a training venue (sign us up if you've got training venues with ten thousand seats! Ko-oren only has one ice hockey arena over that size!), it'll be good. Involving the 8th and 16th ranked teams, the winner is in for a nice bonus in the post-45 ranks.
@ The Sportsdome, Koprivvac
Here's the one neutral Ko-orenites are waiting for. It's not gridiron, but it's Ranoria. And Gyatso-Kai, a team that, regardless of sport, we've always had a soft spot for. Gyatso-Kai have the obvious advantage, but all we're hoping for is a fun one.
@ Eagle Ice House, Stenjerica
The Anaian runner-ups behind #1 seed Elejamie take on an unbeaten Græntfjall team, who conceded 2 goals in the entire group stage to boot. Even the hosts struggled to make the Eagle Ice House sound nice, but it shouldn't be hard for either team to add flair to the concrete bunker. We hope to see our region-mates advance, but against a 7th-ranked Græntfjall team, it's unlikely.
@ Sunhall, Uberwienerschnitzelstadt
Ah - this could have been us versus Quebec and Shingoryeo. The derby of... western Anaia, we'll call it for the time being, but didn't materialise as the Cordian Isles took the group by storm. Two teams ranked outside the top 10, this one is for all the marbles but with little to lose.
@ Green Bay City Hall, Lahnshafen
Trolleborg comes from a low scoring group and held themselves very well, while HUElavia's industrious offence will be more than a match for them. It's Trolleborg's to upset.
@ Olympik Stadion, Uberwienerschnitzelstadt
Close your eyes - what sport is this? Sarzonia versus Ko-oren is a classic that could come from any sport's knockout stage, and this time around, it's ice hockey. The Dragonflies will kick themselves for not winning the group, while Sarzonia had a tough group that involved Nova Anglicana and Vilita & Turori, with the latter not even making the final 16! This is also the biggest stadium involved in the Cup. Remember how you read that most of these involve a team from outside the top 10? Well, much like the World Cup where #6 Ko-oren did NOT win their group and then had to play #5 Turori in the second round (and LOST), this is one between #6 Ko-oren and #5 Sarzonia, with the losing team inevitably taking a hit.
@ Royal Independence Arena, Eppelborn
Two timeless names take each other on in Eppelborn. A Varoran side that couldn't find the net versus opponents that scored at will, this will be a good one. Nova Anglicana are a team in ascent, while Valanora will want to protect their top-3 interests.
This Dragonflies squad has a lot of things in common with the soccer Dragonflies. A somewhat aging core struggling to find new blood, and while near the top in ranking, never quite manages to advance in knockouts as promised. The ice hockey team has one lost final (in that Siovanija and Teusland dynasty) to show for it, while the soccer Dragonflies had a nice 0-8 Round of 16 record before also losing a final (to a Nephara squad, who like S&T, also made the previous two finals of that tournament). Unlike the soccer Dragonflies (who went on to win the final two cycles later), the ice hockey incarnation of the Dragonflies have yet to find success. As in, that trophy.
When it matters (and things don't get complicated), the ice hockey Dragonflies (just assume it's about ice hockey if you read 'Dragonflies' from here on out, ok) can win. They did beat Efnakia in regular time to qualify for the knockouts, with a TJUN-ia team in hot pursuit. The very TJUN-ia team that beat us in shootouts the round before to put us in a problematic spot in the first place. Heerekornuit opened the score and that should have been it, but some complacency, a little luck, and giving an opponent a bit of hope, they got scored on, and now both teams hoped to avoid a loss and gunned for the shootout - one that would have the teams tied until the fifth attempt. The added point (or actually, the added points because they had no business conceding near the end of the third) would have put us in first place with a very different outlook on the rest of the tournament. The round before that: 4-4 versus the Cordian Isles and a decisive shootout win.
Basically, this squad hasn't looked great since the start. Aemel (G) hasn't really scored a failing grade in any game, but was not as confident in his saves (and the following clearance) as we've gotten used to from with the Islanders. Ehoni, the line 1 defender alongside Auvia, was put there as a new pair, and it doesn't gel. As in, it's alright, but it's not top tier, and top tier is what we need to survive Sarzonia, let alone make a deep run. Enibel has lost speed. Aurtinia can't keep up for a full shift - you've got somewhere between 30 and 60 seconds, so coming on to the ice you need to know where you need to be, and Aurtinia failed to capitalise. Ailise can't keep up, while Aone Aenec keeps fouling. The defensive Aedeti Aenec, with Winterhaag, were touted as error-prone and they very much have been.
Much like the soccer Dragonflies, the team is a good candidate for a big changeup.
And how good it all looked, last cycle, when professionalisation was just a done deal, the fallout had been dealt with, and Ko-oren had a good league, with a good talent pipeline, with good finances - remember how success was just a year or so away - three years, tops? And since then we've only seen this team fall down from where it was. Where's the extra quality that comes from more training at a higher level, playing better opposition? So far, all we've seen is Launott running away with the league, the Egevea Islanders carrying their mediocre team to a second place finish, the Wanderers doing alright, while the merged Explorers-Mariners have the best of two squads to work with and still they can't get past 4th, and it only gets worse from there. The newly set up Arboren Vortex won four (4) games out of 66 (!!!!!) as the normal powerhouse Straudum Ice finished 11th - blaming the Schemerdrecht Banijans for taking away their talent. When they say 'three years, tops', make that a full generation of players, if we're unlucky. As we thought we had a decent squad together, things changed, and things got worse - regardless of things have to get worse before they get better, we're in a bad situation now and it's hard to have hope for the future.
Maybe, just maybe, the solution is doing something like the baseball league. That was an organisation that tore itself apart, forced itself to take time off of the WBC, reinvented itself in the meantime by making things less Ko-oren v Finisterre v Yoshima and more 12 Ko-orenite cities vs Chromatika vs Esportiva - the opposition is better, the development is better, the money in the minor leagues will be better, the list goes on. Maybe having a Banijan team in Schemerdrecht can help us after all? If the Banijans can set up such an organisation, why can't we?