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Ethiopia in Civil War, end of the line

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Kowani
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Ethiopia in Civil War, end of the line

Postby Kowani » Thu Nov 05, 2020 12:49 pm

Source

Ethiopia mobilised for war in the northern Tigray region on Thursday, dashing international hopes of averting a conflict between Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government and the powerful ethnic faction that led the ruling coalition for decades. Our country has entered into unexpected war... the war will not come to the centre, it will end there (in Tigray),” the deputy chief of the army, Birhanu Jula, said on state television.

Troops were being mustered from around the country and dispatched to Tigray, he said. The announcement followed clashes on Wednesday between government forces and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), after Abiy ordered retaliation for what the government described as a TPLF attack on its troops.

Tigray regional president Debretsion Gebremichael said its forces had foiled a plan by the federal troops to use artillery and arms stationed there to attack the region.

“We will use the artillery to defend Tigray. We will use them to destroy an attack from any direction,” he said on Tigray TV.

A humanitarian source in Tigray said shelling and shooting had been heard in the area since the early hours of Thursday, and nearly two dozen soldiers had been treated at a clinic near the border with the Amhara region. The source did not say which side of the conflict the injured troops were drawn from. “At 5:20 a.m. we started to hear heavy shelling. Since then it has only stopped for an hour, but as of 2:00 p.m. you could still hear shooting, bombing and shelling,” the source said.

“So far nearly two dozens injured - all military, no civilians - were treated in the health centre of Abdurafi, located near the Tigray-Amhara border.”

The conflict pits government troops against the TPLF, for decades the dominant political force in the country’s multi-ethnic ruling coalition, until Abiy, a member of the Oromo ethnic group, took office two years ago.

Abiy, who has tried to open up what has long been one of the most restrictive economic and political systems in Africa, reorganised the ruling coalition into a single party which the TPLF refused to join.

Countries in the region fear that the crisis could escalate into all-out war under Abiy, who won the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize for ending a decades-old conflict with neighbouring Eritrea but has failed to prevent outbreaks of ethnic unrest.



GOVERNMENT RESISTS TALKS, DIPLOMATS SAY
Tensions with the TPLF have been escalating since September, when Tigray held regional elections which the federal government called illegal. In recent days, both sides accused each other of plotting a military conflict.

Sources said efforts were under way behind the scenes to encourage talks, pushed by the African Union. But the initiative was being resisted by the government which insists it has to eliminate a threat posed by the TPLF.

“The Ethiopians are saying it is an internal matter and they will handle it. They are saying it (TPLF) is a rogue element within their border and this is about the rule of law,” said a diplomatic source who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Redwan Hussein, spokesman for a newly-established State of Emergency Task Force, told Reuters on Wednesday that the option for talks was not yet on the table.

Dozens of federal troops were killed during the first day of fighting, one diplomat told Reuters, adding that the death toll could be higher. There was no word on casualties suffered by the TPLF. The government has cut all phone and internet communication in the region.

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo appeared to back Abiy in a tweet, which urged immediate action to restore peace and de-escalate the situation, while backing the government account that the TPLF was responsible for violence.

“We are deeply concerned by reports that the Tigray People’s Liberation Front carried out attacks on Ethiopian National Defense Force bases in Ethiopia’s Tigray region,” Pompeo wrote.

Ethiopia has suffered multiple outbreaks of violence since Abiy took office. At the weekend, gunmen killed 32 people and torched more than 20 houses in another part of the country, in the west.


Goddamnit Abiy, I trusted you.
But with the widening conflict with Egypt over the damn, this seems like it has the potential to spiral into something greater.


Is this 2020's final Act?
Or will it fizzle out after some mild violence?


Edit: ....and it goes hot.
Update: The Army chief, intelligence chief, and foreign minister have all been replaced
Last edited by Kowani on Fri Nov 27, 2020 1:32 am, edited 5 times in total.
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Postby The Huskar Social Union » Thu Nov 05, 2020 12:50 pm

Oh shit that is all we need. Another damn war.
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Postby Esalia » Thu Nov 05, 2020 12:56 pm

I hope it remains low level, but come the fuck on 2020, can't we have a break?
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Postby Greed and Death » Thu Nov 05, 2020 1:08 pm

I put money on Egypt funding them.
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Postby Greater Cosmicium » Thu Nov 05, 2020 1:14 pm

One more to cross off the 2020 checklist.

Though 2021 will be worse IMO.
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Postby Nuroblav » Thu Nov 05, 2020 1:24 pm

Somebody give 2020 a Snickers. You're not you when you're hungry.
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Postby Costa Fierro » Thu Nov 05, 2020 1:28 pm

But that Peace Prize!
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Postby Heloin » Thu Nov 05, 2020 1:34 pm

Costa Fierro wrote:But that Peace Prize!

Securing peace across the border never had much to do with domestic peace.
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Postby Auze » Thu Nov 05, 2020 1:44 pm

Come on, Ethiopia. You were doing so well...
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Postby Rio Cana » Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:18 pm

Seems the leadership in Tigray has overstepped there authority when it comes to the Ethiopian central government. Seems they also have bad relations with Eritrea and have been stirring trouble there which has been causing problems for the Ethiopian central government. Seems they were never really included in the talks between Eritrea and Ethiopia. They say the Ethiopian state of Amara which borders Tigray claims part of that state. In any major war they will be crushed since there only line of supplies will possibly be via there small border with Sudan. But I do not think Sudan will allow there territory to be used to supply Tigray.

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Postby Resilient Acceleration » Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:29 pm

Dam fails, then? Or at least massively delayed?
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Postby Nakena » Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:34 pm

Kowani wrote:Source

Ethiopia mobilised for war in the northern Tigray region on Thursday, dashing international hopes of averting a conflict between Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government and the powerful ethnic faction that led the ruling coalition for decades. Our country has entered into unexpected war... the war will not come to the centre, it will end there (in Tigray),” the deputy chief of the army, Birhanu Jula, said on state television.

Troops were being mustered from around the country and dispatched to Tigray, he said. The announcement followed clashes on Wednesday between government forces and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), after Abiy ordered retaliation for what the government described as a TPLF attack on its troops.

Tigray regional president Debretsion Gebremichael said its forces had foiled a plan by the federal troops to use artillery and arms stationed there to attack the region.

“We will use the artillery to defend Tigray. We will use them to destroy an attack from any direction,” he said on Tigray TV.

A humanitarian source in Tigray said shelling and shooting had been heard in the area since the early hours of Thursday, and nearly two dozen soldiers had been treated at a clinic near the border with the Amhara region. The source did not say which side of the conflict the injured troops were drawn from. “At 5:20 a.m. we started to hear heavy shelling. Since then it has only stopped for an hour, but as of 2:00 p.m. you could still hear shooting, bombing and shelling,” the source said.

“So far nearly two dozens injured - all military, no civilians - were treated in the health centre of Abdurafi, located near the Tigray-Amhara border.”

The conflict pits government troops against the TPLF, for decades the dominant political force in the country’s multi-ethnic ruling coalition, until Abiy, a member of the Oromo ethnic group, took office two years ago.

Abiy, who has tried to open up what has long been one of the most restrictive economic and political systems in Africa, reorganised the ruling coalition into a single party which the TPLF refused to join.

Countries in the region fear that the crisis could escalate into all-out war under Abiy, who won the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize for ending a decades-old conflict with neighbouring Eritrea but has failed to prevent outbreaks of ethnic unrest.



GOVERNMENT RESISTS TALKS, DIPLOMATS SAY
Tensions with the TPLF have been escalating since September, when Tigray held regional elections which the federal government called illegal. In recent days, both sides accused each other of plotting a military conflict.

Sources said efforts were under way behind the scenes to encourage talks, pushed by the African Union. But the initiative was being resisted by the government which insists it has to eliminate a threat posed by the TPLF.

“The Ethiopians are saying it is an internal matter and they will handle it. They are saying it (TPLF) is a rogue element within their border and this is about the rule of law,” said a diplomatic source who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Redwan Hussein, spokesman for a newly-established State of Emergency Task Force, told Reuters on Wednesday that the option for talks was not yet on the table.

Dozens of federal troops were killed during the first day of fighting, one diplomat told Reuters, adding that the death toll could be higher. There was no word on casualties suffered by the TPLF. The government has cut all phone and internet communication in the region.

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo appeared to back Abiy in a tweet, which urged immediate action to restore peace and de-escalate the situation, while backing the government account that the TPLF was responsible for violence.

“We are deeply concerned by reports that the Tigray People’s Liberation Front carried out attacks on Ethiopian National Defense Force bases in Ethiopia’s Tigray region,” Pompeo wrote.

Ethiopia has suffered multiple outbreaks of violence since Abiy took office. At the weekend, gunmen killed 32 people and torched more than 20 houses in another part of the country, in the west.


Goddamnit Abiy, I trusted you.
But with the widening conflict with Egypt over the damn, this seems like it has the potential to spiral into something greater.


Is this 2020's final Act?
Or will it fizzle out after some mild violence?


The fuck. Where did this came from?

Ethiopia wasnt on my radar.
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Nakena
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Postby Nakena » Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:37 pm

Abolishing the ethiopian Monarchy was a mistake.
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Postby Neanderthaland » Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:45 pm

Please no. This has the potential to get almost unbelievably ugly.
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Heloin
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Postby Heloin » Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:56 pm

Nakena wrote:
Kowani wrote:Source

Ethiopia mobilised for war in the northern Tigray region on Thursday, dashing international hopes of averting a conflict between Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government and the powerful ethnic faction that led the ruling coalition for decades. Our country has entered into unexpected war... the war will not come to the centre, it will end there (in Tigray),” the deputy chief of the army, Birhanu Jula, said on state television.

Troops were being mustered from around the country and dispatched to Tigray, he said. The announcement followed clashes on Wednesday between government forces and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), after Abiy ordered retaliation for what the government described as a TPLF attack on its troops.

Tigray regional president Debretsion Gebremichael said its forces had foiled a plan by the federal troops to use artillery and arms stationed there to attack the region.

“We will use the artillery to defend Tigray. We will use them to destroy an attack from any direction,” he said on Tigray TV.

A humanitarian source in Tigray said shelling and shooting had been heard in the area since the early hours of Thursday, and nearly two dozen soldiers had been treated at a clinic near the border with the Amhara region. The source did not say which side of the conflict the injured troops were drawn from. “At 5:20 a.m. we started to hear heavy shelling. Since then it has only stopped for an hour, but as of 2:00 p.m. you could still hear shooting, bombing and shelling,” the source said.

“So far nearly two dozens injured - all military, no civilians - were treated in the health centre of Abdurafi, located near the Tigray-Amhara border.”

The conflict pits government troops against the TPLF, for decades the dominant political force in the country’s multi-ethnic ruling coalition, until Abiy, a member of the Oromo ethnic group, took office two years ago.

Abiy, who has tried to open up what has long been one of the most restrictive economic and political systems in Africa, reorganised the ruling coalition into a single party which the TPLF refused to join.

Countries in the region fear that the crisis could escalate into all-out war under Abiy, who won the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize for ending a decades-old conflict with neighbouring Eritrea but has failed to prevent outbreaks of ethnic unrest.



GOVERNMENT RESISTS TALKS, DIPLOMATS SAY
Tensions with the TPLF have been escalating since September, when Tigray held regional elections which the federal government called illegal. In recent days, both sides accused each other of plotting a military conflict.

Sources said efforts were under way behind the scenes to encourage talks, pushed by the African Union. But the initiative was being resisted by the government which insists it has to eliminate a threat posed by the TPLF.

“The Ethiopians are saying it is an internal matter and they will handle it. They are saying it (TPLF) is a rogue element within their border and this is about the rule of law,” said a diplomatic source who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Redwan Hussein, spokesman for a newly-established State of Emergency Task Force, told Reuters on Wednesday that the option for talks was not yet on the table.

Dozens of federal troops were killed during the first day of fighting, one diplomat told Reuters, adding that the death toll could be higher. There was no word on casualties suffered by the TPLF. The government has cut all phone and internet communication in the region.

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo appeared to back Abiy in a tweet, which urged immediate action to restore peace and de-escalate the situation, while backing the government account that the TPLF was responsible for violence.

“We are deeply concerned by reports that the Tigray People’s Liberation Front carried out attacks on Ethiopian National Defense Force bases in Ethiopia’s Tigray region,” Pompeo wrote.

Ethiopia has suffered multiple outbreaks of violence since Abiy took office. At the weekend, gunmen killed 32 people and torched more than 20 houses in another part of the country, in the west.


Goddamnit Abiy, I trusted you.
But with the widening conflict with Egypt over the damn, this seems like it has the potential to spiral into something greater.


Is this 2020's final Act?
Or will it fizzle out after some mild violence?


The fuck. Where did this came from?

Ethiopia wasnt on my radar.

Tensions on the border regions who feel most effected by the recent wars and pushed to the side by issues between the much larger Oromo and Amhara have been rising for years. It's part of the reason Ethiopia was so keen on peace with Eritrea. The Afar have been staging a low level insurgency for years and similar tensions have started to boil over in Tigray as well.
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Postby Thermodolia » Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:58 pm

Greed and Death wrote:I put money on Egypt funding them.

I wouldn’t doubt it. A civil war means they can’t dam the Nile
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Postby Thermodolia » Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:59 pm

Resilient Acceleration wrote:Dam fails, then? Or at least massively delayed?

Egypt will send in “peacekeepers” who will take care of the dam problem
Last edited by Thermodolia on Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Greed and Death » Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:23 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
Greed and Death wrote:I put money on Egypt funding them.

I wouldn’t doubt it. A civil war means they can’t dam the Nile

dams already done its just a question of the filling right now.
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:27 pm

Greed and Death wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:I wouldn’t doubt it. A civil war means they can’t dam the Nile

dams already done its just a question of the filling right now.

Well in a civil war infrastructure goes to shit so guess the super accidental explosion of the dam will go unnoticed
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Postby Dresderstan » Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:34 pm

It's not Africa without another bout of civil unrest.
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Postby Kowani » Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:41 pm

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Postby South Cayriya » Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:43 pm

WHY 2020 WHYYYYYYYY
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Senkaku
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Postby Senkaku » Thu Nov 05, 2020 9:36 pm

Image


>_>
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Vivolkha
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Postby Vivolkha » Fri Nov 06, 2020 1:43 am

I had high hopes for Ethiopia. Its economy was one of the fastest growing in the world, and it was finally transitioning away from authoritarianism...
...which unleashed uncontrolled ethnic unrest. Now this.

Oh, well.
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Postby Valentine Z » Fri Nov 06, 2020 1:48 am

I was hoping that this would be a national roleplay, or International Incidents from NationStates when I saw it on latest forum topics.

Suffice to say that it's sad that it's a real event, not fictional.

Another war is what we need. 2020 is just bollocks all around.



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