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Time of Monsters - The Crisis of the 21st Century (OOC)

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The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
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Corrupt Dictatorship

Time of Monsters - The Crisis of the 21st Century (OOC)

Postby The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz » Mon Sep 09, 2019 12:26 pm



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It is January 1st, 2047. The world is entering its twelfth consecutive year of economic contraction. The material and financial halves of the economy are both locked in a deep, deep depression - deep enough that it is beginning to gnaw at the physical foundations of globalisation and challenge the structural integrity of civilization as we know it.

The crisis of the 21st century, as many are beginning to call it, is a multi-faceted one. Debts and interest payments lie unpaid to debtors with no hope of future repayment, steadily growing unemployment in the developed world is putting governments in increasingly-precarious financial positions and the developing world’s level of economic modernisation is regressing. The much-anticipated "shale revolution" was not as lucrative as hoped, and global electricity production has slumped even as demand continues to rise with urbanisation and population growth. The most frequently-blamed (and also actually valid) causes of the current crisis include the growth of private debt outstripping the growth of income, the failure of modern industrial capitalism to adapt to a zero-growth economy in response to appearing resource constraints, a sharp decline in the cost-effectiveness of transportation, and a declining energy return on investment of extracted fossil fuels combined with a lack of widespread alternatives to them.

The last of these causes has very serious implications – ones so serious they would be inconceivable to the vast majority of people were they to be made aware of them, even after twelve years of depression and the economically-tumultuous, stagnation-ridden decades preceding it. Regardless of this, the energy crisis will only worsen.

Coal’s heyday as a source of electricity generation is a decade and a half behind it, with lower-grade, browner lignitious and subbituminous varieties now being used for electricity generation after the depletion of higher-grade varieties in the Earth’s crust necessitated the shift. With solar and wind power being impractical means of sustaining a technologically-sophisticated society due to their low energy yields, developing countries bent on industrialisation and developed countries which made irresponsible energy policy decisions in the decades prior are being forced to rely on natural gas and increased extraction of coal to meet their still-growing energy needs.

These solutions, however, are only temporary ones, and as the societies employing them continue to go down the path of dependency on increasingly-finite resources they will suffer from diminishing means to engage in the infrastructural overhauls necessary to change trajectory. As the constant brownouts will soon show, much of the world is stuck in an economic death spiral that it will never be able to climb out of.

The failure of both government initiatives and the free market to even remotely alleviate the 12 year-long economic crisis demonstrates that the spiralling has not only already begun, but that the Earth’s population need only wait for its completion to see its results. No nuclear renaissance or massive expansion of hydroelectric power generation, even if it weren't hampered by the current state of the economy, would be able to replace fossil fuel energy generation fast enough to prevent a massive contraction of the economy and a transition to a lower energy-yield society, while the feats of engineering necessary to put them in place would only consume more energy during an energy crisis.

Industrial society, in its current form, will not survive the changes of the coming few decades. Multiple catastrophes, many as ancient as drought, disease and crop failure, will join the crisis of the 21st century as industrial civilization's EROI freefall renders it unable to manage incoming systemic problems properly. There there will no doubt be a huge amount of turmoil and, in the vast majority of the world's heavily-populated regions with a population above the land's carrying capacity, a reliance upon diminishing imports and little to no pre-existing use of hydroelectric or nuclear power generation, there will be mass death regardless of organised turmoil.


It is January 1st, 2047. The old world is dying, and the new world struggles to be born: now is the time of monsters.





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Time of Monsters is a "nation" (loosely defined) RP where you guide an entity that controls a piece of territory (could be an actual nation, a local government in a federal sovereign state, a big corporation like the TVA that controls land use and energy production, etc) through an energy crisis that will, over the course of several decades, ultimately lead to the end of the modern era and of industrial society as we know it. Feel free to be as destructive with what you've created as possible, have civil wars, play as the sides and offer to have newcomers to the RP pick up a side if you want.

The goal is not really to "win", but to narrate your way through a Rome or Maya-style gradual breakdown of the system that hardly even culminates in a bang (as the thing being destroyed was on its last legs by that point anyway) - for this reason, feel free to RP as a government that comes out of the ashes of a collapsing one you were RPing previously.

Multiple players are able to RP in the same piece of territory if they're on different administrative levels, the US Federal Government and the State Government of Alabama can have different players and it'll be marked on the map. The interaction between countries and their subnational entities can be a big part of the RP, if you as RPers wish to go down that avenue.

Also, the IC thread is structured. A page of the IC will take up a specific number of years, and those specific years will have different events (including regional ones, ie famine in Africa and India) as the collapse progresses. The goal here is to have an already-defined narrative that we can work through together instead of being confused about what we want to post and completely aimless. There is a roster of IC content by page in the post below this one.
Last edited by The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz on Mon Sep 16, 2019 6:19 pm, edited 13 times in total.
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The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
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Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz » Mon Sep 09, 2019 12:26 pm

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IC Contents Roster


This roster compiles the year and contents of each IC page. As time goes by in the RP and the process of decline it is focused on progresses, particular regions of the world will begin to feel the affects of the energy crisis more strongly. The years in each IC page and the world events transpiring in them, spanning 40 years and at least 38 IC pages, are as follows:

CHAPTERS
Page 1 - January 2047-October 2048 - Water shortages in South Asia, Australia and the Sahel begin. Food shortages in Africa and South Asia begin. Brownouts in Asia become commonplace. Electricity production begins to noticeably decline outside of lignite-rich regions. Non-Hispanic Whites become less than 50% of the US population.

Page 2 - November 2048-December 2050 - Water shortages in the Southern USA, Southwest and all of Africa begin. Brownouts in Africa and Latin America become commonplace. The population of developing Malawi reaches 50 million, giving it a population density higher than that of the Netherlands in 2019.

Page 3 - January 2051-October 2052 - Water shortages in Europe and East Asia begin. Industrial sector begins rapidly shrinking in Asia. Population of Nigeria becomes larger than that of the United States, making Nigeria the third most populous country on Earth.

Page 4 - November 2052-December 2054 - Water shortages in the Midwest begin. Global shipping begins rapidly declining. Shrinking of services speeds up in in the developed world, increasing unemployment.
In summary: shortages grow, especially in developing world, depression worsens.
Page 5 - 2055 - Brownouts in the developed world become commonplace. Sharp decline in standard of living in the developed world begins. Famine in Indian Subcontinent, Malawi and the Sahel begins. Attempted nuclear renaissance begins in the developed world.
Page 6 - 2056 - Famine in densely-populated regions of Africa begins. Food shortages in East Asia begin.

Page 7 - 2057 - Water shortages in the Midwest begin.

Page 8 - 2058 - Mass migration out of the Ganges Basin begins. Food shortages in Latin America begin.

Page 9 - 2059 - Food shortages in Southern and Eastern Europe begin.
In summary: chronic shortages even in developed world, humanitarian catastrophe begins in Indian subcontinent and Africa.
Page 10 - 2060 - The EROI of petroleum begins to decline more rapidly. The cost of transportation beings to rise rapidly after this point, troubling regions dependent on imported goods.

Page 11 - 2061 - Localisation of production in the developed world begins. Sharp increase in cost of living in the developed world begins. Famine in the Middle East begins.

Page 12 - 2062 - Geopolitical globalisation ends, all projects (be they by the Chinese or the Americans) aiming for a unipolar world are forcibly ended. Famine in all of Africa begins. Food shortages across the developed world begin.

Page 13 - 2063 - Famine in East Asia begins.

Page 14 - 2064 - Famine in Latin America begins.
In summary: globalisation breathes its last agonal breath, humanitarian catastrophe engulfs entire developing world.
Page 15 - 2065 - Cities in the developing world begin to become unlivable. Industrial production in the developing world begins a terminal decline. Global population begins declining. Mass desertion of cities in South Asia and densely-populated parts of Africa begins.

Page 16 - 2066 - Food shortages in the developed world worsen. Social cohesion in the developed world begins to rapidly decline.

Page 17 - 2067 - Mass desertion of cities in all of Africa begins.

Page 18 - 2068 - Mass desertion of cities in Latin America begins. Famine in Southern Europe, Eastern Europe, Australia and the US Southwest begins.

Page 19 - 2069 - Mass desertion of cities in East Asia begins. Terminal mass desertion of cities in the entire developing world continues.
In summary: Famine spreads to the developed world, chaos in the developing world. Global deinsutrialisation in full swing.
Page 20 - 2070 - Famine in the entire developed world begins. Mass desertion of cities in the US Southwest begins.

Page 21 - 2071 - Mass desertion of cities in Eastern Europe begins.

Page 22 - 2072 - Forms of manufacturing requiring large, centralised self-prop systems and transportation over large distances mostly eradicated in Africa and South Asia

Page 23 - 2073 - Mass desertion of cities in Australia begins. Mass desertion of cities in most of the USA and continental Europe begins. Nuclear renaissance ends outside of the northern countries due to a lack of production of acrylic fibre required to cost-effectively extract dissolved uranium from the ocean, although nuclear power becomes a major source of energy in the long term in the northern countries that it survives in.

Page 24 - 2074 - From this point onwards, any loss of internal stability in the hydroelectric-powered northern countries threatens their urban centres and electricity generation. Famine in the urban centres of northern countries reaches crisis point. Widespread availability of modern medicine begins to sharply decline.
In summary: Society in the developed world breaks down, modern industrial economies break down.
Page 25 - 2075 - Global harvest failure. Global pandemic begins.

Page 26 - 2076 - Regular harvest failures in the Indian Subcontinent and North China Plain begin.

Page 27 - 2077 - Regular harvest failures in the US Southwest and the Murray-Darling Basin begin

Page 28 - 2078 - Regular harvest failures in the Sahel begin

Page 29 - 2079 - The entire world's population is now contracting sharply towards carrying capacity.
In summary: the desertion of cities is followed by even more severe famine, mass starvation rages across the planet.
Page 30 - 2080 - Deurbanisation continues. Mass failure of pre-existing sovereign states begins, followed by either total anarchy or the rise of makeshift forms of political organisation.

Page 31 - 2081- Deurbanisation continues.

Page 32 - 2082 - Deurbanisation continues.

Page 33 - 2083 - Deurbanisation continues.

Page 34 - 2084 - Deurbanisation continues. The state of manufacturing (now entirely based on what is locally feasible, borderline pre-industrial in most of the world) has, for the most part, stabilised, although shortages of crucial raw materials prevent large-scale manufacturing (or industrialisation) from occurring. Locations with electricity now source their electricity almost entirely from hydroelectric or nuclear power plants.
In summary: A post-industrial, post urban world slowly begins to take shape as a stabilising new world struggles to be born. The new monsters of the 21st century linger.
Page 35 - January-June 2085

Page 36 - July-December 2085

Page 37 - January-June 2086

Page 38 - July-December 2086
In summary: An epilogue in which players, if they wish to do so, can flesh out the new state of affairs.


Tl;dr? Don't worry, you'll end up reading each with the coming of a new page and taking the blows as they come. Find the project ambitious? Good! The later events are by no means complete, feel free to suggest more, along with non-scarcity events for the early RP.

If the RP has enough active members (probably about 10, looking at the number of posts in an average IC page) that it becomes hard for them to RP geopolitical events (not character development) with the pace of the IC threads, certain pages of the RP (especially those in the first chapter) can be expanded to cover two IC pages.

How could this RP fit enough people to go through pages that fast? Enter...





The Map - How It Works


As said before, sub-national entities that administer or control land, including very powerful corporations, state governments and metropolitan governments, can have their own players while being inside sovereign states with a separate player. Interaction between national and sub-national entities can be an important part of the RP if players wish to go down that route. There can also be overlap between entities of equal standing if it makes sense logically. Sub-national entities are shown on the map by having the colour of the government they are subordinate to as an outline, while territorial overlap of two entities that are not subordinate or superior to each other is shown through diagonal stripes.

Here are some examples

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United States of America
Tennessee Valley Authority
Tennessee (U.S State)
Georgia (U.S State)


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United States of America
Illinois (U.S State)
Chicago Metropolitan Area (local government)


Also, here's Time of Monsters' qbam basemap/borderpool (arguably it's the latter but it can be used as the former), made with much love by me. This'll map is subjected to improvement over time, hit me up for natural/ethnic borders in the third world you want to see added whenever.
Last edited by The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz on Mon Sep 09, 2019 11:51 pm, edited 6 times in total.
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The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
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Founded: Sep 01, 2019
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz » Mon Sep 09, 2019 12:27 pm

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Application Template


Here it is:

Code: Select all
[box][b]Your NS nation:[/b]
[b]Your RP territorial entity's name:[/b]
[b]Entity type (sovereign state, corporation, subnational state, etc):[/b]
[b]Location:[/b]
[b]How is your entity (government or corporation) organised?:[/b]
[b]If a sovereign state, is your government unitary or federal?[/b]
[b]If applicable, what political ideology does your entity uphold?:[/b]
[b]How is your territory's electricity currently generated IRL, by source?:[/b]
[b]Describe the cultural and ethnic character of your territory in the current RP year:[/b]
[b]If in Eurasia, what was your territory's approximate population in 1800?:[/b]
[b]What is your territory's population projected to be in 2050?:[/b]
[b]A brief history of your entity between 2019 and 2047:[/b]

[/box]


Please note that you can play as multiple entities at once, and also that you can play inside larger player entities as state governments. enjoy!

Reservations only last 36 hours and you have to specify what entity you're reserving, the state government of Alabama can still apply inside your reserved USA.
Last edited by The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz on Mon Sep 16, 2019 6:41 pm, edited 7 times in total.
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The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
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Posts: 45
Founded: Sep 01, 2019
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz » Mon Sep 09, 2019 12:31 pm

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Map Roster


Accepted players

The Republic of Italy - James

The Northern Commonwealth - Plzen

The United States of America - The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz

Scotland - Nova Tawantinsuyu

The Regulators - Norv

Corporate Overwatch of the City of Detroit, Tower Industries - The Felan Federation

Commonwealth of Virginia - The Hobbesian Metaphysician


Church of Christ (territory too small to be depicted on map, see app) - Hastiaka

The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland - Labstoska

Reservations
Last edited by The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz on Mon Sep 16, 2019 6:18 pm, edited 13 times in total.
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Plzen
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Posts: 7104
Founded: Mar 19, 2014
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Plzen » Mon Sep 09, 2019 1:19 pm

NationStates forum threads are always 25 posts per page by default, I believe.

Interest in the Nordic Region, as discussed in the Cafe.
Forward, my comrades, march to your stations,
Righteous and proud! Win, we most surely can.
This is a triumph of peace and of nations,
A dawn of friendship for all people of man!

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The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
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Posts: 45
Founded: Sep 01, 2019
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz » Mon Sep 09, 2019 1:24 pm

Plzen wrote:NationStates forum threads are always 25 posts per page by default, I believe.

In which case, 10 players should probably be enough to double the number of pages that fit into each time period of the IC page roster

Plzen wrote:Interest in the Nordic Region, as discussed in the Cafe.

Noted. But before I put you down on the map as a reservation, which Nordic countries are you including? Obviously Denmark, Iceland, Sweden and Norway come in, but what about, say, Finland or Greenland (which might be a dependency of Denmark now but may not always be in the future, so it's worth asking)?
Last edited by The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz on Mon Sep 09, 2019 1:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Labstoska
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Founded: Apr 22, 2016
Iron Fist Consumerists

Postby Labstoska » Mon Sep 09, 2019 1:32 pm

I'll reserve the UK, prepare for some weird stuff to come out of it.

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The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
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Posts: 45
Founded: Sep 01, 2019
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz » Mon Sep 09, 2019 1:59 pm

Labstoska wrote:I'll reserve the UK, prepare for some weird stuff to come out of it.

Noted
Call me Mike

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Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States
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Posts: 17480
Founded: Feb 20, 2012
Democratic Socialists

Postby Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States » Mon Sep 09, 2019 2:19 pm

It's a bit of a stretch, but what I described here is technically a legal possibility (with some leeway, of course). If anyone wants an in-depth explanation of the legality of the sale of future debts and credit, hit me up!

Your NS nation: Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States (Call me James)
Your RP territorial entity's name: The Republic of Italy
Entity type: Sovereign State/corporation
How is your entity (government or corporation) organised?: In many ways, the Republic still operates like it did before the Crisis. It has a bicameral legislature which, despite failed attempts at reform, remains parallel, with both the Senate and the National Assembly having the ability to veto a bill and propose amendments to it. The head of government is a prime minister, who sets country policy with his council of ministers, while the head of state is a president, who mostly serves as a figurehead. That all remains the same in modern Italy.

Apart from the formalities, though, Italy has changed entirely. The ‘Consiglio Nazionale di Ristrutturazione del Debito’, or the National Council for the Restructuring of the Debt, has grown to prominence over the last few years. An advisory body made up of representatives of the various creditors of Italy, its advisory opinions have slowly become hard law for the Italian state. The Council deliberates and gives opinions on the various ways that Italy could pay back its monumental debt to its combined creditors. Since the Council is made up of those very same creditors, those advisory opinions have called for extreme measures indeed.

The second entity that now plays a major role in Italian politics is ‘Creditori Combinati s.r.l.’, or CC. CC is a limited liability company, whose shareholders are all the various creditors of the Italian government. CC has collected in itself all debt held by the Italian government at the time of its bankruptcy. Italy pays CC directly, which is then divided as dividend to all the various shareholders to make up for the debt incurred by Italy. The CC is much more than just a limited liability company though, nowadays. It holds all formerly owned government land (at least, those it decided not to liquidate). It also takes care of pensions and disability benefits, and the funds used to pay out those benefits. Most importantly, it is the tax collection agency for the Italian state. More on that in the history section.

The result of the existence of CC and the Council is simply that Italy, for all intents and purposes, is run by a corporation. The creditors decide Italy’s fiscal policy, and by extension, its overall policy as well. It decides tariffs, fines, banking laws, hedge fund laws, corporate liability laws, you name it, all to the benefit of the CC.
If a sovereign state, is your government unitary or federal? Unitary
If applicable, what political ideology does your entity uphold?: Libertarianism, fiscal conservatism
How is your territory's electricity currently generated IRL, by source?: Fossil fuels (70%), with natural gas accounting for 60% of total generation.
If in Eurasia, what was your territory's approximate population in 1800?: 17.200.000
What is your territory's population projected to be in 2050?: 54.300.000
A brief history of your entity between 2019 and 2047: Italy’s history in the modern world starts on the 17th of February 2020. Italy’s new government, a coalition of the Five Star Movement and the PD, did not last the winter, and it collapsed just before Christmas 2019. Their differences made sure that almost no new legislation was proposed and passed, much to the delight of Lega, which grew in membership by the day. The hope of the Five Star Movement and PD was that, by holding elections early, they would be able to alleviate some of the damage by making sure Lega could not yet get a majority of the electorate, thus giving room for a coalition of national unity. This plan failed utterly, and Lega gained a majority in both the senate and the national assembly.

The first thing Lega did was put Italy on a ramming course with the European commission, by notifying it of a budget that was, in the eyes of EU law, totally inadequate. Lega used the subsequent negative reaction of the EU to spur anti-EU sentiment in the country. Lega (with some merit) argued that, in Italy’s economic position, it would be better to increase debt spending massively to grow the economy. The Commission, however, not willing to give a single straw to the populist Italian government in fear of setting an example for Visegrad, declined, and started procedures before the European Court of Justice to force compliance.

Lega had planned to milk this situation indefinitely, but they had started a storm they could not hope to control. While Lega wanted to use their fight with the Commission as a near constant rallying cry (while still using most advantages of EU membership), the call for what was called an ‘Italeave’, an Italian exit from the European Union, became louder. The most extremist wing of Lega used that momentum to slowly grow to power within their own party, indeed calling for an end to Italian membership of the supranational union. In 2025, Matteo Salvini lost his leadership bid against the more radical wing of his party. The next prime minister, Claudio Borghi, immediately invoked article 50 to leave the European Union. Taking the example of Britain, Borghi too hoped to use constant extensions of the deadline to technically stay within the Union, but to root out any dissidents within his party, whilst negotiation a Norway-style agreement.

The EU would not play ball, however, and it did not extend the deadline. On the 15th of September 2027, Italy left the European Union. This time, however, instead of negotiating one big agreement, various agreements were already in place to allow for a somewhat smooth transition, especially with regards to tourism, although the imposition of a hard border and custom checks still fell hard on Italy. Not only that, but Borghi was hamstrung by his predecessor, as he now had to keep debt-spending, as that was the reason to leave the EU in the first place. Italy, to fund its programs, incurred massive debts, mostly through bonds sold to private investors. Italy withheld crucial economic data in order to get a good return on those bonds, and for a while, this strategy seemed to work.

Until, of course, it didn’t. In 2034, an anonymous internet poster known only as ‘Garibaldi’ left a cache of documents on nearly every major social media site on earth, as well as sending hard drives to mot major news stations inside and outside of Italy. In it was held actual financial data, as well as communications detailing the massive conspiracy for fraud. This ‘Christmas gift’ (it was sent on the 25th of December) sent the country plunging into chaos. Overnight, Italy’s credit score was downgraded, the interest on its bonds skyrocketed, and a few companies went bankrupt because it became obvious Italy could not pay back its debts by a long shot. The investment of the past years had gone into visible improvements, but those improvements had not returned on their investment as much as was hoped.

Over the next two years, the Italian economy crashed hard. At its peak, the country had a 46% unemployment rate, many people saw their income halved, and savings for many people vanished as large creditor banks went under. Foreclosures followed, as well as bankruptcies and failed mortgage repayments, leading to many people losing their homes and investments. On top of this, the government collapsed under the weight of corruption scandals, and an extraordinary number of ministers and parliamentarians committed suicide in the following months, some in absolutely spectacular fashions.

In 2040, Italy had almost reverted to being a developing economy. Subsequent governments had still failed to rein in spending with austerity measures, for fear of a national uprising if they cut back on spending. An army coup in Sardinia had to be put down, as well as some popular revolts in Sicily. During one protest, the gates of the Vatican were even breached, the first time in 200 years, and the mob almost made off with the Church’s riches if the Swiss guard hadn’t stepped in. It was absolute chaos.

The turn came in early 2041, when the Supreme Court rendered its verdict in the case of Creditori Combinati s.r.l. v Italy. CC argued that the government had a constitutional duty, as well as a duty under international human rights law, to do whatever was necessary to pay back its debts. Failing that duty would be tantamount to expropriation, which would violate article 1 of protocol 1 of the European Convention of Human Rights. CC proposed a couple of ways that that debt could be paid back, which it detailed in its court submissions. The court itself was too afraid to render their verdict against CC, as that would only further undermine the trust of creditors in Italy, which could lead to disastrous consequences. In a total reversal of previous case law, the court decided that, indeed, there was an obligation under the constitution and human rights law to pay back those debts, by whatever means necessary. The court went further, though. It decided that future tax debts and even fine debts could be sold as a way to pay off debts, and that there existed a constitutional duty for the legislature to do what was necessary to pay back that debt.

Not only did this verdict do wonders for the Italian credit score, but it also allowed the government to sell its future tax revenue to CC. CC, over the next year, gained 10 years of tax revenue, 5 years of future fine revenue, and access to the pension and disability funds of the government, as well as its gold reserves. CC, in essence, became the state treasurer. What was more, the legislature began to implement the advisory opinions laid down by the newly constituted National Council for the Restructuring of the Debt. This meant cutting safety regulations, selling government-held land, lowering corporate taxes but increasing other taxes to make sure the sold tax money was worth as much as possible. With the CC becoming the treasures and having the ability to collect on fines, it essentially became a shadow executive, successfully fighting against the actual executive in both court battles and in every-day life.

Elections are coming up, however. In a few weeks, the nation will decide on a new parliament, and the left-wing parties are standing to win massive election victories. While the populist league has been entirely discredited, new populist parties on the right have risen to the foreground, and they too stand to win big, especially in local elections. Many fringe politicians have already called for the nationalisation of the CC and the cancellation of debt, while others call for the criminal persecution of some responsible for the 2034 crash. While the current government has grown to be quite subservient to the CC, it remains to be seen whether that remains that way for long.
Are you willing to post at least once every two days?: Yes
The name's James. James Usari. Well, my name is not actually James Usari, so don't bother actually looking it up, but it'll do for now.

Lack of a real name means compensation through a real face. My debt is settled


Part-time Kebab tycoon in Glasgow.

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The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
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Posts: 45
Founded: Sep 01, 2019
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz » Mon Sep 09, 2019 2:33 pm

Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States wrote:
It's a bit of a stretch, but what I described here is technically a legal possibility (with some leeway, of course). If anyone wants an in-depth explanation of the legality of the sale of future debts and credit, hit me up!

Your NS nation: Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States (Call me James)
Your RP territorial entity's name: The Republic of Italy
Entity type: Sovereign State/corporation
How is your entity (government or corporation) organised?: In many ways, the Republic still operates like it did before the Crisis. It has a bicameral legislature which, despite failed attempts at reform, remains parallel, with both the Senate and the National Assembly having the ability to veto a bill and propose amendments to it. The head of government is a prime minister, who sets country policy with his council of ministers, while the head of state is a president, who mostly serves as a figurehead. That all remains the same in modern Italy.

Apart from the formalities, though, Italy has changed entirely. The ‘Consiglio Nazionale di Ristrutturazione del Debito’, or the National Council for the Restructuring of the Debt, has grown to prominence over the last few years. An advisory body made up of representatives of the various creditors of Italy, its advisory opinions have slowly become hard law for the Italian state. The Council deliberates and gives opinions on the various ways that Italy could pay back its monumental debt to its combined creditors. Since the Council is made up of those very same creditors, those advisory opinions have called for extreme measures indeed.

The second entity that now plays a major role in Italian politics is ‘Creditori Combinati s.r.l.’, or CC. CC is a limited liability company, whose shareholders are all the various creditors of the Italian government. CC has collected in itself all debt held by the Italian government at the time of its bankruptcy. Italy pays CC directly, which is then divided as dividend to all the various shareholders to make up for the debt incurred by Italy. The CC is much more than just a limited liability company though, nowadays. It holds all formerly owned government land (at least, those it decided not to liquidate). It also takes care of pensions and disability benefits, and the funds used to pay out those benefits. Most importantly, it is the tax collection agency for the Italian state. More on that in the history section.

The result of the existence of CC and the Council is simply that Italy, for all intents and purposes, is run by a corporation. The creditors decide Italy’s fiscal policy, and by extension, its overall policy as well. It decides tariffs, fines, banking laws, hedge fund laws, corporate liability laws, you name it, all to the benefit of the CC.
If a sovereign state, is your government unitary or federal? Unitary
If applicable, what political ideology does your entity uphold?: Libertarianism, fiscal conservatism
How is your territory's electricity currently generated IRL, by source?: Fossil fuels (70%), with natural gas accounting for 60% of total generation.
If in Eurasia, what was your territory's approximate population in 1800?: 17.200.000
What is your territory's population projected to be in 2050?: 54.300.000
A brief history of your entity between 2019 and 2047: Italy’s history in the modern world starts on the 17th of February 2020. Italy’s new government, a coalition of the Five Star Movement and the PD, did not last the winter, and it collapsed just before Christmas 2019. Their differences made sure that almost no new legislation was proposed and passed, much to the delight of Lega, which grew in membership by the day. The hope of the Five Star Movement and PD was that, by holding elections early, they would be able to alleviate some of the damage by making sure Lega could not yet get a majority of the electorate, thus giving room for a coalition of national unity. This plan failed utterly, and Lega gained a majority in both the senate and the national assembly.

The first thing Lega did was put Italy on a ramming course with the European commission, by notifying it of a budget that was, in the eyes of EU law, totally inadequate. Lega used the subsequent negative reaction of the EU to spur anti-EU sentiment in the country. Lega (with some merit) argued that, in Italy’s economic position, it would be better to increase debt spending massively to grow the economy. The Commission, however, not willing to give a single straw to the populist Italian government in fear of setting an example for Visegrad, declined, and started procedures before the European Court of Justice to force compliance.

Lega had planned to milk this situation indefinitely, but they had started a storm they could not hope to control. While Lega wanted to use their fight with the Commission as a near constant rallying cry (while still using most advantages of EU membership), the call for what was called an ‘Italeave’, an Italian exit from the European Union, became louder. The most extremist wing of Lega used that momentum to slowly grow to power within their own party, indeed calling for an end to Italian membership of the supranational union. In 2025, Matteo Salvini lost his leadership bid against the more radical wing of his party. The next prime minister, Claudio Borghi, immediately invoked article 50 to leave the European Union. Taking the example of Britain, Borghi too hoped to use constant extensions of the deadline to technically stay within the Union, but to root out any dissidents within his party, whilst negotiation a Norway-style agreement.

The EU would not play ball, however, and it did not extend the deadline. On the 15th of September 2027, Italy left the European Union. This time, however, instead of negotiating one big agreement, various agreements were already in place to allow for a somewhat smooth transition, especially with regards to tourism, although the imposition of a hard border and custom checks still fell hard on Italy. Not only that, but Borghi was hamstrung by his predecessor, as he now had to keep debt-spending, as that was the reason to leave the EU in the first place. Italy, to fund its programs, incurred massive debts, mostly through bonds sold to private investors. Italy withheld crucial economic data in order to get a good return on those bonds, and for a while, this strategy seemed to work.

Until, of course, it didn’t. In 2034, an anonymous internet poster known only as ‘Garibaldi’ left a cache of documents on nearly every major social media site on earth, as well as sending hard drives to mot major news stations inside and outside of Italy. In it was held actual financial data, as well as communications detailing the massive conspiracy for fraud. This ‘Christmas gift’ (it was sent on the 25th of December) sent the country plunging into chaos. Overnight, Italy’s credit score was downgraded, the interest on its bonds skyrocketed, and a few companies went bankrupt because it became obvious Italy could not pay back its debts by a long shot. The investment of the past years had gone into visible improvements, but those improvements had not returned on their investment as much as was hoped.

Over the next two years, the Italian economy crashed hard. At its peak, the country had a 46% unemployment rate, many people saw their income halved, and savings for many people vanished as large creditor banks went under. Foreclosures followed, as well as bankruptcies and failed mortgage repayments, leading to many people losing their homes and investments. On top of this, the government collapsed under the weight of corruption scandals, and an extraordinary number of ministers and parliamentarians committed suicide in the following months, some in absolutely spectacular fashions.

In 2040, Italy had almost reverted to being a developing economy. Subsequent governments had still failed to rein in spending with austerity measures, for fear of a national uprising if they cut back on spending. An army coup in Sardinia had to be put down, as well as some popular revolts in Sicily. During one protest, the gates of the Vatican were even breached, the first time in 200 years, and the mob almost made off with the Church’s riches if the Swiss guard hadn’t stepped in. It was absolute chaos.

The turn came in early 2041, when the Supreme Court rendered its verdict in the case of Creditori Combinati s.r.l. v Italy. CC argued that the government had a constitutional duty, as well as a duty under international human rights law, to do whatever was necessary to pay back its debts. Failing that duty would be tantamount to expropriation, which would violate article 1 of protocol 1 of the European Convention of Human Rights. CC proposed a couple of ways that that debt could be paid back, which it detailed in its court submissions. The court itself was too afraid to render their verdict against CC, as that would only further undermine the trust of creditors in Italy, which could lead to disastrous consequences. In a total reversal of previous case law, the court decided that, indeed, there was an obligation under the constitution and human rights law to pay back those debts, by whatever means necessary. The court went further, though. It decided that future tax debts and even fine debts could be sold as a way to pay off debts, and that there existed a constitutional duty for the legislature to do what was necessary to pay back that debt.

Not only did this verdict do wonders for the Italian credit score, but it also allowed the government to sell its future tax revenue to CC. CC, over the next year, gained 10 years of tax revenue, 5 years of future fine revenue, and access to the pension and disability funds of the government, as well as its gold reserves. CC, in essence, became the state treasurer. What was more, the legislature began to implement the advisory opinions laid down by the newly constituted National Council for the Restructuring of the Debt. This meant cutting safety regulations, selling government-held land, lowering corporate taxes but increasing other taxes to make sure the sold tax money was worth as much as possible. With the CC becoming the treasures and having the ability to collect on fines, it essentially became a shadow executive, successfully fighting against the actual executive in both court battles and in every-day life.

Elections are coming up, however. In a few weeks, the nation will decide on a new parliament, and the left-wing parties are standing to win massive election victories. While the populist league has been entirely discredited, new populist parties on the right have risen to the foreground, and they too stand to win big, especially in local elections. Many fringe politicians have already called for the nationalisation of the CC and the cancellation of debt, while others call for the criminal persecution of some responsible for the 2034 crash. While the current government has grown to be quite subservient to the CC, it remains to be seen whether that remains that way for long.
Are you willing to post at least once every two days?: Yes

Accepted. I quite like the concept.
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Plzen
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Plzen » Mon Sep 09, 2019 2:41 pm

Your NS nation: Plzen, R. C. of

Your RP territorial entity's name: Formally, the Northern Commonwealth (da: Nordisk Samarbejdsorganisation), but commonly just Norden

Entity type: Sovereign state.

How is your entity organised?: The Commonwealth is a devolutionary, parliamentary, and constitutional democracy. It is devolutionary, in that regional authorities hold considerable autonomy from the central government. The day-to-day administration of the alliance is split more or less evenly between the Commonwealth, national, provincial, and local governments, with the Commonwealth government overseeing matters of foreign policy, international trade, defence, as well as any matter beyond the scope of any one nation's ability. It is parliamentary, and sovereign authority is held by a legislative assembly, the Nordic Council (da: Nordisk Råd), that deliberates key contentious issues and sets the broad policies of state, with the administration actually handling the day-to-day affairs of the alliance fully subservient to this legislative assembly. It is constitutional, with clear laws defining the structure and authority of state organs. Finally, it is a democracy, with all members of the government being elected either directly or indirectly.

If a sovereign state, is your government unitary or federal? The Commonwealth maintains a federal structure.

If applicable, what political ideology does your entity uphold?: Corporatist social-liberalism, although this is disputed.

How is your territory's electricity currently generated IRL, by source?: The Nordic electricity mix as of the mid-2010s were as follows: 208 TWh/yr (51%) from domestic hydropower, 78 TWh/yr (19%) from domestic nuclear power, 36 TWh/yr (9%) from domestic wind power, 74 TWh/yr (18%) from all other domestic sources (about 1/2 fossil fuels and 1/2 biomass or waste combustion, but also a few minor odds and ends like solar and geothermal), and 11 TWh/yr (3%) net imports.

If in Eurasia, what was your territory's approximate population in 1800?: 5.14 millions.

What is your territory's population projected to be in 2050?: 29.94 millions.

A brief history of your entity between 2019 and 2047: After two centuries of various ideological pan-Scandinavian movements that saw very little actual success, the first steps towards the real political and economic integration of the Nordic Region began in the aftermath of the Second World War, with the relatively small nations in Northern Europe coming to realise that there was no security in individual neutrality and, thus, a necessity in interregional cooperation. Although, due to external interference from the United States and the Soviet Union, the idea of a Nordic defensive alliance never came to pass, the first decades of the Cold War saw the establishment of the Nordic Council and a variety of social, economic, and political bonds that brought these nations closer together. From the 1970s onwards to the mid-2020, however, these integration measures became largely obsolete as pan-European integration, culminating in the European Union that Denmark, Sweden, and Finland became members of, largely supplanted the functions of these pan-Nordic treaties.

Once the European Union began to burst at the seams in the 2020s, the treaties and obligations binding the Nordic Region together with the rest of Central and Western Europe began to dissolve, once more making relevant these old 20th Century pan-Nordic institutions. In the cascading rush towards the door following the British exit from the European Union, Sweden and Finland voted to activate their own Article 50 rights in 2024 and Denmark in 2026. In a desperate attempt to stabilise their economies and societies from the breakdown of the decades-old European order, the Nordic nations, which had a relatively similar economic structure and level of development with each other compared to the disparate economies of the former European Union, began also to strengthen these old pan-Nordic bonds, beginning with a common currency in 2028.

Although the establishment of the Commonwealth was officially proclaimed in 2037, for many people in the Nordic Region this reflected very little actual change in their governance or in their day-to-day routine. Throughout the late 2020s and early '30s, step-by-step and treaty-by-treaty, the Nordic Council assumed the rights and privileges traditionally reserved for independent states. A joint foreign policy formed in the early years of this decade, while a Nordic defence agreement - signed 2032, the same year the three western Nordic nations resigned their membership in NATO - gradually expanded over time to establish a military that was de-facto integrated. The establishment of the Commonwealth as a united state in 2037, therefore, was not a particularly profound change, but merely the official recognition of a reality that already existed.

Due in part to the ample natural resources in northern Europe, especially the sheer competitiveness of its manufacturing sector due to its extensive hydropower and nuclear power infrastructure that it had been pouring money into since the oil shocks of the 1970s, the region saw itself stabilising, if not necessarily recovering, relatively quickly from the 2035 Stock Crash even as most of the world failed to recover at all, slipping further and further into depression. Although, thanks to Finland's huge energy imports, the Nordic Region as a whole began the 21st Century as a slight net importer of energy, with a spiraling global stagflation caused by a rise in the price of both energy and raw materials, the Commonwealth soon became a fairly major net exporter of energy across the North European plain. While the region certainly isn't booming, there is a general sense among the populace that life is still fairly okay, combined with frayed nerves over terrible international news that seems to march closer to home every year.

With a global economic depression fueling a rise of radical populist ideologies across the developed world, and with shortages and mass anger triggering a dozen brush wars across the developing world, this island of stability on the northern end of Europe finds itself increasingly reminded of the calm before that very same storm that motivated the creation of the Nordic Council in the first place...

Are you willing to post at least once every two days?: If I have enough to write about to post once every two days, sure.

Not sure why this wasn't in the application, but the territory is Denmark (+ Faroe Islands and Greenland), Sweden, Norway (+ claim to Norwegian Antarctic Territories), Finland, and Iceland.

On another note, this doesn't happen to me very often because I like playing the Nordic region, which has been secondary powers for most of its history, but I might legitimately end up as an economic superpower given the particular concept of this RP. It would be interesting to examine how a government that still has a secondary-power mindset comfortable in a stable western world order reacts, being suddenly given the power to decide the fate of millions.
Last edited by Plzen on Mon Sep 09, 2019 3:06 pm, edited 7 times in total.
Forward, my comrades, march to your stations,
Righteous and proud! Win, we most surely can.
This is a triumph of peace and of nations,
A dawn of friendship for all people of man!

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The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
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Founded: Sep 01, 2019
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz » Mon Sep 09, 2019 3:44 pm

Plzen wrote:
Your NS nation: Plzen, R. C. of

Your RP territorial entity's name: Formally, the Northern Commonwealth (da: Nordisk Samarbejdsorganisation), but commonly just Norden

Entity type: Sovereign state.

How is your entity organised?: The Commonwealth is a devolutionary, parliamentary, and constitutional democracy. It is devolutionary, in that regional authorities hold considerable autonomy from the central government. The day-to-day administration of the alliance is split more or less evenly between the Commonwealth, national, provincial, and local governments, with the Commonwealth government overseeing matters of foreign policy, international trade, defence, as well as any matter beyond the scope of any one nation's ability. It is parliamentary, and sovereign authority is held by a legislative assembly, the Nordic Council (da: Nordisk Råd), that deliberates key contentious issues and sets the broad policies of state, with the administration actually handling the day-to-day affairs of the alliance fully subservient to this legislative assembly. It is constitutional, with clear laws defining the structure and authority of state organs. Finally, it is a democracy, with all members of the government being elected either directly or indirectly.

If a sovereign state, is your government unitary or federal? The Commonwealth maintains a federal structure.

If applicable, what political ideology does your entity uphold?: Corporatist social-liberalism, although this is disputed.

How is your territory's electricity currently generated IRL, by source?: The Nordic electricity mix as of the mid-2010s were as follows: 208 TWh/yr (51%) from domestic hydropower, 78 TWh/yr (19%) from domestic nuclear power, 36 TWh/yr (9%) from domestic wind power, 74 TWh/yr (18%) from all other domestic sources (about 1/2 fossil fuels and 1/2 biomass or waste combustion, but also a few minor odds and ends like solar and geothermal), and 11 TWh/yr (3%) net imports.

If in Eurasia, what was your territory's approximate population in 1800?: 5.14 millions.

What is your territory's population projected to be in 2050?: 29.94 millions.

A brief history of your entity between 2019 and 2047: After two centuries of various ideological pan-Scandinavian movements that saw very little actual success, the first steps towards the real political and economic integration of the Nordic Region began in the aftermath of the Second World War, with the relatively small nations in Northern Europe coming to realise that there was no security in individual neutrality and, thus, a necessity in interregional cooperation. Although, due to external interference from the United States and the Soviet Union, the idea of a Nordic defensive alliance never came to pass, the first decades of the Cold War saw the establishment of the Nordic Council and a variety of social, economic, and political bonds that brought these nations closer together. From the 1970s onwards to the mid-2020, however, these integration measures became largely obsolete as pan-European integration, culminating in the European Union that Denmark, Sweden, and Finland became members of, largely supplanted the functions of these pan-Nordic treaties.

Once the European Union began to burst at the seams in the 2020s, the treaties and obligations binding the Nordic Region together with the rest of Central and Western Europe began to dissolve, once more making relevant these old 20th Century pan-Nordic institutions. In the cascading rush towards the door following the British exit from the European Union, Sweden and Finland voted to activate their own Article 50 rights in 2024 and Denmark in 2026. In a desperate attempt to stabilise their economies and societies from the breakdown of the decades-old European order, the Nordic nations, which had a relatively similar economic structure and level of development with each other compared to the disparate economies of the former European Union, began also to strengthen these old pan-Nordic bonds, beginning with a common currency in 2028.

Although the establishment of the Commonwealth was officially proclaimed in 2037, for many people in the Nordic Region this reflected very little actual change in their governance or in their day-to-day routine. Throughout the late 2020s and early '30s, step-by-step and treaty-by-treaty, the Nordic Council assumed the rights and privileges traditionally reserved for independent states. A joint foreign policy formed in the early years of this decade, while a Nordic defence agreement - signed 2032, the same year the three western Nordic nations resigned their membership in NATO - gradually expanded over time to establish a military that was de-facto integrated. The establishment of the Commonwealth as a united state in 2037, therefore, was not a particularly profound change, but merely the official recognition of a reality that already existed.

Due in part to the ample natural resources in northern Europe, especially the sheer competitiveness of its manufacturing sector due to its extensive hydropower and nuclear power infrastructure that it had been pouring money into since the oil shocks of the 1970s, the region saw itself stabilising, if not necessarily recovering, relatively quickly from the 2035 Stock Crash even as most of the world failed to recover at all, slipping further and further into depression. Although, thanks to Finland's huge energy imports, the Nordic Region as a whole began the 21st Century as a slight net importer of energy, with a spiraling global stagflation caused by a rise in the price of both energy and raw materials, the Commonwealth soon became a fairly major net exporter of energy across the North European plain. While the region certainly isn't booming, there is a general sense among the populace that life is still fairly okay, combined with frayed nerves over terrible international news that seems to march closer to home every year.

With a global economic depression fueling a rise of radical populist ideologies across the developed world, and with shortages and mass anger triggering a dozen brush wars across the developing world, this island of stability on the northern end of Europe finds itself increasingly reminded of the calm before that very same storm that motivated the creation of the Nordic Council in the first place...

Are you willing to post at least once every two days?: If I have enough to write about to post once every two days, sure.

Not sure why this wasn't in the application, but the territory is Denmark (+ Faroe Islands and Greenland), Sweden, Norway (+ claim to Norwegian Antarctic Territories), Finland, and Iceland.

On another note, this doesn't happen to me very often because I like playing the Nordic region, which has been secondary powers for most of its history, but I might legitimately end up as an economic superpower given the particular concept of this RP. It would be interesting to examine how a government that still has a secondary-power mindset comfortable in a stable western world order reacts, being suddenly given the power to decide the fate of millions.

Accepted, it'll be interesting to see how you fare given your superior position to most of the planet. I put location into the app just as you applied, my sleep has been kind of dodgy lately and as a result I stupidly forgot it. We should be good now though.
Last edited by The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz on Mon Sep 09, 2019 3:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Plzen
Negotiator
 
Posts: 7104
Founded: Mar 19, 2014
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Plzen » Mon Sep 09, 2019 3:54 pm

The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz wrote:Accepted, it'll be interesting to see how you fare given your superior position to most of the planet. I put location into the app just as you applied, my sleep has been kind of dodgy lately and as a result I stupidly forgot it. We should be good now though.

Indeed. This should be utterly fascinating.

One interesting aspect in terms of government resources is that the Norwegian government has a sovereign wealth fund that's probably worth a trillion dollars or two at that point - in mostly stocks, bonds, and real estate, all of which will rapidly become worthless if the world economy goes belly-up. There might be an impetus to spend it before it evaporates, an impetus to try and shuffle it around and save it somehow, or even an impetus to try and save a regional economy to try and salvage the value of its assets.
Last edited by Plzen on Mon Sep 09, 2019 3:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Forward, my comrades, march to your stations,
Righteous and proud! Win, we most surely can.
This is a triumph of peace and of nations,
A dawn of friendship for all people of man!

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The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
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Posts: 45
Founded: Sep 01, 2019
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz » Mon Sep 09, 2019 4:03 pm

Plzen wrote:
The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz wrote:Accepted, it'll be interesting to see how you fare given your superior position to most of the planet. I put location into the app just as you applied, my sleep has been kind of dodgy lately and as a result I stupidly forgot it. We should be good now though.

Indeed. This should be utterly fascinating.

One interesting aspect in terms of government resources is that the Norwegian government has a sovereign wealth fund that's probably worth a trillion dollars or two at that point - in mostly stocks, bonds, and real estate, all of which will rapidly become worthless if the world economy goes belly-up. There might be an impetus to spend it before it evaporates, an impetus to try and shuffle it around and save it somehow, or even an impetus to try and save a regional economy to try and salvage the value of its assets.

If you are to invest the fund into something that won't disappear when the economy collapses that would preserve its value, what do you think it would be in particular?
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Plzen
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Founded: Mar 19, 2014
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Postby Plzen » Mon Sep 09, 2019 4:11 pm

The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz wrote:If you are to invest the fund into something that won't disappear when the economy collapses that would preserve its value, what do you think it would be in particular?

Theoretically? Infrastructure. New nuclear plants, public transit systems, coastal barriers against rising sea levels, hydrogen refueling stations, all of these necessary things are very expensive.

On the other hand, the simple fact of the matter is that we just can’t spend money that quickly. If I have two hundred dollars and I want some fancy new clothes I hop over to the mall and grab stuff off the shelf. If I have two hundred billion dollars and I want a new superhighways system, it’s not quite that simple.

You can’t buy what doesn’t exist no matter how much money you have.
Last edited by Plzen on Mon Sep 09, 2019 4:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Forward, my comrades, march to your stations,
Righteous and proud! Win, we most surely can.
This is a triumph of peace and of nations,
A dawn of friendship for all people of man!

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The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
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Founded: Sep 01, 2019
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz » Mon Sep 09, 2019 4:24 pm

Plzen wrote:
The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz wrote:If you are to invest the fund into something that won't disappear when the economy collapses that would preserve its value, what do you think it would be in particular?

Theoretically? Infrastructure. New nuclear plants, public transit systems, coastal barriers against rising sea levels, hydrogen refueling stations, all of these necessary things are very expensive.

On the other hand, the simple fact of the matter is that we just can’t spend money that quickly. If I have two hundred dollars and I want some fancy new clothes I hop over to the mall and grab stuff off the shelf. If I have two hundred billion dollars and I want a new superhighways system, it’s not quite that simple.

You can’t buy what doesn’t exist no matter how much money you have.

Although this may be an era of diminishing means to achieve positive change, there's still a good half-decade until things start to get more ugly than usual for the developed world. What's your food security like?
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Plzen
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Postby Plzen » Mon Sep 09, 2019 5:00 pm

The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz wrote:What's your food security like?

We hold 0.7% of world cereal production and 0.4% of world population, so better than average.

No United States, of course, but still better than most.

On one hand, a lot of the output is, much like in other developed nations, energy-intensive and reliant on petrol- and gas-derived chemical products. On the other hand, the region has very high energy availability and will benefit considerably from climate change opening up new fertile land.
Last edited by Plzen on Mon Sep 09, 2019 7:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Forward, my comrades, march to your stations,
Righteous and proud! Win, we most surely can.
This is a triumph of peace and of nations,
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Labstoska
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Postby Labstoska » Tue Sep 10, 2019 12:06 am

So the UK's energy supply is more renewable than most with only 51% of it coming from fossil fuels... however 80% of the UK economy is comprised of the services sector and we have to import 45% of our food so uhh I think that places me on the back foot somewhat.

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The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
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Postby The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz » Tue Sep 10, 2019 12:57 am

Your NS nation: The Conscience of Mike Lebowitz
Your RP territorial entity's name: The United States of America
Entity type (sovereign state, corporation, subnational state, etc): sovereign state
Location: The current territory of the USA
How is your entity (government or corporation) organised?: For the most part the US government is the same as it is was in 2019 - constitutional republic, presidential representative democracy, bicameral Congress made up of the Senate and the House of Representatives, so on and so forth. A few notable differences have emerged in the years following 2019, however. The president is now elected by popular vote, the Commerce Department has been replaced by a more all-encompassing Department of Economic Development, and there are four more executive departments dedicated to automation, digital technology, sustainability and climate. The US government has become significantly more bureaucratic than was in 2019, and the executive has been empowered.
If a sovereign state, is your government unitary or federal? federal
If applicable, what political ideology does your entity uphold?: For the most part, social liberalism. The Democrats have governed for the last several presidential terms, make of that what you will.
How is your territory's electricity currently generated IRL, by source?: Natural gas (33.8%), Coal (30.4%), Nuclear (19.7%), Hydro (6.5%), Wind (5.5%), Biomass (1.5%) and Other (2.6%, includes solar) in 2016, with the greatest gains throughout the 2000s and 2010s being made by natural gas and nonhydro renewables.
Describe the cultural and ethnic character of your territory in the current RP year: 50 percent Non-Hispanic White, 25 percent Hispanic, 13 percent black, 7 percent Asian, 4 percent multiracial. Members of all groups who aren't recent immigrants have experienced a great deal of anglicisation, although at the same time large parts of the US Southwest close to the Mexican border are bilingual (English and Spanish).
If in Eurasia, what was your territory's approximate population in 1800?: N/A
What is your territory's population projected to be in 2050?: 398,329,000
A brief history of your entity between 2019 and 2047: Donald Trump was narrowly reelected in 2020 and continued the trade conflict with China. The US economy took a noticeable hit, but would ultimately fare better than most of the developed world did economically during the first half of the 2020s. Trump's presidency was followed by Dan Crenshaw serving a single term in 2024. Crenshaw lost the 2028 presidential election to Beto O'Rourke, who would be POTUS until 2036. The last Republican president would ultimately be Crenshaw, as the demographic transformation of Texas would result in the purpling of the state by the mid-late 2020s and finally in Texas becoming a blue state. North Carolina and Florida would also turn blue, with Georgia becoming a swing state by the 2030s. The electoral college was abolished in 2037 by a Democrat-controlled legislature following enormous Republican turnout in 2036 that turned the entire Midwest except for Illinois red. With the United States soon to be majority-minority and the president elected by popular vote (which hasn't been won by a Republican since 2004), it is highly unlikely that the election of a Republican POTUS will ever be possible again.

US influence abroad would erode throughout the '20s and '30s, with America keeping most of its Atlantic and Anglo-Saxon strategic allies but shedding its former mantle of sole superpower. The depression of the past thirteen years has only made America more inward-looking by diverting its attention to domestic issues.

The Green New Deal's implementation has been onging since the late '20s but has failed at transitioning the US to renewable energy generation. The USA is not suffering from this failure as much as other countries would, however, thanks to its relative abundance of natural resources. America's electricity, for which demand continues to grow, still comes mostly from the brown coal and natural gas basins of the Deep South, the Midwest and the Rockies. Extraction has begun to increase sharply as the energy return on investment of these sources steadily declines, pacifying the stagnating markets and preventing blackouts in states that have attempted to transition to non-hydro renewables such as California, but this will not hold back the inevitable forever. The Federal Government continues to respond sluggishly and with the same ineffective fixes - solar panels and wind turbines - even as a crisis very obviously looms over the country. America is woefully unprepared for what will come.

Are you willing to post at least once every two days?: Yes, and I wish to interact extensively with US states as I become weaker and weaker.


Labstoska wrote:So the UK's energy supply is more renewable than most with only 51% of it coming from fossil fuels... however 80% of the UK economy is comprised of the services sector and we have to import 45% of our food so uhh I think that places me on the back foot somewhat.

Not mutually exclusive with what you were going for, to be fair. There was a lot of food scarcity and even starvation in urban areas during the Bosnian war. It's not like having as many people as now will do a lower-EROI society any favours.

Also, that 51% is a bit worse than you think because the majority of the United Kingdom's renewable power comes from solar and wind. Solar and wind give a significantly lower return on investment than fossil fuels do, so they'd have to be implemented on a much larger scale that isn't feasible with the currently diminishing means to do so. The future of electricity is nuclear and hydro. Fortunately, the former is pretty prominent in the UK and will only get more prominent as time goes by.
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Duhon
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Founded: Nov 21, 2018
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Postby Duhon » Tue Sep 10, 2019 1:29 am

This frightens me a lot.

I'll keep watch over how this RP develops, if at all -- it's a frighteningly excellent premise, one I can't participate in as approaching apocalyptic scenarios are literally bad for my health, so hopefully some future participant chooses a developing nation that isn't one of the usual victims.

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Plzen
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Postby Plzen » Tue Sep 10, 2019 3:24 am

One interesting factor that might be a thing early in this RP: the prohibition on the exploitation of Antarctic natural resources comes up for review in 2048. The Commonwealth will likely feel that its financial, diplomatic, and security interests are best served by keeping this prohibition for another 50 years, but many of the more resource-strapped Consultative Parties will probably feel strongly otherwise.

Could be an interesting IC plot event.
Forward, my comrades, march to your stations,
Righteous and proud! Win, we most surely can.
This is a triumph of peace and of nations,
A dawn of friendship for all people of man!

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G-Tech Corporation
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Posts: 55196
Founded: Feb 03, 2010
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby G-Tech Corporation » Tue Sep 10, 2019 5:07 am

Just swinging by to keep an eye on this cool, cool RP concept.
TG if you have questions about RP. If I don't know the answer, I know someone who does.

Quite the unofficial fellow. P2TM Mentor specializing in faction and nation RPs, as well as RPGs.

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Labstoska
Ambassador
 
Posts: 1441
Founded: Apr 22, 2016
Iron Fist Consumerists

Postby Labstoska » Tue Sep 10, 2019 7:39 am

Plzen wrote:One interesting factor that might be a thing early in this RP: the prohibition on the exploitation of Antarctic natural resources comes up for review in 2048. The Commonwealth will likely feel that its financial, diplomatic, and security interests are best served by keeping this prohibition for another 50 years, but many of the more resource-strapped Consultative Parties will probably feel strongly otherwise.

Could be an interesting IC plot event.

Indeed I can definitely see the UK pushing for the exploitation of the Antarctic. I think it'll be quite interesting to see the shift of power in the North sea from the slowly dying UK to a resurgent Scandinavia.

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The Imperial Warglorian Empire
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Posts: 6900
Founded: Oct 10, 2015
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby The Imperial Warglorian Empire » Tue Sep 10, 2019 8:53 am

Please reserve Germany, Switzerland, Austria, the Netherlands, Czechia and the general western part of Poland in the "Neu Deutschestaat/Mitteleuropäischer Föderierter Staat" (New German State/Central European Federated State)
[_★_]_[' ]_
( -_-) (-_Q) If you understand that both Capitalism and Socialism have ideas that deserve merit, put this in your signature.
My preferred nickname is Warg
✠ (Put this in your Signature if you are a Militaristic Germanic/Prussian Nation!)
For nearly 11 years you have brought the German people into an age of disaster, evil, and corruption, no more.
Auf Wiedersehen, mein Führer, Deutschland über alles...

-Erwin Rommel, before shooting Adolf Hitler in the head
Yeah, u do that and I’m gonna have to force u to pull a France, and then a Vichy-Wargloria, after one of his allies proposed pulling an Italy

PROUD MEMBER OF THE FEDERATION OF ALLIES!

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Labstoska
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Posts: 1441
Founded: Apr 22, 2016
Iron Fist Consumerists

Postby Labstoska » Tue Sep 10, 2019 12:30 pm

Your NS nation:
Your RP territorial entity's name: The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Entity type (sovereign state, corporation, subnational state, etc): Sovereign state
How is your entity (government or corporation) organised?: The UK has always had a firm drive to ensure that no matter how far the world has shifted that it retains it's three century old system and even in these tumultuous times that drive remains steadfast. The UK is a constitutional monarchy and as such it operates with the monarch being the official head of state while the prime minister acts as the head of government and wields all true power within the nation. The UK parliament is Bicameral and therefore is separated into the house of commons and the house of lords ,the house of lords however merely acts as a revising chamber. The house of commons operates through the first past the post system in which the counties of the UK elect an MP to represent them in the house of commons, however the house of lords functions in a more aristocratic state with most of it's representatives having inherited their seats and the rest being put forth by the church of England.

The judiciary of the United Kingdom is split up into the three legal system of England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland yet the judges of the Supreme Court and the UK tribunals system. The Supreme court is the final court of appeal in the UK for civil cases, and for criminal cases from England, Wales and Northern Ireland. It hears cases of the greatest importance affecting the entirety of the United Kingdom. It's headed by the president and deputy president of the United Kingdom and has a further ten Justices of the Supreme Court. The UK tribunal system is part of a greater national system for administrative justice,their procedures are be better suited for particular types of disputes, cheaper to administer and require less-qualified officials. The tribunal system is headed by the senior president of tribunals.
If a sovereign state, is your government unitary or federal? Unitary however the devolved governments do wield extensive power
If applicable, what political ideology does your entity uphold?: Currently under the 'black rose' branch of the labour party the UK advocates for: Left wing populism, economic statism, The welfare state
How is your territory's electricity currently generated IRL, by source?:
Gas-fired power stations: 40.7%
Nuclear power: 37.9%
Renewables: 20.1%
Energy imports: 1.3%
If in Eurasia, what was your territory's approximate population in 1800?:10.5 million
What is your territory's population projected to be in 2050?: 75.3 million
A brief history of your entity between 2019 and 2047: In 2019 prime minister Boris Johnson dragged the UK out of the European Union kicking and screaming. In mid 2019 many people considered the European collapse of the 2020s to be impossible, as a result almost half of the entire UK sought to remain within it, many more so wished to forge some sort of deal so that Britain could retain some kind of pseudo membership within the union. As such with a nation so divided upon the issue it became incredibly difficult for any government to attempt to force it's version of Brexit through, and so when the deadline came upon them the UK had no deal to offer leading to Britain splitting clean off the EU. This split however came with great difficulty and cost, prime minister Johnson had aligned himself to the hardliner Brexiteers during the first month of his government culminating in a parliament hostile to almost all of his goals. In order to force his view of Britain through he adopted a strongman policy and in the process changed British politics in the 21st century.

Johnson used every underhanded trick in the book to pull the UK out of the EU and in the aftermath to stay in power, however in the direct aftermath of Brexit his administration was faced with one overwhelming problem; the majority of the 'Rebel Tories' had peeled away from the Conservative party entirely, most of whom fled to the LibDems. This left the prime minister in the precarious situation of having lost his majority in parliament, the only course of action that the prime minister was left with was to turn towards Nigel Farage and his Brexit party. It was through the merging of the Brexit party with the conservative party was transformed form a centre-right party to a 'big tent' for the right wing providing them with the majority they needed to dominate parliament. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Labour was rapidly loosing popularity for it's weak policy on Brexit and Corbyn's ineffectual leadership, on the other hand the Liberal Democrat's were rapidly looking to become the new opposition. To ensure that Labour remained a force in British politics they approached the LibDems with the offer of the coalition leading, the new opposition left the left side-lined in favour for the centre and so for the next 10 years the stage for British politics was set.

With the opening up of the Conservative party Johnson had secured his first term, thanks to some immense luck he was able to follow up on Trump's promises and sign an FDA with the US all in exchange for lowering corporate regulations. Thanks to this deal the UK was able to peg itself to the US, keeping itself afloat throughout the turbulent 2020s and as a result for his first term Boris Johnson was reasonably popular with approval rates hovering around 59%.

One element of the no deal that was particularly volatile was the Irish border, without a deal the good Friday agreement was rendered null and void and without that agreement the fragile peace that had existed in the Northern Ireland fell apart. The new IRA as they called themselves once again began their campaign of terror across Northern Ireland, the UK government responded in kind deploying the British armed forces to the region. For the first term of the Johnson administration the British armed forces employed very much the same tactics they used in the first round of the troubles yet as pressure mounted on the government to resolve the issue Boris ,desperate to find a resolution, changed tactic. Mass surveillance was the name of the game, methods once employed by SLC were used to ensure the loyalty of the Northern Irish people. Ultimately Johnson failed to end the Northern Irish conflict, this combined with the growing economic troubles lead to Johnson resigning near the end of his second term.

In the aftermath of Johnson's resignation and the economic downturn, the populist wing of the Conservative party were able to sweep themselves into power. Their interpretation of a solution was corporatism, the continuously lowered regulations and privatised any part of the UK they were able to (the NHS being off limits of course). It was also within their policy to cease British investment into renewable energy development and focus almost entirely upon nuclear and fossil fuel power sources, this policy often brought them into conflict with the Scottish devolved government.

The populist regime was brought to an end however when plans were leaked for the privatisation of the NHS, firmly discrediting the conservative party in the eyes of the public. What followed after were a series of centrist leaders from the labour-liberal coalition who carefully oversaw the decline of Britain, each one failing to create any meaningful change as the policy of a 'big tent' coalition lead to a lack of any decisiveness on the part of the government as the ruling coalition regularly attacked itself over the smallest issue. In the 2040s however a new branch of the left in L-L coalition came to the forefront; the so called 'black rose' branch of the labour party, they combined the strongman attitude introduced to Britain by Boris Johnson with the traditional leftist economic policies of labour, brought to the limelight by the long lack of leftist representation in British politics and the growing frustration of government action.

The UK is now two years into the new labour's term under prime minister Jonathan Morrow, despite his strongman exterior Morrow has done little and with the British right growing ever stronger and the L-L coalition to collapse almost any day the fate of Britain seems to be hanging by a thread.
Are you willing to post at least once every two days?: Yes

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