2020 US General Election Thread IX: One Month and Counting

[Gravlen]

Demosthenes also used to be a stutterer, yet he became one of Athens' greatest orators.

So did Churchill.

George VI is another one. Had huge issues with stuttering and public speaking from what i know of him, ended up becoming a pretty good public speaker with help.

Won him an Oscar, didn't it?

[Eukaryotic Cells]

Wonder if we're going to burn through this thread before this thing is over? I'm gonna go with yes.

[Zurkerx]

McConnell's trying to get the gov. shutdown so that a Senate Recess SCotUS pick can happen, who will most likely choose Trump as the victor even if Biden is the clear and concise winner.

This is most likely because he knows the Reps don't have the numbers to vote in a new Justice immediately.

I'm sorry? By all accounts they already have the votes and are going to do it as soon as Trump picks. The only people who have said no are Murkowski and Collins, all the other vulnerable or moderate Republicans have either remained quiet or expressed support, which leaves them at 51 votes. Even if Romney jumps ship they still get a tie and they still win via Pence.

Pretty much this^. Even Graham says they have the votes. I think Romney will jump ship though that may be in the form of not voting. Either way, it's going to be a 6-3 court.

New thread smell.

Zurk 2020

Thank you for your support, sir! Now if only I was old enough to run...

[North American Imperial State]

George VI is another one. Had huge issues with stuttering and public speaking from what i know of him, ended up becoming a pretty good public speaker with help.

Won him an Oscar, didn't it?

Yes that is correct

[Thermodolia]

I'm sorry? By all accounts they already have the votes and are going to do it as soon as Trump picks. The only people who have said no are Murkowski and Collins, all the other vulnerable or moderate Republicans have either remained quiet or expressed support, which leaves them at 51 votes. Even if Romney jumps ship they still get a tie and they still win via Pence.

Pretty much this^. Even Graham says they have the votes. I think Romney will jump ship though that may be in the form of not voting. Either way, it's going to be a 6-3 court.

New thread smell.

Zurk 2020

Thank you for your support, sir! Now if only I was old enough to run...

Unless the democrats pull a fast one. There’s a high possibility that Barr will be impeached

[Carrico]

There is no way Biden would win a debate against Trump.

These spectacle politics represent a dying empire.

[Zurkerx]

And we have a few new polls too at the moment:

In a new Iowa Poll by Selzer (A+ Rated), Biden and Trump are tied at 47%. And in Georgia, a poll done by the University of Georgia (B/C Rated) shows a tied there as well, with both candidates getting 47% too. In South Carolina, it's close: a poll by Morning Consult (B/C Rated) shows Trump leading 50% to Biden's 44%.

The Iowa poll was done before Ginsburg's death while the Georgia and SC ones were done from September 11-20; she passed on the 18th. We'll need to keep an eye out on what polling shows going forward over these next few weeks given we have a debate next Tuesday and whether Christians, particularly Evangelicals, will back Trump now given an open seat is back despite their reserves for the man.

You can also look at the Senate Race Polls done by Morning Consult in the link below:

https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/22/m ... on-graham/

[Zurkerx]

Pretty much this^. Even Graham says they have the votes. I think Romney will jump ship though that may be in the form of not voting. Either way, it's going to be a 6-3 court.



Thank you for your support, sir! Now if only I was old enough to run...

Unless the democrats pull a fast one. There’s a high possibility that Barr will be impeached

But would that be politically smart though? The move could rile up reluctant Trump supporters to back Trump. Not to mention, some voters, particularly independents I would think, wouldn't take kindly to the process being hindered though there's a lot of uncertainty now: anything can happen. Certainly, they could delay it but if Trump wins, it won't matter.

[Stylan]

There is no way Biden would win a debate against Trump.

These spectacle politics represent a dying empire.

Yup.

[San Lumen]

Of course, it won't be over by Election Day, a majority of Democrats are voting by post whereas a majority of Republicans are voting in person. What this means is that end day November 4th Trump may well be winning before all the postal votes are counted. God knows every effort will be made to nullify those postal votes to the point a Supreme Court decision may be made as to when the cut off date is required.. and alas the Supreme Court may well be stacked.

On votes alone Trump will certainly lose, alas this election is not about votes alone.

Enjoy...

I see no reasons why mail in votes cant be received and counted before election nights, in early voting elections of all kinds, not just for President, for all early voting elections.

Some states have changed their law to allow that.

[Geneviev]

Wow, new thread already.

Wonder if we're going to burn through this thread before this thing is over? I'm gonna go with yes.

Probably.

[Thermodolia]

Unless the democrats pull a fast one. There’s a high possibility that Barr will be impeached

But would that be politically smart though? The move could rile up reluctant Trump supporters to back Trump. Not to mention, some voters, particularly independents I would think, wouldn't take kindly to the process being hindered though there's a lot of uncertainty now: anything can happen. Certainly, they could delay it but if Trump wins, it won't matter.

A lot of independents are against the seat being filled before the election. So if the democrats delay the process they’d probably win independent support.

Hell McConnell delayed it for a year and got elected. At this point the democrats should stop worrying about being respectable and say fuck it cause the Republicans definitely don’t give a shit

[Thermodolia]

And we have a few new polls too at the moment:

In a new Iowa Poll by Selzer (A+ Rated), Biden and Trump are tied at 47%. And in Georgia, a poll done by the University of Georgia (B/C Rated) shows a tied there as well, with both candidates getting 47% too. In South Carolina, it's close: a poll by Morning Consult (B/C Rated) shows Trump leading 50% to Biden's 44%.

The Iowa poll was done before Ginsburg's death while the Georgia and SC ones were done from September 11-20; she passed on the 18th. We'll need to keep an eye out on what polling shows going forward over these next few weeks given we have a debate next Tuesday and whether Christians, particularly Evangelicals, will back Trump now given an open seat is back despite their reserves for the man.

You can also look at the Senate Race Polls done by Morning Consult in the link below:

https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/22/m ... on-graham/

The AJC said their poll, the UGA one was AJC/UGA, was done prior to her death.

[Cannot think of a name]

Well, Romney is on the side of 'if you can do it, you get to do it' camp of nominating a new Supreme Court justice and will vote for the nomination.

So there's that.

[San Lumen]

https://assets.documentcloud.org/docume ... pBiden.pdf

New poll finds Iowa tied at 47 percent.

[Cannot think of a name]

There is no way Biden would win a debate against Trump.

These spectacle politics represent a dying empire.

Dude, Trump lost a townhall meeting against himself.

[Picairn]

Well, Romney is on the side of 'if you can do it, you get to do it' camp of nominating a new Supreme Court justice and will vote for the nomination.

So there's that.

Let the court packing begin.

[Zurkerx]

But would that be politically smart though? The move could rile up reluctant Trump supporters to back Trump. Not to mention, some voters, particularly independents I would think, wouldn't take kindly to the process being hindered though there's a lot of uncertainty now: anything can happen. Certainly, they could delay it but if Trump wins, it won't matter.

A lot of independents are against the seat being filled before the election. So if the democrats delay the process they’d probably win independent support.

Hell McConnell delayed it for a year and got elected. At this point the democrats should stop worrying about being respectable and say fuck it cause the Republicans definitely don’t give a shit

Hmm, you make a fair point. And now Democrats may have to do it: Romney supports holding a vote on next Supreme Court nominee. He will vote for the nominee based on their qualifications. So, there will be a floor vote at least, but whether that nominee gets confirmed (seems likely) is still up in the air.

The AJC said their poll, the UGA one was AJC/UGA, was done prior to her death.

Good to know so we'll pay attention to polls from this week and next. Should be quite interesting, especially if you say a majority of independents oppose such a move.

[Thermodolia]

A lot of independents are against the seat being filled before the election. So if the democrats delay the process they’d probably win independent support.

Hell McConnell delayed it for a year and got elected. At this point the democrats should stop worrying about being respectable and say fuck it cause the Republicans definitely don’t give a shit

Hmm, you make a fair point. And now Democrats may have to do it: Romney supports holding a vote on next Supreme Court nominee. He will vote for the nominee based on their qualifications. So, there will be a floor vote at least, but whether that nominee gets confirmed (seems likely) is still up in the air.

The AJC said their poll, the UGA one was AJC/UGA, was done prior to her death.

Good to know so we'll pay attention to polls from this week and next. Should be quite interesting, especially if you say a majority of independents oppose such a move.

The majority of Georgians oppose such a move. But only just. Georgia is pretty much split down the middle on all issues.

[Eukaryotic Cells]

Well, Romney is on the side of 'if you can do it, you get to do it' camp of nominating a new Supreme Court justice and will vote for the nomination.

So there's that.

Welp, it's over.

[Dominioan]

Just gonna add this too my posted list. I must say, this election has definitely managed to cause a good amount of controversy and angry tweets.

[Ifreann]

There is no way Biden would win a debate against Trump.

These spectacle politics represent a dying empire.

These sorts of debates aren't won or lost in the context of the debate itself. They're exercises in generating news, in having the best one-liners and comebacks, in conveying the right image to fit one's broader campaign strategy, and of course in thwarting the other party from doing the same. It's entirely possible for both Biden and Trump to win the debate, or for them both to lose.

[Gravlen]

Well, Romney is on the side of 'if you can do it, you get to do it' camp of nominating a new Supreme Court justice and will vote for the nomination.

So there's that.

Welp, it's over.

I think that's a good thing. The outcome was given from the start. Don't waste your time and energy on a lost cause, save it for the fights you can win.

And remember that elections have consequences. Remember the down ballot elections, which will matter more than the presidential elections. The Republican party has shown that it's all about raw power, so if the Democrats take the house and the Senate... well, turnabout is fair play. No need to care about "norms", "principles" or "the high road" when the other side doesn't give a shit about such things.

[San Lumen]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics ... story.html

Bloomberg has raised 16 million dollars to pay the court fines and fees of nearly 32,000 Black and Hispanic Florida voters with felony convictions to order to allow them to vote.

[Gravlen]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/mike-bloomberg-raises-16-million-to-allow-former-felons-to-vote-in-florida/2020/09/21/6dda787e-fc5a-11ea-8d05-9beaaa91c71f_story.html

Bloomberg has raised 16 million dollars to pay the court fines and fees of nearly 32,000 Black and Hispanic Florida voters with felony convictions to order to allow them to vote.

That is a smart move. It might not matter, since Florida refuses to tell them how much the owe, but it's a good thing to do.