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2020 US General Election Thread VII: Summer of Discontent

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Of All The Parties With 50+ Electoral Votes of Ballot Access, Which Party Do You Prefer?

Republicans
73
23%
Democrats
111
35%
Libertarians
24
8%
Greens
59
19%
Constitution Party
12
4%
Alliance Party
4
1%
Socialism and Liberation
31
10%
 
Total votes : 314

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Myrensis
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Myrensis » Thu Jun 25, 2020 6:11 pm

Repubblica Fascista Sociale Italiana wrote:
No State Here wrote:People have been predicting the end of the Republican party since Obama’s initial election. They’re not going to die out, they’ll have to overhaul their strategy in order to keep up with changing demographics. So instead of letting minorities phase them out, they’ll try to appeal to minorities, which they have already done to an extent with Hispanics in the Southwest

I never bought into the whole "GOP will die due to changing demographics" thing. The Republicans will try to win those demographics instead, it’s common sense. Why would you continue pursuing a failing policy position when you can pursue a more successful one?


Because of the lack of evidence that they are willing to do any such thing? This isn't sudden, Republican strategists have been sounding the alarm for years about the need to reach out to ever growing groups of minority voters...and the response of the party has consistently been to double down on white grievance, and rely on high turnout by getting their base foaming at the mouth about America being swept away in a tide of brown and all good white Christians being enslaved and oppressed.

Eventually sure, they'll have no choice, but at the moment it seems they're not willing to try it until after it becomes completely impossible to win on the 'enraged white geriatric' vote.
Last edited by Myrensis on Thu Jun 25, 2020 6:14 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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The Emerald Legion
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Postby The Emerald Legion » Thu Jun 25, 2020 6:29 pm

Myrensis wrote:
Repubblica Fascista Sociale Italiana wrote:I never bought into the whole "GOP will die due to changing demographics" thing. The Republicans will try to win those demographics instead, it’s common sense. Why would you continue pursuing a failing policy position when you can pursue a more successful one?


Because of the lack of evidence that they are willing to do any such thing? This isn't sudden, Republican strategists have been sounding the alarm for years about the need to reach out to ever growing groups of minority voters...and the response of the party has consistently been to double down on white grievance, and rely on high turnout by getting their base foaming at the mouth about America being swept away in a tide of brown and all good white Christians being enslaved and oppressed.

Eventually sure, they'll have no choice, but at the moment it seems they're not willing to try it until after it becomes completely impossible to win on the 'enraged white geriatric' vote.


Just because they don't wave it around as much doesn't mean they don't try to win over minorities.
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Bear Stearns
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Capitalizt

Postby Bear Stearns » Thu Jun 25, 2020 6:30 pm

The Emerald Legion wrote:
Myrensis wrote:
Because of the lack of evidence that they are willing to do any such thing? This isn't sudden, Republican strategists have been sounding the alarm for years about the need to reach out to ever growing groups of minority voters...and the response of the party has consistently been to double down on white grievance, and rely on high turnout by getting their base foaming at the mouth about America being swept away in a tide of brown and all good white Christians being enslaved and oppressed.

Eventually sure, they'll have no choice, but at the moment it seems they're not willing to try it until after it becomes completely impossible to win on the 'enraged white geriatric' vote.


Just because they don't wave it around as much doesn't mean they don't try to win over minorities.


Trump performed the better with minorities than any Republican since George HW Bush, iirc
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Cannot think of a name
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Cannot think of a name » Thu Jun 25, 2020 6:35 pm

The Emerald Legion wrote:
Myrensis wrote:
Because of the lack of evidence that they are willing to do any such thing? This isn't sudden, Republican strategists have been sounding the alarm for years about the need to reach out to ever growing groups of minority voters...and the response of the party has consistently been to double down on white grievance, and rely on high turnout by getting their base foaming at the mouth about America being swept away in a tide of brown and all good white Christians being enslaved and oppressed.

Eventually sure, they'll have no choice, but at the moment it seems they're not willing to try it until after it becomes completely impossible to win on the 'enraged white geriatric' vote.


Just because they don't wave it around as much doesn't mean they don't try to win over minorities.

Nah, they just undercut the ones who do like with Bush Jr.

If only they spent as much time and energy reaching out to minorities with something other than saying "The Democrats don't do anything for you" over and over again as they do in overtly reaching out to the racist and homophobic voters.
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The Black Forrest
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby The Black Forrest » Thu Jun 25, 2020 6:42 pm

The Emerald Legion wrote:
Myrensis wrote:
Because of the lack of evidence that they are willing to do any such thing? This isn't sudden, Republican strategists have been sounding the alarm for years about the need to reach out to ever growing groups of minority voters...and the response of the party has consistently been to double down on white grievance, and rely on high turnout by getting their base foaming at the mouth about America being swept away in a tide of brown and all good white Christians being enslaved and oppressed.

Eventually sure, they'll have no choice, but at the moment it seems they're not willing to try it until after it becomes completely impossible to win on the 'enraged white geriatric' vote.


Just because they don't wave it around as much doesn't mean they don't try to win over minorities.


Do or do not. There is no try.
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Shrillland
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Founded: Apr 12, 2010
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Shrillland » Thu Jun 25, 2020 7:16 pm

Bear Stearns wrote:
The Emerald Legion wrote:
Just because they don't wave it around as much doesn't mean they don't try to win over minorities.


Trump performed the better with minorities than any Republican since George HW Bush, iirc


Actually, no. Among black voters since '88, Bob Dole was the best performing with 12% in '96, while Bush the Younger polled 35% among hispanic voters in 2000 and 44% in '04.
Last edited by Shrillland on Thu Jun 25, 2020 7:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Slavakino
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Ex-Nation

Postby Slavakino » Thu Jun 25, 2020 7:29 pm

The Virgin President Trump vs The Chad Candidate Trump
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Zurkerx
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Anarchy

Postby Zurkerx » Thu Jun 25, 2020 8:09 pm

Cannot think of a name wrote:
Cisairse wrote:Latest PredictIt betting prices for VP candidates:

(Image)

(Bets are over a dollar; you can convert the cents to "percent chance this person is the VP pick")

This is not the way they should make decisions but Biden/Bass makes a cool sounding yard sign.


I guess Biden is- all about that Bass then :p

Major-Tom wrote:
Shrillland wrote:
Well, she's the rep for Crenshaw-Culver City(37th), former Assembly Speaker in Sacramento, current Chair of the Congressional Black Caucus, and is considered one of California's most progressive Congressfolks.


Probably wouldn't be wise for Biden to pick someone from Cali as VP, let alone someone in a district with a partisan index of D+37, one of the most Democratic in the nation.


Aye, but let's not forget that Bass is probably the best choice in terms of a black VP: she has exceptional leadership skills I hear, she leads an important caucus, she proposed the new police reforms that just passed the House tonight, she doesn't have the controversy of a law enforcement background, and she's a Progressive. Ultimately, Biden must find the person he views as the best, but Bass wouldn't be bad despite the lack in name recognition and her coming from a blue area.
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Kargintina the Third
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Founded: Dec 17, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Kargintina the Third » Thu Jun 25, 2020 8:10 pm

Slavakino wrote:The Virgin President Trump vs The Chad Candidate Trump

Trump promised me a wall and Hillary in prison, Donald get on it
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South Odreria 2
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Ex-Nation

Postby South Odreria 2 » Thu Jun 25, 2020 8:14 pm

Bass sounds good
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Slavakino
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Postby Slavakino » Thu Jun 25, 2020 9:03 pm

Kargintina the Third wrote:
Slavakino wrote:The Virgin President Trump vs The Chad Candidate Trump

Trump promised me a wall and Hillary in prison, Donald get on it

Still waiting on that wall Donny
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Thu Jun 25, 2020 9:18 pm

South Odreria 2 wrote:Bass sounds good

I think she would be an excellent pick.

Kargintina the Third wrote:
Slavakino wrote:The Virgin President Trump vs The Chad Candidate Trump

Trump promised me a wall and Hillary in prison, Donald get on it


I dare Trump to indict Clinton and Obama. It isn;'t going to go over well at all.

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Cisairse
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Ex-Nation

Postby Cisairse » Thu Jun 25, 2020 9:20 pm

San Lumen wrote:
South Odreria 2 wrote:Bass sounds good

I think she would be an excellent pick.

Kargintina the Third wrote:Trump promised me a wall and Hillary in prison, Donald get on it


I dare Trump to indict Clinton and Obama. It isn;'t going to go over well at all.

I'm sure Trump has to recognize that all the primary-era debate of Dems not wanting to indict Trump "to start a vicious cycle" would go right out the window if he indicted Clinton or Obama.
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Cisairse
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Postby Cisairse » Thu Jun 25, 2020 9:41 pm

The Atlantic: Trump Is Struggling to Run Against a White Guy

This is a super weird byproduct of the current political climate but it seems like the early supporters of Biden were right in identifying Biden as Trump's kryptonite candidate.
The details of the above post are subject to leftist infighting.

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Zurkerx
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Founded: Jan 20, 2011
Anarchy

Postby Zurkerx » Fri Jun 26, 2020 8:03 am

Cisairse wrote:The Atlantic: Trump Is Struggling to Run Against a White Guy

This is a super weird byproduct of the current political climate but it seems like the early supporters of Biden were right in identifying Biden as Trump's kryptonite candidate.


It is weird but Trump's Kryptonite is, well, another old white man, as much as we don't want to say that.

Indeed: the playbook Republicans use has pretty much been torn up. It doesn't help either that they can't advertise/market Biden's gaffes, which people have tend not to care about. That won't mean they'll keep using it though in hopes that repetition will eventually convince people that the falsehoods are true. But at this point, they're trying to make up things as they go along as they pointed to Ingram's "macchiato Marxists", which a Macchiato is a drink and I have no fucking clue what she's getting at here. They're desperate and they're doubling down on Trump's base, which is a big gamble given they can't win an election with just his base. Unless they keep Biden Supporters home, Trump is in big trouble though the only thing that could save him is his approval on the economy, which currently stands above 50%. Biden has been around the block for 50 years: he knows how to navigate these political waters, especially when they get rough: he adapts. This point sums it up:

Their bet on Biden as the candidate best positioned to neutralize Trump’s white identity politics appears to be paying off for the moment. Politico reported on Monday that the president is “surprisingly hesitant to engage his opponent—at least by Trump standards—and some advisers think he’s struggling with how to take him on.” It is not just that Trump’s supporters find Biden less threatening because he is a white man; the president himself feels that way. The notion of a Biden presidency simply does not provoke the visceral rage that Clinton and Obama did—not in Trump, and not in his supporters.

As for Biden's VP, the nation's reckoning on race looms large over final month of Biden's running mate search. Reportedly, the top contenders are Harris, Demings, Bottoms, and Warren, showing that colored women are a majority of those options. Other contenders include Rice, Bass, Baldwin, and Duckworth. There's also growing pressure to pick a woman of color, and to announce the pick before August. However, Biden has stated he wants someone that has run for office, been tested on the national stage, and is a strong governing partner. But it remains fluid and evolving:

From scrutinizing cases that Harris prosecuted in California to examining complaints made against Demings as police chief in Orlando, to combing through the op-eds and scholarly writings of Rice and Warren, the teams of lawyers are still learning about the backgrounds of the potential candidates.

The pandemic has changed at least some aspects of the vetting, with much of the research and conversations done virtually, rather than by lawyers taking trips across the country to dig into each chapter in the lives of prospective running mates. But the objective is the same: Searching for anything embarrassing, distracting or that could otherwise cause a problem for Biden, who has said he will choose someone who is ready to be president from day one.

"Every stone is being turned over, just not necessarily in person," a person close to the process said.


They are also doing focus groups on lesser known candidates to see the reaction they get.
Last edited by Zurkerx on Fri Jun 26, 2020 8:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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An Alan Smithee Nation
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Ex-Nation

Postby An Alan Smithee Nation » Fri Jun 26, 2020 8:17 am

Well summer is definitely here.
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San Lumen
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Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby San Lumen » Fri Jun 26, 2020 8:17 am

https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/12 ... 8658715654

A poll out of Virginia's 5th district shows Republican Bob Good leading Dr Cameron Webb only 43-41. I say there is serious potential for an upset here in the fall.

There is a also chance Good might have to run as a write candidate due to not filing paperwork properly
Last edited by San Lumen on Fri Jun 26, 2020 8:18 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Jerzylvania
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Jerzylvania » Fri Jun 26, 2020 8:20 am

Slavakino wrote:
Jerzylvania wrote:
Trump's 2020 fits Jimmy Carter's 1980.

I've heard the saying Trump = Old Fashioned Democrat which sounds pretty accurate


Oh, the Old Fashioned Dems. Like George Wallace. Sure. I can see that.
Donald Trump has no clue as to what "insuring the domestic tranquility" means

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Jerzylvania
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Jerzylvania » Fri Jun 26, 2020 8:26 am

Cisairse wrote:The Atlantic: Trump Is Struggling to Run Against a White Guy

This is a super weird byproduct of the current political climate but it seems like the early supporters of Biden were right in identifying Biden as Trump's kryptonite candidate.


Finally. Thank you. Zurk knows that I've been saying exactly this for over a year.
Donald Trump has no clue as to what "insuring the domestic tranquility" means

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Zurkerx
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Anarchy

Postby Zurkerx » Fri Jun 26, 2020 8:39 am

Jerzylvania wrote:
Cisairse wrote:The Atlantic: Trump Is Struggling to Run Against a White Guy

This is a super weird byproduct of the current political climate but it seems like the early supporters of Biden were right in identifying Biden as Trump's kryptonite candidate.


Finally. Thank you. Zurk knows that I've been saying exactly this for over a year.


I can vouch and say this is true.
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The Emerald Legion
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Postby The Emerald Legion » Fri Jun 26, 2020 8:39 am

Jerzylvania wrote:
Cisairse wrote:The Atlantic: Trump Is Struggling to Run Against a White Guy

This is a super weird byproduct of the current political climate but it seems like the early supporters of Biden were right in identifying Biden as Trump's kryptonite candidate.


Finally. Thank you. Zurk knows that I've been saying exactly this for over a year.


... How so?
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Jerzylvania
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Jerzylvania » Fri Jun 26, 2020 10:10 am

The Emerald Legion wrote:
Jerzylvania wrote:
Finally. Thank you. Zurk knows that I've been saying exactly this for over a year.


... How so?

Posts and correspondence, both publicly and privately. It's like these guys read my stuff. ;)
Donald Trump has no clue as to what "insuring the domestic tranquility" means

The Baltimore Orioles are shocking the baseball world!

Jerzylvania is the NFL Picks League Champion in 2018 and in 2020 as puppet Traffic Signal and AGAIN in 2023 as puppet Joe Munchkin !!!

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Crockerland
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Ex-Nation

Postby Crockerland » Fri Jun 26, 2020 10:13 am

Cisairse wrote:The Atlantic: Trump Is Struggling to Run Against a White Guy

This is a super weird byproduct of the current political climate but it seems like the early supporters of Biden were right in identifying Biden as Trump's kryptonite candidate.

It's crazy how out of touch the media is.
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Jerzylvania
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Jerzylvania » Fri Jun 26, 2020 10:31 am

Crockerland wrote:
Cisairse wrote:The Atlantic: Trump Is Struggling to Run Against a White Guy

This is a super weird byproduct of the current political climate but it seems like the early supporters of Biden were right in identifying Biden as Trump's kryptonite candidate.

It's crazy how out of touch the media is.


Someone at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue is crazy too. :p
Donald Trump has no clue as to what "insuring the domestic tranquility" means

The Baltimore Orioles are shocking the baseball world!

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Outer Sparta
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Postby Outer Sparta » Fri Jun 26, 2020 11:59 am

Jerzylvania wrote:
Cisairse wrote:The Atlantic: Trump Is Struggling to Run Against a White Guy

This is a super weird byproduct of the current political climate but it seems like the early supporters of Biden were right in identifying Biden as Trump's kryptonite candidate.


Finally. Thank you. Zurk knows that I've been saying exactly this for over a year.

You should be a political pundit. You'd do a much better job than the Chris Cillizzas and Chuck Todds.
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