Awaiting the Showdown: Do we need to beat the Goldhorns?
By Johan Nyström
Savojarna have passed their bye day without the luck the side would have needed in order to stay in pole position for the KO games. The Northlights have not expected to miss the knock-out games at all, but the group shook out to a difficult state thanks to their surprising loss to Vangaziland off the back of an individual mistake by first Ville Kerjanen, and then Victor Troels, to allow two late goals - you have probably seen the match and recall the horror, so I shall no longer torture you with it. However, as Vangaziland have lost their opener to Trolleborg and received the expected zero from their match against Siovanija and Teusland, hope had returned to the Savojars that they might just have managed to lose the exact right game, the one that would not matter for their final standings if the decisive opponent would be Trolleborg rather than the Vangazis. For that to happen, however, Vangaziland would have had to lose to Sarzonia, as their victory against the Stars put them tied with Savojarna, with the head-to-head advantage falling to Vangaziland. However, the Northlights have all the power in their own hands as the Vangazis will rest today, leaving Savojarna to close out the job in their final match against the so far unbeaten Goldhorns of S&T.
On face, the way to the octofinals is simple for Savojarna: If they get a single point, they will have overcome Vangaziland and have pushed themselves into second place, with Trolleborg mathematically unable to catch up. A victory in regulation would even see them take the group on account of winning the head-to-head with S&T, with each team having collected nine points. Any overtime would see Savojarna come second behind the Goldhorns - but if they lose, it gets more complicated. In that event, Savojarna come in with six points, just like Vangaziland. If Sarzonia win their closer against Trolleborg, the tie remains between the Northlights and the purple and red, in which case Vangaziland qualify on head-to-head. But it gets truly interesting if Trolleborg win their game, leading to a three-way-tie at six points each, and a three-way-tie in the head-to-head among the trio. In this case, we would have to look at the results between the three affected teams. Vangaziland lost their opener to Trolleborg 5-3, and beat the Savojars 4-3, leaving them at -1. With Savojarna beating Trolleborg only 0-1, the Trolls would actually take this one on a +1 differential, while the Northlights would come in third with a goal differential of 0 against Vangaziland and Trolleborg. On the bottom line, that means: Points against S&T are required to qualify.
How easy, or rather how hard, will it be then to beat the Goldhorns and take this required point? On the plus side, the Savojars will go into this clash with their tournament life on the line. We will see them play on the intensity of a knockout match, and they will not hold back even in the slightest. On the other hand, S&T are already qualified and while they may want to secure group victory and an unbeaten group stage, it’s always easy to subconsciously take back the intensity a little bit and to shy away from the most aggressive plays from a fear to get hurt in the process, or simply from a little bit of good, old, human laziness. But this is not a side where we can expect to see much of that, and while there is definitely a chance that they will not be putting in their very last bit, the Savojars will probably still struggle with a side that is known for their valour and intensity of play.