SETSUZOKU SOCIAL NETWORK V2.0 (MT/OPEN/IC)

[Saint Andre]

Saint Andre Tribune
(@SAT)
Saint Andre, Saint Andre



Minor oil production difficluties

The President in his today's speech informed a nation of the ongoing oil production situation. The supply of raw oil will be temporarily unviable. For the incompetence in handling the industry, the President dismissed many prominent members of the Ministry of Natural Gas and Petrol. This includes both the Minister of Natural Gas and Petrol monsieur Adrien Boulet, as well as the Director-General of the Saint Andre Petrol, Arthur Beaux.

The President warns everybody not to give in to hysteria. While there were some minor disturbances in the capital city, the security forces have everything under control.

He also warns that neo-liberal nations of the west may attempt to exploit the situation to achiev their globalist agenda. We have to stand firm against the cultural marxists and their promotion of secularism and homosexuality.

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Link to RP!

[Saint Andre]

Saint Andre Tribune
(@SAT)
Saint Andre, Saint Andre



State of Emergency Declared

Due to the increasing activity of foreign-backed neo-liberal insurgents, a State of Emergency has been declared. The criminal law shall be from now on handled by military tribunals. The 1st Mixed Brigade has been mobilised and is currently responding to the situation in the capital prefecture. The President also instituted a curfew effective from 22:00 to 6:00. Designated individuals, such as employees working night-shifts, will be issued a special permit by Ministry of the Interior.

In other new, the food distribution chain was nationalized. This was done to prevent further food panics. More info can be found on our website!

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Link to RP!

[New Visayan Islands]

La Sociedad de Ramón Magsaysay (@RamonMagsaysaySociety)
Just now from Tagbilaran City, BH

The Ramon Magsaysay Society wishes all who make a stand against the Totalitarian Twins of Fascism and Communism a very Merry Chirstmas.

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[Greater Carloso]

Cárlos Tobón (@carlosmtobon)
Just now from Madrigal, Carloso

Today is a day to be spent with friends and family, in celebration of the birth of Our Lord Jesus Christ. Merry Christmas to everyone!

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[Laeral]

Malcom Cadiou (@malcomcadiou)
Just now from Les Couloirs Offices, Laeralsford, Laeral

I’ll be live-tweeting today’s #ProvElection2019 along with other staff from Les Couloirs. These are off-year elections, elections in three provinces between the big 2018 and 2020 election cycles.
-In Bethune, the Socialists are hoping to defend their large number of seats in the Provincial Assembly, but they’re facing challenges on the left and from the right.
-In Meilinis, the incumbent Progressive-People’s Party coalition is hoping to hold on to their majority in the Legislative Council, but last year’s elections for the General Assembly (Laeral’s upper house) showed the New Democrats ascendant in the province.
-In Jianguo, incumbent Governor Kang Xihao, a Progressive backed by the New Democrats and the Greens, faces a tough re-election challenge from People’s Party candidate Fu Yaozu, the son of a former governor.
Myself and other Les Couloirs staff will be analyzing all day on Setsuzoku, and into the evening as results roll in. Follow @liliehollande, @josiepoirier, and @theunofficialjiangsengyi for updates throughout the day.

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Malcom Cadiou (@malcomcadiou)
Just now from Les Couloirs Offices, Laeralsford, Laeral

So what’s at stake tonight? Meilinis (6.6 million) and Bethune (4.4 million) are among Laeral’s largest provinces, but the real effects will be felt on the national level. The federal coalition government, which includes the New Democrats, Progressives, Conservatives, and Greens, has had issues getting its legs under it. The Conservatives in particular have shown signs of dissatisfaction with the coalition; a bad result in tonight’s elections could lead to them pulling out of the coalition government.

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Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

For those watching from abroad, here’s the parties you’ll see tonight:
-Progressives: center-left social democrats, held presidency 2010-2018 but have taken defeats recently
-People’s Party: right-wingers, main opposition party, largest conservative party among Rén (Laeralian Han Chinese) voters
-Socialists: left-wing socialist party, badly defeated in 2018 but still powerful in strongholds such as Bethune
-New Democrats: insurgent ‘political movement’ founded 2017; won presidency and many seats in Nat’l Assembly in 2018; centrist, social-liberal ideology
-Conservatives: center-right party with more agrarian, Arrivée (white Laeralian) base; hoping to turn around defeats in 2018
-Laeral Unbowed!: generally far-right Rén-nationalist party, exploded onto the national scene in 2018 to become the fourth-largest party in the Assembly of Commons; the exclamation point is part of their name
-Radical Left, Greens, Women’s Alliance: various new left-wing parties; the Greens are part of the current governing coalition.

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Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

Polling stations have opened in the three provinces voting today; what does the scene look like from our people on the ground?

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

Jiang Sengyi here, although you can call me David. I’m in Jianguo right now, where turnout seems high. I’m in the capital city of Fengwei, and most of the people I’ve talked to have said they’re planning to vote. We’ve had visits from various famous politicians: Séverine Huang, the Labor Minister who was once the mayor of this city, has events planned all day today. Damien Vendorme, the People’s Party’s 2018 presidential candidate, also had a quick visit yesterday.

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Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

I’m here in Lyrene right now for the Bethune Provincial Assembly elections. Posters are everywhere here, but the line at the local polling place doesn’t look any longer than usual, as you can see here.

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Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

Here in Meilinis, election posters are fairly common as well. One thing that’s interesting is that the Socialists, currently the second-largest party in the Legislative Council, have a new slogan specifically used for their campaigning in Mandarin: “All of society must come together to defeat Anthony Wu,” the incumbent First Minister of Meilinis. He’s won the ire of many voters with cuts to the implementation of local housing benefits, making him and the People’s Party target #1 in the Socialists’ eyes. You can see the slogan on all three of these Socialist posters.

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Bernard Errante (@B.Errante_Anglais)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

I’ve been very excited by the energy that so many of our Conservative activists here in Bethune are showing! We’re hoping that tonight’s Provincial Assembly elections will let us, the Conservative Party, lead the way in creating a better Bethune.
#PartiConservateur #Élection2019 #Bethune

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Rep. Gao Heng (Socialist) (@GaoHeng)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

今天，社會黨有很大的機會繼續在白求恩和梅利尼斯的省一級做出改變。我很自豪地帶領我們進入第一次選舉，成為黨的領導人，我還要感謝我們的候選人和我們孜孜不倦的積極分子的辛勤工作。我們去贏吧！

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

Socialist leader Gao Heng just posted on Setsuzoku, writing “Today, the Socialist party has a great opportunity to continue making change at the provincial level, in Bethune and Meilinis. I'm proud to lead us into my first election as party leader, and I would like to thank our candidates and our tireless activists for their hard work. Let's go win!” This is Gao’s first election since he took over as party leader from Jean-Pierre Nury after the 2018 elections

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Radical Party of the Left (@RadicalLeftPartyOfficial)
Just now from Bethune, Laeral

Today, we are for the first time fielding candidates in Bethune’s provincial elections. The Radical Left party list offers a true socialist, progressive, leftist alternative to the ‘Socialist’ party’s pandering. We will usher in a new, cleaner, era of socialist government and fight for ordinary Bethunians.

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[Laeral]

Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

Some background on Bethune, Laeral's seventh most-populous province.
Bethune province was one of the original Laeralian provinces, and was a member of the First Allied Provinces following the Laeralian War of Independence. The city of Lyrene, fourth-largest in Laeral, gives the province a strong cosmopolitan flavor- it's even a major refugee resettlement site.
Both the immigrant and student vote are important here. It leans very strongly left, and the Socialist Party had been dominant for decades. The Governor (largely a figurehead in Bethune's system) and the Lyrene Municipal Council are controlled by the Socialists, while smaller left-wing parties such as the Greens and the Women's Alliance have gotten their start here.
The Provincial Assembly is elected using party-list proportional representation from Lyrene Municipality, Granville Township, and Quimper Township. Lyrene elects 80 of 120 Representatives; Granville 25, and Quimper 15.
Current Provincial Assembly makeup:

Socialists: 43
People's Party: 32
Conservatives: 17
Progressives: 16
Greens: 6
Communist: 4
New Democrats: 1
Lyrene Citizens' Party: 1

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[Laeral]

Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

A refresher on the four candidates for Governor in Jianguo:
-Governor Kang Xihao, a Progressive, is running for a second five-year term. He’s supported by the New Democrats and the Greens, who are both part of his governing coalition.
-Provincial Rep. Fu Yaozu, son of Governor Fu Donghai (1999-2009), is a member of the People’s Party, supported by the Conservatives.
-Provincial Rep. Shao Rong is the Laeral Unbowed! candidate for Governor; as usual, none of the other parties will touch his campaign with a ten-foot poll. His request to coordinate with Fu Yaozu's campaign was quickly rebuffed.
-Councilwoman Xin Liqin of Fengwei Municipality is the left-wing candidate, supported by the Socialists, Radical Left, and Laeralian Communist Party.
Snap elections in 2018 for Jianguo’s legislature produced a large coalition of Progressives, Greens, and New Democrats, kept afloat by support from the Radical Left, Socialists, and Communists. Fu Yaozu, the PP candidate, has called the coalition “nightmarish” and “tangled” and has vowed stronger, more effective governance.

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

Here’s Governor Kang Xihao himself. Probably the defining incident on most voter’s minds is the teacher strike last year, when he bent to their union’s demands and granted a pay raise, despite the province’s struggling economy. Tax revenues have been down, and the province’s deficit has been growing. Kang, meanwhile, has campaigned on his clean public image and his work with expanding healthcare coverage and infrastructure. His main opponent, Provincial Representative Fu Yaozu, pledges to bring jobs back to Jianguo and crack down on crime and juvenile delinquency.

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Séverine Huang (@RepSéverineHuang)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

Proud to cast my ballot for Governor @KangXihao here in Jinhua. Governor Kang has been fighting the good fight for the people and the workers of Jianguo his entire life, and no one’s more committed to the people of our province than he is. I’m proud to call him a friend.

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Gwendoline Schneider (@gwendolineschneider)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

Spending my evening with Conservative Party supporters in Songshan, Meilinis. The energy in the room is amazing, and I’m glad to have so much energy as we await the results for the Legislative Council. We’re fired up and ready to deliver!

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Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

Meilinis has been undergoing a political shift for some time now. Back in 2018, both of its incumbent Delegates were unseated- the Progressive Sandrine Tang and Conservative David Brunel-Zhang were defeated by Sylvie Hou, a People’s Party politician, and Fan Cheng, a union lawyer campaigning for the New Democratic Alliance. Tonight, polls show the People’s Party actually taking losses, while the Conservatives seem to have regained some momentum in the province, especially with the energy from a visit by Gwendoline Schneider, the Education Minister and a popular figure in the party. The Progressives are forecasted to lose vote share to the New Democrats and the Greens.

Current Legislative Council (160 seats; last election: 2015):

People’s Party: 45
Progressive: 39
Socialist: 38
Conservative: 31
Laeral Unbowed!: 7
Currently, the People’s Party and the Progressives govern the province in coalition; the First Minister is Anthony Wu of the People’s Party. Leaders from most other parties have vowed not to accept Wu as First Minister for another term.
Representatives are elected proportionally from Songshan Municipality and the province’s seven townships. There is a 2.5% vote threshold in each township for representatives, meaning that a party must win 2.5% of the total vote (four representatives) within a township to win a seat. Various small parties, including the Women’s Alliance, Secular Democrats, and Radical Left are in danger of not reaching the vote threshold and being locked out of the Legislative Council.

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Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

One voting bloc that’s pretty crucial for the left in Lyrene Municipality is university students, which can be a powerful group...when they come out. This election, new polling places were open on the campuses of Peninsular NOU, the University of Bethune, and Bethune Provincial. Word from those at the polls says that the students seem to be coming out in droves. Maybe a good sign for the Socialists, Greens, etc?

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[Laeral]

Malcom Cadiou (@malcomcadiou)
Just now from Les Couloirs Headquarters, Laeralsford, Laeral

Polls have closed nationwide! It’s all a waiting game from here.

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Malcom Cadiou (@malcomcadiou)
Just now from Les Couloirs Headquarters, Laeralsford, Laeral

There’s been some speculation among the Laeralsford political crowd that certain party leaders are in danger of being recalled or forced out if tonight goes badly for them. Gao Heng is often cited as being at risk- the Socialist party has seemed to have trouble finding its feet after last year’s historic defeat, and Gao (a standard-bearer of a more radical wing of the party) and he only narrowly defeated Rep. Hélène Zhang, a moderate, for the position.

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

I think the most interesting thing about that leadership contest is who the final candidates ended up being. Iirc, this was the first-ever Socialist leadership contest when the final ballot was both Rén candidates. Evidently the party feels that it needs to be doing better with Rén voters, and we’ve seen some of that on the campaign trail- their campaign in Meilinis, for instance, which Gao Heng took a lot of interest in- featured a lot more outreach in Mandarin then you typically see from Socialist candidates, particularly in a province that’s fairly racially diverse.

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Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

I think that as long as tonight doesn’t go completely horrible for the Socialists, Gao is safe as leader. He and his supporters can point out that the Socialists faced a lot of headwinds, that most large parties had difficulties, etc.
No, I think that Conservative leadership is what we should all be watching. There’s been a sort of tug-of-war within the party for the past year, between Defense Minister Bernard Errante more old-school, traditionalist, maybe even more genteel Conservatives and the younger, more brash, more pragmatic brand of politics represented by Gwendoline Schneider, the Education Minister. Errante leads the party right now, since Schneider unexpectedly chose not to challenge him for Party President in the wake of their 2018 defeat. But Schneider’s been making herself very visible, she’s gotten a rising public profile, she gave an interview on TV1 that was widely seen as very good for her career in the future. She’s been active in Meilinis, and has really been leading the party’s campaign there, while Errante has been leading rallies and the campaign in Bethune. It’s something of an experiment for the Conservative Party- which of the two can best win elections?

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

Do you think it’s possible that Schneider didn’t challenge Errante for party leadership early this year because she was waiting for a Conservative defeat she could pin on him? It’s what I’d do if I was an up-and-coming, charismatic Conservative politician faced with an unexpectedly resilient person in leadership.

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Malcom Cadiou (@malcomcadiou)
Just now from Les Couloirs Headquarters, Laeralsford, Laeral

If Schneider comes to lead the Conservative party, it’s thought that she’ll move to exit the coalition and chance another general election. Errante, meanwhile, has signalled that he’s comfortable with the coalition deal as-is. So the future of the coalition might depend on whether Errante can spin tonight’s results as a victory for the Conservative Party under his leadership. Anyone want to place any bets on what happens next?

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Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

I think the coalition will survive, at least in the near-term. The Conservatives I’ve spoken to seem optimistic about tonight. And it’s not as if Schneider has to act soon- she’s got an entire career ahead of her. Better for her to wait Errante out rather than strike to quickly and risk coming off as aggressive.

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

Polls are showing that the Progressives are going to take a nasty defeat tonight, with voters streaming from them to the New Democrats or the Greens. I think that the Progressives are going to have to take a long hard look at whether, after nine years in government, it’s starting to cost them with the voters.

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Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

While the three of you have been chatting, results have started coming in here in Bethune. I’m at the official Socialist watch party- I can see the Governor maybe five meters away from me- and results from Quimper township have started coming in on the big screen.

Quimper is the most rural of the province’s townships, and it elects only 15 of Bethune’s 120 provincial representatives.
Right now, with maybe 40% of the township’s vote processed:
Socialists: 25%
Cons: 24%
PP: 21%
New Dem Alliance: 12%
Prog: 8%
Unbowed!: 5%
Others: 5%

The Socialists vote share is at virtually the same level it was in 2015, which is very good news to the people in here. The Conservatives got 37% of the vote from Quimper in 2015, though, so they’ve taken a big hit- maybe foreshadowing for what’s ahead. The New Democrats weren’t even on the ballot last time around, so they’ve clearly made their presence on the scene known.

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

I know it’s early, but I’m calling it now: the Conservatives are headed for a real beating tonight. This is supposed to be their heartland, and they’re pulling in just a quarter of the vote.

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[Laeral]

Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

Complete results are in from Quimper township, and they’re starting to come in from Granville Township (suburban/rural, 25 Representatives).

Quimper first, with the change from 2015 shown in parenthesis:
Conservatives: 4 (-2)
Socialists: 4 (+0)
People’s: 3 (+0)
New Democrats: 2 (+2)
Progressives: 1 (-1)
Laeral Unbowed!: 1 (+1)
The Conservatives are the big loser tonight, losing a third of their delegation from the township. The Socialists and People’s Party’s vote share is holding up - surely an encouraging sign for Gao Heng. And the New Democrats have made modest gains, earning about 12% of the vote in their first showing in the township.

Granville results are only just trickling in, but the Conservatives and Progressives seem to be down from 2015, while the People’s Party and Socialists are holding up. Back in 2015, Granville was a good source of votes for the PP; they were the largest party from the township with 7 of 25 seats and about 28% of the vote.

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Malcom Cadiou (@malcomcadiou)
Just now from Les Couloirs Headquarters, Laeralsford, Laeral

The question now is whether the Socialist vote will be as resilient once we get into Lyrene, which elects two-thirds of the Provincial Assembly. Their biggest headache tonight was expected to be smaller parties on their left flank, such as the Greens and the Radical Left party. These parties may not have much support in the rural areas and the exurbs, but once we get into Lyrene proper and the suburbs, that could change.

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Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

Is it possible that, faced with the prospect of voting for someone besides the Socialists they’ve supported for all their lives, voters in Bethune are just voting Socialist as usual? I’m skeptical of whether the small left parties- the Radical Left, the Women’s Alliance, the Greens- can really pull off significant support from the Socialists. The Progressives could stand to lose votes, though, particularly to the Greens, but the Progressives have never been quite as established here in Bethune. I think the Socialist vote is more resilient than we’ve given it credit.

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Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

Complete results- or near-complete, at least, are here for Granville!
Granville: 25 Representatives, Exurbs/rural, change from 2015 shown in parenthesis.
People’s: 6 (-1)
Socialists: 4 (-1)
Conservatives: 4 (-2)
New Dems: 4 (+4)
Green: 2 (+1)
Unbowed!: 1 (+1)
Rad Left: 1 (+1)
Communist: 0 (-1)
I’ll leave you to ruminate on that for a second.

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Malcom Cadiou (@malcomcadiou)
Just now from Les Couloirs Headquarters, Laeralsford, Laeral

The New Democrats are up; I’d expect them to be an important player in the next Provincial Assembly session. The province went for Liu in the presidential runoff last year, but the seats they’re winning indicates that they’ve been able to develop their appeal in the province. We’re also starting to see the surge of the minnow parties on the left, with the Greens and the Radical Left seeming to having pulled voters directly from the Socialists.

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Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

Here in Meilinis, the numbers are starting to come in. I’m at a journalist’s reception right now- many thanks to the Meilinis Press Association!- and we’re seeing that maybe 10% of the province-wide vote is counted. Recall that as of the last election, the People’s Party was the largest party in the province, followed by the Progressives and Socialists, who were neck-and-neck, and then the Conservatives, with a small delegation from Laeral Unbowed!. It looks so far as if all four of those parties are down from 2015, especially the People’s Party and the Progressives, while Laeral Unbowed! is on track to improve its number of seats and the New Democrats have emerged as well.

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Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

Given that the New Democrats were able to elect a Delegate from this province, Mme. Fan Cheng, just a year ago, they don’t seem to have been able to capitalize on that. They’re at about a measly 8% of the province-wide vote right now, which would give them only 13 or so of the 160 seats on the Legislative Council.

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[Laeral]

Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

Back here in Lyrene, results are almost completely in from Lyrene Municipality, the left’s stronghold in this province and the constituency of 80 of the 120 provincial representatives. It looks like the Socialists have finally taken a dent to their 2015 results- they’re down from 41% to about 30%, but still the largest party. The Radical Left is way up, so are the Greens, and the Women’s Alliance (the gender equality party) looks like it’ll win a seat.

Lyrene Municipality: 80 Representatives, urban, strongly left-leaning
Socialists: 25 (-9)
People’s: 16 (-6)
Green: 10 (+5)
Radical Left: 9 (+9)
New Dems: 6 (+5)
Progressive: 5 (-4)
Conservative: 4 (-1)
Communist: 2 (-1)
Unbowed!: 2 (+2)
Women’s Alliance: 1 (+1)
Lyrene Citizens’: 0 (-1)

Looks as if the Socialists’ support held up in the countryside, but it’s been nibbled at in Lyrene proper- by the Greens and the Radical Left, especially.

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Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

I think the Green surge is maybe the most important thing from this picture. The Greens are in government at the national level, their first time ever in government, and it seems to have worked out well for them. They’re making their policies known, and people that might have dismissed them in the past as too small to waste a vote on are now voting for them.

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Malcom Cadiou (@malcomcadiou)
Just now from Les Couloirs Headquarters, Laeralsford, Laeral

The Communists are awfully tenacious, still hanging on to two seats. Even as essentially just a regional party at this point, they still seem to have a core of voters.

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

Trying to do some quick calculations right now- it looks like the Socialists are still the largest party, and I’m guessing that they’ll still be part of any coalition going forward. Maybe a broad-left coalition, or a grand coalition with the PP?

Either way, Gao Heng can call this a victory.

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Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

We have the official results.

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Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

Lyrene’s next Provincial Assembly will look like this:

It looks like plenty of ways for a left-wing coalition to take power. In fact, it looks like even though the Socialists and Progressives took losses, those are more than made up for by the seats won by smaller left parties. The left bloc as a whole actually looks bigger than last election.

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Malcom Cadiou (@malcomcadiou)
Just now from Les Couloirs Headquarters, Laeralsford, Laeral

And fresh from our talented graphic artists at Les Couloirs, here’s a map of where the votes in Bethune came from. You can clearly see the urban-rural split on here.

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[Laeral]

Rep. Gao Heng (Socialist) (@GaoHeng)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

為社會黨在白求恩省級選舉中的勝利感到驕傲！我們再次是省議會中最大的政黨，這是選民的真正授權，是省下一屆政府不可分割的一部分。

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

Gao Heng, Socialist leader, on Setsuzoku: “Proud of the Socialist party's victory in Bethune's provincial elections! We are once again the largest party in the Provincial Assembly, a true mandate from the voters to be an integral part of the province's next government.”

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Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

We have 60% of the vote in, mostly from the outlying townships of Karazhou, Xuanjiang, and Danhar.
People’s: 25% (down by only a few percentage points from 2015)
Conservative: 19%
Socialists: 18%
Progressives: 14% (in 2015, they had 23% of the vote)
New Democrats: 9%
Unbowed!: 7%
Greens: 5%
Radical Left: 3%

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Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

It’s a bad night for the left so far- possibly they’re losing votes to the New Democrats. President Liu never did visit to campaign in Meilinis, but she did record a robocall for the local New Democratic candidates.

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Josephine Poirier (@josiepoirier)
Just now from Lyrene, Bethune, Laeral

I just spoke with Ajit Bhakta, a voter watching the election results here in Bethune as they come in. While it’s obviously too early to start creating the profile of the ‘Bethune Voter’ from this election cycle, Bhakta said that while he’s a lifelong Socialist he “just couldn’t mark the box for them this time around.” He’s an Andhran immigrant, with family in Navsari, and he voted Green this election cycle because of his opposition to the Socialists’ proposed restrictions on immigration.

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

I’m over here in Jianguo, and the results for the governor’s race are starting to come in. I had the credentials to get in to the Kang campaign’s official watch party, but the bouncers wouldn’t let me in for some reason, so I’m out here in the hotel lobby trying to look over people’s shoulders at the TVs inside.

Governor Kang himself, the Progressive incumbent, is inside somewhere; first-preference votes are currently being tabulated. The governor’s race uses an instant-runoff system, where each voter ranks the candidates. If no candidate gets a majority from first-choice votes alone, the votes cast for the candidate who won the least votes are all redistributed based on the voter’s second-round votes. The results of the first-choice votes should be available shortly.

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

First-choice votes are out.
Governor Kang Xihao (Progressive, with NDA and Green support): 42%
Prov Rep. Fu Yaozu (People’s, with Conservative support): 39%
Prov Rep. Shao Rong (Laeral Unbowed!): 13%
Councilwoman Xin Liqin (Radical Left, with Communist support): 6%
Votes cast for Ms. Xin will now be allocated according to the second-choice candidate on their ballots. I’m assuming that most of her support goes to Kang, but that still won’t let him reach the magical 50%.

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Malcom Cadiou (@malcomcadiou)
Just now from Les Couloirs Headquarters, Laeralsford, Laeral

Since it’s mathematically impossible for Kang to win once Xin’s votes are reallocated, Shao’s (the Laeral Unbowed! candidate) votes will be reallocated next. Essentially, this election will come down to which candidate Laeral Unbowed! voters marked as their second choice on the ballots. While LU! voters have a history of disregarding ideology in order to vote for Rén candidates (just ask Damien Vendorme, when voters who supported Hsieh in the first round of the presidential election largely voted for Liu in the runoff), all candidates in this race are Rén. I think at this point the advantage lies with Fu, the People’s Party challenger, but that’s not set in stone.

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[Laeral]

Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

Complete results from Meilinis.

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Lilie Hollande (@liliehollande)
Just now from Songshan, Meilinis, Laeral

Here’s Meilinis’s new Legislative Council. Just looking at it, it seems almost evenly split between left and right. After the last election, we saw a grand coalition of the PP and the Progressives, but that arrangement is now 22 seats short of a majority. A PP-Conservative-Socialist coalition of the three largest parties would be possible, but probably unpalatable to those involved.

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Malcom Cadiou (@malcomcadiou)
Just now from Les Couloirs Headquarters, Laeralsford, Laeral

I think the biggest shock from Meilinis was that even as every other major party lost seats, the Meilinis Conservatives actually held steady, and even gained a single seat. It’s been a night for the large parties to lose vote share as smaller parties grow, but the Conservatives in Meilinis held on to become the second-largest party. This after losing a seat in the General Assembly in Meilinis only a year ago.

Gwendoline Schneider was heavily invested in the election here, appearing at multiple rallies and on the campaign trail. This is a feather in her cap for sure, especially as the Conservatives in Bethune (where Bernard Errante, the other influential Conservative leader, was in charge) lost seats.

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

My take is that Schneider will be leading the Conservatives within the next year. She’s proven that she can win elections, and she’s young and charismatic. Exactly the kind of thing party members are looking for.

And looking at the numbers in Meilinis, a center-right coalition of the PP, Conservatives, and New Democrats would have 81 seats, just enough for a majority. I’ll bet that’ll be Meilinis’s next government, and the Conservatives will probably be in the position to name a First Minister seeing as the PP incumbent is so widely disliked. Like Malcom said, a feather in Gwendoline Schneider’s cap.

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Jiang Sengyi (@theunofficialjiangsengyi)
Just now from Fengwei, Jianguo, Laeral

Here in Jianguo, they’ve allocated the votes from the leftist candidate. Here’s how things stand now.
Governor Kang Xihao (Progressive, with NDA and Green support): 48%
Prov Rep. Fu Yaozu (People’s, with Conservative support): 39%
Prov Rep. Shao Rong (Laeral Unbowed!): 13%

With the votes cast for Laeral Unbowed! next to be reallocated, it all comes down to which candidate those voters marked second. If more than about 15% of those Laeral Unbowed! voters put Kang as their second choice, he’ll be reelected. But it’s going to be a nailbiter.

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[SetzAdminBot]

OOC:
Laeral. You do not need to post that many times in a row. It's considered spamming. Please, do not do it again.

[New Visayan Islands]

La Sociedad de Ramón Magsaysay (@RamonMagsaysaySociety)
Just now from Tagbilaran City, BH

As the New Year approaches, the Ramon Magsaysay Society wishes cheer unto all who make a stand against the Totalitarian Twins of Fascism and Communism. Let the New Year usher in a new hope for those still under the heel of the jackboot!

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[New Aeyariss]

Maki Kojiro (@makikojiro)
Just now from Ishikawa, Nifon

Iesu Krishtou is the Emperor of Heaven, and there is salvation in no other name. I personally wish that his teachings would influence the Nifonese culture, society and politics even more than the are now. And if gaijin minpon don't like it - it's their issue.

Namu Iesu Krishtou, Tenno Heika Banzai!

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[Bagong Luzon]

Royal House of Marcos y Romualdez (@RoyalPhilippineHouseOfficial)
Just now from Manila, Royal Capital Duchy

The Official Setsuzoku Account for the Royal House of Marcos y Romualdez is now live! Follow us for updates from the Royal House and proclamations from His Philippine Majesty.

Para sa Diyos, Hari, at Bayan!

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[Greater Carloso]

Cárlos Tobón (@carlosmtobon)
Just now from Madrigal, Carloso

Have just been briefed by our intelligence community and members of the Carlosian Armed Forces on the situation regarding the Isalmic Republic of Iran and the United States of America. I will say this; I have made it clear in the past that I am somewhat of an admirer of President Trump, but this turn of foreign policy can only be described as a catastrophic failure on his part. The US has set a terribly dangerous precedent for itself and other countries in making high-ranking political officials legitmate targets of military forces during times of peace, just as Bourgougia did when Régis Lemaigre ordered the assassination of President Moran in 1987. We will see if the yanquis reap what they sow.

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[Inyourfaceistan]

Sgt. Lorenzo Sant-Luc (@LorenzoSL)
Just now from Citua Duvalier, Inyursta

@carlosmtobon;
If you ask me, the Yanquis made the right move here. International law is a big fat fucking joke, and its a relic of an era of imperialist dominance where a few colonial powers got to enforce their ethical worldview and rules that benefit themselves on the world. The fact the Yanquis would break that law is a triumph of international realism over international liberalism, and the twat deserved it.

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Alberto Allon (@ThePredDoc)
Just now from Puerte Mellieure, Inyursta

So the crew and I were doing snorkeling surveys for armored catfish in a lowland limestone-spring lagoon, and one of my master's students starts freaking out and goes bounding out of the water. I look over and see this magnificent beauty coming straight towards me:

Yes, this is a shark and yes its in fresh water! Bullsharks (Carcharhinus leucas) are one of several species of sharks which can travel into and even thrive in fresh water!

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Sera Poroya (@SeraPY)
Just now from Madrija, Inyursta

@makikojiro;

I take it that Iesu Krishtou is another name for Jesus Christ???

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Jose Impendido; Euphoric GentleSir (@EnlightenedFedora)
Just now from Juanaré, Inyursta

FUCKING BACKWARDS BIGOT RELIGIOUS INYURSTA!!!

I just got fired from my job by my shitty Calderone-voting piece of shit boss WTF I wouldn't have been fired if he thought I was another chad-bro fucking bullshit I hate this country!

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[Ru-]

Chad ThunderTail (@ChadDragon)
Just now from Bose, Ru

@EnlightenedFedora Are you sure it wasn't because you kept creeping on the cute girl who smiled at you one time?

Chin up though, at least your country isn't flooded with immigrants like Ru, so you should be able to find another job relatively quickly.

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[Inyourfaceistan]

Jose Impendido; Euphoric GentleSir (@EnlightenedFedora)
Just now from Juanaré, Inyursta

@ChadDragon;
I didn't even creep! All I did was catch a few photos if you know what I mean - SHE DIDN'T EVEN KNOW I WAS DOING IT SO WHAT'S THE PROBLEM!?!?! Fucking femoids...
But two of my coworkers are total fucking chad toxic-masculine dude bros, one literally works out at the gym and the other plays rugby; and the boss doesn't care when they blatantly hit on women in broad daylight! My female coworker even flirts with male customers too and she doesn't get in trouble! Plus, the boss lets her download big-ass PDF's and shit for "her sckoolwerk" when business is slow but I download a few kilobytes of tasteful hentai on the company computer and I get written + may pay docked like WTF different standards for an enlightened intellectual I guess!

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[Shazbotdom]

Might I remind people of Rule 12 in the threads first post.

12: Human Only

Please abide by that rule.

[Ru-]

Might I remind people of Rule 12 in the threads first post.

12: Human Only

Please abide by that rule.

Might I remind you that New Aeryiss told me specifically that I could post here?

[McNernia]

Albert Ephraim Shapter (@PMShapter)
Just now from Cathcride Mcnernia

@carlosmtobon
@LorenzoSL

There is a time and a place for everything. And removing generals who were a threat to the stability and the National interest is a good thing. But then again there is always the problem of the "Islamic" State. I have been briefed by my own intelligence people. And their assessments in regards to the situation with the death of the second most powerful man in Iran we will see what is going to happen.

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[Palmyrion]

Commonwealth News Service
(@Commonwealth News)
Palmyrion



Extremists Attack HIV Research Centre, Say HIV Cure Effort Is Hampering Divine Will

CITY OF NAGA, BICOL: At 3:21PM this afternoon, an HIV/AIDS research centre in the City of Naga, Bicol, was struck by a lorry bomb with an estimated blast yield of two tonnes of TNT. Authorities and first responders report 13 killed and 104 injured, including 12 Civil Defence Force troopers and 15 National Police officers.

Minutes after the attack, a group claiming to be the Christian Salvation Crusade claimed responsibility for the attack, saying that the effort to cure HIV is hampering "the will of God against sodomy". The same group is also responsible for the January 3 Parliament Hall bombing three days ago, which resulted into 33 dead and 102 wounded.

In light of increasing sectarian violence in the Royal Commonwealth, the Commonwealth Security Council has once again expressed its desire to declare Martial Law across the Royal Commonwealth through a public press release dated an hour later. "We condemn the attacks perpetrated upon us by extremists, whoever they may be. Their attacks have become more brazen, but we shall remain unfazed. Meanwhile, the Council is mulling a declaration of Martial Law all across the Royal Commonwealth to help Palmyrion deal with the chaos." said the Head Security Councillor.

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Christian Salvation Crusade (@SalvationCrusade)
Just now from Palmyrion

Hallelujah! We have scored another victory in the fight against immorality in the Kesslerstaadt incarnate named Palmyrion! We condemn Palmyrion's efforts into the treatment of HIV for trying to hamper the will of God against sodomy! Join the Crusade today! We shall fight for the kingdom of God!

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[Nu Alaska]

Kiri Mori (@幽霧霊)
Just now from Chena, Alaska

@Commonwealth News
It feels like this sort of thing has been happening more and more often... I don’t like it one bit.

@SalvationCrusade
Have fun getting obliterated, mouthbreathers.

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