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by Sanabel » Mon Jul 15, 2019 6:46 am
by Sanabel » Mon Jul 15, 2019 6:47 am
by Dentali » Mon Jul 15, 2019 6:50 am
Vaquas wrote:Potential 2020 Democratic Primary:
California Congressman Donald Johnson
Florida Governor Esperanza Huerta
Former California Governor Ray Ramirez
Illinois Congresswoman Nicole Smith
Illinois Senator Thomas Brady
Maine Governor Claudia Patton
Maryland Senator Anthony Conti
Massachusetts Senator Jason Samara
Trenton Mayor Joh Stansky
United States Attorney General Alicia Florrick
Virginia Governor Moses Clearwater
by Dentali » Mon Jul 15, 2019 6:52 am
Bruke wrote:Vaquas wrote:Potential 2020 Democratic Primary:
California Congressman Donald Johnson
Florida Governor Esperanza Huerta
Former California Governor Ray Ramirez
Illinois Congresswoman Nicole Smith
Illinois Senator Thomas Brady
Maine Governor Claudia Patton
Maryland Senator Anthony Conti
Massachusetts Senator Jason Samara
Trenton Mayor Joh Stansky
United States Attorney General Alicia Florrick
Virginia Governor Moses Clearwater
I’d put my money on Huerta, Patton, Samara, or Clearwater
by Uttland » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:03 am
Politicial Views: Moderate free market and social liberal with some select conservative and social democratic leanings/views. Anti-populist. Aspirational wonk. 8values and Political Compass results + more detailed politics/views
Favorite Books: The Wind-Up Bird Chronicle, by Haruki Murakami, Crime and Punishment by Fyodor Dostoyevsky, One Hundred Years of Solitude by Gabriel Garcia Marquez
by Tallahassee News Station » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:03 am
Sanabel wrote:That reminds me, I don't think Sinclair will be speaking at the rally today.
by Uttland » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:03 am
Sanabel wrote:That reminds me, I don't think Sinclair will be speaking at the rally today.
Politicial Views: Moderate free market and social liberal with some select conservative and social democratic leanings/views. Anti-populist. Aspirational wonk. 8values and Political Compass results + more detailed politics/views
Favorite Books: The Wind-Up Bird Chronicle, by Haruki Murakami, Crime and Punishment by Fyodor Dostoyevsky, One Hundred Years of Solitude by Gabriel Garcia Marquez
by Tallahassee News Station » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:04 am
by Uttland » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:04 am
Politicial Views: Moderate free market and social liberal with some select conservative and social democratic leanings/views. Anti-populist. Aspirational wonk. 8values and Political Compass results + more detailed politics/views
Favorite Books: The Wind-Up Bird Chronicle, by Haruki Murakami, Crime and Punishment by Fyodor Dostoyevsky, One Hundred Years of Solitude by Gabriel Garcia Marquez
by Dentali » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:05 am
Florida Governor Esperanza Huerta
-Obvious Frontrunner, as huge name recognition, strong Hispanic support, and massive distance from the DNC debacle. That is not to say that she does not have any downsides. She clearly has made an enemy of the establishment which means that there is a strong possibility that one candidate would be able to get enough of the "Not Huerta" vote to win. 25-30% she takes it. Conditionally good VP depending on the Dem Nominee, though she may not take it.
Massachusetts Senator Jason Samara
-Good name recognition, has not angered the establishment to the point where they would muster an "Anybody but Samara" campaign. Strong black credentials, definitely appeals more to the liberal wing of the party. However, he has. Excellent VP candidate.
Illinois Congresswoman Nicole Smith
-Probably going to be De Nieto's preferred candidate in the race. The strong backing of the House Democrats would lead to a good start in the race. However, she is emotionally challenged and may breakdown during the campaign. Excellent VP candidate.
United States Attorney General Alicia Florrick
-Strong name recognition, however, is strongly connected to the Reed admin, which looks like it is about to careen off a cliff. Poor VP candidate.
Virginia Governor Moses Clearwater
-Strong black support where is known, little name recognition. Generally moderate and inoffensive. Good VP pick.
by Uttland » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:07 am
Politicial Views: Moderate free market and social liberal with some select conservative and social democratic leanings/views. Anti-populist. Aspirational wonk. 8values and Political Compass results + more detailed politics/views
Favorite Books: The Wind-Up Bird Chronicle, by Haruki Murakami, Crime and Punishment by Fyodor Dostoyevsky, One Hundred Years of Solitude by Gabriel Garcia Marquez
by Tallahassee News Station » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:07 am
by Uttland » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:09 am
Politicial Views: Moderate free market and social liberal with some select conservative and social democratic leanings/views. Anti-populist. Aspirational wonk. 8values and Political Compass results + more detailed politics/views
Favorite Books: The Wind-Up Bird Chronicle, by Haruki Murakami, Crime and Punishment by Fyodor Dostoyevsky, One Hundred Years of Solitude by Gabriel Garcia Marquez
by Tallahassee News Station » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:13 am
by Tallahassee News Station » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:14 am
by Dentali » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:16 am
Best case scenario for a highly competitive GOP primary would be Reed not running because of a big time popularity collapse. Hurts Havich and makes some other candidates possible
Sinclair and Yang are the big ones to benefit from that. They don't really have a good path to the nomination in any of the other Reed doesn't run scenarios but both were established anti Prez which would be a bonus here. I think Sinclair's got the better odds here with a more natural base and a demo profile+background that works better in a GOP primary.
Amaras is the conventionally strongest with a war chest premade a wing of the party already mostly locked in and a big time home field advantage in Iowa. He's in a pretty good spot to still run as an outsider if Reed crashes+burns and coming down to him vs an establishment guy is pretty likely
Even with a lousy Reed Prez and we assume he got caught in the fall Havich is still a pretty strong candidate from position+experience+geography without any major challengers in the NE (Fowler could try, Brennan? But not a lot of traction). Has auto name rec and establishment friendly, he's got good odds of making it to the end.
Mondale definitely seems ambitious. Pretty decent candidate on paper, female gov with solid record from a Midwest swing state with foreign and domestic experience and only semiconnecred with Reed. UN controversy probably won't hit her too hard but she could end up being a paper tiger.
by Uttland » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:21 am
Politicial Views: Moderate free market and social liberal with some select conservative and social democratic leanings/views. Anti-populist. Aspirational wonk. 8values and Political Compass results + more detailed politics/views
Favorite Books: The Wind-Up Bird Chronicle, by Haruki Murakami, Crime and Punishment by Fyodor Dostoyevsky, One Hundred Years of Solitude by Gabriel Garcia Marquez
by Sanabel » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:22 am
by Sanabel » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:24 am
Dentali wrote:Best case scenario for a highly competitive GOP primary would be Reed not running because of a big time popularity collapse. Hurts Havich and makes some other candidates possible
I could see Reed having a hgh popularity and still not running again, i dont think he likes the job and he might bow out in support of limited government power or somethingSinclair and Yang are the big ones to benefit from that. They don't really have a good path to the nomination in any of the other Reed doesn't run scenarios but both were established anti Prez which would be a bonus here. I think Sinclair's got the better odds here with a more natural base and a demo profile+background that works better in a GOP primary.
Time to confess i am the one that made the draft yang ad from awhile back, im a big fan of hers, but i think she needs more time to developAmaras is the conventionally strongest with a war chest premade a wing of the party already mostly locked in and a big time home field advantage in Iowa. He's in a pretty good spot to still run as an outsider if Reed crashes+burns and coming down to him vs an establishment guy is pretty likely
I dont know if Amaras would actually want to run, though he is scary strong with the hard rightEven with a lousy Reed Prez and we assume he got caught in the fall Havich is still a pretty strong candidate from position+experience+geography without any major challengers in the NE (Fowler could try, Brennan? But not a lot of traction). Has auto name rec and establishment friendly, he's got good odds of making it to the end.
Fowler wont run, at least not to win but MAYBE to prove a point... Havich will be tough to beat and he will sweep the NE in the primaryMondale definitely seems ambitious. Pretty decent candidate on paper, female gov with solid record from a Midwest swing state with foreign and domestic experience and only semiconnecred with Reed. UN controversy probably won't hit her too hard but she could end up being a paper tiger.
Simon Denisevich 100% pushed her into the UN ambassadorship because he wants her to run for president. If Reed indicates to Simon he wont run in 2020, Simon will tell Mondale immediately even before its public and tell her to get ready.
by Tallahassee News Station » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:25 am
by Tallahassee News Station » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:27 am
Sanabel wrote:Dentali wrote:Best case scenario for a highly competitive GOP primary would be Reed not running because of a big time popularity collapse. Hurts Havich and makes some other candidates possible
I could see Reed having a hgh popularity and still not running again, i dont think he likes the job and he might bow out in support of limited government power or somethingSinclair and Yang are the big ones to benefit from that. They don't really have a good path to the nomination in any of the other Reed doesn't run scenarios but both were established anti Prez which would be a bonus here. I think Sinclair's got the better odds here with a more natural base and a demo profile+background that works better in a GOP primary.
Time to confess i am the one that made the draft yang ad from awhile back, im a big fan of hers, but i think she needs more time to developAmaras is the conventionally strongest with a war chest premade a wing of the party already mostly locked in and a big time home field advantage in Iowa. He's in a pretty good spot to still run as an outsider if Reed crashes+burns and coming down to him vs an establishment guy is pretty likely
I dont know if Amaras would actually want to run, though he is scary strong with the hard rightEven with a lousy Reed Prez and we assume he got caught in the fall Havich is still a pretty strong candidate from position+experience+geography without any major challengers in the NE (Fowler could try, Brennan? But not a lot of traction). Has auto name rec and establishment friendly, he's got good odds of making it to the end.
Fowler wont run, at least not to win but MAYBE to prove a point... Havich will be tough to beat and he will sweep the NE in the primaryMondale definitely seems ambitious. Pretty decent candidate on paper, female gov with solid record from a Midwest swing state with foreign and domestic experience and only semiconnecred with Reed. UN controversy probably won't hit her too hard but she could end up being a paper tiger.
Simon Denisevich 100% pushed her into the UN ambassadorship because he wants her to run for president. If Reed indicates to Simon he wont run in 2020, Simon will tell Mondale immediately even before its public and tell her to get ready.
Harrington only runs if Amaras does not.
by Tallahassee News Station » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:28 am
Tallahassee News Station wrote:Sanabel wrote:Harrington only runs if Amaras does not.
If it is her vs Amaras she's still decent but not as strong. SoCal is a good early primary state but not as important as Iowa, she has pretty good base credentials but not the name rec/connections he's got w/the movement or the war chest, she seems like she might be a decent debater and geography might help her vs Sincl and/or Kramer in the south which is her best draw, might have a gender gap to deal with
by Tallahassee News Station » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:30 am
Best case scenario for a highly competitive GOP primary would be Reed not running because of a big time popularity collapse. Hurts Havich and makes some other candidates possible
by Sanabel » Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:34 am
Tallahassee News Station wrote:Sanabel wrote:Harrington only runs if Amaras does not.
If it is her vs Amaras she's still decent but not as strong. SoCal is a good early primary state but not as important as Iowa, she has pretty good base credentials but not the name rec/connections he's got w/the movement or the war chest, she seems like she might be a decent debater and geography might help her vs Sincl and/or Kramer in the south which is her best draw, might have a gender gap to deal with
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