by Farnhamia » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:47 am
by Soldati Senza Confini » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:49 am
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.
by Washington Resistance Army » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:50 am
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:Thank you, Farn.
Anyways, I voted against Cruz, but I am not sure that Cruz is going to lose the state race. If anything I think he's going to win. Texas Republicans seem to be energized this midterm elections, so I don't trust the "house effect" from 538 at all. If anything I think this midterm is not going to see the same trend other midterms have historically.
by San Lumen » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:51 am
by Soldati Senza Confini » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:52 am
Washington Resistance Army wrote:Soldati Senza Confini wrote:Thank you, Farn.
Anyways, I voted against Cruz, but I am not sure that Cruz is going to lose the state race. If anything I think he's going to win. Texas Republicans seem to be energized this midterm elections, so I don't trust the "house effect" from 538 at all. If anything I think this midterm is not going to see the same trend other midterms have historically.
Please don't tell me you voted for Beto lol
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.
by Great Franconia and Verana » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:52 am
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:Thank you, Farn.
Anyways, I voted against Cruz, but I am not sure that Cruz is going to lose the state race. If anything I think he's going to win. Texas Republicans seem to be energized this midterm elections, so I don't trust the "house effect" from 538 at all. If anything I think this midterm is not going to see the same trend other midterms have historically.
by San Lumen » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:53 am
Great Franconia and Verana wrote:Soldati Senza Confini wrote:Thank you, Farn.
Anyways, I voted against Cruz, but I am not sure that Cruz is going to lose the state race. If anything I think he's going to win. Texas Republicans seem to be energized this midterm elections, so I don't trust the "house effect" from 538 at all. If anything I think this midterm is not going to see the same trend other midterms have historically.
It appears that the House is moving farther in favour of the Dems and the Senate is solidly GOP.
It will be an interesting dynamic, but I believe, speaking of Texas specifically, Cruz will win by a substantially decreased margin.
Maybe 52-45 for Cruz?
by Valrifell » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:55 am
San Lumen wrote:Great Franconia and Verana wrote:It appears that the House is moving farther in favour of the Dems and the Senate is solidly GOP.
It will be an interesting dynamic, but I believe, speaking of Texas specifically, Cruz will win by a substantially decreased margin.
Maybe 52-45 for Cruz?
Although Nevada and Arizona are looking promising. If they both flip and Heidikamp loses you would have tied senate. I wonder how that would play out in this hyper partisan environment.
by Soldati Senza Confini » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:55 am
Great Franconia and Verana wrote:Soldati Senza Confini wrote:Thank you, Farn.
Anyways, I voted against Cruz, but I am not sure that Cruz is going to lose the state race. If anything I think he's going to win. Texas Republicans seem to be energized this midterm elections, so I don't trust the "house effect" from 538 at all. If anything I think this midterm is not going to see the same trend other midterms have historically.
It appears that the House is moving farther in favour of the Dems and the Senate is solidly GOP.
It will be an interesting dynamic, but I believe, speaking of Texas specifically, Cruz will win by a substantially decreased margin.
Maybe 52-45 for Cruz?
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.
by Soldati Senza Confini » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:57 am
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.
by Great Franconia and Verana » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:57 am
San Lumen wrote:Great Franconia and Verana wrote:It appears that the House is moving farther in favour of the Dems and the Senate is solidly GOP.
It will be an interesting dynamic, but I believe, speaking of Texas specifically, Cruz will win by a substantially decreased margin.
Maybe 52-45 for Cruz?
Although Nevada and Arizona are looking promising. If they both flip and Heidikamp loses you would have tied senate. I wonder how that would play out in this hyper partisan environment.
by Valrifell » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:57 am
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:Great Franconia and Verana wrote:It appears that the House is moving farther in favour of the Dems and the Senate is solidly GOP.
It will be an interesting dynamic, but I believe, speaking of Texas specifically, Cruz will win by a substantially decreased margin.
Maybe 52-45 for Cruz?
I'm not sure I would put it as 52-45, if anything I think the margin will be much larger for Cruz.
He has been able to manage to hold on to Republicans despite his pathetic demeanor after he lost in 2016.
by San Lumen » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:59 am
Great Franconia and Verana wrote:San Lumen wrote:Although Nevada and Arizona are looking promising. If they both flip and Heidikamp loses you would have tied senate. I wonder how that would play out in this hyper partisan environment.
The problem is that if Heitkamp loses, which is likely, there is a good chance that McCaskill could be in danger of being tossed too.
The situation seems to have stabilized for Nelson in Florida, but polls for the Democrats are lukewarm at best for Nevada and Arizona.
by Soldati Senza Confini » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:59 am
Valrifell wrote:Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
I'm not sure I would put it as 52-45, if anything I think the margin will be much larger for Cruz.
He has been able to manage to hold on to Republicans despite his pathetic demeanor after he lost in 2016.
I do think that, while the media has certainly not been ignoring Mr. O'Rourke, pollsters have lowballed his support in the state.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.
by Valrifell » Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:02 am
by Soldati Senza Confini » Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:04 am
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.
by Soldati Senza Confini » Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:07 am
Valrifell wrote:San Lumen wrote:But if those cities turnout in large numbers could it offset large victories for Cruz there?
It hasn't yet. And I sincerely doubt theres a large enough polling error for O'Rourke to pull out a win. I do have a sneaking suspicion the margin will be five points or less, though, in spite of recent polls saying a 9-10 point difference.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.
by Great Franconia and Verana » Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:09 am
by San Lumen » Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:09 am
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:Valrifell wrote:
It hasn't yet. And I sincerely doubt theres a large enough polling error for O'Rourke to pull out a win. I do have a sneaking suspicion the margin will be five points or less, though, in spite of recent polls saying a 9-10 point difference.
I mean, he is widely popular in liberal college towns, tho that's mostly College Station, San Marcos, and a few others. Which in terms of voting population is not a lot.
Big cities like Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston, and El Paso is more split.
by San Lumen » Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:11 am
Great Franconia and Verana wrote:So what do we think about the Senate race in Florida, and the Governors races in Ohio and Georgia?
Looking at the recent polling, Nelson seems to have solidified a decent lead (2-3%) over Scott.
Cordray is winning in most polls I have seen by some decent numbers.
Abrams and Kemp look nearly tied. That would be interesting if neither reaches 50%, as that would then necessitate a run-off, one I think Kemp would probably win.
by Great Franconia and Verana » Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:16 am
San Lumen wrote:Great Franconia and Verana wrote:So what do we think about the Senate race in Florida, and the Governors races in Ohio and Georgia?
Looking at the recent polling, Nelson seems to have solidified a decent lead (2-3%) over Scott.
Cordray is winning in most polls I have seen by some decent numbers.
Abrams and Kemp look nearly tied. That would be interesting if neither reaches 50%, as that would then necessitate a run-off, one I think Kemp would probably win.
In addition to Nelson, Gillum looks to be holding a solid lead as well. If he wins I cannot see Nelson losing.
Plus regarding Ohio it is looking like a decent possibility Democrats win every statewide office which would be huge.
In a run off in Georgia I wouldn't be so sure of that.
by Soldati Senza Confini » Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:16 am
San Lumen wrote:Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
I mean, he is widely popular in liberal college towns, tho that's mostly College Station, San Marcos, and a few others. Which in terms of voting population is not a lot.
Big cities like Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston, and El Paso is more split.
Isn;t Austin and El Paso overwhelmingly Democratic?
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.
by Thuzbekistan » Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:28 am
by Post War America » Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:35 am
Thuzbekistan wrote:Yay! New thread
In relevant news, marsha blackburn has gained 5 points in TN. Hopefully, Bredesen gets back in the game come election day.
Gravlen wrote:The famous Bowling Green Massacre is yesterday's news. Today it's all about the Cricket Blue Carnage. Tomorrow it'll be about the Curling Yellow Annihilation.
Advertisement
Users browsing this forum: Bears Armed, Bienenhalde, Plan Neonie, Soviet Haaregrad, Talibanada
Advertisement