8 FOR 8!?
With 10 games to go in regular season, all eight NCS teams can realistically make NSCAA Tournament
For a country in only its third year of sending competition to college basketball's biggest showcase, edition 14 of the NationStates College Athletics Association basketball season looks like a boom era for the Cup Series. Granted, the field is smaller than it was in previous editions, but this year there's a good chance that all eight Cup Series schools taking part could enter the big dance and be only 4 steps away from the Final Four. Yes, we said it, an eighth of the NSCAA Tournament field could be made up of Cup Series institutions, giving them the best strength-in-numbers shot at making the coveted Final Four and, as we have seen throughout the first two thirds of the regular season, there's a possibility that this could be the year that a Cup Series school makes it to Championship Monday.
Of course, some schools have a better shot than others at making the tournament - Four are certain locks for the big dance, while there's a couple still hanging out in limbo, in between the lines separating the tournament 16 seeds from the DCIT darlings (If we do end up having another DCIT of course) - but in most timelines, you'd see at least 6 of them lace up for a run at the trickiest tournament to win in sports that isn't the World Cup or any of the major IFCF competitions. No, don't ask us how we know about soccer, we don't understand either. But the point remains the same - The Cup Series has come leaps and bounds from having basketball essentially being taboo within the schools, and if there was a year where the Cup Series joins the illustrious 8 team club for the first time, this could be it.
Here's how we would rank the Cup Series schools:
Certain Locks
Penske College (20-0, first in Shining Sun)
Auto Club Technical Institute (17-3, second in Pink 16)
University of Talladega (16-4, fourth in Flying Drawk)
While PC were one point away from losing their undefeated status against Osheana State, the Deuces, led by sophomore sensation Corntoter Langford, are not only locks for the NSCAA Tournament, they're in the mix for a potential 1 seed in whatever region they end up being placed in. Sure, they're not a Hangaza Tech (The only other 20-0 team) or a Loyola-Istria (Projected to be the #1 seed overall even with a loss to their name), but at this point last year they were under 500 and struggling to even be in the DCIT picture. Now, they are the most improved team in the NSCAA with a resume worthy of a 1 seed. Other than Penske, Auto Club have a 17-3 record to their name and barring any magnificent collapse in the Pink 16 will make their second and maybe last ever NSCAA Tournament appearance (Pending on if the team disbands due to school renovations), fighting for the Pink 16 title. While Dega are fourth in their conference, they're slotted here instead of The Legacy Institute because of their insane strength of schedule in a brutal conference containing not only the potential #1 overall seed, but Hondo and surprise packages RUN, who are all looking like tournament contenders.
More In than Out
The Legacy Institute (16-4, second in Shango)
Richmond Racing School (14-6, fifth in Salamantica)
TLI barely lose out on lock territory due to UoT's aforementioned superior strength of schedule, but there is still a lot to be raving about when talking about the Kings. This is their second straight season in the Shango (Remember, the first was when they were known as Petty University of Entrepreneurship), and even without Paulson they have been even better than last season, when they were 15-5 at the 2/3rds mark. If that team could make the Sweet 16, this team could... Make the Sweet 16. Yes, it has been one more win than last time, but last season's Shango had CAVSUX, Concord Heights, Dotivija City and Sabinal State with the Kings in the top 5. This season, it's Crown's College, MTI, Hongxai People's and Concord Heights... Beauty School. Compare it with Dega's top 5 mates and it isn't the same.
Richmond, on the other hand, do have some strong competition within the Salamantica. Sadeg State, Mar Sara Tech, Vricksinburg State, conference leaders University of Moravica... The problem is they have gone 1-4 against those teams, and even though they're up there with a 14-6 record, and with a good shot at making the Tournament, they need to step up against Mar Sara, Sadeg and Moravica in order to have any leeway with the Selection Committee.
On the Bubble
Universitade Eldora (13-7, fifth in Eternal)
Hendrick State University (13-7, sixth in Five Star)
College of Ware (13-7, sixth in Calania)
All of these teams are 13-7 and on the tournament bubble (Remember, Osheana State were 12-8 at this point last season and made the NSCAA Tournament as the last team in), but of all 3 of those, the Mudslingers of Universitade Eldora have the best shot at making the tournament. The Eternal Conference has been a complete bloodbath to the point where Eldora and the two other 13-7 teams (Alexandria and UoR) are 3 wins behind (Yes, only 3) from the top spot, meaning the conference is still technically anyone's game. Their record against the rest of the top 5 (EDU, Bunyoro A&M, Brattleboro Tech and Southern Coast) as well as Alexandria and UoR is 3-5, including a 3-0 stretch against the rest of the top 7 that contained knocking Southern Coast away from the undefeated club. If they can keep this winning form up, they could be in with a good shot at the Tournament.
Hendrick State's Tournament potential has been popping off as of late, and that was exemplified by beating Cold Hill at their house and immediately drubbing ol Cavsar by 18 points on game 20 of the regular season, adding yet another chapter to the illustrious history of CAVSUX. Sure, they're sixth in the Five Star, but they're dragged into a 3rd place battle against CAVSUX, Central State and Crimson Royal, which, as we know, greatly increases tournament potential. Those back-to-back big game wins, coupled with only losing by 6 against CSU, have seemingly offset their 101-84 loss to Kitara at the halfway point. And that was after HSU beat Crimson Royal at the Gordon. The gameplan for Hendrick State is to keep up that run and potentially get it close against Kitara and Crimson Royal heading into the Five Star Tournament. From there, a win in the first round of the conference tournament could be enough to seal a NSCAA Tournament spot.
College of Ware are the team that's closest to elimination, however. Even though they have gotten some close results against their top 5, losing to Eastern Starksville by 4 away from home being just one of their examples of cutting it decent against the very good teams. Their tournament stock, however, has been hampered by the sheer and utter embarrassment of losing to ESAA at home by 17, when they had only gotten 2 wins at that point. An embarrassment of that magnitude can be seen as rock bottom for a Tournament contending team, but if they continue to cut it close against the better teams and not stink the joint against the big ones, they could be in as a 14 or 15. If not, it's straight to the DCIT for the Big Red.