Max rank 120
* Pld W D L PF PA PD Pts
1 Sarzonia 1000 618 8 374 105411 89069 +16342 2488
2 Baggieland 1000 374 8 618 89069 105411 −16342 1512
Max rank 20
* Pld W D L PF PA PD Pts
1 Sarzonia 1000 609 5 386 105435 91013 +14422 2446
2 Baggieland 1000 386 5 609 91013 105435 −14422 1554
So adjusting max rank doesn't seem to do anything. Mind you that this is between the top 2 ranked teams. If we have #1 Sarzonia play #5 Ko-oren, we get:
* Pld W D L PF PA PD Pts
1 Sarzonia 1000 760 3 237 114321 81195 +33126 3046
2 Ko-oren 1000 237 3 760 81195 114321 −33126 954
Translating that to a 75%-25% split with me having about half of Sarzonia's rank. Having Sarz play Krieg (#9, at about a quarter of Sarzonia's rank):
* Pld W D L PF PA PD Pts
1 Sarzonia 1000 939 0 61 134257 63932 +70325 3756
2 Kriegiersien 1000 61 0 939 63932 134257 −70325 244
and we get over 90% chance.
It seems like it doesn't have to do with the rank ratio between teams. You'd expect Ko vs Krieg to be similar to Ko vs Sarzonia (both matchups involving teams that have twice as much rank as the other team), but with Ko-oren vs Krieg we get:
* Pld W D L PF PA PD Pts(very similar tables for max rank 20 and max rank 120).
1 Ko-oren 1000 831 5 164 120246 76365 +43881 3334
2 Kriegiersien 1000 164 5 831 76365 120246 −43881 666
This means that Krieg has to seriously out-RP me to even stand a chance, but seeing as most of the top 5-10 all RP actively, it doesn't seem like the scales will tip any time soon. This makes it look like the tournament is pretty much played on paper until the quarterfinals (final 8), and even then, whoever draws Sarzonia in that round is basically doomed.
I'm not a veteran host or an xkoranate expert, but to me it feels like we have to either drastically increase RP bonus or figure something else out.
Baggieland wrote:But I just want to add my voice to the points already raised by Syle and Ko-oren. Especially that bit about all bonus points getting reset to MD1. All points must be accumulative, from pre-tournament points already in the bank to rosters and RPs.
What do you mean by that?