The path is filled but the road is clear- Banija's map to get to the universe stage
The highlighted woods are the Life Stage, the numbered forest is the final four games of the Life Stage, and the house is the Universe Stage
Háttmark, Græntfjall- Banija's national ice hockey team, after 8 games and 9 matchdays, still finds themselves in the thick of the race for the next stages. Their last game was yet another regulation win, this time with a 5-0 pasting over Waisnor. Now, this was an important victory for Banija. Spirits were down in the camp after their tight, 2-1 loss against a key rival, Siovanija & Teusland, on the previous matchday. There is no shame to losing to Siovanija & Teusland, of course- have you seen them play in this tournament? They're absolutely dominant. But still, this was a game we had circled on our calendar, and spent plenty of time preparing for. We threw everything we had at them. A valiant effort. But still- a loss is a loss is a loss. And Martial Odongo's clipboard went through his own knee when Goldhorns center Timo Schlager broke the 1-1 tie in the game with about 1:07 left in the final period. Heartbreaking loss. But, there's a reason the Goldhorns are #1- they win games like that. Our chase continues.
A few days later, we had to turn around and face Waisnor. A tight loss against a rival is never an easy one to absorb. But those are the type of games that show you exactly what you are made out of, mentally. The game against Waisnor would not be easy. Going into the game, we were tied in the group. Remember, it's all about finishing top 4- the top 4 get all the glory, 5-13 go home early- eliminated, forgotten. And with our ranking and recent history, it would be an utter failure if we could not finish top 4, even in this brutal group. And yet, it would be a fantastic success if we could. But yes- HUElavia, us, and Waisnor all went into the game with 15 points each. 3-4-5. And fortunately for us... We blitzed them. Waisnor have been great this tournament. Unranked, but playing with fire and passion. Fortunately, we seemed to catch them at the right time and blew them off the ice. 5-0 is 5-0, and those were three very important points.
We're getting to the business end of the Life Stage now, and we have four games left in the Group of Cups. For a reminder, here is the table.
Group of Cups Pld W OTW OTL L GF GA GD Pts
1 Siovanija & Teusland 8 8 0 0 0 34 16 +18 24
2 Kriegiersien 8 7 0 1 0 30 10 +20 22
3 HUElavia 8 6 0 0 2 30 10 +20 18
4 Banija 8 6 0 0 2 26 7 +19 18
5 Quebec & Shingoryeo 8 5 1 0 2 27 22 +5 17
6 Waisnor 9 5 0 0 4 23 24 –1 15
7 Flekkefjord 8 3 1 0 4 21 31 –10 11
8 Srednjaci 9 2 1 2 4 25 31 –6 10
9 Ranoria 9 2 1 0 6 20 24 –4 8
10 New Waldensia 8 1 2 0 5 21 31 –10 7
11 St. Saratoga 8 2 0 0 6 20 28 –8 6
12 BohemiaIV 8 0 1 2 5 13 29 –16 4
13 Omerica 9 0 0 2 7 12 40 –28 2
How do we get to the knockout stages? There's a lot left to happen, with a lot of games left. But with our win over Waisnor, we've got a three point lead and that beautiful head to head tiebreaker. They're still in it, but we've got a significant advantage over them. So what's the path?
Step #1- Regulation Wins over #8 Srednjaci(UR) & #7 Flekkefjord(30)
These are the teams we are absolutely favored against. Srednjaci is our next game, and Flekkefjord is not the following game, but the game after that. So 1 and 3 matchdays away. Neither team has been strong so far. Banija has been excellent so far in this tournament at beating who we are supposed to beat. The two teams ahead of us, we lost by 1 goal each, but put up great efforts in each one. If we want another crack at one of the big boys to show that we truly do belong at the end stages of a tournament such as this one, we've got to start by getting out of this group.
Srednjaci is a nation that we respect a lot. Great sporting culture in general, a great people. They are young- but their fans came in droves to Banija for the International Baseball Slam, and made a great impression. Flekkjefjord is a great hockey nation themselves. But those are games that we are expected to win. And if we can't, then our campaign will be in deep trouble. And we need to not only win- but we need all three points. We'll probably need a minimum of 25 points to finish top 4? And, to be frank, probably more than that. If we can get all three points in both of those games, then that will put us in a better spot. Still, however, that will not be enough, on its own.
Step #2- Game against Kriegiersien, getting a win any way you can
Now this is far easier said, than done. Kriegiersien may be unranked, but they've been absolutely dominant. They're the most physical team in the group. And they're eager to fight, with a bunch of their games having fights trend all over twii.tur. They have beaten HUElavia, who are ranked seventh in the multiverse and third in the group. Their only loss is in a shootout to Quebec, an 8-7 heartbreaker. Talk about showing up and taking the hockey world by storm, literally. On paper, going into the tournament, we were favored. But after 8 games? No longer.
They are, low key, an elite team. But they have a tough schedule down the stretch. They have to play Siovanija & Teusland as well as us over the last four games. So while they look in a strong position for the knockout stages, if you assume that you can't beat the Goldhorns, they will have us measured up as well. If they can down our team, they'll basically clinch a spot in the next phase, an incredible achievement for an unranked side in a group with 3 top 10 teams. But that game is just as important for us. We've got to fight for every last scrap. We want to clinch a spot before the Final Matchday. If we get two regulations wins in the games talked about above, plus get at least 2 points against Kriegiersien, that *should* be enough to get in regardless of the last matchday. But if we can't....
Step #3(if necessary)- Do or die against Quebec & Shingoryeo
We say if necessary, because there are three games between now and then. We are in fourth, right now, with 18 points. They are in fifth, with 17 points. The last truly could be winner take all, loser go home. But there are plenty of games. If we can get on a run, maybe we can clinch a spot and knock them out. If Kriegiersien or HUElavia start struggling, we can maybe overtake them and then Quebec could need to beat us to overtake another team.
That is something we do not want to happen. It would essentially be the knockout stages before the knockout stages. Nerves would be high. Pressure would be through the roof. In that case, advantage to the Quebecois? And in a massive rivalry game too, between the two Commonwealth nations- if it happened, it might shatter the Banijan hockey ratings record set last tournament, when we had a knockout stage game against Siovanija & Teusland. Can we clinch a spot before then so I only have to think about that game in terms of seeding, please?