AOCAF Cup 57: Group Stage Preview
Equestrians Favorites in an Unremarkable Group E
by Steve McNotapony
The multiverse's longest-running and most prestigious regional hoofball tournament, the AOCAF Cup is arguably the most-coveted trophy in international hoofball outside of the three WCC-sanctioned events. Some of the multiverse's most storied teams compete for the chance to be crowned champions of Atlantian Oceania: Valanora, Starblaydia, Audioslavia, and Vilita & Turori among others. The 57th edition of the AOCAF Cup will see the Vilitans attempt to defend their title and add to their growing trophy case as defending regional and world champions, while others like the Vanorians, Farves, Cosumarites, Mrii, and Equestrians hope to dethrone the holders and claim the title for their own. There are 28 teams in the group stage this year, but only 16 will emerge from the group stage and advance to the knockout rounds. Who will those teams be? Let's take a look at the groups for some predictions.
Group A: Mriin (8), Ko-oren (15), Semarland (16), Freeport (31)
There's no shortage of familiar faces in Group A, between the Mrii hosts, Ko-orenites, and Freeporters. The hosts will be the obvious favorites to win the group, but the Ko-orenites can't be underestimated by anyone. The Dragonflies reached the quarterfinals of the last AOCAF, upsetting the Ponies in the second round before falling to the Reavers, and also made the knockout rounds in the most recent World Cup. They're a team on the rise and will likely continue their recent run of success here. Semarland and Freeport aren't nearly as easy to predict, though it wouldn't be a huge surprise if one of them managed to nick one of the third-place spots in the knockouts with a bit of luck.
Group B: Farfadillis (3), Tropicorp (11), Saint Émelie (23), Geisenfried (39)
Farfadillis crashed out of the 81st World Cup in the group stage, but don't expect that to happen here where they should be expected to cruise through to the second round with ease. Tropicorp were a Pot 1 team last time around, but have dropped in the rankings after being sent packing in the group stage of the last AOCAF. Saint Émelie and Geisenfried are teams which might make some noise in future editions, but don't quite have what it takes to close the gap in quality with the top two teams in Group B this cycle.
Group C: Vilita & Turori (1), Starblaydia (9), Demot (19), Euran Oceania Territories (39)
Defending champions Vilita & Turori and semifinalists Starblaydia will be the favorites in Group C, the former the early favorite among bookies to hoist the trophy at Haven and the latter hoping to rebound after a disappointing World Cup. Demot did manage to reach the knockouts last time around, but were predictably taken apart by Valanora in the second round. They'll have a difficult time matching that result this year unless they can upset either the Vilitans or Starblaydis. Meanwhile, the Euran colonials will be lucky to get even a point in Group B and will almost certainly be flying home after their third match barring a miracle.
Group D: Eshan (6), Qasden (12), Baker Park (18), Novo Calania (27)
Eshan and Qasden are the top two ranked teams in Group D, but my pick to finish atop the group table is Baker Park. The Echanis and Qads were unimpressive at the last World Cup, while Baker Park has been anything but lately. The Bees will continue their meteoric ascent here. I think the Echanis take the group's second spot, while the poor Calanians will likely head home without a point.
Group E: Equestrian States (7), Sultanate of Oontaz (14), Siovanija & Teusland (22), Busoga Islands (43)
Group E is something of a mixed bag. The Ponies, of course, have their eyes set on claiming their first major title and will be disappointed with anything less than winning the group outright. The Sultanate of Oontaz and Siovanija & Teusland are both strong middle-of-the-pack contenders, but neither can really be expected to do much better than to make it out of the group. The Busogans are certainly better than their rank would suggest, but are rightfully seeded as a Pot 4 team and would be incredibly lucky to make it out of the group stage.
Group F: Valanora (2), Banija (10), Audioslavia (24), Lochario (UR)
The Group of Death. Valanora will be favored to win Group F, but you can't count out either Banija or Audioslavia from the conversation. The Banijans have been one of the most impressive young teams in the last couple cycles and the Audioslavians are always a team to watch. On talent, this group should provide three teams to the knockout rounds, but might well cannibalize itself and only send two sides. Debutants Lochario, meanwhile, are going to get fucking shelled. A good tournament for them would consist of keeping a match close.
Group G: Cosumar (5), 95X (13), Saltstead (21), Northwest Kalactin (UR)
Group G is similar to Group F in that the top seed, Cosumar, is an expected title-contender joined by 95X and Saltstead, two mid-tier teams with the potential to make a knockout run but unlikely to feature in the title conversation. Northwest Kalactin probably won't do much of anything and should be expected to bow out in the group stage. In the end, I think Cosumar and Saltstead will advance, but 95X could easily take that second spot and I wouldn't be the least bit surprised.