Advertisement
by Prosorusiya » Thu Jan 12, 2017 6:54 pm
by Aquitayne » Thu Jan 12, 2017 7:06 pm
Prosorusiya wrote:https://forum.nationstates.net/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=400399&p=30874379#p30874379
Having the damnedest time getting the table here to play nice... it seems to not want to be spaces close to text the way I want it to. Any hints? Also, over all thoughts of the content?
[table][tr][td]Type[/td]
[td]Number[/td]
[td]Model[/td]
[td]Origin[/td][/tr]
[tr][td]Medium Range Jetliner[/td][td]3[/td][td][url=http://goo.gl/j5iDtz]Tu-154B-2[/url][/td][td]Soviet Union[/td][/tr]
[tr][td]Short Range Jetliner[/td][td]2[/td][td][url=http://goo.gl/zbfS4s]Yak-42D[/url][/td][td]Soviet Union[/td][/tr][/table]
"When you have power, use it to build people, not constrict them."-Bertrand Russell
"I destroy my enemies when I make them my friends."-Abraham Lincoln
by Torontonian Canada » Thu Jan 12, 2017 7:30 pm
Yohannes wrote:It's not often that I come here to ask a question, but I am wondering of the feasibility (when applied to NationStates RP realms) of the following scenario: at the moment, I roleplay my government as in debt (I don't have to, but it's fun). I have estimated that there are more than 300 nations that are conducting their (the private institutions or for a few the public also) trade and finance (physical and through financial instruments) using my currency, and also as their government reserves holding in my currency, the Quertz russling or Quertz for short. Based on that estimate I should be able to use something along the line of a quantitative easing method as the US Fed did in real life and get away with it easily, multiple times, as institutions and individuals residing in these nations would gobble up my currency available to be bought anyway (for a wee while, I haven't storytelled or roleplayed anything of that sort also)
Okay, I can do the above multiple time, but wouldn't it be considered as a form of cheating? I can simply print out money after money, create 'paper' wealth, and none of the negative effect would apply to me because of my unique situation at the moment. I wanna hear some of your opinions, thank you!
-Donata
Edit: and even if you are unsure of what I am talking about, don't be worried to post your opinion forward! There's no right or wrong as far as I am concerned
Another edit: I realise the unique situation of my nation in character wise, and that very few other nations can get away with doing anything like this. This is the reason why I wanted to ask the opinions of the long time NS economic roleplayers: it's not a question of whether it can be done, but whether it is ethical/right (in your opinion) or not.
by Yohannes » Thu Jan 12, 2017 8:25 pm
by Aquitayne » Thu Jan 12, 2017 8:38 pm
Yohannes wrote:You see, that is the thing (why I say it's kinda cheating if I try to attempt that). With my nation IC wise, none of that will happen because lots of people, institutions, etc. would probably realistically take the opportunity presented to gobble up my currency (and this happen in a sort of simulation, on the background (like when we unpaused a Europa Universalis or Victoria 2 PC sort of games) kind of thing, if you are IC wise connecting your market/economy/company/etc. with me) because realistically these entities (or people) in these nations will benefit from it (more money for them in the future, the most basic way of putting it) and because they know they will get that benefit (good security)
This is another reason why I did say I am in a unique position to be able to do this, but I doubt it is an ethical thing to do. It can be done, but it is unfair. It's not even a 'what if', it can be done. But is it fair? I don't think so. And whilst a part of me is excited about trying it out, another part of me is a bit iffy. I can hide it from everyone (no need for me to ask this publicly, and I know that some ancient NationStates roleplayers - I think I would probably know who you are hehe - will probably call me out, either using their proxy nations or directly, if I did try to exploit this)
Fear of being called out a pyramid scheme scamming repo man aside I feel like the whole thing isn't fair. And there's always others in the future who, perhaps, under the right circumstances, will be presented with the opportunity to do the same thing (I know a couple of nations (can be counted by fingers) who can pull this off realistically or semi realistically at the moment, though it's a good thing they are not doing it )
Anyway, I am talking with you on Discord at the moment anyway, I'll explain there
"When you have power, use it to build people, not constrict them."-Bertrand Russell
"I destroy my enemies when I make them my friends."-Abraham Lincoln
by Yohannes » Thu Jan 12, 2017 9:48 pm
Aquitayne wrote:I'm not an economist by any stretch of the imagination, but you're pretty much entirely correct from a valuation standpoint. We can, for all intents and purposes, equate the Yohannesian Quertz to the US dollar, in a NS-to-RL example.
Aquitayne wrote:You are, save for Lambda Financial, really the only banking firm on the site to have as much exposure and reach as you do. With that comes the inherent investments in the very lucrative, stable, and valuable Quertz russling that would be going on day-to-day around the NS world.
Aquitayne wrote:Obviously if Yohannes began issuing rounds of quantitative easing, investors across the globe would sell their bonds held by Yohannes so that you'd credit their accounts with the additional money supply. In the short-term, just as occurred in US markets after each round was announced, there would be a very bullish rise in the market based around the influx of money.
Aquitayne wrote:That said, it's hard to determine whether or not the currency would actually devalue as Torontonian Canada said it would.
Aquitayne wrote:Because of the nature of the Quertz and how wide-spread it is, along with how many investors trust its valuation and your nation's theoretical credit rating,
Aquitayne wrote:I don't see the Quertz devaluing drastically or falling to the point where we have another GE&T recession when you shut everything down.
Aquitayne wrote:That said, if you do too much quantitative easing, depending on how much money you're creating, a decade or two down the line the effects may be felt by inflated prices due to higher supplies of the Quertz on the global market.
Aquitayne wrote:Even still, your currency would be so commonly traded and regarded as the US dollar that I doubt quantitative easing would realistically alter the valuation of the Quertz.
Aquitayne wrote:Whether or not its "fair" isn't really the question you should be asking; the question you should be asking is whether or not it makes sense for the Yohannesian Treasury to initiate quantitative easing in the first place.
Aquitayne wrote:Quantitative easing wasn't initiated because the United States holds trillions of dollars in debt. It's because we were in the midst of a recession that demanded businesses invest larger sums of money into the economy and to do that the government needed to increase the supply of money and sell government bonds so that those funds could reach small businesses. This will effect your nation more than anything else, I'd imagine, unless the nations that hold your currency are also in the midst of a recession.
Aquitayne wrote:tl;dr: value won't drop, quantitative easing was done because of recession not debt, I have no idea what I'm talking about
by Neu Engollon » Sun Jan 15, 2017 12:18 am
by Yohannes » Sun Jan 15, 2017 12:49 pm
Neu Engollon wrote:Yohannes, I think what you've described as a scenario is feasible, and in fact it happens every day with most of the major RL capitalist nations at the moment.
Neu Engollon wrote:They declare their own value through major financial institutions and continue to print more money than they can back to keep the market artificially inflated. Quantitative easing is the name of the game at this point. Is it ethical? Probably not, but it's been made legit as it seems to be the only thing keeping the global economy aka the house of cards, afloat at the moment. The major drawback to this is that at some point the bubble has to burst. It can't be sustained indefinitely forever as the debt rises exponentially. In RL we're heading for a worse recession than we had 8 years ago because of it.
Neu Engollon wrote:... would be willing to accept this status and play along with the Bank of Yohannes.
Neu Engollon wrote:Anyway, back to NS. The major institutions in Neu Engollon, including the Ministry of Finance of the government of the Confederacy.... The major national bank that props up the Confederacy's economy, EngolBanc, would probably play along. Would Neu Engollon value the Quertz over the NSD? No, but they would accept that the Quertz has a major influence on the value of the NSD. I don't have much sense of economy beyond that, but I do know that your proposal isn't that far fetched.
by Neu Engollon » Sun Jan 15, 2017 1:01 pm
by Yohannes » Sun Jan 15, 2017 1:34 pm
Neu Engollon wrote:I'm not an Astyrian anymore and neither Neu Engollon nor any of my nations are tied directly into that regional economy. The only connections left to Astyria would be franchises or outlets that my businesses have in Astyria, military products sold to Astyrian nations and past security/defense contracts my major PMC has had in that region.
Neu Engollon wrote:Neu Engollon does not have any outer-regional alliances (nor inner regional ones as they're politically neutral) other than corporate ties both through food & beverage industry and the PMC industry. I'm thinking more on the global economy, that we're all loosely tied into each other, or at the level that we want to be, anyway.
Neu Engollon wrote:I don't think it needs to be tied into region as much as being tied to those most active in GE&T, no matter their RP'd IC size or their regional affiliation.
by Neu Engollon » Sun Jan 15, 2017 8:46 pm
by Yohannes » Sun Jan 15, 2017 8:58 pm
by Great Minarchistan » Sun Jan 15, 2017 9:01 pm
by Yohannes » Sun Jan 15, 2017 9:12 pm
Great Minarchistan wrote:My main concern here is how NSD can be valid. I mean, you can get 300 billion NSD allegedly from roleplay, when you didn't. The NSD system is so flawed, even Minecraft economics is easier.
by Great Minarchistan » Sun Jan 15, 2017 9:17 pm
Aquitayne wrote:Quantitative easing wasn't initiated because the United States holds trillions of dollars in debt. It's because we were in the midst of a recession that demanded businesses invest larger sums of money into the economy and to do that the government needed to increase the supply of money and sell government bonds so that those funds could reach small businesses. This will effect your nation more than anything else, I'd imagine, unless the nations that hold your currency are also in the midst of a recession.
tl;dr: value won't drop, quantitative easing was done because of recession not debt, I have no idea what I'm talking about
by Common Territories » Sun Jan 15, 2017 9:27 pm
Great Minarchistan wrote:My main concern here is how NSD can be valid. I mean, you can get 300 billion NSD allegedly from roleplay, when you didn't. The NSD system is so flawed, even Minecraft economics is easier.
by Yohannes » Sun Jan 15, 2017 9:28 pm
Great Minarchistan wrote:Q.E. is worthless,
Great Minarchistan wrote:it is the same of cut a pizza in 16 slices instead of 8, and affirm that it will stimulate economy. During a round of Q.E. what you are doing is nothing but money printing, and since no wealth was created in the process, your currency value drops, compensated by the extra volume of currency.
Let's turn this easier with an example: Bananistan has a currency named Banana Dollar (BD$) and it is pegged according to Bananistan stone reserves. So let's suppose there are 10.000 BD$ on market while Bananistan coffers hold 50.000 tons of stone. Therefore, one BD$ equals to 5 stone tons, right?
But then due to a recession (or debt crisis, whatever the government blames) Bananistan printed 15.000 BD$, totaling 25.000 Banana Dollars. The stone reserves, however, didn't change. Now you got 50.000 tons of stone and 25.000 Banana Dollars. So instead of 1 BD$ = 5T stone, 1 BD$ = 2T stone.
Although Bananistan increased its amount of currency by 150%, the wealth didn't increase. Final result: You just devalorized your currency, produced a big amount of inflation and crippled the economy. Yay.
Common Territories wrote:I think you're missing the point of NSD. NSD is the simplification of currency exchange on NS. Rather than converting a bunch of Nation A dollars into Nation B Yen to make one purchase on GE&T, people can rely on NSD because the one rule it holds true is that it's value forever shall be 1.00 when compared to any other currency. People don't want to have to have a long discussion to figure out what their currency is worth in yours, or how to convert cash in general, just to make a purchase on some storefront; the simpler and easiest system to allow people to place orders for products/services, the better. NSD was birthed by the community who observed that very nature. That is why it exists, because many many years ago, people in the roleplay forums realized things needed to be simpler.
I don't really understand how you can get $300 billion from roleplay but didn't at the same time, but I assume you mean to say people make cheap money using cheap methods. Correct me if im wrong. That's just a fact here in GE&T and on NS in general. It's one party debating another at times; if you want to combat such deplorable behavior by people, confront it in a civil manner (following the rules of course) and make your case known to them with healthy criticism. Otherwise, leave them be if they aren't breaking any site rules and don't wish to hear your arguments. But it's not fair to compare NationStates to Minecraft in general, especially when it comes to economics. This community decides how it earns money in a activity called roleplay. In Minecraft, you dig a bunch of materials and convert them into something else. The two are different in scope and design. It's like comparing "Green Eggs and Ham" with "One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest" - both are literary classics in the world of books, but have different literary styles, audiences, and story styles.
by Neu Engollon » Sun Jan 15, 2017 9:43 pm
by Great Minarchistan » Sun Jan 15, 2017 9:48 pm
Yohannes wrote:Great Minarchistan wrote:Q.E. is worthless,
It is worthless in real life, where no new nation sprung up once a month or so (and that's a fairly low estimate). But when applied to NationStates, and changed or tweaked a bit, it will not be. This is the reason we don't just copy paste things from real life and put it to NationStates. First of all, it shows we don't understand how it really works. Secondly, other people will find out where we just copy paste our stuff fromGreat Minarchistan wrote:it is the same of cut a pizza in 16 slices instead of 8, and affirm that it will stimulate economy. During a round of Q.E. what you are doing is nothing but money printing, and since no wealth was created in the process, your currency value drops, compensated by the extra volume of currency.
Let's turn this easier with an example: Bananistan has a currency named Banana Dollar (BD$) and it is pegged according to Bananistan stone reserves. So let's suppose there are 10.000 BD$ on market while Bananistan coffers hold 50.000 tons of stone. Therefore, one BD$ equals to 5 stone tons, right?
But then due to a recession (or debt crisis, whatever the government blames) Bananistan printed 15.000 BD$, totaling 25.000 Banana Dollars. The stone reserves, however, didn't change. Now you got 50.000 tons of stone and 25.000 Banana Dollars. So instead of 1 BD$ = 5T stone, 1 BD$ = 2T stone.
Although Bananistan increased its amount of currency by 150%, the wealth didn't increase. Final result: You just devalorized your currency, produced a big amount of inflation and crippled the economy. Yay.
Again. You did not take into account that in NationStates, you are most likely going to interact with new nations. Unless you purposely restrict yourself to not wanting to engage with any other new nations, beside the ones you are connected to (IC wise) now. Then yeah, you are dead right. But this is not the case. And I hope you're not offended that I say this. For some reason I always made people upset or angry
Yohannes wrote:Edit:Common Territories wrote:I think you're missing the point of NSD. NSD is the simplification of currency exchange on NS. Rather than converting a bunch of Nation A dollars into Nation B Yen to make one purchase on GE&T, people can rely on NSD because the one rule it holds true is that it's value forever shall be 1.00 when compared to any other currency. People don't want to have to have a long discussion to figure out what their currency is worth in yours, or how to convert cash in general, just to make a purchase on some storefront; the simpler and easiest system to allow people to place orders for products/services, the better. NSD was birthed by the community who observed that very nature. That is why it exists, because many many years ago, people in the roleplay forums realized things needed to be simpler.
I don't really understand how you can get $300 billion from roleplay but didn't at the same time, but I assume you mean to say people make cheap money using cheap methods. Correct me if im wrong. That's just a fact here in GE&T and on NS in general. It's one party debating another at times; if you want to combat such deplorable behavior by people, confront it in a civil manner (following the rules of course) and make your case known to them with healthy criticism. Otherwise, leave them be if they aren't breaking any site rules and don't wish to hear your arguments. But it's not fair to compare NationStates to Minecraft in general, especially when it comes to economics. This community decides how it earns money in a activity called roleplay. In Minecraft, you dig a bunch of materials and convert them into something else. The two are different in scope and design. It's like comparing "Green Eggs and Ham" with "One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest" - both are literary classics in the world of books, but have different literary styles, audiences, and story styles.
And Common Territories is right, right there. I know that he hated me (which was perfectly justifiable, it was thoroughly my fault haha) but I hope that he will not ask the mods to delete this side of the post
Final edit: Common Territories is right @Great Minarchistan, in the sense that a section of the community (talked about this, even way back in 2007) had this kind of talk already (multiple times) about the status of NSD, and at the end of the day, people just assumed for the sake of simplicity what Common Territories told you
by Great Minarchistan » Sun Jan 15, 2017 9:54 pm
Neu Engollon wrote:What you're not factoring in is something like the 'Fed', aka the Federal Reserve, which has kept the interest rate in the US artificially low for a long time, when it should have risen along with the over printing of money and other economic factors like the real estate bust. Likewise you have the IMF and it's associated World Bank. I see it as a position of leverage where a nation like the US or a more developed nation can get away with fudging their currency worth because they have a lot of chips in the game and a lot of say on trade, whereas your Bananastan (less developed, 3rd world nation) doesn't have as much say on the world financial market, so they're printing of excess money just creates a chaotic situation in their nation because they may mandate new currency laws, but other nations don't have to, and likely won't play along and so their currency devalues. So in the end it's a matter of what benefit is it to other nations in the Multiverse or global economy to accept your superficial moves to artificially inflate or stabilize your economy based on what in reality isn't based on any real resource backed commodity.
So it comes down to handshakes, winks and nods. Who sets the oil prices? What decides the going rate of precious metals and who makes that call? I'll give you a hint, it's more likely someone in Maxtopia or Bigtopia than in Bananastan.
As for accepting purchases from nations that might not justifiably have the funds, I think you're right on with taking into account debt levels. The obvious example: The US spending ridiculous $$ on military defense when the nation is trillions of dollars in debt. Those defense companies are willing to turn a blind eye to the fact that the US can't realistically continue to make regular payments were they to honor their debts. Some of that debt ironically owed to the same nations we're spending funny money to defend ourselves from. It can make ones head spin.
by Yohannes » Sun Jan 15, 2017 10:06 pm
Great Minarchistan wrote:I was actually explaining the concept in real life, I think I was too lazy to understand the whole thingy, kek.
Great Minarchistan wrote:Also don't worry, I'm not a snowflake, I hardly take micro-aggressions as an offense :^)
Great Minarchistan wrote:Thanks to make things more clear for me. I'm still not fully confident either, I think I'll need to adapt myself to this system, rip.
by Neu Engollon » Sun Jan 15, 2017 10:52 pm
by Great Minarchistan » Sun Jan 15, 2017 10:57 pm
Yohannes wrote:Great Minarchistan wrote:Thanks to make things more clear for me. I'm still not fully confident either, I think I'll need to adapt myself to this system, rip.
Hope I (or Neu Engollon or Common Territories) didn't offend you, Great Minarchistan. I don't know about their policies (they are sound people aka nice) but me personally, I treat every other account as if they are alternate or puppet account, so I try to be extremely polite when I am not drunk wink
so sorry once again if I did say anything that was wrong or Idk I said in a slightly offensive manner. Its been nice discussin this with u, thank you for your honesty!
by Yohannes » Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:18 am
Neu Engollon wrote:I think we could bring this back from OOC discord and full circle. What you are proposing is mirroring an under layer to the NS (Multiverse) economy and who has influence on it and who would want to accept that such actions by major economic players would have an effect on their national and regional economies. Really, it's up to each NS player whether they choose to accept that or not.
By the same token, as was stated, we all accept the fact that the NSD has a constant value of 1.00, which brings stability to everyone's currencies. With the vast amount of nations that come and go it would be sheer chaos if the NSD couldn't be nailed down. Still, it would be fun to look under the curtains and hypothesize who is pulling the strings to keep that stability in place, artificially or with sound economics.
by Prosorusiya » Thu Jan 26, 2017 11:57 pm
Advertisement
Return to Global Economics and Trade
Users browsing this forum: The united American-Isreali empire
Advertisement