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My Last.fm · by **West Kirkon** » Sun Oct 30, 2022 10:08 pm

Mei Phoumsa - 31 October 2022

Home ·Lavana · Coius · International · Politics · Finance ·Sports · Entertainment · Health · Travel · Weather · Opinion

Hacyinia could use Chemical Weapons in terror attacks.

Soldiers patrolling the Shangean district of Pers.

Pers -

Hacyinia willingly allowing known Terrorists access to Chemical Weapons stockpiles, claimed Special Intelligence Operative Danioe Gongavangadao to national television earlier today. This comes after the Ministry of Defense issued new guidelines as Chemical terror attacks have overnight become a reality. “The men who gladly murdered civilians nearly a month ago, have been given access to an illegal access of weapons of mass destruction, we could have chemical attacks on Hospitals within the week.” stated the Intelligence officer with 24 years of experience. The Ministry of Interior has opened operations to review Lavanas anti-chemical warfare guidelines, with special emphasis on terror attacks in civilian targets.

Following Hacyinian announcement on the legalization, and inclusion of known terrorists in the Demilitarized Zone in the Yoloten, which protects the People’s Republic of the Yoloten from Hacyinian terror. Premier Laina Keomany stated that the 2004 agreement which saw the armed forces exit the Yoloten after various security guarantees by the Hacyinian governments in regards to respecting Yoloten sovereignty has been voided. “Hacyinian troops currently operate inside the DMZ, and inside the internationally recognized borders of the Yoloten. By all intents and purposes the agreement has been stepped on by Hacyinia” stated Gongavangadao. Additionally the inclusion of recognized terrorists which conducted the deadly attack in the Mei Phong Mall which left 26 dead, and 33 wounded on October 1st, are now legally members of the Hacyinian military. “Hacyinia has recognized these terrorists as integral parts of their armed forces, Hacyinia is a terrorist state.” stated Gongavangadao, in condemnation.

Hacyinia has clearly stated its intentions to support, defend, and propel terrorism against both Lavana and the Yoloten. Hacyinia a state which has used its Chemical weapons before to terrorize the Yoloten, would not restrain itself from performing such terror attacks inside the Yoloten, and Lavana. The Lavanan public must contend with the realities of a terrorist state on its border, and be prepared to act accordingly. No individual in Lavana regardless of ethnicity, religion, nationality, language, gender, and age is safe from Hacyinian state-legalized terrorism of Lavana. We compel the authorities to act accordingly to safeguard the lives of Lavanans and Yolotens before Hacyinian terrorists release chemical weaponry on defenseless civilians.

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My Last.fm · by **West Kirkon** » Tue Nov 01, 2022 10:39 am

Mei Phoumsa - 2 November 2022

Home ·Lavana · Coius · International · Politics · Finance ·Sports · Entertainment · Health · Travel · Weather · Opinion

Fake calls lead to panic in Pers Metro.

Pers -

Security forces rushed to the Pers metro earlier today, causing severe delays in the system, as threats of an impending terrorist attack on the subway spurred to action. In reality, the metro faced no such danger, and the dozens of calls originating from inside the Pers metro were either fake or made to appear to be coming from the system while in reality the calls were done elsewhere. The incident is just the latest in the series of fears and threats Lavanans experience as a result of the increasing threat of state-sponsored terrorism coming from Hacyinia.

At around 7:03 am during the morning rush hour, the Pers Metropolitan Police Department received a series of 22 calls in the space of 6 minutes. The calls were located and traced to 3 metro stations which for security purposes will not be identified. The calls featured a robotic voice speaking in Kachai and Ziban explaining a possible attack on the metro. One agent reported that the word “Sarin” which refers to a deadly chemical weapon was mentioned numerous times to the agents, implying a possible chemical attack. Within minutes, the Lavanan military, police, and national guard had rushed into the scene and began evacuating, agents on the specific stations rushed to action. Bomb squads and special chemical warfare units belonging to the Lavanan armed forces entered the metro stations, and tunnels to secure them, while police identified and detained all passengers inside stations for questioning and processing. The security forces did not discover any explosive devices or suspicious individuals in the stations, or trains. Some of the numbers identified as being the origin of the calls were owned by regular Lavanans riding the train who was arrested but quickly released as the police identified them as not being involved.

The Ministry of Interior released a statement stating that the events of earlier today were the results of a coordinated campaign to instill fear in the Lavanan public. “These actors, foreign actors are interested in making sure every Lavanan wakes up and goes to bed with fear in their minds. This is an attempt at terrorizing our civilian population” decried Minister of Interior Keo Noagiabegia. The Ministry of Defense stated they were investigating the matter as an act of terrorism. Analysts inside the Ministry stated that a foreign actor could conduct a cyberattack to overwhelm systems in the Metropolitan Police, along with launching a coordinated hack of phones which would allow hackers to make calls and play audio files. Some analysts believe that Zorasan acting on behalf of Hacyinia could have hacked the phones of regular Lavanans inside the metro system, to make a call to the Metropolitan police along with playing an already designed audio file. Zorasan also has the capabilities to make calls made in other parts of Lavana or the world even appearing to have originated from a specific geographic region. Both of these methods believe security analysts were used by Hacyinia and or Zorasan to conduct the terror calls that affected the Pers Metro earlier today. “The Zorasani General Intelligence Service could have easily made dozens of calls from Zahedan and made them appear as if they originated from this very room” stated Mamhe Bayar a cybersecurity analyst.

Premier Laina Keomany released a statement that the Federal government was investigating the occurrence, and that those responsible will be brought to justice. But made a mention of the unprecedented security concerns Lavana is going through and blamed Hacyinia for allowing and fomenting such fears and issues. “Mothers struggle with sending their children to school for fear they might learn of their death in a newscast in the evening,” said the statement. Some Lavanan institutions have begun preparing protocols and guidelines to prevent mass civilian casualties as a result of Hacyinian state-sponsored terror. Military surplus stores selling gas masks and supplements have completely sold out, while foreign providers are also completely sold out. The dangers of Hacyinian-sponsored state-terrorism are more prevalent in Lavana than at any single point in its history.

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by **Union of Akoren** » Tue Nov 01, 2022 2:36 pm

First Minister and Foreign Minister give stern speeches to Assembly as Yoloten Crisis reaches boiling point
Fears of conflict mount as First Minister and Foreign Minister tell Assembly Zorasan needs to be prepared to support Hacyinia
POLITICS by Abdullah al-Mosawi

01 November 2022 |15 Mehr 2344

First Minister Gafur Qahor addressed the Supreme Assembly in a general session of Lavanan threat to peace saying, “it is now clear that Lavana does not seek a diplomatic solution and instead, seems eager to ignore laws and conventions and the warnings of the Union. If we must stand by Hacyinia in the darkest of times, then we shall do so without hesitation.”

First Minister Gafur Qahor addressing the Supreme Assembly.

The First Minister’s address to the Supreme Assembly followed an urgent question being presented by six lawmakers to discuss the situation in Yoloten. The Hacyinian announcement of its intention to formally deputise loyalist armed groups in the Lavanan-occupied region of Yoloten provoked fierce responses from the socialist regime, which accused Hacyinia of violating the 2004 peace agreement. Six Assembly Members put forward an urgent question to the First Minister and Foreign Minister Faraz Shazad to ‘establish clear for all, the position and policy of the Union going forward.”

First Minister Qahor told the fully attended session, “the urgent question put forward by the Assembly is understandable and I sympathise with the members who presented it. We are in troubling times, our ally and neighbour is being provoked and assaulted by a socialist regime that respects no law nor convention between nations. Backed and supported by the socialist regime in Dezevau, the phantom of socialist aggression and imperialism has returned.

“That being the case, it was our position and official policy to facilitate diplomatic talks between Hacyinia and Lavana in a neutral location to reaffirm peace in the Yoloten and peace in our region. As we sought to secure the peace through peaceful means, we moved to provide Hacyinia with the means to defend itself, its sovereignty, its territorial integrity and its people. Throughout this effort, time and time again we witnessed Lavana provoke, agitate and undermine the peace.

“By virtue of Lavana’s response to the deputising of militia in the Yoloten, the sovereign territory of Hacyinia, the socialist regime clearly lacks the capacity of will and mind to go for peace. It is now clear, that Lavana does not seek a peaceful diplomatic solution. If we cannot guarantee peace through third party discussions, then we must prepare for the worst.

“The socialist regime in Pers, but this Assembly and all citizens of the Union, must now understand that should the time come, should that day come when Lavana crosses the proverbial line, we will do whatever it is we must to protect, defend and carry our ally through to victory. So now I ask, will you prepare yourselves as representatives of the Front and people, to aid your government in the defence of peace?” he said to a standing ovation.

Foreign Minister Faraz Shazad also addressed the Assembly, who also gave a stern warning to Lavana.

“I will not repeat the eloquent words of our First Minister, but I think it necessary to express my belief that should the day come, we will be ready. Our ally and friend will be ready and together, we will restore peace to the Yoloten and we will guarantee that peace lasts. This great nation, our indomitable Union was built through three decades of blood, sweat and toil. Our great monuments and cities are built upon the ashes and rubble of socialism that existed here in Irvadistan. We faced down socialist imperialism before under the banner of National Renovationism, Irfan and decency and we destroyed it – we can do so again. For is that not the legacy of five-thousand years of Zorasani history? Facing down the enemies of righteousness, nobility and civilisation and crushing them with the aid of God? Our ancestors did it for millennia, they held back the Solarian Empire, they chased out the Tagamics from this continent and they sent scurrying back across the sea the Etrurian. We are more than capable of sending the socialist scurrying back across from the Yoloten to their masters in Dezevau.

“We made clear, I made clear in my capacity as Foreign Minister, our red lines. We would not tolerate Lavanan forces entering the Yoloten, they are not listening and agitate to justify ignoring it. The choice is theirs; it belongs to no one else. Furthermore, I believe it appropriate to inform the Assembly that the Union will no longer be making efforts to secure talks at a neutral location, for that requires a Lavana willing and able to pursue peace through diplomacy.

“We have not abandoned hope for a peaceful solution, but now we recognise the intentions of Lavana. The choice remains the same, we stand ready to both talk and listen, we stand ready to facilitate third-party discussions, but now we must be ready for conflict between Lavana and Hacyinia” he said, also receiving a standing ovation.

The session today followed a lengthy meeting of the Central Committee of State last night, which included extraordinary members from the armed forces, security services and diplomatic service. It is not known what was discussed as the Central Committee withheld the agenda from the National Recorder. However, the secrecy and the speeches today have sparked fears of imminent conflict with Lavana in defence of an ally.

Outside the Supreme Assembly, Deputy First Minister Sadavir Hatami was recorded telling a group of cadets at the Sardar Abdullah al-Dawoud Academy in Sadah, “if they wish to try us, if they wish to test us and Hacyinia let them. We’ll send these socialists scattered to the wind, like we did the socialists who dragged Irvadistan and this city down into the abyss.”

The session in the assembly was held before today’s farcical events in Pers, where numerous prank calls made about bombs on the city’s metro were blamed on the General Intelligence Service, the military intelligence service of the Union. A spokesman for the GIS told UCTV this afternoon, “we do not comment on foreign propaganda, especially such poorly and mind numbingly produced as this.”

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by **Xiaodong** » Tue Nov 01, 2022 4:22 pm

Shangea will not "tolerate Lavanan expansionism" into Hacyinia
1 November 2022| By Fu Bingbing

State Chairman Yuan Xiannian meeting Makbule Arda Khan in Dabulug

DABULUG - Meeting the Hacyinian monarch Makbule Arda Khan today in Dabulug State Chairman Yuan Xiannian has declared that Shangea stands "firmly behind" Hacyinia and "will not tolerate Lavanan expansionism to our north".

As tensions ramp up between Hacyinia and Lavana in the Yoloten region Yuan has embarked on an emergency visit to Hacyinia to announce Shangean support for Hacyinia including the deployment of a military training mission and the supply of weapons - primarily small arms - to the Hacyinian army.

"The stability of our northern border is paramount, and continued violations of Hacyinian sovereignty is utterly unacceptable. If Lavana continues its current support for terrorism in the region or attempts military agitation then Shangea will give Hacyinia its full support in retaining its nationhood."

Yuan stated he hoped that diplomacy will encourage Lavana to back down but in the absence of "firm commitments" from Lavana Shangea would have "no choice but to reinforce the northern frontier".

The Shangean government has reportedly leaned on Dezevau - a fellow member of the International Forum for Developing States - to constrain Lavana and has mooted talks to de-escalate the situation but has reportedly made little headway.

The Shangean defence ministry has stated that the stability of Hacyinia is a core interest and that Shangea will continue to provide military aid to the landlocked nation if it continues to be threatened by its neighbours. The Shangean government have however refused to comment on whether they'll consider any further military intervention with Yuan stating that Shangea will ensure a "strong Hacyinia can remain united and prosperous".

by **Qianrong** » Wed Nov 02, 2022 2:20 am

RITES MINISTRY DENOUNCES ESCALATION OF YOLOTEN CRISIS
Yumi Takamatu accuses "outside powers" of engaging in "opportunistic
escalation" as tensions reach new peak over the Yoloten crisis

Rites Minister Takamatu (file photo) described the need for diplomacy as "more urgent than ever".

November 2, 2022 | by Moriyasu Akibahara | Minister of Rites Yumi Takamatu has denounced the "opportunistic escalation" of the crisis between Hacyinia, Lavana, and the partially-recognized entity of the Yoloten by "certain outside powers" as extreme tensions in southeast Coius threaten to spill over into war.

"Too much of Coius is already under the specter of conflict," Takamatu told reporters at a press conference in the ministry's Kasumizawa headquarters. "Large areas of Rahelia, Bahia, and even other parts of southeast Coius have already been plunged into destruction, sorrow, and atrocity due to opportunistic escalation by certain outside powers, with invariably catastrophic consequences for the individuals who must actually bear the burden of these wars."

She continued by saying that "unfortunately, recent events have made the threat of crisis more present, and the need for diplomacy more urgent, than ever. Rather than work for peace, these same outside actors have flooded a volatile region with troops & weapons and belligerently threatened a sovereign state, actions which have only made the situation all the more dangerous, and the Coian continent all the less stable."

"It is morally imperative upon all responsible actors to deescalate this situation and guarantee the preservation of peace and international law in southeast Coius," she declared. "This is a commitment to which Senria remains devoted, and we will actively seek out diplomatic cooperation with all parties who are willing to operate with similar commitments in good faith."

"We encourage all other countries in the region to work with us in this diplomatic effort, and to cease from any further provocative actions that would only worsen the situation."

Takamatu's remarks come shortly after Shangean dictator Yuan Xiannian formally pledged Shangean military-industrial support to Hacyinia, and amidst reports of increased military activity by Zorasani troops in Hacyinia, ostensibly for "training purposes". The conflict has also been escalated by Hacyinian mobilization efforts, including the creation of so-called "volunteer brigades", and by credible intelligence reports suggesting that Hacyinia could use illegal chemical weaponry stockpiles to commit terrorist attacks against Lavana.

While Takamatu never stated which "outside powers" she was referring to, her phrasing suggests references to the Zorasani invasion of Tsabara, Zorasani involvement in the Yemeti civil war, and the Shangean occupation of the Hameung region of Tinza.

Diplomatic talks between Hacyinia and Lavana, aimed at deescalating the conflict, were being hosted in Keisi; the state of these talks is currently unclear. Takamatu told reporters that ensuring the continuation of diplomatic talks was a "top priority" for Senria, and that the Rites Ministry was "strongly considering" bringing a motion calling for deescalation before the Community of Nations.

While Hacyinian forces have violated Lavanan territorial sovereignty on several occasions since Lavana obtained independence in the 1940s, the conflict in the Yoloten region specifically began in the 1990s, when the Yoloten region - claimed by Hacyinia - declared its independence. A ceasefire was successfully implemented in 2004; however, the crisis was restarted after pro-Hacyinian terrorist groups murdered 26 people in a terrorist attack in the Lavanan capital of Pers and began shelling targets in the Yoloten.

Senria does not recognize the Yoloten, but it has been a consistent voice for diplomacy in the region, particularly in its economic and diplomatic engagements with Lavana. While Takamatu did not explicitly fully throw Senria's support behind Lavana in this statement, she did state that Senria "consider[s] Lavana to be threatened by such aggression" and praised economic, diplomatic, and security cooperation between Keisi and Pers. She also emphasized the Lavanan people's right to security, "which has been threatened by the terrorist groups emboldened by the escalators of this crisis".

She additionally warned that, while Senria "is committed to diplomacy so long as it is a viable avenue", any further escalation by foreign actors "would necessitate a more stringent response from Senria, in the interests of curbing aggression and protecting stability and international law in Coius."

MORIYASU AKIBAHARA is a staff writer at Mainiti Sinbun. He graduated from the University of Keisi with a degree in journalism in 1998, and worked with both Keisi Sinbun and Sakata Sinbun before coming to Mainiti Sinbun. He currently lives in Keisi with his wife.

About me · by **Luziyca** » Wed Nov 02, 2022 7:05 am

Wednesday, 2nd November, 2022

Be informed. Be responsible.

ROYAL RWIZIKURAN FILM BOARD BANS SON OF MAN

A still from the Dezevauni film Son of Man

Today, the Royal Rwizikuran Film Board announced that it has denied a request by "cinemas in Port Fitzhubert, Port Graham, and Munzwa" to show the controversial Dezevauni film Son of Man, and that it would refuse to permit Son of Man to be screened in cinemas or sold in markets "anywhere in the Kingdom of Rwizikuru." This marks the first time since the promulgation of the Rwizikuran constitution in January 2020 that a non-pornographic film has been denied approval to be shown on Rwizikuran soil.

In a press statement, the Royal Rwizikuran Film Board said that the decision was not taken lightly, but because of the film's depiction of Jesus Sotiras as a "mentally ill man," the Royal Rwizikuran Film Board declared that Son of Man's depiction of Jesus Sotiras "constitutes a clear violation of Rwizikuran blasphemy laws," which is defined as "unlawfully, intentionally and publicly acting contemptuously towards God."

"In situations where blasphemy has been depicted, the Royal Rwizikuran Film Board would normally request the film-makers delete the offending scenes or only prohibit the film from being screened in cinemas, because of Son of Man's blasphemous depiction of Jesus Sotiras lasting for the near-entirety of the movie, and the complete dependence of the film on said depiction, the Royal Rwizikuran Film Board feels that removing all scenes depicting Jesus Sotiras from Son of Man would reduce the film to only a handful of disparate scenes, with no unifying plot," the press statement continued.

"Having reviewed Son of Man, the Royal Rwizikuran Film Board believes that if Son of Man is permitted to be screened in cinemas or sold in the marketplace, it would cause substantial offense to the Rwizikuran nation, due to the sheer scale of the blasphemy present in Son of Man," the Royal Rwizikuran Film Board said. "Thus, in light of the film's blasphemy and the risk that the film will offend the Rwizikuran nation due to said blasphemy, the Royal Rwizikuran Film Board will not permit the film to be screened at any cinema, nor sold in any marketplace."

If any cinema shows Son of Man in Rwizikuru, the owners can be fined up to 7.89 billion shillings (€500,000), and the cinema's license revoked for a minimum period of one year. Sellers of the film can be fined up to 1.6 billion shillings (€100,000) and face up to ten years in prison.

My Last.fm · by **West Kirkon** » Wed Nov 02, 2022 12:31 pm

Mariya Nazarivna - 02 November 2022

Home ·Vinalia · Asteria · International · Politics · Finance · Sports · Entertainment · Health · Travel · Weather · Opinion

Lavanan and Hacyinian Chess competitors barred from competing following altercation.

Catherinsk

Earlier today during the Catherinsk World Chess tournament, an altercation between two competitors has resulted in both being barred from further competition in the tournament. The tournament is held for both men and women between 18 and 21 years, and is held each year in the historical Catherinsk Central Library. This year's edition running for 4 days between October 29th and November 2nd. This year over 300 individuals mostly from Vinalia and Chistovodia but with 9 foreigners of other nationalities competing. In the semi-finals Lavanan player Vinliam Demaniani and Hacyinian player Jirandai Yerbolat were pitted against one another. Following a controversial move by Demaniani, which was approved by event organizers, Yerbolat proceeded to say something under his breath which made Demaniani use a racial slur against Yerbolat, causing the latter to kick him. Both were separated and barred from the competition following the incident. Demaniani stated that Yerbolat had said a slur against him, causing him to react.

Tensions between Hacyinia and Lavana have reached intense levels in recent weeks, and the danger of conflict in the region escalates every hour. Both competitors who held a completely clean record, prior to the incident refused to apologize. Yerbolat stated that Lavana has been the result why several of his family members were displaced inside their country, while Demaniani accused Majgars (the ethnic group to which Yerbolat belongs to) of being backwards people. Lavana holds the 2nd largest Majgar population in the world. Initially Yerbolat was given the match, but he was barred from further competing as organizers confirmed that Yerbolat had initially started the altercation. The move of En passant is not well known, and not used in several variants of Chess. Yerbolat initially unaware of the move, requested a revision by officials, which confirmed its legality after several minutes. After its confirmation an angry Yerbolat is said to have said "Fuck you" in Majgar to Demaniani which resulted in the exchange of insults. The altercation showcases the deep rivalry and contempt between both nationalities. Demaniani stated that he would not recall his comments, stating that Lavanans are the reason why Hacyinia is "semi-civilized". Demaniani himself served in the Lavanan military as a 6 month conscript having left the service back in August. Vinalian Fedor Frazão which had lost to Yerbolat in the previous round took his position as winner of the match, in the next round.

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by **Union of Akoren** » Thu Nov 03, 2022 5:59 am

Central Committee authorises “preparations for possible external security operation”
1st Banner Army placed on high alert and units to be mobilised as war in Yoloten looks inevitable
POLITICS by Abdullah al-Mosawi

01 November 2022 |15 Mehr 2344

The Central Committee of State has authorised “preparations for external security operations”, including the deployment of military forces and possibly withdrawal of diplomatic staff. The authorisation followed an emergency session last night over the deteriorating situation in the Yoloten.

Varo Hano, the spokesman for the CCS told a packed press conference late last night, “following an extraordinary session of the Central Committee of State, the national authority has authorised preparations for external security operations across multiple institutions, including the armed forces and diplomatic corps.”

He said further, “the situation in the Yoloten is indicating a willingness on the part of Lavana to further assault Hacyinia and violate its territorial integrity and sovereignty. The Union has stated on multiple occasions that Lavanan forces entering the Yoloten region would be the crossing of a red line.

“At the same time, the Union made explicit assurances to Hacyinia that it is ready and capable to provide whatever assistance it can to protect it from socialist imperialism. We will not tolerate territorial expansionism against an allied neighbour. Therefore, the central authority has given the green light for all appropriate forces to be prepared” he said.

“On the diplomatic front, the central authority has requested personnel prepare for immediate evacuation back home to Sattarishahr in three countries, however, Hacyinia is not one of them, our staff will remain present regardless of the dangers from Lavanan provocation and excess brutality” he said further.

Spokesman Hano also warned of “Lavanan theatrics” in coming days. He told reporters, “we must be careful when confronting Lavanan propaganda. The Pers Metro incident, the Pers bombing and now this supposed chemical threat bares the hallmarks of false flag operations. This is a regime created by a coup, illegitimate to many of its own people, actively willing to kill its own citizens to orchestrate this crisis. We must be conscious that they could conduct a false flag chemical incident on their own soil to justify attacks on the Yoloten.”

The spokesman took only a few questions from reporters, the first being whether the Union was still involved in trying to facilitate talks, to which Hano replied, “no, we are not actively pressuring for talks anymore due to Lavanan provocations. We do however remain in contact with our Senrian partners on their efforts and we applaud them for it.”

Another asked directly if war is inevitable, “nothing is inevitable in these matters. We pray for peace, but we prepare for the worst. Ours is a martial nation, our sons are ready and we possess mighty forces. However, there is a chance for peace and that is why we prepare but do not take action, we must give space and time to Lavana to course correct away from oblivion.”

Another asked what Zorasan would do in the event of an Lavanan invasion of Hacyinia or Yoloten. He replied, “I cannot discuss operational strategies or objectives. What I can say is that should Lavana cross the Union’s red line and send forces into the Yoloten, let alone Hacyinia, we will honour our promise and take decisive action.”

The State President is expected to address the nation tonight in a televised address on the matter.

The Union Ministry of National Defence quickly confirmed a heightened state of readiness for the 1st Banner Army and the 1st Army Corps - the latter being the best formation in the army. Leave has been cancelled for over 40% of the Air Force, with the Southern Air Command placed on high alert. It is not known what units are being deployed, but sources close to the government have indicated that between 50,000 and 65,000 troops from the 1st Banner Army could be deployed to the border with Hacyinia over coming days.

Social media users have shared images and videos of numerous jet aircraft flying south in formation and in large numbers. Several rail lines across the southern Union Republics have issued disruption warnings to their schedules an indication of usage by the military for transporting men, vehicles and supplies.

There are 6,000 Zorasani soldiers in Hacyinia already, deployed initially to conduct the Iron Resolve 5 exercises with Hacyinia’s army. They were kept inside country to provide training and advice for the Hacyinian armed forces. It is unlikely that they will be involved in any fighting should war erupt. The Union has also nearly completed the transfer of air defences and drones purchased by Hacyinia several weeks ago during the start of the crisis according to the Logistics and Ordinance Command of the Revolutionary Land Forces.

Hacyinia yesterday announced it was deploying forces to the border with Yoloten, in response to Lavanan deployments.

Other headlines

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by **Hacyinia** » Thu Nov 03, 2022 3:47 pm

Qoğamdıq Qujat

News for Hacyinia

11.3.22

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The Khan speaks

”We face our destiny in the coming days.”

Written By: Fatimae Elenae

Watch below Video in Gaullican

Makbule Arda Khan sits at a desk, the flags of Hacyinia prominent in the background. Behind him stands various military, civil and religious leaders most notably the chief Irfanic cleric of the country as well as the head of the Open Air Sect.

“People of Hacyinia. I come before you and address our nation as we stand in the middle of a crisis that we have not seen in some time. We, together, face the most arduous task of defending our nation, our people. We have had our lands, our very sovereignty encroached upon with the illegal and condemned action of Lavana seizing the Yoloten region and placing a terrorist group as it’s so-called government.

We now face the threat of the socialist and imperalist Lavana again. They have charged at us, they have spitted at us, they have belittled us. They state that the proud sons of Hacyinia, who have fought and died and continue to fight and die in order for the Yoloten to return back to us, are murderers when it was Lavana who had their lapdogs in the Yoloten attack our villages. It is Lavana who mustered their forces at the border. It is Lavana who has been the aggressor here while we are defending our villages, our yurts, our way of life. Lavana has shown who they truly are when they conducted a genocidal campaign against the Majgars and the Ukilens living in Outer Hacyinia. They have shown that they are still the same mad dogs, rabid for the blood of the innocent. Even as soon as yesterday, they bring more troops up to the border - showcasing their true selves. They have lied, stating that we are using chemical weapons against civilians.

Hacyinia, I have never lied to you all and I shall not do the same today. We face the very real possibility of war again with our bellicose neighbor. It is a war that, although we have always sued for peace and diplomacy, we are prepared for. We have stated our position time and time again - Lavana needs to leave the Yoloten immediately and cease their support of the illegal terrorist group known as ‘PAMFY’. Instead they launch airstrikes against women and children. Instead of peace, Lavana sues for war. Today, I announce a change of our objectives. Lavana needs to not only cease their support of PAMFY, cease their involvement in the Yoloten but in addition allow CN investigators to examine their own systematic persecution of Majgars and Ukilens and to demobilize their military.

We face our destiny in the coming days. I ask that you all steel yourselves for whatever comes next in these uncertain times. We will have to be strong, we will have to be determined. I trust in our proud people, who have faced off against insurmountable odds with only their horses beneath them and the wide steppe behind them, will be prepared for whatever comes next. Our fight is not a fight of conquest like Lavana, our fight is a fight for survival - of our right as a nation and people to exist. We cannot afford to lose, as anything short of victory means our death and destruction.

Hacyinia now, Hacyinia forever. Bless you all.”

The broadcast ends with The Khan staring intently at the viewer. The screen goes black, with a somber rendition of the national anthem playing.

by **Chemensia** » Thu Nov 03, 2022 5:59 pm

52 SOLDIERS AND CIVILIANS KILLED IN INSURGENT ATTACKS

By James Nnenji | 3 November 2022

Omamiri, FCC: Today the Tiwuran Armed Forces suffered major casualties as the result of a new rebel offensive across the Magadi region. Early this morning a TAF convoy was struck in the city of Alure, where rebel forces would ambush and resulted in the loss of 25 soldiers. The rebels would be pushed back after the attack. However, the rebels also targeted a nearby Sotirian Catholic church after the attack, where around 5 worshippers were wounded until TAF forces pushed them out. That was not the end of today's tragedy. At around noon, a second attack would happen in the northern city of Ogembie, where a checkpoint was struck and it is reported that no soldiers survived. These two attacks are considered the largest in the recent months of the conflict, which has been steadily escalating since June and July after MIRIF forces began launching attacks on civilians outside of the region.

TAF Spokesperson Amy Taiwo-Giles has released this information in an impromptu press release this afternoon along with the response by the military. "This is devastating day for Tiwura, our people attacked and our soldiers killed. In these past few months MIRIF has been emboldened, our enemies are more armed and bigger than they have been in two decades. Today was a clear sign of escalation by these secessionists and their benefactors. Our army will not stand by and let another day like this happen, and our best efforts these past few months have been proven to not be our best, and the military is preparing for a renewed solution to this rebellion. We will be redoubling our efforts in the region, and begin deploying new weapons to the battlefield as what we have been using has not been enough to stomp out the insurgents. However, we are fighting a war on two fronts. One in the Magadi, and one outside of it. With these attacks we have seen MIRIF's inclination to target civilians, which we presume will not be their last attempt. Our friends in local police departments across Tiwura have told us that in recent months they have notices a spike in MIRIF sympathizers in our nation, something that brings the threat beyond the battlefield and into the towns and cities of all Tiwurans. With this, we have taken proactive measures and initiated a cooperative plan between the TAF and police forces across the country in order to prevent any more attacks on civilians and prevent the terror in the Magadi from spreading to other provinces. Today we will begin to truly fight back, and we will win."

In recent hours military sources have reported to newspapers that the rebels have begun extensive attacks along the entire front, and the military-controlled corridor from the Yemet border to Bobasi is being heavily targeted. Reports have come in from Buholaux that the regional governor has been evacuated and sent to an undisclosed location as the city itself is put into a state of emergency. The local police have been deployed throughout the city until the state of emergency is lifted.

Outside of the Magadi, government officials from across the country have expressed sorrow for those lost and many have called for swift and even more drastic action. Akunna Ikpeazu, the TDP's candidate in the upcoming presidential election, has released a statement calling for "Massive mobilization both militarily and with the police, the nation is in a crisis and we must do whatever we can to prevent such attacks from striking our people. We are at war with MIRIF now, remember the 52." Claude Muga, a representative from Mara, has expressed urgency and highlighted the attacks on Sotirians in the Magadi. "A church, a holy place of worship, was attacked. Sotirians around the world must condemn MIRIF and their supporters for their heinous actions, and Irfanis in Tiwura must work with us to defeat them."

IN OTHER NEWS
-Floods devastate Tanidziam Province, food shortage expected
-Several TAF convoys in route to Magadi
-Rising Tension in Hacyinia
-EC Election and Tiwura

by **Poshyte** » Fri Nov 04, 2022 3:13 pm

Running out of time, Alsland prepares for a bailout
Sources from within the Alslandic government have said the country will be seeking a bailout from the Euclean Community in the coming months

Leo Gerald
4 November, 2022|Verlois, Gaullica

Talks of a bailout were absent in a meeting between Alsland's Foreign Minister - Kairi Sokk - and Weranian Premier Anton Raicevich according to media sources

Verlois, Gaullica - In yet another devastating announcement from Yndyk on the state of Alsland's government finances, the country's government is expected to request a bailout from the Euclean Community as the country's economy enters freefall. The country has been in economic turmoil since the announcement in September that the country's public debt and government deficit were alarmingly high with fears that the country would be forced to default on it's public debt and thrust it's already fragile economy into an economic depression which could have implications for the wider Euclean Community.

The announcement is expected to come in December after the Euclean election, the results of which could dictate the Community's response to the crisis, in an emergency budget passed this week the country introduced minor austerity measures alongside an ambitious plan to promote investment in the country to stave off the worst of an economic crisis, however the markets did not react in the way Yndyk had hoped and meetings between the government and investors have also proven futile in solving the current economic crisis.

In an address to the country's Senate regarding the economic crisis, Alslandic Premier Liekele Ykema said he was prepared to ask for help from the Euclean Community and did not rule out austerity packages to cut the government's deficit.

"Let me be clear, if the situation we find ourselves in at present does not improve in the immediate future, we will have no other choice then to ask for a bailout. The stakes could not be higher and without immediate, urgent and decisive action our economy will enter a recession the likes of which this country has never seen." He told lawmakers during a meeting of the Senate's finance committee. "The solution cannot be more borrowing and leaving a ticking timebomb to our successors, by acting now we will save our country from economic disaster."

Liekele Ykema however has refrained from speaking publicly about a bailout which could result in the Euclean Community imposing strict austerity measures on Yndyk to maintain the stability of the Euclo. Ykema's silence has extended to the rest of Alsland's centre-right government, in a meeting between Kairi Sokk who leads the country's Foreign Ministry and Weranian Premier Anton Raicevich, the two reportedly did not discuss the ongoing financial situation, instead topics of discussion between the pair included the ongoing crisis in South-East Coius between Lavana and Hacynia as well as the Euclean Presidential election. Behind closed doors however it's expected that officials in Yndyk are preparing to request a bailout in the coming weeks, potentially as soon as the 13th of December according to some sources.

Alsland's financial woes come as worsening economic conditions threaten to derail Euclean financial ambitions and are dominating the conversation in the ongoing Euclean Presidiential race. So far, centre-right candidate Georg Årbakke has tried reassuring voters about his economic expertise by making his handling of the global financial crisis in Scovern a key part of his campaign and contrasting it with the perceived inexperience of Viviene Vallette on the issue. So far neither candidate has commented on the financial situation in Alsland in what has been a relatively subdued campaign. It's clear that financial issues will be a headache the new Euclean President can't afford to ignore.

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by **The Kingdom of Glitter** » Sat Nov 05, 2022 1:06 pm

Home · Caldia · World · Politics · Business · Spálgleann City · Culture · Education · Sports · Opinion · Editorial · Archives

A LOOK AT CALDIA'S Nic UALTAIR AS EUCLEA PREPARES TO ELECT HER SUCCESSOR

By RÓNÁN Ó DUBHGHAILL

4 November 2022 at 8:50 a.m. EST

After two finalists emerged from the first round of the 2022 Euclean presidential election, voters are preparing to cast ballots to elect the next President of the Euclean Community. Polls open in some countries today and voting will be underway through the 13 member bloc until Monday. Euclean voters will pick between Georg Torleif Årbakke and Vivien Vallette to follow Alastrí Nic Ualtair ⁊ Ní Deoradh, who has served as the bloc's senior-most official since her election in 2017.

Now that her five year tenure is set to come to a close, Nic Ualtair is looking to retire from politics and public life more generally. The seventy-two year old has spent the better part of thirty five years in politics. First starting as a Teachta Comhthionól for her native County Holyhead, Nic Ualtair rose through the ranks and eventually became taoiseach in 2007, a position she held for almost ten years. After announcing she'd be stepping away from Caldish politics in 2017 amid some health challenges, she was tapped by the newly formed liberal Avant group to serve as their nominee in the 2017 election. She won in the second round, beating Ciprian Tomoiog.

Her tenure as EC president has been tumultuous, ranging from earlier spats and crises with Etruria, civil war in Tsabara, rising protectionism in Euclean capitals, democratic back-sliding in Paretia, and a hospitalization that saw her step away from the role temporarily earlier this year. Despite this,
Nic Ualtair will be remembered as a social liberal who prioritizes civil rights, free trade, and targeted government intervention in the economy. Her tenure was one of consistent leadership and she is viewed widely as a safe set of hands for the Euclean Community.

Voters will now choose who will follow her as the EC's president: the Gaullican socialist Vallette or the Scovernois conservative Arbakke. For her part, Nic Ualtair has voiced confidence in both men.

"Either choice leaves us with a Euclean Community that will be in good hands" she recently said when interviewed by the Gaullican paper Le Monde.

Nic Ualtair has a deep relationship with both Arbakke and Vallette. Her tenure as taoiseach overlapped with Arbakke's as premier of Scoverne while Vallette has served as her Vice President for half of her term. She also had a close relationship with Vallette's grandfather, Jean. While she was hospitalized earlier this year, Vallette also filled in for her in an acting capacity. While Nic Ualtair may appear more ideologically aligned with Arbakke than Vallette, she is known to consider more than her own preferences. With socialist-led governments in a majority of the EC's thirteen member-states, Nic Ualtair has been viewed as looking to ensure harmony between the Euclean Commission and national governments.

The results of the election will be announced once voting closes on Monday night.

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by **Lilitou** » Sat Nov 05, 2022 1:50 pm

Nathalie Caillot - 05 November 2022

Home · Kesselbourg · The Continent · The World · Policy · Opinion · Features · Newsletters · Continental Pro

Pro: What can the presidential election tell us about Estmerish politics?

Halivar's PSD has captured votes nationally, but Koopmann's success shows that there might be
a way for Reynolds to bring Reform back to the heights of his father's heyday.

Morwall, Estmere - Voting is now well under under way in the second round of the Euclean presidential election; one of the largest exercises in participative democracy on the planet, with an electorate of well over 270,000,000 people. The full results won't be known until after 10pm on 7 November, but the results of the first round are already available to us all; and they can tell us quite a lot.

The first things the first round's results tell us is that across the Euclean Community there is a considerable amount of participation. It is still lower than many national elections - and bouyed by the high turnouts of Gaullica and Azmara, which enforce mandatory voting - but nevertheless the overall turnout of 67% (up 3.7% from last year) is an indicator that the presidency remains a position which Euclean citizens feel is important enough to justify getting out to vote. Every member state recorded a turnout higher than 50%, including Estmere, which reported a turnout just higher than the Euclean average of 67%, only 5.6% less than the turnout for last year's general election. This remains a remarkable achievement, and confounds the predictions among many Estmerish politicians in 2006 that the position would be elected only by the "bored and restless".

The turnout of the election tells us about the Estmerish electorate's engagement with Euclean politics, but the votes cast can also tell us a lot about the Estmerish electorate. In Estmere, much like elsewhere on the continent, the race was fought primarily between the frontrunners; Vivien Vallette of the ASE, Georg Torleif Årbakke of the ACDE, and Emilia Koopmann of Avant. This was clear as much in the campaign as it is in the results, with Vallette heavily lobbying the Estmerish PSD early on in the primaries and then returning to Estmere to campaign on a number of occassions. Koopmann and Årbakke also made a number of visits, although Årbakke struggled much more with his campaign on the ground. The spurning of Baskerville burnt a lot of bridges, and the ACDE struggled to get the SDU's still-formidable party machine to spring into action.

This is reflected in the results; Årbakke secured a disappointing close third, with just under 25% of the vote and 29 of Estmere's electoral votes. He was narrowly beat by Koopmann with just over 25% of the vote and 29 seats as well. Vallette came out clearly in the lead, with 27% of the vote and 31 electoral college seats, but this was also seen as somewhat of a disapointing result; the PSD had brought out it's full party machine, and yet struggled to replicate the vote share it secured just a year ago. Is Halivar's party headed for a major defeat?

The answer is - probably, at least - no. But the results do show us that the PSD's current dominating position in Estmerish politics is more tenuous than it might appear at first glance. Estmere remains a remarkably liberal country, a country where liberal parties can thrive; and that is because it retains a strong, liberal-facing voting bloc. The biggest component of this is the liberal middle class, who until recently swung heavily toward the Reform Party, but went to the PSD in 2021 in disgust at Reform's attempts to shore up Reginald Wilton-Smyth's government. Halivar can probably still count on their support for now, but it's worth remembering that they're not natural PSD voters; they were swayed to Halivar's "Social Suburbanism" primarily by a rejection of the political and economic mismanagement of the SDU and Reform, and only secondarily by their relatively liberal social views. They - by and large - still desire low taxes, and lean toward market solutions in most circumstances. There is room for Jim Reynolds to build on here, to try and recover Reform's electoral coalition. As this election shows, they are a sizable chunk of the electorate, and they are more than willing to vote for a liberal candidate when presented with one that they align with. Whether Reynolds can seize this opportunity is the question.

The results show us the floor vote of the SDU; this was an election where the machine might of the party of centre-right conservatism entirely stayed home, and it still secured 25% of the vote, even with such exceptional circumstances. Gardner still has a task ahead of him, but the future of the SDU is not as gloomy as some might have speculated just a year ago. The more pressing concern for the SDU is the brand damage and its relationship to the Weranian NKP. Reginald Wilton-Smyth and Otto von Hößlin shared a close personal and professional relationship, which saw the two titans of Euclean conservatism largely walk in lockstep; now, Tristan Gardner has a much-reduced standing in Euclean circles than Witlon-Smyth, and his relationship with Anton Raicevich is far, far more strained.

Outside of the big three, the main story is perhaps the revival of the populist right-wing vote and the continuing rise of the Green vote. De Armas, the candidate for the right-wing MNDE, scored an impressive 8% of the vote in Estmere and 9 electoral college votes. This is an impressive result for a fourth party candidate in general, but is even more remarkable given that Estmere First - the local MNDE party - has no national representation since its 2021 wipeout. This does show that there is a bloc out there willing to listen to the party's talking points and, maybe, if it can end it's current intercine squabbles and secure a good frontman, then it can return to prominence in Estmerish politics. For the Greens, 8.7% for Ó Scolaidhe puts them in a close fourth place, and matches the recent polling we've seen where they've been rapidly rising. Whether this is due to increased concern for climate change, because they are seen as an effective protest vote for left-wing Euclophillic voters, or because of something else entirely remains to be seen, but this election does show some proof that those polling results aren't outliers. Halivar and the PSD may want to watch this trend from their confidence and supply partner with caution.

The Left Party managed to secure 3% of the vote and 3 electoral college votes for the GRM candidate Ifriu, which would suggest a bit of backslide from their 2021 party vote, but in general seems to show that one of the few constants in Estmerish politics - a small but stable far left vote - is sticking around for now. As the only Estmerish citizen with parliamentary party backing, you might have expected AFRE's candidate Vycces to get a "home state bounce" as we've seen with other candidates, but this doesn't seem to have been the case, with his 2.6% of the vote only just above the Euclean average, and far lower than the AFRE vote in some other countries. The 3 electoral college votes do, however, place Estmere as a relatively strong state for AFRE. The data suggests that this was mostly concentrated in Swathish-speaking regions, as per usual, but with a slight increase in the AFRE vote in major metropolitan areas. Vox Estmere might be here to stay as well. For the minor candidates, nothing out of the ordinary; less than 1% of the vote between them. The anti-war candidate Jacques Mignard was out in front, followed by Estmerish citizen and satirist Ron Duclos and animal right's activist Adèle Harnie.

The next election may be three years away, but it's becoming increasingly clear now what the main faultlines may be. Now, a week is a long time in politics, things might change - particularly if the talk of a major reccession turns into truth - but we can see some trends. The big one - as I have been saying for some time now - is that Estmerish liberalism is not dead; it's just moved house. And if the current landlords stop being to the tenant's liking, then they're more than happy to move again.

Nathalie Caillot is a tenured professor of politics at the University of Morwall, specialising in political trends and psephology, and a regular contributor to The Continental.

My Last.fm · by **West Kirkon** » Sat Nov 05, 2022 5:51 pm

OPINION |Lavana gambles on new war.
Lavana and its ever present road to war.
2022-11-05T 15:20:30Z

Lavana and Hacyinia appear to be heading towards the first full blown conflict in 30 years, when Lavana invaded Hacyinia in support of Yoloten Secessionists and succeeded in establishing the People’s Republic of the Yoloten (PRY). The war although a tremendous success, was severely unpopular in Lavana whose population had not desired yet another conflict with Hacyinia. Dezevau, Lavanas perennial ally and friend, did not approve of what it saw as extreme desire to undermine Hacyinia, had the Khan not ordered a chemical attack on Yoloten secessionists and civilians, Lavana would have never invaded as Dezevau would not have given its diplomatic support. Now Lavana is on the verge of opening a wound it had successfully closed back in 2004, it expects a conflict like the one it waged against its rival, yet will not receive the same.

The Yoloten is a complicated region, with an equally complicated history. But it once again finds itself at the center of a major Coian conflict. Like the Estmerish, Kachais, and Zibans who in 1940 established the future of the region, we will not take interest in that region's complicated history, ethnic makeup, religious affiliation, or language, instead focusing on what it provides to all parties in the coming conflict.

The Yoloten is at its most basic level, a simple gesture by Lavana to Hacyinia that their relations will never be friendly. Although Laina Keomany made gestures to her neighbor in the west, and had little love for the leadership of a puppet government which had backed her rival in the decisive March coup. Keomany seems on the verge of releasing the deadliest Coian conflict of the past 10 years, at the use of a couple words, the entire continent is now enveloped in a complicated web of alliances and allegiances. The moment Lavanan tanks roll into the Yoloten, that web will be activated. Keomany had desired to pacify its western neighbor with gestures, similar to what Lavana had done back in 2004, yet 2004 Lavana had never suggested its western neighbor to be pacified and in 2009 similar to October 2022, moved troops to the border to coerce Hacyinia into doing as desired. Keomany however was simply unprepared for the bombing of its capital city on one of the most important days of modern Lavanan History. The Yoloten suddenly was useful to Keomany again. She threatened action against the half-starved militias in the Yoloten which for years the Lavanan war hawks her administration had purged saw as the route to re enter the Yoloten, should Lavana ever need it. A route Lavana has grasped on to threaten to re enter the Yoloten.

Re-entering the Yoloten gives Lavana its other use for the Yoloten, a launching pad to strike Hacyinia deep. When Lavana occupied the Yoloten steppe it kept armored units on standby had Lavana ever had any need to threaten Hacyinia with a full scale war. Lavana would much rather fight Hacyinia with the Yoloten launching pad, than without it. Yet this threatening ability was expensive and deadly. Hacyinia made use of insurgents and guerrilla tactics to inflict heavy damage to Lavana. Although Lavana is a reasonable military power, it does not hold unlimited resources nor eternal public approval of war, Lavana increasingly lost interest in keeping Hacyinia in fear of renewed war, especially with the rising material, diplomatic, and human cost of keeping Lavanan troops on the ground. An agreement was struck which would allow Lavana the opportunity to be seen as a pragmatic nation interested in breaking the 12 year status-quo. In reality violence in the Yoloten never stopped, PAMFY and Hacyinian militia/regulars continued although less prevalent than before. The so-called Demilitarized zone became one of the most dangerous locations to be in, as it remained far from being demilitarized. Thus came the 3rd use of the Yoloten to Lavana: Hacyinia claims incredible stretches of Lavana, a full 1/3rd of the country. Although Hacyinia beats its chest that it will one day reconquer “outer Hacyinia”, its main purpose is to one day kickstart major Oroqic revolt in “outer Hacyinia” against Lavana. If Hacyinia ever had a fantasy of actually militarily taking over any stretch of Outer Hacyinia it would have to go through the Yoloten first. So long as the Yoloten exists, Hacyinia can’t fantasize of invading and holding on to internationally recognized Lavanan territory. What Hacyinia discusses when it talks of retaking Outer Hacyinia its referring to retaking the Yoloten, and some day being able to invade Lavana if the opportunity arises.

Hacyinia has struggled with internal instability both on part of their own actions, and Lavana. Hacyinia is no stranger to using the boogeyman in the east to fit its purposes, a boogeyman which has made everything possible to fit whatever stereotype Hacyinia has in its mind. Hacyinia has perhaps had its longest period of “stability” as a result of the 2004 pullout. Hacyinia no longer had to fear sudden Lavanan invasion as they would need to reoccupy the Yoloten first, before doing anything. The Royal Hacyinian Army is nothing like it was in 1992, when it was gutted, destroyed, and pummeled like it had been 3 times already in 30 years. The Royal Hacyinian Army is albeit less impressive than the Lavanan army, is an unrecognizable force, modern, well trained, and professional. Lavana is going into the Yoloten much like it left in 2004. Lavana will not be facing the Hacyinian army of 2004 when it re enters the Yoloten again. Lavana needs much more elbow grease, perhaps the greatest amount in its history if it hopes to crush Hacyinia. Although the Lavanan rationale that if it ever needed to threaten Hacyinia again with war, it could easily re enter the Yoloten, had worked in 2009. But it was against a vastly different Hacyinian army, and a Hacyinia not as deeply involved with Zorasan as the 2022 Hacyinia.

Zorasan is truly the unknown wildcard in this conflict, and who will single handedly tip the scales to either country. Zorasan has perhaps the most to gain from this conflict, regardless of its outcome, where as Lavana and Hacyinia could trade land, Zorasan will simply trade missiles and soldiers, things it already trades in Tsabara. If Lavana successfully remilitarizes the Yoloten unopposed, spitting on Hacyinians face. Zorasan will become Hacyinias life blood. If Hacyinia challenges Lavanan remilitarization, then Zorasan can release upon Lavana firepower that it hasn’t experienced ever in conflict with Hacyinia. If Lavana wins the conflict, Zorasan will be on a stronger position over what remains of Hacyinia, if Hacyinia wins the conflict, either retaking all of the Yoloten, taking some parts of it, or keeping Lavanan troops out, then Zorasan wins any of those results. When Hacyinia came to Zorasan having experienced the single most aggressive action against its state since it was invaded in 1992, Zorasan was at the ready. Zorasan has made it clear that its in Hacyinia and its not leaving, Dezevau which had long unapproved Lavanas war hawk relationship with Hacyinia, suddenly found itself with the possibility of Zorasani, and Shangean troops on two of its borders, within a week. While Lavana found its Hacyinian boogeyman with the backing of one of the worlds largest militaries. Whether Zorasan sends entire divisions into the Yoloten to fight Lavana, or whether it will threaten Lavana with its armed forces, remains to be seen, Zorasan has already won the conflict for its part. It just depends on what it actually wins.

The Lavanan government expects perhaps rather naively, that a stronger Hacyinia with deep Zorasani, and Shangean backing will simply let it reoccupy its positions in the Yoloten. Although that's probably the line they’re giving the public and the international community. Most likely Lavana is going into the Yoloten, knowing full well it needs to exploit its launching pad to actually launch an invasion. It's clear that Lavana sees some scenario where they come on top, and that scenario revolves around Lavana entering the Yoloten, and launching an invasion of Hacyinia, with what goal? Nobody knows, but most likely to eliminate Hacyinian ability to actually threaten Lavana, we’re talking quickly eliminating the Hacyinian air force, and delivering violent blows on Hacyinia, from which it can’t recover. Lavana could theoretically test Zorasan whether it's really willing to go the extra mile to prevent them from doing any of this, is Zorasan really going to risk full out war, when it's already deployed elsewhere? Can Zorasan actually gain anything from keeping Lavana out of the Yoloten, or from having Hacyinia take it over? Lavana can test the new Hacyinian military, which it has defeated 3 times already, it might not be easy, but Hacyinia can’t hope to actually match the Lavanan army can it? Keomany is the one who has to hope it can’t.

Lavana is taking a real gamble here with their armed forces, and how willing both Zorasan, and Dezevau let them be. Lavana cannot hope to actually win a conflict against the entire brute force of Zorasan without heavy losses. Lavana has to rely on its ability to inform Zorasan that it's not worth it, or to force Hacyinia to the negotiations table before Zorasan can actually make its impact felt. Keomany is gambling on Hacyinia being more keen on status quo, or Lavanan troops in the Yoloten, after Lavana crushed its armies in the West, and the Zorasanis are too far away or uninterested. If the Lavanan military can’t deliver a quick decisive victory, then both Zorasan and Hacyinia will make Lavana pay for its invasion. Even public support, and Dezevauni support for this war are being gambled on, its clear that if Lavana invades and fails it will be the most serious setback for Dezevauni influence in 30 years, perhaps ever. If Lavana fails, then Keomany better hope the Oroqics in the country won't take this as a sign of weakness and choose to rebel, or that now is the time to really question Laina Keomany for the general population. Can Keomany really gamble on a long war with a stronger Hacyinia, and the pure weight of Zorasan and Shangea? If she loses can she really gamble on losing just a part of the Yoloten, perhaps all of it?

The reality is that Laina Keomany is willing to test a lot of concepts, and ideas if she hopes to come out on top, a real gamble. As Lavanan soldiers sit on their tanks waiting for the order to cross the border and reach their designated positions they must be hoping that Keomany is truly not throwing dice and hoping they roll in her favor, gambling on precedent. In reality, the moment Lavana crosses that border, the question will be not whether she’s rolling dice in the hopes that Lavana comes out on top, but whether she’d be rolling a 6 sided dice, or a 20 sided one, to decide whether her gamble worked.

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by **Liecthenbourg** » Sun Nov 06, 2022 6:03 am

Jean Vallette - November 1st, 2022

Home · Kesselbourg · The Continent· The World · Policy · Opinion · Features · Newsletters · Continental Pro

The Case for Vivien; Gaullica's Grandson.

Vivien Vallette pictured at a rally in
Liplisqués, Ruttland, Werania.

Verlois, Gaullica - I remember being called whilst at work by my eldest son, Cédric. The call was brief, but full of joy. His wife, his darling, had broken her water and within the hours I would be a grandfather. There are few moments in a man's life where he has what feels as if an infinite amount of time to reflect on everything that has happened to him up until that point.

On that cold April evening in 1986, it was a blur from my offices at the Second Chamber to the hospital of Our Lady. I remember getting into my car and leaving again, being startled to attention by the cold air. By the time I had arrived, I found Evelyn present already. Anastasie, Jeannine and Denis were huddled around with little to do but wait. And I was tense.

But I will never forget the day that Vivien was born, because for the first time in a long time, there was a young face in our immediate family. And the innocence of babes has a way of making a family feel anew again.

I have known Vivien as many things. As the grandson who dreamt of serving in the military, as the grandson who wished to become an engineer, as the grandson who had to be reprimanded for guiding his youngest siblings on a strike against vegetables at the dinner table.

And I have known him as the man he is today; a man who approached me, his grandfather, who at time had just come out of a second tenure as premier, and asked me what I saw in politics. It took a long time to answer. I lulled over the question with a drink at hand, a pipe to draw from, and he waited with little more than a cursory sip at his own drink.

"I like the feeling of the service," I remember saying. "Its different to military service. That is regimented, strictly defined, the task is clear -- you are a shield or a sword. As a politician it is different."

Vivien's second question was as difficult as the first. "What do you like about that feeling of service?"

The answer of course is complicated. Public service could take many forms; I could easily have taken my initiative and put it into education -- and perhaps I would be satiated that way. But when it comes to the public service: its the accountability and the genuine belief in being able to help those you represent that drives the best public servants forward.

I told Vivien something similar: "I like doing what I do," I recall, "because there's a sense of communal growth in it. Because it is what is right. The constitution calls on all citizens to exercise their democratic rights; and we exist to facilitate those rights."

That was the night that Vivien decided he was done with his career in law that had not yet even begun. It did not happen overnight, but the questions and thoughts became more common and conscientious: what was running for election like, how did it feel, etc. The fascination with the law that had kindled his youth had been replaced by the fire of political service; the law in action rather than the law in practice.

By the time he was in a stable enough place -- after having his first child -- it rolled around that he had decided he would not allow his familial name to carry him to a comfortable position in domestic politics; and thus aimed to focus his efforts in the Euclean level.

I was President when he began his run for the Euclean Parliament, and I saw in him a compulsion to do more. I will not lie that many people have argued -- himself included -- that he rose as quick as he did because of his attachment to my name.

But he is more than that. He is a firebrand, a rebellious do-gooder who seeks to make a fairer Euclean Community. Names are powerful things, and it is naive to assume that a name in politics does not go far. But Vivien is Vivien and I am Jean.

We do not choose our lots in life most of the time, but do what we can with what is given to us.

As I was saying -- in 2013, I was President of Gaullica and he was an MEP. Now, as I write this, I am no longer President -- but he may be one. An illustrious career of experience at his back justifies this decision, not his namesake.

At our familial Nativity dinner in 2021, he and I had another conversation. I will spare you the details, but the level of complexities that perhaps only a nice familial environment and good food could draw out confirmed to me then that I knew he had intended to run.

He asked for no support, no ideas, no connections: he merely asked if I thought he could do it.

As I told him then, I tell you know: he can.

by **Xiaodong** » Sun Nov 06, 2022 7:54 am

Michaël Dewulf - 03 Novemebr, 2022

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THE VIEW FROM WESTBRÜCKEN - WHY IS VALLETTE UNDERPERFOMING IN WERANIA?

Posters of Vivien Vallette in Wiesstadt.

Wiesstadt, Werania - In the magnificent boulevards and charming coffee shops of Wiesstadt, one would assume the largest exercise in democracy is not happening. Businessmen hurry into taxis, hipsters frequent vintage shops and Coian tourists take selfies as normal in Werania's largest city.

"The Euclean election? I haven't been paying attention" a disinterested commuter told me when I asked for his views on the presidential candidates. "I haven't heard of either of them to be honest".

This apathy to the election is seen in Werania's low turnout in the first round of the election - barely passing 50% - but under the electoral college system used to elect the president Werania still is the second largest source of electoral votes for the presidency after Gaullica, making it a key prize for any candidate to get. In the last Euclean election Werania was crucial in getting Nic Ualtair over the line in the second round.

For the first round, Werania's results gave an interesting picture into the peculiar dynamics of its own internal politics. The centre-right ACDE candidate Georg Torleif Årbakke came first, buoyed by strong support from the governing National Consolidation Party. Unsurprisingly his main challenger was Emilia Koopmann, who had formerly been the premier from 2011-2013 from the Social Democrats but ran as the candidate for the centrist Avant alliance due to her old party having merged into the liberal Euclean Werania (EO) last year. The far-right MNDE candidate António de Armas also had a strong performance, tapping into the large amount of Weranian voters who had long supported populist, anti-migrant policies.

The left-wing vote however fragmented completely with the far-left MRL's Amelia Ifriu, Green Brine Ó Scolaidhe and centre-left SAE's Vivien Vallette all getting under 10% of the vote. Vallette in particular did poorly in Werania, coming sixth with a mere 5% of the vote making Werania the only country in the EC where the centre-left candidate didn't break double digits.

Several factors account for Vallette's poor score. Firstly Koopmann's presence on the ballot ate into Vallette's natural vote, with many centre-left voters plumping for the former premier then a comparably unknown quantity. It has been observed that major Euclean candidates tend to do better in their home country, although the fragmentation of the centre-left vote likely worked against both Koopmann and Vallette in this election.

Secondly the SAE has a poor organisation in Werania hurting Vallette's campaign. The only party in the SAE in Werania is the small Socialist Workers' Party (SAPO) formed from opponents of the EO merger. With only a handful of elected representatives and polling at a mere 2% SAPO offered little resources for the Vallette campaign compared to other candidates who could rely on larger parties (such as EO, the Greens and the OSAI) to rally their supporters to vote for them.

Thirdly, Vallette's platform was in some ways similar to Koopmanns emphasising progressivism, opposition to right-wing south Euclean governments and climate action. However other aspects of his campaign such as an expansion of tax powers and a more protectionist approach are unpopular in the more traditionally free-trading, economically liberal Werania with Koopmann offering either more limited support or opposition to those measures, an approach more in tune with the Weranian electorate.

Fourthly, Vallette's strong stance on Tosutonia in Paretia has unnerved some Weranian unionists who fear a similar situation in Werania. The fact that Vallette's biggest campaign appearance in Werania was in Liplisqués where he spoke in Gaullican is seen as evidence in sympathy for Ruttish nationalism, a fact further exemplified by the fact that his strongest support in the first round came from Ruttland.

All these factors give Årbakke the advantage in the second round. The domination by centre-left politicians across the bloc has raised concerns of "creeping federalisation" of the bloc. Additionally Årbakke, a former Scoverne premier, has tapped into the close links the members of the Northern Forum feel with Premier Raicevich having spoke approvingly of the "northern model" of free trade, fiscal discipline and regional de-centralisation for the EC.

Vallette's campaign has however sought to counter a landslide for Årbakke in Werania. Rather then rely on the small SAPO to coordinate his campaign the non-partisan "Citizens for Vallette" campaign has been organised supported by SAPO, Green and some EO politicians alongside the moderate trade union Weranian Federation of Workers'-Workers' Democracy. He also received the support of Koopmann, who called on her voters to give Vallette a "clear mandate for a united, progressive Euclea".

But his campaign faces several hurdles. Firstly the support of the Ruttish separatist National Coalition for Independence has unnerved some with the Citizens for Vallette campaign maintaining a arms length from them. Secondly many Koopmann supporters when polled have said they'd rather back Årbakke over Vallette. Thirdly Vallette's perceived inexperience and reputation as a "Euclocrat" has gone down poorly in Werania. And lastly both the OSAI and the main trade union in Werania the Weranian Federation of Workers have largely avoided the Vallette campaign after having strongly campaigned for Ifriu in the first round. Ifriu came third in Werania, her third best performance in the EC after Amathia and Alsland, and without her votes Vallette will struggle to beat Årbakke.

There's all still to play for - if Weranians can be bothered to vote.

by **Hacyinia** » Sun Nov 06, 2022 9:38 am

The Death Cult of the Yoloten
A look at what the inevitable Yoloten War means to Hacyinia

6th November 2022 · Written by: Moritz Huth

My guide walked me through the Old City of Dabulug. We turned down an alley, which the walls were covered in rows of murals and photographs of those who had died in the Yoloten both past and present. An older woman stood in front of a small altar, lighting a half dozen candles. She looked up at us, her gaze conveying a tale of painful pride and loss. With whispers for footsteps, she walked past us and disappeared.

My guide and I walked to the small altar that she had gone to. There, we saw photographs of young and middle aged men. Scrawled on a small sign hanging above them read “Qorban Tagai”, which my guide told me it can be translated more or less as ‘Who the Family Tagai has sacrificed.’ We pieced together that the woman we had just seen must have been a family member or another relative.

“We call people like her ghosts.” My guide explained “It’s like she’s stuck between this world and the next, with so many of her family members dead and gone.” My guide continued to explain that the ‘ghosts’ of Hacyinia can be found everywhere, whether it’s here in the large cities or in the most remote yurt settlement.

The story really begins in 1940. Following the Great War, Hacyinia was at the crest of a wave of pan-nationalist fervor. They had managed to successfully merge the disparate parts of the country under the Khan. Looking ahead, they saw the incorporation of the majority Majgar and Ukilen eastern Lavana as the next phase forward for the country. Hacyinia was unable to successfully lobby Estmere for the majority Oroqic princely states and beyliks to be incorporated into the country. Following Estmere’s bow out from their mandate, Hacyinia launched the ‘Flower Invasion’, better known as the First Galshir Conflict, into Lavana. It earned its nickname from the flowers Hacyinian soldiers had placed in their rifle barrels, given to them as gifts from cheering Oroqic and Ukilen villagers. After a short two month conflict with Lavana, Hacyinia incorporated the Yoloten, Galshir, Atasu and Terjasa provinces. The Khanate declared this to be the border of a new, “Tannu Hacyinia” where the Oroqic, Ukilen and Pardarian peoples of the eastern Great Steppe were finally united again since the days of the first Hacyinian Khanate.

The next two conflicts with Lavana demolished the temporary unification of the eastern Great Steppe. In 1964, Lavana was able to retake the Galshir, Atasu and Terjasa provinces. Lavana followed their re-conquest of the territories by beginning a decades long apartheid against the Oroqic and Ukilen populations there. The people and government of Hacyinia watched and absorbed a hard lesson from their defeat - Lavana is out to get them, and if Lavana does succeed then it means that at best you will face persecution under a hostile regime and at worst you will stare down the barrel of a slow genocide.

In 1992 Lavana had just defeated the Royal Hacyinian Armed Forces, establishing the Peoples Republic of the Yoloten. With red flags planted over the steppe, the Khanate faced one of the worst crises in the country's history. Roughly 10% of the country was no longer in the control of the central government. Lavanan troops had remained in the Yoloten for years afterwards, accelerating fears that they were planning on invading the rest of Hacyinia in the near future.

The loss of the Yoloten prompted massive anti-government protests and dissent throughout the country. The fragile multi religious, ethnic and linguistic alliance of the country seemed like it was going to fracture apart as the military was unable to control the unrest. It had already been bad enough to lose Galshir, Atasu and Terjasa to most people. To lose the Yoloten seemed like the beginning of the end.

Makbule Arda Khan had ascended to the throne just a few years prior. In a series of deft political plays, Makbule Arda Khan instead used the Yoloten as a galvanizing force to unite the country. The then relatively unknown Khan effectively utilized Lavana as a boogeyman to refocus the country. Centering himself as a new pan-nationalist symbol, and in turn seizing broad swatches of power for himself, the Khan went to work in slowly developing the Death Cult of the Yoloten.

A photograph showing a Government-organized demonstration, where speeches describing Hacyinia’s glorious future and denouncing the “socialist devils” where it regains control of Outer Hacyinia are commonplace

The Death Cult of the Yoloten is not an actual religious organization rather it is a new term used to emergent worldview held by the elite of Hacyinia, who in turn have fairly successfully imparted to the masses. Although the academic articles I read while writing this article can explain it in far better detail than I can, in short the views of the Death Cult are that it is Hacyinia’s eventual destiny to retake Outer Hacyinia and that war with Lavana is inevitable. The Death Cult believes that Lavana is the ultimate aggressor, a faceless and nameless ‘other’ whose only goal is to destroy the steppe culture of Hacyinia. In turn, Hacyinia must be able to defend themselves and eventually retake the lands they have lost.

The Death Cult is strikingly similar to nearby Zorasans Peykâr-e Jâvid or “Eternal Struggle.” In both, it calls for a nation to be ready to unleash violence in an eternal “good vs. evil” conflict. In Hacyinia, the Yoloten represents not just a homeland lost but a chance to turn the tide in the epic conflict - a place where songs will be sung about those who gave their lives for the people and the Khan, a place where the heroes of the conflict will live immortal. At state sponsored marches and rallies, photographs of those who had died fighting against Lavana - whether in the various militias across the Yoloten or uniformed soldiers from previous conflicts - are hung aloft everywhere. Families who can claim a son as a “Qorban” are held in great social esteem, as well as financial compensation from the government.

Makbule Arda Khan had imported the beliefs of Peykâr-e Jâvid, tailoring them to his specifications. Instead of Zorasan’s beliefs of a “military with a state attached”, in Hacyinia it is “The Khan with a state attached.” The Khan is the unbroken connection from the modern day to Hacyinia’s glorious shared past. The Khan is both a symbol and a leader, someone who both borders on god and human. As the Khan wills it, it shall be done. It is a true cult of personality, a cult of the office.

The Khan, in turn, has promoted the military as another unbroken connection from the past to the present. Having been shamed due to the 1992 defeat to Lavana, the Khan’s benefiance was an institution-saving event. The military advertises its connection to the thundering hordes of steppe warriors, loyal to the Khan and valiant in battle. Hacyinia has seen itself become increasingly militarized in the past several decades as a result. The militarization has seen a rapid increase of the combat capabilities of the Royal Hacyinian Army, going from a corrupt force focused primarily on internal security and control to what many consider a competent fighting force (which retains large elements of corruption and internal security and control).

Makbule Arda Khan has also used the growing Death Cult as a way to solidify his rule. Pro-democracy demonstrations are lambasted as “socialist agitators funded by Lavana” and their organizers are quickly imprisoned. Those who speak negatively about the Khan find their newspaper offices shuttered or worse. Corruption watchdogs who are investigating the circular flow of money between the royalty, the military and the oligarch class find themselves harassed and their cars bombed. The “destined war” with Lavana takes precedence over any of those issues.

It begs the question, however, of what's next. At the time of this writing it seems like war between Hacyinia and Lavana will be inevitable. Lavana has issued blusters, warnings and shown aggressive actions from the onset of the renewed border crisis in a way that directly plays into the Death Cults purported fears as well as hopes. Lavana was the one who attacked us, which is why we have to destroy them.

After my trip in Hacyinia, I can only really see a few outcomes for the conflict. If Hacyinia loses more territory then at best we will see extreme civil unrest if not wider conflict as the bonds holding Hacyinia’s society crumble as they did in 1992. If Hacyinia can’t retake the Yoloten or it's some sort of stalemate then I think we will see this conflict replayed sooner rather than later.

The real question is what happens if Hacyinia wins. If Hacyinia retakes the Yoloten, the rally around the flag effect falls and on the domestic front pressures build. Hacyinia has a choice of either confronting those powerful domestic front pressures, or, to shift where the goal posts are. I would imagine that then Hacyinia will saber rattle about Outer Hacyinia and reclaim the territory lost to them in 1964. I would imagine that any territory Hacyinia gains inside of Lavana during the conflict won’t be surrendered and instead function as the new “de facto” border between the two countries.

Either way, the Death Cult will end up like how most cults do - with plenty of dead bodies all around the leader.

More from the International Conflict Monitor

Is there any way for diplomacy to end the Yoloten War still?
Force comparisons between Hacyinia and Lavana
Other border crises in 2022

The International Conflict Monitor is a think tank based in Morwall, that is dedicated to breaking conflict stories, events and providing unique analysis. The ICM hopes to utilise its wide network of sources to establish a greater understanding of human conflict, to then use that knowledge to assist policymakers in conflict resolution.

by **Saul Volcano** » Sun Nov 06, 2022 8:33 pm

Roberta Rajoy - 05 November 2022

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Paretia has become an issue in EC election

The two have made stops in Paretia as backsliding and Tosutonia become issues

Precea, Paretia - The Movement for a New Democratic Euclea's candiate, the key Popular Victory member and Foreign Minister António de Armas, was able to win the Paretian vote for the Euclean Presidential election, but not enough in other members of the bloc. Vallette came in second, both the ASE and MNDE slightly underperformed in Paretia in the first round.

Meanwhile Avant was able to gain more votes than expected. But the ACDE, which came in with a record low number of votes in the first round, is now on the table as the second round begins between ASE's Vallette and ACDE's Årbakke.

Sizable turnout in the first round of voting was expected to drop in the second round as MNDE voters are less likely to be interested in Årbakke or Vallette, which therein gave Vallette an advantage in Paretia. Paretia has become an issue in the election, with the candidates taking their stance on the issue of claims of democratic back-sliding, the issue of separatism in Tosutonia, and the issue of the Paretian government's hard-euclosceptic stance.

Premier Cerqueira and Vallette have already been at odds with one another over issues such as Tosutonia over the summer. Both making comments on each other, Cerqueira claiming Vallette "fanned the flames" of the riots that occured in cities like Encerosa. Paretia is an important issue for Vallette, who visited Tosutonia to campaign.

Cerqueira and Popular Victory later announced their support for Årbakke. Despite differences with the ACDE and centre-right in general, the VP has made multiple steps to help Årbakke win in Paretia due to fears of low turnout for right-leaning voters. De Armas was the first to lead this move by endorsing Årbakke after the first round was completed. This is believed to have been giving a boost to Årbakke's numbers, and a lead in most predictions, although a slight one.

The polling in Paretia has shown a close race with fairly low voter turnout. It is expected regions like Tosutonia will vote for Vallette, as it is the largest left-leaning stronghold in the country, it already voted for him in the first round. Esmeira and Visega are expected to be slightly close, but Årbakke will likely win in these regions. The main focus is on Luzela, where the polls have shown been extremely close. Here some polls show less than 0.01% different between the candidates. Paretia is a sizable country to win in the election, and could be a deciding factor if the race becomes close.

In the general election, if Vallette wins, it is likely that Paretia's back-sliding issue with resurface as he has made it a major part of his campaign promises. A battle between the EC and the VP is likely if this is the case. The Paretian right will lean towards hoping Årbakke will cooperate with Paretia more on the issues with the EC.

by **Liecthenbourg** » Mon Nov 07, 2022 2:12 pm

Adolfo Canepa - November 7th, 2022

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LIVE: Euclean Community Presidential Election.

Georg Torleif Årbakke - ACDE (L) and Vivien Vallete ASE - (R) face off to see who will become Euclean Community President.

Kesselbourg City, Kesselbourg - Tonight, the summation of a weekend long voting period comes to an end as across the Euclean Community citizens in member states head to the polls to have their voices heard in the largest showing of democracy across the entire planet.

This is the second round in the presidential election. In round 1, Vallette and Årbakke achieved first and second place in terms of the college vote: 207 and 173, respectively. Koopman, for Avant, earned more in the popular vote than Årbakke but 168 college votes -- five less than Årbakke. In a distance fourth came De Armas, with 81 college votes.

Both candidates are poised to take the presidency, with Vallette performing better in the first round but Koopman's voters likely to splinter in their support for either candidate in spite of her final-hour endorsement of the ASE prodigy.

Either candidate is not without controversy. Vallette has, arguably, inspired an ASE turnout in many places within the Community -- but his self-described firebrand rhetoric may have likely caused Paretia's shift to De Armas rather than Årbakke. He, meanwhile, has suffered from what many conservatives deeply invested in the Euclean process view as a betrayal of a more likely, and moderate, Baskerville.

Vallette is strongly supportive of Euclean expansion, making him a popular face for Euclophilic politicians whilst hoping to court national governments with his eager support of the Estmerish common tax policy and the Caldo-Gaulloise 'Buy Euclean' initiative. In foreign affairs, he is a staunch critic of nations like Etruria and Soravia, whilst domestically he has argued that Paretia has undergone a period of backsliding in its democratic commitments.

Årbakke favours a much more consistent approach to Euclean affairs, hoping to overturn the support for the 'Buy Euclean' initiative with the support of government's who view its protectionist nature as an antithesis of the mantra of free trade espoused by the bloc in their view. He maintains a strong commitment to the Tsabaran government, hoping to utilise Euclean Community foreign policy machines to help fund the government's efforts in keeping those displaced within its borders.

In spite of this, outgoing President Nic Ualtair remained confident in the choices that the Euclean electorate had before them -- arguing that either would be a good fit for the presidency, and usher in stable -- if unique -- futures for the Community.

LIVE:
22:10: Live from here in Kesselbourg, we receive the first results in from a Community member state. Kesselbourg was tipped to lean towards Årbakke but it is highly unlikely anyone expected a landslide of this magnitude to usher in the night! Over 1,000,000 votes are expected for the ACDE candidate, with Vallette expected to gain around 400,000 according to exit polls. This 70-30% split could net the Scovernois Premier the 5 of the 6 college seats available from the city-state.

22:18: We have word that an exit poll has been released by the Azmarans and Vallette has comfortably taken the state of his ASE primary opponent Niina Hermansdohter. Projections give Vallette anywhere between 55 - 60% of the Azmaran popular vote, with Årbakke's highest projection just about eclipsing 40%. This would translate from anywhere between 11-13 seats for Vallette, with his ACDE opponent somewhere between 7-9.

22:25: Our Borish correspondents have just come in with their projections and it is likely that Vallette's momentum in north-east Euclea continues. Vallette is estimated to gain, again, between 56-60% of the popular vote that could net him between 15-19 seats, with Årbakke trailing behind. It seems a larger than expected turnout for those rejecting either candidate has become apparent. So far, the Borish electorate have been the first to be projected to come out less than 50%.

22:31: Alsland contributes next as a projection emerges that Årbakke will take the state with just over 50% of the vote, as Vallette's projections slot him between 46-48%. Seats here are likely to be given out fairly equally, with little discrepancy in the 23 up for grabs -- with bookies highlighting a 11-12 split for Vallette-Årbakke.

22:44: Both Caldia and Blotsland have announced their results within seconds of each other. Blotsland's projections are highly favourable for Vallette, with the ASE hopeful seemingly getting between 57-60% of early projected votes. This would likely gain him some 7-8 seats, whilst the ACDE's Årbakke seems unlikely to breach 40%. Around 4% of the votes are expected to have been a rejection of either candidate.

In Caldia, what can only be said to be a projected victory for Vallette but at far smaller numbers than any in his camp may have hoped for. Governed by the friendly Caldish PSD, and experiencing campaigning on his behalf by Premier SMS, it seems he will only just break the threshold for 50%, with Årbakke suffering from small percentages of the electorate spoiling their ballot than rallying behind his somewhat polarising conservative social views. It is likely that of Caldia's 18, 8-10 could go to Vallette, with Årbakke's highest margins putting him at 9.

Where are we are in the race right now? Vallette leads the popular vote by about 10% -- his projections see him between 50-55% of the popular vote, whilst Årbakke is nestled between 41-44%. Many of these votes have yet to have been counted, and its important to note that Vallette has underperformed in what was seen as a Caldish stronghold. Additionally, the popular vote is not the king maker in the Euclean Community Presidential election; but the college vote share matters. Why is this the case? Many Euclean policy makers feared the weight of the Gaullican electorate, who are required to turn out to vote per their constitution, dominating Euclean politics -- and so population was negated in favour of a representative electoral college.

22:55: In Hennehouwe, Årbakke continues carrying the states that were won by Koopman. Both Alsland and Hennehouwe were won by the Avant candidate and in spite of her endorsement of Vallette, it seems that small majorities of her supporters have still turned to Årbakke. He is projected to carry the nation by 49-52% of the vote, likely earning him a comfortable 16-17 seats -- whilst Vallette is a close 47-50% of the vote, likely earning him 15-16 seats.

23:01: This is huge! If projections from Scovern hold, Årbakke is likely to carry his home nation entirely -- all SRs and some 60-65% of the vote share. Vallette sees his projected support plummet to its lowest outside of Kesselbourg so far, with projections giving him between 33-36% of the vote share. Translated into seats, Årbakke would take the lion's share of the 54 available likely within the mid-30s, whilst Vallette might not even get 20.

This is a huge swing that if taken as projected, Årbakke has even eclipsed Vallette in the overall popular vote. Yet it sets a worrying trend that if Vallette performs as well in his home nation, he has a comfortable share of the most votes available to him.

23:09: The southern states of the Euclean Community announce almost in unison. Paretia, the only state to be carried by a candidate not from the Euclean Community governing coalition, is projected for Årbakke but by margins far smaller than anticipated. It is practically neck and neck between Vallette and Årbakke. This is an important victory for the Vallette campaign, who made Paretia a key issue in their plans -- and it is likely that they are mere decimals away from half of the electorate. Current projections see 31-31 seats given.

In Amathia, however, Vallette is likely to garner between 49-51% of the vote and come away with some 34-40 seats whilst Årbakke sees himself capped out at 35. This comes after Ifriu, the GRM candidate, did not explicitly endorse Vallette but urged her supporters against Årbakke.

23:18: News from Morwall excites the race as Vallette's projections put him within 52-58% of the electorate whilst Årbakke falls behind in one of the largest states with votes up for grabs; falling between 39-44% of voters. This update also brings in the first of the overseas SRs, with each candidate interestingly taking one. With 114 seats up for grabs, Vallette could gain anywhere between 60-70 of those. Årbakke, meanwhile, between 44-55. At these projections, Vivien Vallette regains his position at the head of the Community wide popular vote share. Interestingly, of the three regions in Estmere that voted for Koopman -- two broke for Vallette, but he lost one of his first round wins to Årbakke.

23:25: News from Westbrücken gives a massive sigh of relief to the ACDE. Årbakke performs incredibly well by all projections, so much so that he is expected to regain a majority of the popular vote at this crucial stage -- albeit, by razor margins. Vallette's projections push him no further than 40% of the vote and that to many, may seem as an unlikely to pass. Årbakke meanwhile sits at a very comfortable projected total of 54-59% of the vote. Not only does this indicate a relatively high spoilage rate, but it seems that Vallette's "Ruttish blunder" has damaged his chance. He performed incredibly poorly in the first round too, gaining less than 5% of the vote.

At these projections Årbakke likely comes away with 70 or so votes; whilst Vallette is left with less than 50.

23:34: And finally, news from Verlois to end the evening. The largest of all Euclean Community nations, with an enormous turnout and vote share to comb, sees Vallette likely between 56-61% of the vote. Årbakke, meanwhile, is projected to have garnered between 37-41% of the vote. If these translate to the seats of Gaullica's gargantuan 173 votes -- Vallette is expected to take over 100 of them, whilst Årbakke sees himself projected between 61-71. A sigh of relief for the ASE emerges as Vallette, like Årbakke in Scovern, is projected to carry every single SRs in his home country.

Gaullica pushes Vallette over the line by these early voting indicators, giving him a comfortable distance in both popular vote and likely college votes.

The Continental projects that Vivien Vallette will be the fourth Euclean Community President, the second from Gaullica, and the second from the ASE.

My Last.fm · by **West Kirkon** » Tue Nov 08, 2022 8:39 am

Tensions in the Yoloten following overnight shelling

Marie Gezevuje| 8 November 2022

2:04 am November 8th

Lavana announced that it had traded shelling among the border of Galshir province with Hacyinian forces. The Minitry of defence stated that Lavana suffered 3 dead and 6 injured in the unprovoked attack. Large civilian mobilizations in support of action against Hacyinia have materialized all over the country. Much of Western Lavana and the Yoloten is without internet, after what the government claimed to be Zorasani cyberattacks. Meanwhile international observers have stated that Lavana has completed all necessary steps to unleash a successful remilitarization of the Yoloten, Lavana has 100% completed all preparations that allowed its 1992 invasion to occur. The situation is quickly developing and international parties have called for calm and peace in the face of a renewed conflict.

6:11 am November 8th

Lavana has stated that it stopped an attempted infiltration of its territory by members of a Hacyinian volunteer battalion, and special forces earlier today. Earlier today it was reported that Lavanan forces began shelling a section of the Hacyinian border, along with territory inside Lavana, which resulted in Hacyinia shelling back. Lavana has claimed that this incident was a Lavanan attempt at preventing an infiltration by Hacyinian special forces entering into Lavana. Hacyinian artillery retaliation was a Hacyinian attempt at preventing the capture of their operatives, claimed the Lavanan Minister of Defense. The operation left 3 dead and 6 injured, stated Lavana, with no comment from Hacyinia. It is the first such exchange between Lavana and Hacyinia since skirmishes in 1999.

Tensions have spiked all across the border as both Hacyinia and Lavana tumble towards conflict. Following the announcement that Hacyinian militias which had operated in the DMZ of the Yoloten, were now active legal members of the Hacyinian Armed Forces. This announcement prompted Lavana to state that the 2004 agreement keeping Lavanan forces out of the Yoloten, a DMZ between Hacyinian and Yoloten forces, was now voided. Immediately after the announcement, Lavana began releasing rumors that Hacyinia was approving of state-sponsored terrorism inside Lavana. Premier Laina Keomany stated that Lavana is no longer internationally bound to remain outside the Yoloten in support of its ally. A wave of claims of imminent terrorist attack inside Lavana have also spiked in recent days since the October 30th announcement, along with attacks utilizing chemical weaponry. Which Lavana states Hacyinia has given free reign to use for their new formations (some of which conducted the October 1st terror bombings in the Lavanan capital), Lavana equally stated that any Lavanan attempt at ensuring the security of their nation and civilians in the country against said terrorist cells would now constitute a direct attack on the Hacyinian military and state.

Following the incident earlier today at the border, and the claimed Lavanan success in stopping the infiltration, Lavana has stopped its shelling of its side of the border, although it stated that Hacyinian artillery killed several members of the Lavanan military. This is a developing story.

6:30 am

Lavanan television is stating that Premier Laina Keomany will address the nation at 7am in regards to the exchange of shelling in the west of the country. Lavanan forces have reportedly entered their highest level of readiness, along with an incredible amount of movement near the Lavanan-Yoloten border.

7:00 am

See a full transcript of the speech below.

"Good evening to all who have turned on to this address.

Lavana has been under attack by foreign powers since the first day of the existence of our state, it is a fact that Lavanans have had to fight every moment for their opportunity to be a free independent people, and that fact continues to this very moment, and will continue for the foreseeable future.

An assistant walks towards Keomany carrying a briefcase

My fellow Lavanans I regret to inform you that the reports of a Hacyinian incursion into our country are true, the reports of impending attacks by Hacyinian supported terrorists are beyond questioning true, and perhaps most sadly that the warnings given by this government to prepare for a possible Chemical attack by Hacyinia on Lavana are true as well.

The screen changes to several images of a charred convoy

In the early morning hours of today members of our Armed Forces conducted a successful interdiction of what was believed to be an imminent Hacyinian attack on Lavana. Upon inspection Lavanan intelligence forces were able to discover a 2 vehicle convoy with a 5 men team, which we have identified to be members of the Hacyinian Special Forces. These individuals aside from entering Lavana illegally, and under no diplomatic banner, were killed in their attempt to enter national territory. This interdiction caused Hacyinia to shell our border to prevent the capture of their personnel.

Images of several containers with white substance

Upon investigation, soldiers identified several containers of an unknown white substance, along with several plans detailing the delivery of an unknown Chemical substance to terrorist cells inside Lavana to unleash an evening of terror across Lavana, on Wednesday November 10th.

Images of the planned strikes show on television

With coordinated attacks across the major cities of our country, with the sole intent of unleashing chaos, and obtaining civilian casualties. Although we have been unable to identify the exact composition of the compound, the mention of the word “Sarin” which refers to a deadly anti-nerve agent which could be used in a mass casualty scenario against civilians in an enclosed space, such as metro train or station. Hacyinia has produced in great quantities this chemical agent for the sole intent purpose of threatening the Lavanan state and its people.

Images of the planned attack on the Yoloten

This discriminate attack on Lavana, would have forced our government to focus our attention in defending the lives of innocent civilians and preventing a wave of terror over our country. Preparing for this fact, the Hacyinian government reasoned they could launch a successful invasion of the People’s Republic of Yoloten, while Lavana was distracted. Hacyinia would have unleashed a wave of destruction on Yoloten civilians, along with threatening further strikes against Lavana.

Camara switches back to Keomany

Lavana was under a moral, and legal requirement to inform the government of the People’s Republic of Yoloten, of the imminent threat to its sovereignty by the Hacyinian government. It was at the belief of the civilian government of the People’s Republic of the Yoloten that the threat of Hacyinian aggression on their internationally recognized borders was imminent, and thus requested immediate Lavanan Armed support to defend their sovereignty. I received this request 1 hour ago. In this regard, in accordance with Article 51 of Part 7 of the Community of Nations Charter, with the sanction of the Lavanan Congress and in pursuance of the treaties of friendship and mutual assistance ratified by the Lavanan Congress, and Yoloten People’s Congress on the 5th of June 1992 with the People’s Republic of the Yoloten, I approved the request of assistance.

I have ordered the People’s Armed Forces of Lavana to initiate a special military operation in the defense of the People’s Republic of the Yoloten, along with denying the Hacyinian government the opportunity to manufacture, distribute, defend, and use chemical weapons on our nation, and allies. As well as bring to trial those who perpetrated numerous bloody crimes against civilians, including against citizens of the People’s Republic of Lavana. We will not allow further Hacyinian aggression against our republic, our people, our allies, and our civilization.

The people of the Yoloten have for eighteen years now, been facing humiliation and terror perpetrated by the Dabulug regime and their terrorists. Lavana sought a peaceful approach with the Hacyinian state which itself has terrorized, threatened, murdered, and denied us our state for 82 years. We have been left no other option yet again but to protect Lavana and our people, but it is in the belief of this administration that another option should always exist, that of diplomacy.

We send an ultimatum and an opportunity to negotiate to the Hacyinian government. We do not seek war, nor will we be pleased in the deaths of members of our armed forces, or our civilians. The Lavanan government demands of Hacyinia the following conditions for peace:

Number one, impartial experts belonging to an international organization under a Community of Nations mission be granted absolute and unrestrained access to ensure Hacyinian Chemical weapons facilities are not giving chemical weapons to terrorists.

Number two, that terrorists involved in the deadly October 1st blast in our capital are to be turned over to Lavanan authorities to face trial, for their role in the bombings. This has been our primary demand since October 1st. A list detailing organizations and individuals of Lavanan interest has been sent daily to the Hacyinian government since October 2nd, and will continue to be forwarded through a neutral 3rd party.

Number three, security assurances for both Lavana, and the Yoloten are to be made both in legal framework, and known to the general public. Among this assurances should be a re establishment of a demilitarized zone separating the Yoloten and Hacyinia, along with the end of Hacyinian financing, and support of terrorist organizations, finally with the complete withdrawal of Hacyinian soldiers from the internationally recognized borders of the Yoloten.

Lavana will cease all actions against the Hacyinian state when that government has stated their intentions to meet all 3 requests. Despite the repeated attempts by Hacyinia to sabotage peace negotiations, we will always maintain the door to diplomacy open. We additionally warn foreign powers of intervention, we will not back down from ensuring the defense of our state and our people. Rather than tanks, and martyrs your words should be pressuring Dabulug to turn over terrorists, and reach a peaceful agreement with our nation. You will not succeed in denying Lavana its right to sovereignty, your blood and failure will be nothing when meeting our just and noble cause. We make claims to the international community as well, to recognize the growing threat Hacyinian actions in the last 2 months have done to satisfy fanatical nationalistic beliefs in Hacyinia, and to pressure their government to meet our requests.

My country is open to peaceful and productive relations between our states. Yet it seems that like in 1940, Hacyinia is ready and eager to use Lavana to justify its fantasies of imperialism, and nationalism. May I speak on the terms of history that Lavana had not been a state for a month when Hacyinia had violated its sovereignty. Hacyinia has at every turn reminded peaceful Lavanans that there is no Lavana in the mind of the Hacyinian monarchy, there is only the need of violence to maintain an archaic government.

Despite all that, we have for eighteen years attempted to enter friendlier relationships with a state who considers one third of our internationally recognized territory to be their territory. We attempted this rapprochement on the principles of friendship, socialist diplomacy, and goodwill to our neighbor. Our efforts were in vain. The Dabulug Regime has not changed its position, it does not believe it necessary to agree with Lavana on any matter that is critical to us. Hacyinia has continued to protect individuals who committed horrific acts on our country. Dabulug is pursuing its own objectives, while neglecting our most basic interests, of a secure, sovereign state.

For eighty-two years, for eighty-two endless years we have been doing everything possible to settle the situation by peaceful political means. Everything was in vain. Hacyinia will continue their aggressive rhetoric as they have done so numerous, until Lavana no longer exists. They desire nothing more than the absolute and utter destruction of our cities, and state.

We implore the Hacyinian state to meet our simple and plain requests, but we warn that we will not hold back. We will win, as we have done for 61 years, because our cause is just, there is nothing to be gained from fighting Lavana. All responsibility for the bloodshed will lie fully and wholly with the ruling Hacyinian regime. Back down in the name of humanity, before your sons become martyrs of eighty-two years of pointless conflict against the right for a Lavanan state.

Back Down."

The speech lasted over 25 minutes, and officially announces the start of military operations against Hacyinia.

Marie Gezevuje is a journalist originally from Dezevau, who moved to Gaullica in 2003 for university. She is currently an editor in the Coian Monitor, and has been working since 2013 in the newspaper. She is a Gaullican citizen, wife, mother to 3 daughters, and Football enthusiast. She won the young Journalist award in 2010, for her work regarding Dezevauni language policy, and is specialized in Southeastern Coius and its issues.

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