Sulwaya wrote:
Assuming that the California redistricting process stays the same, she would be moved into the 40th congressional district where there is a partisan lean of R +4. If she won with 52.1% of the vote in a D+6 election, I think a 10 point swing rightwards would keep her in the mix
She also has an incumbency factor
If you were wondering I'm getting my stats from, I've been using 538, they currently show redistricting in all the states,
for my character I've based it off of previous elections and stats according to the map
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/re ... alifornia/