Land of The Free: American Political Roleplay (OOC V)

[Democratic Peoples republic of Kelvinsi]

If you put a gun to my head and forced me to predict November results I would go with this map.

[Kargintina the Third]

https://www.270towin.com/maps/dpQdn

The fewest states needed to win a presidential election

[Gordano and Lysandus]

(Image)

If you put a gun to my head and forced me to predict November results I would go with this map.

That's remarkably pessimistic, I should go do mine.

[Gordano and Lysandus]

(Image)

If you put a gun to my head and forced me to predict November results I would go with this map.

That's remarkably pessimistic, I should go do mine.

[Democratic Peoples republic of Kelvinsi]

That's remarkably pessimistic, I should go do mine.

The State where Biden is most likely to be upset is gonna be Nevada. The State is made up of white working class + Hispanics. The white working class is one area where Trump has bled much support, and Hispanics are the one demographic where he has strengthened his position relative to 2016. Nevada is also the most male state of the Union.

Trump lost a lot of ground among white college educated people, especially women.

NV is a State that is able to mask Trump's declines relative to 2016.

[Gordano and Lysandus]

The State where Biden is most likely to be upset is gonna be Nevada. The State is made up of white working class + Hispanics. The white working class is one area where Trump has bled much support, and Hispanics are the one demographic where he has strengthened his position relative to 2016. Nevada is also the most male state of the Union.

Trump lost a lot of ground among white college educated people, especially women.

NV is a State that is able to mask Trump's declines relative to 2016.

I don't think the data supports a Nevada upset for Trump, and I'm typically a very credulous person. I think Nevada stays blue. If I was being that whimsical, I'd be putting Iowa and Alaska in Biden's corner.

[Kargintina the Third]

I think Trump will likely keep Florida, North Carolina and Ohio.

[New Cobastheia]

Personally, I'm more inclined to agree with Gordo's map, although honestly, Florida is going to be a pure tossup for me due to Florida having way to many factors I just can't account for.

Ohio's still a tossup in my head too, I'm just not convinced either party will win it.

Of course that's assuming some kind of fuckery doesn't happen between election day and official results and actual election day

[Gordano and Lysandus]

Personally, I'm more inclined to agree with Gordo's map, although honestly, Florida is going to be a pure tossup for me due to Florida having way to many factors I just can't account for.

Ohio's still a tossup in my head too, I'm just not convinced either party will win it.

Of course that's assuming some kind of fuckery doesn't happen between election day and official results and actual election day

There's a reason I used the tilt option on a couple of states, I do think Ohio, NC and Iowa are too close for me to effectively call with any confidence.

ME-2 is in that category because although data tells me Biden, my Mainer friend is adamantly convinced it won't happen because of guns.

[Lavan Tiri]

---

Character Information Sheet

NS Nation Name: avan iri

Character Name: Eileen Michelle Nakamura, nee Zhao

Character Gender: Female

Character Age: 67

Character Height: 5'1

Character Weight: 108 pounds

Character Position/Role/Job:
- U.S. Senator from California (since 2000)
- Mayor of San Francisco (1991-1999)
- California State Assemblywoman for the 19th District (1988-1991)
- Nurse at St. Francis Memorial Hospital (1973-1991)

Appearance: Judy Chu

Character State of Origin: California

Character State of Residence: California

Character Party Affiliation: Democratic

Main Strengths:
- Decent speaker, with a warm and motherly air.
- Strong non-political background combined with a long record of service in politics
- Viewed as something of a kingmaker in California politics generally, and San Francisco politics specifically.
- Highly popular with the Asian-American community and, to a lesser degree, whites and Latinos.
- Has become damn near an expert on foreign policy during her time in the Senate. Also strong on healthcare and environmental policy.
- Strong Catholic faith

Main Weaknesses:
- Could be seen as too progressive nationwide--a "coastal elite liberal"
- Somewhat petty and manipulative, as well as hardheaded
- Stuck in an awkward position where she's too progressive for many moderate Democrats and too ingrained in the establishment for many progressives.
- The loss of her husband drove her to a mild smoking habit.
- Willing to compromise and back down on important issues to benefit her pet causes.
- Not as popular with the African-American community as she could be--has been accused of not caring enough about black Americans. It isn't true but it's been said.
- Voted for the Iraq War
- Strong Catholic faith

Biography:
Born in San Francisco, California in 1952 to Harold Zhao--owner of a Chinatown restaurant called the Lucky Dragon--and his wife Alice--a stay-at-home mother--Eileen Nakamura grew up helping her father and her four elder sisters around the family restaurant after school for pocket change. The family was descended from Chinese laborers who had built the Transcontinental Railroad, and Harold took great pride in both his Americanness and his work.

In 1959, when Eileen was 7, the Territory of Hawaii was admitted as the 50th state to the Union. Harold, sensing a business opportunity and tired of the cramped conditions of San Francisco, saved up for a year and, in 1960, a week after Eileen's 8th birthday, the Zhao family moved west, settling in Honolulu, where Harold opened a new restaurant--the Lucky Gold Dragon. Harold, being a man blessed with little creativity and a great deal of work ethic, was entirely content.

Alice Zhao, however, was not. She grew depressed and, in 1963, she took her own life; she drowned herself in the Pacific Ocean. The family had no body to bury. Eileen, who was a mere 10 years old, was devastated, and developed a lifelong depression as a result of her trauma. She and her sisters began working at the Dragon, helping fill the hole in the business left by Alice, although nothing could fill the hole left in Harold's heart. He began drinking heavily, and became negligent toward his daughters.

Despite her difficult home environment, Eileen excelled in school, and in 1970, when she graduated high school, she managed to get nearly a full-ride set of scholarships to the University of San Francisco. She got her 2 year degree in Nursing, and began work as an RN at St. Francis in 1973.

While working at the hospital in 1974, Eileen met Daniel Nakamura, a patient 3 years her junior. He had attempted to kill himself with a shotgun, but had only succeeded in blowing off 2 of his fingers when his roommate startled him. She was a pretty young nurse, he was a handsome, slightly tragic law student, and the two of them hit it off. They kept in touch after Daniel left the hospital, and in 1976, began dating. In 1978, Eileen converted to Catholicism for Daniel, who was a devout churchgoer.

In 1977, Harold Zhao died--he drunkenly fell down the stairs and broke his neck. Eileen attended his funeral in Honolulu, seeing her sisters for the first time in nearly a decade. Harold never met his future son-in-law.

In 1979, Daniel proposed to Eileen, and the pair wed later that year. They settled into an apartment in western San Francisco, and would have two sons: Leo Matthew Nakamura (born 1980) and Isaiah Thomas Nakamura (born 1982). The quartet lived happily for years, with a financially stable life provided by a nurse mother and a civil rights lawyer father.

In 1987, one of two California State Assembly Seats in San Francisco opened up due to the retirement of the incumbent. Daniel considered running, and Eileen helped him plan his campaign. Daniel noticed his wife's passion and fire for public service, and convinced her to run instead, reasoning that politics could use more nurses and fewer lawyers.

Eileen, against her own better judgement, ran for the post. Her campaign was relentlessly positive, and focused on her status as an outsider--a young mother with a tragic life story who wanted to step up and help others. With Daniel's help, Eileen barely won the post. Her time in the State Assembly was limited, and she accomplished little of note--other than gaining a taste and a lust for power.

In 1991, with an unpopular incumbent mayor running for reelection, Eileen decided to change tacks. She resigned her job at the hospital after nearly 20 years, and ran, with Daniel by her side. The election was viciously-fought, with Eileen running against not only the incumbent, but (not-Willie Brown), one of the most powerful politicians in California.

In the end, Eileen managed to edge out the incumbent in the blanket primary, and won a 1% victory versus (not-Brown) due to her superior ground game and increased turnout from women and Asian voters--helped by the endorsement of Senator (not-Dianne Feinstein).

As Mayor, Eileen sought to resurrect her city after years of mismanagement. She loosened laws and restrictions regarding the conduct of the homeless in public, and pursued policies that would prevent and reverse anti-homeless actions by businesses (i.e., aggressive architecture). One of her initiatives, which would allow the City to lease rental properties to house the homeless, caused public outcry and failed.

She also fought to expand and protect public transportation, including building new lines for the rail system, and a vast expansion of the city bus system. Her plan also involved hiring former felons and juvenile criminals to man the buses and stations, to help integrate them back into society.

While in her first term, Eileen pursued a citywide universal healthcare system, but failed.

In 1995, Eileen was soundly reelected, facing (not-Brown) again. In her second term, she continued her fight to expand infrastructure and curb the power of the SFPD, who treated the Mayor as an enemy due to her opposition to the police.

In 1999, (not-Dianne Feinstein), who was up for reelection, died in a car accident. Eileen, coming up against her term limits, decided to run for the suddenly-open Senate seat. She ran on a promise of expanded infrastructure, opposition to war, marriage equality, universal healthcare, anti-racism, and a pro-choice message. She got 42% of the vote in the blanket primary, and, being a Democrat in California, she handily defeated her Republican opponent in the general election in 2000.

In the Senate, Eileen was assigned to committees regarding healthcare and labor, however, she also discovered an interest in foreign policy and affairs. In her second year in the Senate, she was placed on the Foreign Affairs Committee, where she still sits. Eileen has spent 19 years absorbing every fact and bit of knowledge she can about foreign policy, aided by her prodigious memory and personable, non-threatening air. She's made it a point to always keep abreast of world affairs, and follows the Roosevelt Doctrine of diplomacy--big stick and all that.

During her first term, Eileen made what she considers to be her worst mistake--voting for the Iraq War. She would later say she'd been lied to by Burke and his administration, and that, had she known all the facts, she never would have voted "aye".

In 2004, Eileen made her first run for the Presidency, but struggled to break out. She dropped out before Iowa and endorsed (not-Edwards).

Eileen was reelected to the Senate in 2006 by a large margin, although her support among voters slipped somewhat due to her Iraq vote.

Eileen spent the next 10 years, with the exception of 2008 and 2012, serving as a quiet and competent Senator, more concerned with progress than grandstanding. She worked with then-Senators Baharia and Diehl frequently, and did her best to blunt the excesses of the Burke admin.

In 2006, Eileen met the newly-elected Sam Baginski. The pair struck up a somewhat-odd friendship and political alliance that Eileen has called "the most meaningful friendship of my adult life".

In 2007, Daniel Nakamura began attending therapy again, due to a resurgence of his depression as he aged. Later that year, he was diagnosed with early onset Alzheimers.

In 2008, Eileen ran for President again, however, she was drowned out by the noise from Diane Clifford and Rashid Baharia. She got <1% of the vote in Iowa, and dropped out the next day to endorse Baharia.

In 2013, after her second reelection, Eileen returned home to San Francisco during a recess. To her horror, she found Daniel dead in the bathtub, having taken a half bottle of pills and as much vodka as he could handle. While she tried to resuscitate him, Eileen had an aide call 9-1-1. Daniel was rushed to the hospital, and pronounced dead an hour later.

He left behind a note, explaining how he didn't want to become a burden to Eileen as he aged into his Alzheimers, but he was scared of going to Hell for killing himself.

Eileen, stricken with grief, missed half the votes of that session of Congress, staying home in San Francisco. She was frequently visited by friends and colleagues from Washington, including Vice President Diehl and Senator Baginski.

After about a year of mourning, Eileen returned to the Senate with vigor, beginning her long fight for Americans' mental health. She and Baginski worked together on legislation to create a national suicide hotline, as well as laws requiring insurers to cover therapy and counseling services. She also cosigned Baginski's Medicare For All Act.

In 2016, Eileen persuaded her friend Sam to run for President, and challenge the frontrunner, Diane Clifford, who Eileen hates. She supported Baginski through the primaries, and was presumed to be his running-mate if he won.

Since 2016, she has been a consistent and vocal opponent of not just Arnold Wolf and the GOP, but "do-nothing Democrats" who she feels capitulate to the agenda of the wealthy and powerful too much. This has put her in the odd spot of being too old and institutional for some progressives, but too outspoken and combative for some of her old friends and colleagues in the establishment, since the change in her attitude was sudden and sharp after 2016.

In terms of recent votes, she voted for the Protecting American Diplomats Act, for the Democracy and Openness for Venezuela Act, and against the nominations of Urquhart and Jones. She voted against the censure of Senator Murphy.

Other Info:
- Ideology
Eileen is a fairly characteristic old-school progressive California Democrat, although she's shifted somewhat more to the left in recent years, owing to both her state's changing politics and her long friendship/association with Sam Baginski. She supports Medicare for All, the Green New Deal, a 21st Century Economic Bill of Rights, and a policy of "big-stick pacifism" around the world, as well as a Marshall Plan-style solution to problems in Central and South America. She is strongly opposed to the Border Wall, and wants to defund and abolish ICE and scrap the PATRIOT Act. She wants to make public colleges and universities free, and severely cut federal funding to private institutions, including completely stripping Ivy League schools of federal funds other than research grants, etc.

She diverges from some mainstream progressives in her opposition to taxing churches (aside from megachurches), her opposition to reparations for slavery, and her opposition to allowing people under 18 to medically transition their gender.


I have read and accept the rules of the roleplay: (Your Nation's Name Here)

Do Not Remove: 84721

doin somethin idk

[Alozia]

EVERYONE! Yesterday's issues with the forums forced me to delay the Relief Act signing, it will take place today OOC.

[Meelducan]

EVERYONE! Yesterday's issues with the forums forced me to delay the Relief Act signing, it will take place today OOC.

GASP

[Lavan Tiri]

EVERYONE! Yesterday's issues with the forums forced me to delay the Relief Act signing, it will take place today OOC.

GASP

Lozie I'm gonna shit ur pants

[Gordano and Lysandus]

EVERYONE! Yesterday's issues with the forums forced me to delay the Relief Act signing, it will take place today OOC.

Don't blame you, those outages threw me for six too.

[Alozia]

GASP

Lozie I'm gonna shit ur pants

Excuse me?

[Louisianan]

Hurricane passed all is well

[Dentali]

Hurricane passed all is well

happy to hear

[Dentali]

Richardson going all in

[Meelducan]

Richardson going all in

Wake me up when he does something interesting xx

[Dentali]

Richardson going all in

Wake me up when he does something interesting xx

ill see what i can do

[Main Nation Ministry]

Wake me up when he does something interesting xx

ill see what i can do

Have him do a juggling act at a rally. Draws the kids in.

[Meelducan]

NS Crashing again has me like :/

[Kargintina the Third]

Nation states get your shit together

[Main Nation Ministry]

Nation States is a bit on having a seizure at the moment. This is like two days in a row, there has been maintenance issues.

[Meelducan]

Nation States is a bit on having a seizure at the moment. This is like two days in a row, there has been maintenance issues.

Fix pls