Bentus wrote:Albennia wrote:US GDP is $10 trillion higher than what it should be.
This is true, but still need to hear from the OP about what kind of GDP methodology we really want to be using in the rp. Could be that the US just underwent some kind of huge economic expansion in this timeline, but not sure how balanced that'd be considering how powerful its economy already is.
On a separate note, I was wondering: what happened to the populations of India and Pakistan? If those countries aren't really inhabited anymore, there would've been a huge flow of refugees - where'd they all end up?
One thing that is worth noting: inflation, folks. Wars bring about inflation. Even though post-WWIII fiscal policy on the US dollar would be inflation-suspicious at best, the dollar's value would still drop significantly. I'm imagining a US GDP of about 30-32 trillion in 2020 USD, but in 2040 USDs, 37 trillion is a conservative estimate.
The National Dominion of Hungary wrote:Also I'd say the US population is a bit high since most of Americas population growth between 2010 and 2040 is estimated to come from immigration and these immigrants then having a family in the US. Not sure how many people would like to immigrate to a nation torn by civil war.
On the contrary, a post-Civil War United States would experience far greater immigration insurgency. Certainly, during the civil war, immigration would slow, but certainly not stop, because there is still the US heartland to settle in. But after the civil war, resulting low property values, business friendly policies, and the rest of the world being even more of a mess would bring about 1880s level immigration...