Dentali wrote:Tallahassee News Station wrote:
Andy could easily win with over 70% if things break his way
I don't think it's likely he'd drop below 40 but a 10+ pt loss could still happen
There's a lot of room for either of them to go up or down. Andy should still be the clear favorite and scenario 1 is more likely than scenario 2, but I think odds are better that it'll shape out to be at least a 6+ pt margin of victory than <6
I think Anderson's heavy (and detailed) emphasis on retail politics is going to give him the edge. Ive crazy heavily researched his campaign strategies modeling after IRL local campaigns and positions. Ram has just done rallies, Anderson has done a bunch of interviews, visiting specific groups and businesses, knocking on doors... Comparing the rallies of Andy and Ram, Andersons are larger and more detailed with rhetoric modeled on Scott Wagner and Donald Trump's rallies in the state. As for the conservative stuff, no positions really set Ram apart from Anderson, nothing concrete he can point to, beyond that the christian conservatives will probably be less likely to support a hindu over a christian (Anderson has gone to church in almost every post and met with clergy a dozen time).
I have a few notes/comments on Andy, but I don't wanna give any free advice
So far he's been pretty competent but not ideal. Though he might be about to blow that up