The War in Syria is over. The War in Iraq is over. The War in Yemen is over. And the War in Somalia is over. President Donald J. Trump's intervention may have spread democracy and brought stability, though for who knows how long, to countries torn apart by warfare, but the situation in America is grim. The political climate of most of the west has been once again enveloped by populism, just three years after it seemed to meet it's end in 2017. In the Sweden, Belgium and Finland, populist right-wing parties made big gains following Britain's hard exit from the EU, and also jihadist attacks committed by ex-ISIS members who fled Syria and Iraq following the Caliphate's demise. Britain's hard exit resulted in economic turmoil for a single quarter, before the economy jumped back up and grew, albeit by less than 1.5% GDP, in Q3 and Q4. In America, the opposite is happening. A pragmatic, moderate Republican coalition led by John Kasich has challenged Trump's administration, and Kasich is making his third run for the GOP nomination, calling for a Marshall Plan for countries invaded by Trump. On the Democratic side, the party has fractured, despite success in the mid-terms where they gained a seat in the Senate, making it 50-50, and 29 seats in the House, giving them a working majority of 4. However, the Progressive camps and the Moderate camps are at odds even more than they were in 2016. Trump's chances of re-election rest solely on the primaries.
In the Middle East, the War in Syria may have ended, however it could start again at any moment. The Syrian National Coalition, a centre-right Islamic Democratic party that's loyal to the United States won the first parliamentary elections, winning a narrow majority. However based in Damascus, the Democratic Socialist Party, a centre-left anti-American party has challenged them, winning around a third of the seats and being mostly made up of ex-members of the Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party.
To add to the flames, a Salafist group named Hami al-Islam has began major demonstrations against the government, and while accused of harboring ex-ISIS members,
hasn't taken any military action. In Yemen, Iraq and Somalia, US warplanes still fly over rural areas, however major cities have been stabilized and rule of law returned.
The new Yemeni government was installed by Saudi Arabia, much to the dismay of international spectators.
In Asia, the DPRK agreed to halt their nuclear program, however refused to disarm, after Chinese-Korean-American negotiations. Speaking of China, their economic growth increased rapidly as their investments in Africa continue, reaching an astonishing 14.1% GDP growth in 2019. This has only been aided as Russia began to phase out business with America after they refused to lift sanctions, and instead they turned to further increase cooperation with China, Central Asia and Eastern Europe. At a UN General Assembly speech, President Putin made a promise to Eastern Europe, that Russian troops would never breach their sovereignty, relieving tens of millions of people.
Despite this, not all is well. FARC ended their ceasefire in Colombia after a series of laissez-faire, neoliberal reforms brought by the governing coalition, and have began making major territorial gains. Following British withdrawal from the European Union, the Provisional IRA began military operations in April 2019 demanding a referendum on unification, or immediate withdrawal from Ulster. The Conservative Government has vowed to crush their revolt, but so far they've failed to kill a single IRA volunteer.
As the United States enters a period of political instability, the Middle East stabilizes, China and Russia begin to grow, Europe begins another wave of populist, anti-immigrant and eurosceptic rhetoric, and new conflicts begin to emerge, world politics are beginning to take a drastic turn.
Summary
-US Intervention in the Middle East results in regime change in Syria and Yemen, and stability restored in Somalia and Iraq
-Trump faces fierce opposition at home from Democrats and Republicans
-Situation with DPRK defused slightly
-Russo-American hostilities grow, Russia develops ties with China & Central Asia
-IRA and FARC rise up again, civil war in Colombia begins
-British hard exit from the EU in 2019 results in slow economic growth
-Groups with ties to ex-ISIS members and ex-Ba'athists growing in Syria
Pacem in Terris means Peace on Earth. The main focus of this roleplay is domestic and international affairs, though as time goes on, conflicts will be inevitable. The superpowers will of course be the USA, China and Russia, while Germany, France, Turkey, Brazil, Saudi Arabia and Ethiopia will have an expanded role following incidents in their spheres of influence. Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Somalia will have to deal with rebuilding their countries after war, and focusing on eliminating remaining terror aspects. Europe will have to deal with the economic impact of Brexit, either by increased European cooperation, or leaving the EU themselves. The Point of Divergence is January 20th 2017, however changes must be realistic and fit in with what's said in the OP. If your nation isn't mentioned, you could make a large change. Such as a coup in Iran following the protests earlier this year. As long as it's plausible and fits in with the OP and applications made before yours, you can go ahead with it.
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