I guess my point is more about the sunk costs of development of an SSBN force, while objectively the most survivable and swolest of nuclear deterrents, is also sort of like going for a Mars Shot a few months after you've entered orbit with your Sputnik. Or a Jovian Shot. It's a bit extreme and only the most serious and swolest contenders would have a chance of producing anything useful. "TELs in a garage" is more like a Mercury capsule I guess. You go from Sputnik to orbiting the Earth a few times. Difficult but not insurmountable.
Even for a country like UK which is away from artillery threat (besides IRBMs) of attack on ELF transmitters would be better served by a TEL force TBH.
Canada OTOH could effectively build a SSBN or silo-based force. Sask Silo Fields when? 'Berta Ballistic Missile Men when? Rampant leafposting from 500 ft underground.
e2: I'm a bit drunk atm so I'm just saying what you said but like...worse.
e3: UK should have put Blue Streak on a train TBH. Mb then it would have a good rail system to support the National Defense Railroad Network and be swole. Blue Streak train >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Trident. Choo choo motherfucker. Strategic Steam Reserve get.
e4: Wasn't UK ELF supposed to live in Scotland? Or like Yorkshire or something? Yorkshire is really the best part of England TBH it seems nice and post-industrial depressing like my home country/staat.
Tule wrote:Hayo wrote:For states that can't afford a full nuclear triad, what represents the most effective/bang for buck alternative? Let's ignore any of the idiosyncrasies of arms limitation treaties.
If I had to guess:
For a monad: Ballistic missile submarines (?)
For a dyad: Missile subs + land based ballistic missiles (?)
I think the sub-based monad is fairly uncontroversial, but maybe not.
Land-based missiles probably have more utility than bombers (purely for deterrence, anyway), since you can keep large numbers of them dispersed and on alert pretty cheaply/safely. There's no need for risky Chrome Dome style bomber patrols.
Maybe the ability to use bombers for conventional strike makes them more attractive than missiles, I dunno. What do you guys think?
Depends. How far away is your rival nuclear state? How long is your coastline? How large is your country in terms of area? What's your GDP and how developed is your nuclear program?
All these factors will determine your nuclear posture.
If you are a small and densely populated island close to your rival, land-based missile silos aren't a great idea for instance.
Moands are gross and dyads are uggo. I'm sitting on a triad tablestool thing (is that the word?) so it is the best.
Three is king since there is no fourth domain unless you build rocket silos on the Moon or something like Frank Tinsley.
Questers wrote:For a monad it’s definitely subs, for dyad I think sub plus alcm via conventional tactical air
It goes:
SSBN > TEL > Plane in terms of effective.
TEL > Plane > SSBN in terms of money.
Since the rocket you are shooting is already a sort of airplane/bomber it doesn't really matter the airplane's primary purpose in the atomic war is to suppress air defenses and destroy missile sites or maybe large area targets (read; eocnomic-population centers) while the silo ICBM and the SSBN attack counterforce elements like ICBM and maybe the plane hunts TELs if it has time to loiter.
But the point is the plane is the weakest in the link he is the icing on the cake the primary deterrent is the most survivable/hard system which is either the road-mobile TEL or SSBN rocket sub but SSBN rocket sub requires a lot of supporting investment/infrastructure to support and he is sort of annoying that way.
TEL is really the best way to go for min-max. He is cheap and almost as hard to kill as SSBN as Desert Storm prove. Just imagine if Saddam had nukes.