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Birolikan General Election - Indecision 1986

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Who are Birolikan Citizens in your country voting for?

Poll ended at Sun Jul 16, 2017 6:18 pm

Liberty Party - Classical Liberalism, Liberal Conservatism
16
48%
Moderate Party - Christian Democracy, Conservatism, Centrism
6
18%
Democratic Coalition - Social Liberalism
11
33%
 
Total votes : 33

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Birolika
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Birolikan General Election - Indecision 1986

Postby Birolika » Sun Jul 02, 2017 6:18 pm

Having served the maximum length of four years in government the Democratic Coalition has automatically dissolved along with the 22nd parliament of Birolika. This marks the first election in which Biroliks living abroad may vote, with ballot boxes available at embassies and consulates around the globe, as well as by post.

History of Birolika

Birolika was founded in 1847 by settlers who came across new lands. They initially landed in Dalton Bay in the west of the country, before settling much of the rest of the country. By 1855 the counties of Birolika agreed to form a federated government, which was quickly centralized, with much power residing in the capital of Dalton under the auspices of King Paisley the First, originally a Duke before becoming self-proclaimed king of the independent state. A parliament was formed and prominent landowners in the counties nominated delegates to the capital to do their bidding. This system remained in place until 1945 when elections under universal suffrage were held for the first time. The parties founded then continue until today.

After democracy was established the parties we see today were established. The Moderate Party took on Conservative social valus and moderate economics, up against the Classical Liberalism of the Liberty Party. The third party was the Democratic Coalition, a socially liberal party. Barring an interlude of rule by protest movement 'None of the Above' in the 60s, these three parties have supplied all Birolik PMs.

Today Birolika has a population of over 35 million. The largest cities are Dalton, Mulberry, Peldon, Teelport, Saldon and Caldrey.

Birolik Prime Ministers

NamePartyYears in Office
James KilroyLiberty Party1945 - 1950
Herbert LawsLiberty Party1950 - 1953
Charles HerwoodModerate Party1953 - 1964
Elena WoosterNone of the Above1964 - 1967
Dennis LancasterLiberty Party1967 - 1973
Naomi IsinglassLiberty Party1973 - 1975
Ed CockModerate Party1975 - 1978
Paul GlassDemocratic Coaliton1978 - 1984
Toby GutierrezDemocratic Coalition1984 - ???


The Moderate Party - Conservatism, Christian Democracy and Centrism

The Moderates are currently the official opposition in Birolika, holding 7 of the 41 seats. The Moderates have provided 2 of the 9 post-Universal Suffrage Prime Ministers of Birolika, ruling for a total of 14 of the last 41 years, the second longest of any party. Of their PMs Ed Cock, who was in office for just three years, achieved little being one short of a majority, so the only true hero of this movement is Charles Herwood. Herwood stood steadfastly in office for much of the 50s and the start of the 60s, in office for a total of 10 years, 11 months and a day, the longest for any PM. In his term in office he managed to tighten laws on alcohol and dress code, as well as create a welfare program which paid for the neediest but punished offenders (some would say harshly). He also provided moral leadership through an international winds that buffeted Birolika. He lost office, however, in a landslide under accusations of acting too autocratically and refusing to name a point at which he might step down after a decade in office. Currently the Moderate Party are led by Helen Gainsford. Their current program focuses on maintaining much of the new social protections bought in by the Democratic Coalition, whilst removing regulation burden on small business, re-introducing tax relief on religious institutions and reducing immigration. Their coalition of voters has been traditionally focused on both traditionalist upper class voters, middle income voters without degrees and religious working class voters. Both the middle income and working class planks of support have been eroded by the Democratic Coalition over the last two elections. This time, however, it is expected that these demographics will come 'home' to the Moderates.

Democratic Coalition - Social Liberalism, Social Democracy

The Democratic Coalition are currently in government, holding 30 of the 41 seats in Birolik parliament following a landslide victory in the 1982 general election. Traditionally the third party behind the Moderates and Liberty Party, the Democratic Coalition came to power dramatically in 1978 after a decade of recession and erosion of the social fabric. They have been led into the previous two elections by the charismatic Paul Glass, who broaden the parties appeal at a time of national crisis. Over the last two parliaments the Democratic Coalition have expanded rights for women, the LGBT+ community and ethnic minorities, as well as expanding the welfare state, creating a national insurance system for health and boosting funding for schools. Given the unique circumstances of their last two victories, a leader with historically unprecedented appeal and a sense of there being a need for a break from the two party system, it has been questioned whether the Democratic Coalition can hold onto the voters who propelled them to power. Before the last two results the Democrats voters were primarily low paid, young graduates, the LGBT+ community and ethnic minorities. In this election they will be led by Toby Guitierrez, who was previously the Health Minister. He is focusing on continuing high funding for public services, student debt reform and the current strength of the Birolik economy.

Liberty Party - Classical Liberalism, Liberal Conservatism

The Liberty Party are currently the third party in parliament, holding 4 of the 41 seats. Since 1945 they have been in power for a total of 16 years, the longest of any party. In office their crowning achievements have been lifting prohibition in 1947, legalizing homosexuality in 1970 and tax cuts in 1950 which were credited with ushering in a period of relative prosperity for the middle class. Their leader is the slightly odd Vincent Bull, a man who became an MP at just the last election after having owned a chain of overpriced bars. He is leading the party on a large plan of tax cuts aimed generally at businesses and the relatively well off graduates. They're also pledging drug reform as well as action on climate change. Their coalition of voters has traditionally consisted of graduates, more urbane members of the upper class and ethnic minorities.

Constituencies

There are 41 constituencies in Birolika, each currently containing about 600,000 electors including Biroliks living abroad.

NameElectors Registered AbroadHeld by at dissolution
Saldon Central36,544Dem. Co.
Saldon Without19,747Dem. Co.
Skomer on Sea8,401Dem. Co.
Caldrey Suburbs22,455Dem. Co.
Caldrey Docks36,102Dem. Co.
Caldrey CBD33,444Dem. Co.
Caldrey South30,487Dem. Co.
Tatbury13,227Dem. Co.
Molton6,227Dem. Co.
Salsea Coastal16,407Dem. Co.
Salsea Without9,003Mods
Carlton2,558Dem. Co.
Alba Town28,075Dem. Co.
Alba County West7,708Liberty
Ditteridge2,202Mods.
Marsham1,899Dem. Co.
Richmond6,899Liberty
Little Alba4,869Liberty
Brishlanton3,443Mods.
Mulberry North18,890Dem. Co.
Mulberry Central23,443Dem. Co.
Mulberry Without15,550Liberty
The Dales8,766Dem. Co.
Dalton Docks30,987Dem. Co.
Dalton Sallyham17,665Dem. Co.
Dalton Central47,886Dem. Co.
Dalton West Ridge26,554Dem. Co.
Dalton East22,347Dem. Co.
Dalton Brow33,004Dem. Co.
Dalton SE17,888Dem. Co.
Dalton Without14,226Dem. Co.
Rolster5,544Mods.
Woolwich7,007Dem. Co.
Westlea4,987Mods.
Herwood5,207Mods.
Tealport Central16,202Dem. Co.
Tealport Without8,876Mods.
Tealport Satellites10,404Dem. Co.
Marleygate12,344Dem. Co.
Peldon North17,890Dem. Co.
Peldon South15,212Dem. Co.
With the abolition of private property, then, we shall have true, beautiful, healthy Individualism. Nobody will waste his life in accumulating things, and the symbols for things. One will live. To live is the rarest thing in the world. Most people exist, that is all.
- Oscar Wilde

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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Darmen » Mon Jul 03, 2017 7:39 pm

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The Chris Empire
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Democratic Socialists

Postby The Chris Empire » Tue Jul 04, 2017 7:06 am

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Starlaris
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Birolika
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Ex-Nation

Postby Birolika » Tue Jul 04, 2017 4:47 pm

Birolika currently has three major Sunday Newspapers, the Sunday Nation, the Biro and The Examiner. The Nation and Examiner are both serious broadsheets which maintain a high degree of political independence, with their party allegiance changing over time. The Biro is more tabloid-y, with it mostly apolitical outside of election times and it has the widest distribution of papers. It tows a far more consistent line, with the Biro backing the Liberty Party at every election except for 1978 when they declined to endorse. Here is a round up of their headline from this week:


The Examiner


Campaign Begins as Guitierrez Hits Polling Low


The campaign began this week as Prime Minister Guitierrez dissolved parliament leading the way for the campaign to begin. However, Guitierrez doesn't have much to look forward to over the campaign as his party has now fallen to just 19% in the polls, down from a historic high of 50.2% at the previous election.

The current polling average have the Liberty Party up at 41% (+17) and the Moderates trailing them slightly on 40% (+14). This would see the Liberty Party take 20 seats, 1 short of a majority, with the Moderates on 15 and the Democratic Coalition cut to just 6. Thse current rating would constitute the biggest defeat of a sitting government since 1964 when the Moderates lost 24 seats after the shock election win by protest movement 'None of the Above.'

What is causing mass consternation at the Democrats headquarters is that approval ratings for Guitierrez as PM aren't all that bad, 26% have a positive opinion and 24% have a negative one, with 50% having no strong feelings either way. The main emotion Guitierrez seems to inspire is indifference, there is anger among his MPs over his failure to define himself in the political landscape, or to capitalize on their success in government. However, his approval runs ahead of the party's poll rating and there is some hope they may improve their position, especially as people seem to approve of their policy achievements and the economy remains strong.

Regardless, the Democrats seem to be back where they were at every election before their shock majority in 1978. That being that they hover up protest voters, students and some minorities, but have little cut through with everyone else. The majority of the public seem to believe they have served their purpose of building a strong welfare state, expanding social protection and clearing out a dusty generation of political dinosaurs. Most people seem ready to head back to the two traditional parties now, with the Democrats sinking back to their traditional third place.



The Biro


The Good, The Bad and the Ugly


All three major parties launched their campaigns this week with the leaders of each party making a speech.

The Liberty party have had a strong launch with the latest polls showing them likely to form the next government. Leader Vincent Bull kicked off his campaign in style saying the nation needs to re-discover its rugged entrepreneurial spirit after its neglect by the Democrats.

The Moderates carried out an indifferent launch, with Helen Gainsford pledging to protect the traditional values of Birolika, allowing the moral to go forth un-harassed by aggressively liberal government, a strategy clearly angled at their base.

The Democrats had a terrible launch to their campaign, Guitierrez made a shambolic speech about 'holding together the social fabric'. Their campaign seems to be trying to build distrust around the opposition parties abilities to manage strong public services, however thy should focus on their own house after a disastrous last year and their increasing irrelevance.

The case for a change in government seems to keep growing by the day, today it was reported that the number of incidents of potential welfare fraud has increased 28% over the last year, showing just how frivolous spending has got over the last 8 years.




The Sunday Nation


View from Salsea: Gainsford Will Stand Up for Birolika


The town of Salsea sits on the north edge of Dalton Bay, just south of the Saldon peninsula. Even now in may cold winds buffet the neat row of pebble-dash houses along the seafront, frost still sets in over night and the days remain chilly. Winds of change also seem to blow through this town, one that a recent poll has comfortably falling to the Moderates in the general election.

Jim Robertson works as a bricklayer in the town, the new estate just to the south of the estuary, the former fringe of the town, has provided him solid work over the last six months. "The town is booming, business has been pretty strong recently" however, whilst words like these would usually be followed by a backing for the incumbent government, he follows with something quite different.

"It's time for a change, the Democrats have done what they need to do." I asked him which way he'd voted previously. Up until 1978 he voted solidly for the Moderates as a staunch working class Catholic, "in 78 I'd had enough, the Mods had become directionless and useless, we needed a party that could stand up for the working class."

Now he's back to the Moderates, polling shows he isn't the only one. Asked why he backed them now he said "the Democrats don't get our patriotism, they provided a helping hand at first, but they do it with a smugness. The Moderates get our patriotism, they're always out in the community and talk to us straight as an equal."

Walking around the Salsea waterfront it is clear that this isn't a minority opinion. There are far more signs for the Moderates than any other party, the people we spoke to were all effusive about Gainsford and liked her leadership. The prevailing opinion about Guitierrez and his party is mostly indifference, that they'v served their purpose, have no direction and focus too much on LGBT, minority and student groups instead of the interests of their new voters over the last two elections.

Elsewhere, the Liberty Party have far more cut through than the Moderates. In the leafy neighborhoods to the north east of the Salsea constituency Liberty Party signs pre-dominate, with Vincent Bull very popular, graduates seem to buy into his vision. We spoke to Helen, 27, she has a degree in Economics and has a career advising large companies freelance. She said that "I really like his talk of striving and aspiration, I feel that reflect my ethos, of turning Birolika into a land of hardwork and opportunity." She had previously voted for the Democratic Coalition, but felt unmoved either way by them this time around.

Overall it seems that the Democratic Coalition may leave government with a fairly untarnished record and still relatively popular, but they've lost a lot in Paul Glass going, now they have no one who can speak to working class or middle Birolika, and they may well head to the wilderness for it.
With the abolition of private property, then, we shall have true, beautiful, healthy Individualism. Nobody will waste his life in accumulating things, and the symbols for things. One will live. To live is the rarest thing in the world. Most people exist, that is all.
- Oscar Wilde

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Pachenstein
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Postby Pachenstein » Tue Jul 04, 2017 4:58 pm

The Prime Minister of Pachenstein and leader of the Centre Party, Carina Gerhardt, sends her support to the Moderate Party and commends their stance in favour of maintaining support from the state for those who need it, as well as standing up for a society where religious freedoms are protected and Christian values can flourish.
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About me: M/21/British (currently resident in Austria). My interests include the German language, history, philosophy, classical music, ice hockey and rugby.

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Birolika
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Postby Birolika » Wed Jul 05, 2017 11:23 am

The Examiner


Bull Stumbles Over Pledge at Liberty Party Manifesto Launch


Today the Liberty Party gathered at their headquarters in North Dalton to release their manifesto. Vincent Bull came on stage to rapturous applause and proceeded to launch their policies. Whilst many were well received, one particular pledge has thrown up a spate of poor coverage and withering attacks by the opposition.

Other policies, such as a new lower rate of corporation tax for small businesses, a new small carbon levy to pay for wind and solar subsidies and shorter sentences for non-violent offenders went down fairly well. However, a central pledge to provide tax breaks on mortgages sunk like a rock after it was stated that this would be paid for by restricting planned rises for workers in the public sector.

This move would see pay rises capped at inflation rate for nurses, doctors and teachers, as well as fire and police, civil servants and various public administrators. The tax break would largely favor wealthy home owners as the value of the tax break is dependent on the value of the home. The Democratic Coalition responded by saying that "the Liberty Party are seeking to cap the aspirations of hard-working public servants to finance a bribe for the wealthiest of all Biroliks." The Moderates also responded in a similar light saying that "the hard work of our doctors, nurses and teachers should be rewarded with good pay". But also highlighted their own policy aimed at helping first time buyers onto the ladder.

A focus group shows that this pledge could be the first major gaffe of the campaign, with most members of the group bringing up the announcement unprompted and expressing a negative opinion of it. Whether it will do much is still to be seen, most people in the focus group stated that they would stick with the party they were already thinking of voting for, however some undecided members said they were less likely to vote for the Liberty Party and some Liberty Party voters leaning towards reconsidering.
With the abolition of private property, then, we shall have true, beautiful, healthy Individualism. Nobody will waste his life in accumulating things, and the symbols for things. One will live. To live is the rarest thing in the world. Most people exist, that is all.
- Oscar Wilde

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Santiland Repubilc
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Postby Santiland Repubilc » Thu Jul 06, 2017 5:10 am

Santiland supports the Democratic Coalition
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Birolika
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Postby Birolika » Thu Jul 06, 2017 6:38 pm

The Nation


The View from Abroad: Biroliks Abroad Prepare to Vote for First Time


One feature of this election that has evaded the focus of the media has been that this is the first election in which Birolik citizens abroad may vote. Their impact could well be felt in certain seats and there has been very little done to analyse what impact they might have.

One seat that these voters may well make themselves felt is Mulberry Central, with over 20,000 citizens abroad registered to vote there. Current analysis shows that this seat is necessary for the Liberty Party to take if they are to form government; taking all seats up to this seat they'd have 13, 8 short of a majority and 4 behind the Moderate Party, so this seat is absolutely necessary for them.

Mulberry Central is a leafy seat for the centre of Birolika's 3rd largest city. Wide boulevards with sycamore and oak trees dominate even the very centre of the city, offices sit back in the serene background. Houses sit on big streets, nicely spaced out with even the dense apartment blocks adorned by ivy. It contains some of the most expensive postcodes in Birolika and was considered part of the Liberty Party's heartland. However, for the last two elections this seat has been held by the Democratic Coalition, a party that has pushed up taxes on many of the constituencies residence.

Now, however, the fate of this constituency could be decided from somewhere else entirely if the contest runs close. I made my way to a town that felt incredibly similar, removed by hundreds of miles but only distinguished different by its size and being about 10 degrees warmer. I'm in Elsa Carut in the Birol Island of Mollary. This part of the country has a large number of people with dual citizenship, the communes containing Elsa Carut has over 80% of its residents either identifying as Birolik or as both Birolik and Mollarian. It is estimated that 25% of this town has registered to vote in the Birolik elections.

Wandering through Elsa Carut I met a student named Mel, she said she'd registered to vote in Birolika for this election and was planning to vote for the Democratic Coalition "they've done more to stand up for Birolik students abroad, unlike before I could get a loan from Birolika for the first time. That and they've done a lot to make Birolika a more tolerant nation, which Mollary has done for years, it feels good not to be ashamed of our government."

This view seemed to be shared by a lot of students and those under 30 in Elsa Carut. However, the older residents get, the more their allegiances seem to lie elsewhere. Howard, 71, is sat drinking a cheap bottle of local white wine from a pint glass, as used to be quite commonplace here, in one of the less fashionable local bars. He's voting Moderate. "They're the only party that understands national pride, that's something you understand when you're a Birolik abroad, you have to stand by your country." He's not alone, many older residents seemed to agree.

However, talking to people in their 30s and 40s there also seemed to be a large degree of sympathy for Vincent Bull. Amanda, 44, who lives just outside Elsa Carut in a beautifully converted farmhouse, said she liked his aspirational style, "he has the same instinct I think my family has, we came here for work opportunities and to try and build a better life, and that message resonates with us."

Overall, the gaffe of capping pay rises hasn't quit had the same effect abroad as it has in Mollary, Vincent Bull remains a big draw abroad, whilst at home his party is beginning to dip. At the weekend they were on 41% of the vote and leading, now they're down at 37%, 4% behind the Moderates and with the Democrats 3 points up from before. It certainly seems the race is going to be a rocky one, and voters abroad could truly decide the outcome.
With the abolition of private property, then, we shall have true, beautiful, healthy Individualism. Nobody will waste his life in accumulating things, and the symbols for things. One will live. To live is the rarest thing in the world. Most people exist, that is all.
- Oscar Wilde

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Birolika
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Postby Birolika » Sat Jul 08, 2017 11:06 am

The Examiner


Debate Produces Surge for Guitierrez




29th April Polling & Seats:

Liberty 39% 20
Moderates 32% 11
Democrats 29% 10



Just 6 days until the polls open and the battle for government has been shaken up by a three way leaders debate. Guitierrez was on top form, tearing into his opponents with precision, putting forward a list of popular policies and offering a robust defense of his two year spell as Prime Minister. His personal and party ratings have surged overnight, with his party now 10 points up on where it started the campaign.

During the debate Vincent Bull and Helen Gainsford were clearly caught off guard by his strong performance, as he savaged them both on their plans, or relative lack of, for popular public services. Both were also stuck for an answer when asked about expanded rights for workers. Guitierrez summarized by saying "The two either side of me seem to be trying to claim the slogan 'time for change'. But rally they represent a return to a past. A past of weak public services, weak workers' rights and weak wage growth. Our economic record speaks for itself. Our current plans are a positive program for government, something we've been doing successfully for the last 8 years. Give your vote to us and we'll keep your schools and hospitals providing world class service and a good environment for business and strivers."

The latest poll since the debate shows the Democrats holding ten seats and ensuring a hung parliament, until then, the momentum is with them.
With the abolition of private property, then, we shall have true, beautiful, healthy Individualism. Nobody will waste his life in accumulating things, and the symbols for things. One will live. To live is the rarest thing in the world. Most people exist, that is all.
- Oscar Wilde

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Dogek
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Postby Dogek » Sat Jul 08, 2017 1:08 pm

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Birolika
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Postby Birolika » Wed Jul 12, 2017 4:46 pm

With the polls due to close in one hour, here are the headlines from the final day of campaigning.



The Examiner


The Examiner View: Don't Vote to Go Back to Normal


Going into the campaign it looked like the country was ready to go back to the politics of old, with the Moderates and the Liberty Party pre-dominating. We here at the Examiner despaired that all the Democratic Coalition's shaking up of the system seemed to be dying a quiet death, with the two old parties looking to return to business as usual.

Instead, over the campaign, Prime Minister Toby Guitierrez has grown in stature, solidly defending his record and promoting a series of popular and deliverable policies.

We've also seen his team perform admirably. Behind the scenes the Director for the Department of Education, Science and Innovation, Sally Durham, has done a lot of thinking behind her party's failure to hold onto support, and has done much to help engineer a campaign that has drawn back a portion of that support. Surely, if the defeat does come and Guitierrez goes then she is one of the few who has a safe enough seat and the standing in the party to assume the leadership.

Overall, we've also been deeply unimpressed by the campaign of the Liberty Party and the Moderates. Vincent Bull has undercut his straight talking image by u-turning on the public sector pay freeze, which also undercut his man of the people image too. Meanwhile the Moderates have attempted to wreck nuanced debate, questioning the patriotism of their opponents and running a 'culture war' campaign.

Hence, there is only one option for us in this vote. The Democratic Coalition may seem to be running out of ideas and slowly turning grey in office, but they have an admirable record and this campaign has done much to kick the life back into them. We absolutely must not let the two older parties drag us back to an age that pre-dates the Democrats' mostly successful attempt to sow back together our social fabric.

The Biro

Cut Through the Bull With Bull


Today the campaign ends and it is time to give your view on it all. We have decided too.

The Democrats have become a party focused on the narrow interests of the metropolitan elite and people who scrounge a living off the state. The Moderates are religious nuts focused on forcing morality down the throats of many hard working Birolikans.

Hence there is but one choice, one candidate who talks straight and has the right vision of Birolikan society. Vincent Bull is the bst candidate for Prime Minister of this country and we urge you to back him up today.

The Sunday Nation

Last Day of Campaigning as Polls Show Close Race

As we reach the last day of campaigning the polling shows an incredibly tight race, with all three parties to be separated by just seven seats.

The polling aggregators have the Liberty Party on 36%, the Moderates on 34% and the Democratic Coalition 30%. This would provide the Moderates with 17 seats, Liberty on 13 and the Democrats on 11. This would see the Democratic Coalition holding on in their heartlands in the centre of Dalton, Caldrey and Saldon, whilst the other two parties re-establish themselves. The parliamentary arithmetic in such a situation would make it difficult for any party to form a government. All three are ruling out working together and the pool of rebel MPs willing to lend a hand is small.

The Moderates chose to end the campaign by re-focusing on their nationalistic message, Gainsford ended her campaign by saying "Only we will stand up for the country, only we will defend our Birolik values that have been eroded by the other two parties. It's time for us to return to the days of strong families, strong communities and a strong church."

Vincent Bull, meanwhile, chose to stay on the campaign trail all day, making only a short pre-prepared statement about how "The Liberty Party is ready to govern and to open up Birolika to a new age of aspiration." Guitierrez, finally, closed the campaign by urging voters to back his party for 4 more years of prosperity, strong public services and more power invested in the people.

Over the course of the campaign the leaders have seen their fortunes change, Gainsford has seen the biggest shift, going from +7 to -22. This has mostly been caused by a shift in negative opinion about her, going from 30% disapproval to 57%. Bull has gon from +19 down to +6, whilst Guitierrez has gone the other way, from +2 to +17. This seems like an odd set of results given that their respective parties poll in the inverse order.
With the abolition of private property, then, we shall have true, beautiful, healthy Individualism. Nobody will waste his life in accumulating things, and the symbols for things. One will live. To live is the rarest thing in the world. Most people exist, that is all.
- Oscar Wilde

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Birolika
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Postby Birolika » Mon Jul 17, 2017 4:35 pm

"Good evening and welcome to BNBC, I'm Peter O'Deckey. It's five minutes to midnight and once the clock strikes twelve the polls close and the exit poll will be released. And then we will begin to see the results come in.

Now who will we see as our next Prime Minister? Gainsford, Gutierrez and Bull are all potential PMs from tomorrow and all of them have tried their very hardest to win and today we will see who came out on top. Lets go over to Helena Papoupalis to see the swing-o-meter."

"Hello Peter, indeed the tension is building around the country as we get to exit poll. And here's the map, currently a lot of blue and potentially we could see these turn yellow or red. Here are the seats stacked up based on last time. The Democratic Coalition need to hold down to Molton to retain a majority, the Liberty Party need to win up to Dalton Central and the Moderates need up to Dalton South East according to our current model so keep your eyes on what color those turn on the exit poll map soon."

"Wonderful Helena, tonight we have a selection of talking heads and many roving reporters at each constituency declaration. And now at two minutes to there is very little to do but sit and wait."

***

"And with that the clock strikes twelve. And here comes the exit poll. And we're predicting that the Liberty Party will be the largest party. And here comes the seat prediction."

Liberty - 17
Democrats - 12
Moderates - 12

"Time to go to the talking heads. Greg (Deputy Editor of the Nation) what does this poll mean?"

"Well, taken with all the caveats, I think it shows on the one hand that the people of Birolika are in the mood for a more aspirational politics given the success of the Liberty Party. However, overall it shows that opinion is fairly evenly split between three very distinct competing visions of what this country should look like. There is certainly no consensus on the matter, for sure."

"Now, Helena, how is the exit poll stacking up on the map?"

"Well Peter it certainly is an interesting one, what we're seeing is that the margins in many of these predictions are very close, and we could see a lot of seats flip any of three ways depending on whether the exit poll is dead on or slightly off. We'll have to wait until the end of night to know just who is going to form government."

"Thanks Helena. Now we go over to Anya Finn, the deputy leader of the Liberty Party, do you think Vincent Bull remains the right choice for Prime Minister if he hasn't won a majority?"

"Hi Peter, I don't think so, no. Given the exit poll it looks like we remain in a strong position to form government, and could still potentially win a majority. All things taken I will wait until the end of the night to dissect Bull's leadership, he may still hav won a majority."

"Well that to me sounds like you're hedging your bets, hypothetically should Bull go if he's failed to secure a mandate?"

"I'm not hedging my bets, I still have massive confidence in Bull and his program for government, it's packed full of aspirational policies that will help working families and I stand by it. Ultimately I think Bull will make a decision when the result is known, but I hold faith that we will form the next government."

"Sorry to draw this to a close but time to go to our first declaration, as it was last year it comes from Peldon North, theoretically a safe Democrat hold and we go over now."

"As the returning officer of the Peldon North constituency I hereby give notice that the following number of votes for each candidate is as follows.

Sarah Nostrom - The Democratic Coalition - 265,452
Iain Blakewell - Liberty Party - 176,572
Rosa Eisberg - Moderate Party - 120,584
Democrat HOLD

Hence I declare that Sarah Nostrom is elected as the member for Peldon North."

Peter - "And with that Sarah Nostrom becomes the first person to return to parliament. Lets go to Jenny Ribolem, our in house psephologist, how does this compare to the exit poll."

"Good evening Peter, the exit poll had Peldon North as a Democrat hold which has been born out. The percentages are the Dems on 47.2%. This is a decrease of 13.3%, almost 4% less than predicted in the exit poll. Meanwhile the Moderates are up a lot less than expected and the Liberty Party up a little less than expected. Based on this result, if we extrapolate just for fun, the Dems become the largest party on 18, which would certainly be a good night for them. However, I would add a safety warning that the Dems will outperform predictions in areas they're well established in. Nostrom, for example, was the mayor of Peldon from 1969-75."

"Thanks Helena, now we've got a long wait for the next deceleration as Peldon North make a point of being first."

***

"And with that the first genuine marginal is ready to declare as the second constituency to do so. Alba Town, a Democrat seat in the last parliament, is necessary for the Liberty Party to win back for them to get anywhere near forming government. They previously held it from 1945-75, it was once their safest seat. Now we go live to the returning officer."

"As the returning officer of the Peldon North constituency I hereby give notice that the following number of votes for each candidate is as follows.

William Van Der Berg - Democratic Coalition - 169,464
Polly O'Toole - Liberty Party - 266,252
Sheila Vanssner - Moderate Party - 149,821"
Liberty GAIN

"So there goes the first major declaration of the night and the Liberty Party take it. We knew they needed to take this seat, but they have done it in style. The Liberty Party have gained 11.2% in this constituency, about what we'd expect from the exit poll and nearly enough to take them into government."

***

Molton - Democrat HOLD
Richmond - Liberty HOLD

***

"Another marginal to declare, we go to Teelport Central, this was predicted to fall to the Liberty Party according to the exit poll. Adrian Pascal, the Director of the Finance department is the incumbent. Here we got to the declaration:"

"As the returning officer of the Teelport Central constituency I hereby give notice that the following number of votes for each candidate is as follows:

Adrian Pascal - Democratic Coalition - 234,101
Wilma Orion - Liberty Party - 224,878
Peter O'Brian - Moderate Party - 102,736

Democrat HOLD

Pascal: "I would like to thank the returning officer and all those who have helped count the votes tonight for their service to democracy, as well as to the voters for making this democracy what it is. I'd also like to thank the voters of Teelport Central for having me for another term as their representative, it has been a pleasure to serve you since 1978. I'd also like to thank my team for helping me to do the hard work to help and represent my constituents.

Whilst it is hard to judge where we are going to land at the end of a night as a party, I believe it is clear that we have outperformed expectations. While we may not hang on for another term in government it is clear that we have retained the support of a large portion of the country, who need to be listened to by whoever forms government. It is now clear that we may well be heading for a hung parliament, and I am willing to work with either party to advance our goals, whilst standing against what we believe it."

"Well that is a surprise, it was expected that the Liberty Party would make easy work of this seat. However, they have gained only 4.6% as opposed to the 11% expected in the exit poll. The Democrats have also held down more votes than expected, I'm here with former leader of the Liberty Party and former PM Naomi Isinglass. Do you think you're heading for another term in opposition?"

"Well Peter I think it's actually still too early to tell. It looks like we'r still gaining across the country and we may well have performed by far worse in city centers where the Democrats remain strong, but in the suburbs and swing areas we may well be outperforming expectations. Either way I think we'll be forming government at the end of the night."

"Surely you'd be disappointed as a party to fail to secure that majority? Surely this is a major defeat in that after 11 years in opposition you're still not trusted?"

"I think there still is a trust issue over public services in particular, I hope a successful term now, either potentially in majority or minority, will help regain that trust of us in government."

***

"In case you don't know we're waiting for declarations from all 3 leaders seats. Toby Guitierrez is the candidate for Dalton South East, Gainsford for Ditteridge and Bull is for Woolwich. We'll bring you the declarations from all three, Guitierrez is predict to declare relativity soon, Gainsford mid way through and Bull around the same time too. Interesting enough Bull is not yet an MP.

***

Caldrey Docks - Democrat HOLD
Dalton Central - Democrat HOLD
Mulberry North - Liberty GAIN from Dem
Carlton - Moderate GAIN from Dem
Dem - 5 Lib - 3 Mod - 1

***

Time for Dalton SE seat, for which Guitierrez, the current PM, is a member for:

"As returning officer for Dalton South East I hereby give notice that the following number of voters for the candidates is as follows:

Toby Guitierrez - Democratic Coalition - 327,077
Karl Rogon - Liberty Party - 84,428
Mandy Spekov - Moderate Party - 158,291"

"That puts Gutierrez down 14%, slightly better than the exit poll. Here comes his speech, he's already made the key thanks:"

"As the night unfolds it seems we have retained even more seats than the exit poll and we may well be the largest party in the next parliament. Hence, whilst it is too early to declare victory, I am confident to state that I will most likely remain as Prime Minister into the next parliament and will attempt to pass a King's speech.

Over the campaign we have seen a clear appetite for the views of our party, people want strong public services, a sense of community and protection for minority groups. However, over the duration of my premiership I believe we may have, at times, gone quiet, failed to provide a clear route forward and been thin on the ground with ideas. That changes now, we will try our level best to listen to criticisms of us and take them on board into the next parliament. Win or lose."

***

Peldon South - Democrat HOLD
Rolster - Liberty GAIN from Moderate
Dalton Docks - Democrat HOLD
Dalton West Ridge - Democrat HOLD
Caldrey South - Democrat HOLD

Dem - 10 Lib - 4 Mod - 1
Last edited by Birolika on Sat Jul 22, 2017 6:51 pm, edited 5 times in total.
With the abolition of private property, then, we shall have true, beautiful, healthy Individualism. Nobody will waste his life in accumulating things, and the symbols for things. One will live. To live is the rarest thing in the world. Most people exist, that is all.
- Oscar Wilde

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Birolika
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Founded: Jun 30, 2012
Ex-Nation

Postby Birolika » Sat Jul 22, 2017 4:57 pm

OOC: lol sorry been v busy, if anyone has any interest in the outcome look above, I'm editing it in. I get the feeling this is just for me.
With the abolition of private property, then, we shall have true, beautiful, healthy Individualism. Nobody will waste his life in accumulating things, and the symbols for things. One will live. To live is the rarest thing in the world. Most people exist, that is all.
- Oscar Wilde


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