Gallia- wrote:And yet you think they are wrong?
That one enemy [NATO, perhaps] will not use chemical weapons, when every "major" war of the late 20th century involved tactical chemical weapons use, means they are wrong? Saddam used tabun, sarin, phosgene, and mustard gas in the 1980s and phosgene in the 1990s. The only time he didn't use chemical weapons was when he was staring down the barrel of an atomic cowboy's revolver. The USA used chemical weapons (CS) in Vietnam to flush troops from positions and destroy them with artillery, in accordance with its then ancient urban warfare manuals dating from WW2 (or earlier).
You can't actually know if future war will involve chemical weapons or not without actually experiencing future war, so being prepared for future chemical wars is a good way to be prepared for war in general. Not preparing for chemical weapons is sort of silly, since chemical weapons exist, people have used them as late as 3 months ago, and (as far as we can tell) will forever exist so long as industrial civilization persists. So preparing for use of a weapon that exists is rather important, isn't it? If you tell people, "don't prepare for this," you automatically make yourself vulnerable to that thing you are trying to prepare against, which in your very own statements you have said this. Since humans are lazy, if you tell them "this will not happen, but we need to prepare for it," they will do the exact opposite of that, and not prepare for it, because it will not happen. Thus, they make it happen, by not preparing for it, which seems rather intuitive.
Yet you disagree with it in practice?
I think you are missing the unstated part, which is implied by the command to prepare: "if you do not prepare for x, then you will allow x to happen". I can see this being a pretty subtle message though.
Giving troops guidance to the effect of "prepare for the USA American VX attacks" might not be wrong to the extent it is supposed to encourage preparedness, but it isn't true. An objective assesment of NATO's chemical warfare capabilities is that they don't really have one ATM. The only chemical weapons they need to prepare for the usage of are their own (Russia has a long history of attributing to NATO what it intends to do in training material probably to get around security and political restrictions on what is acceptable to put in open publications); which is likely the intent of their NBC training. But of course they already know chemical weapons would not be very effective against NATO troops, the Novichok R&D program failed, so any insistence on maintaining this capability at a high level is most likely institutional inertia and make-work for specialized industrial suppliers of NBC gear.
The USSR also had an extensive bioweapons program in the 80s without bothering to develop or field anything to dispense bioweapons - the USSR was not a paragon of rationalization.











