Rich and Corporations wrote:except
penetration isn't binary
kiev had such a nice infographic showing the probability of penetrating various armored vehicles with HEAT
'Except' what? You repeat this mantra time and time again, but I'm not sure you're entirely aware of what you mean - whatever the case, I've already considered this point above. No, penetration is not binary, but I'm talking about the 'frontal protection of current-generation main battle tanks', which is really rather particular. And if you look at his infographic, I daresay that HEAT will be adequately absorbed by the protection of composite armoured tanks from 1980 onwards or so, and KEPs will find themselves in trouble between 1985-1995 or so and onwards.
I'm not denying the utility of HEAT, but I think it's safe to suggest that most modern militaries don't consider HEAT in its current form, fired out of current guns frontally towards the enemy, sufficient to defeat main battle tanks that aren't twenty year old monkey models - the proof is in the testing and the subsequent developments, then procurement and loadouts. What I'm suggesting on top of that is that, much in the same way that a theoretical reappraisal of the penetration characteristics of KEPs radically changed the approach taken towards their design in the 90s and onwards, a similar reappraisal of HEAT may well be at play right now that will bring them back onto the frontline in earnest, in the role they were originally intended to fulfill. That's pure speculation, but if you consider the fashion in which HEAT is defeated by modern composite arrays, it's not hard to see what you'd want to change to reoptimise them against what they now face.
So no, penetration is not binary - and given what I've said, overall, above, I think that's both abundantly clear and actually elaborated further upon.
Rich and Corporations wrote:with populations of billions, and a GDP/capita equal to that of the United States, the ability to concentrate military power in a single to decisively enforce your objectives is most vital
'High velocity freedom'.
San-Silvacian wrote:I guess.
I always thought that the two types were both pretty useful and good at killing stuff, while HEAT excelled in killing everything else short of an MBT, while KEPs pretty much were only good at killing tanks.
Eeh. This is less a matter of 'vehicle types' and more a matter of what those vehicles are protected by and what exactly it is that's hitting them. For example, assuming you're using a 120mm L/44 smoothbore gun or something therabouts...
- A current-generation APFSDS will probably do a fairly good job of shearing through the frontal protection of, say, an initial production M1.
- A current-generation APFSDS will, on the other hand, do a slightly less good job upon hitting the frontal protection of the M1A2.
- A HEAT round will do a decent job shearing through the unprotected front of an IFV, most likely.
- On the other hand, unless it's tandem-warhead (and even that doesn't guarantee anything - it has a lot to do with how that tandem warhead interacts with the IFV's protection), ERA blocks are going to disrupt the HEAT round's jet and bugger up its penetration.
- Meanwhile, a top-kill HEAT warhead (much easier to achieve than a top-kill KEP) is going to do a decent job of trashing a main battle tank.
And so on and so forth. On top of that, there's a difference between, say, a HEAT round and a HEAT round with a fragmentation/shaped charge warhead - the former is questionably useful in a traditional 'HE-Frag' role, the latter does somewhat better in that capacity. It's arguably the big reason why HEAT has been kept on in Western militaries - because it can be used to engage infantry clusters, light vehicles, fortified positions and helicopters all with one round in current iterations, which frees up a considerable amount of space in the ammunition racks.
The above are all, of course, general and fluffy terms, but what you see is a state of affairs where the ability of a 'particular round' is actually wildly variable depending on what it is and what it's facing. In this particular case, the rounds in question are current and potential near-future, 120-125mm APFSDS and HEAT-MP, and the 'targets' I'm considering are current-generation MBTs.


Consider it thus - at the point at which you have a 105mm capable of resisting and housing the pressure necessary, and equipped with a KEP capable enough to, engage and destroy a 'modern MBT', you'll have expended a ton of money essentially creating a weapon that shares zero commonality with legacy 105mm options. In which case, you might as well go ahead and opt for a 120mm option, which is a fairly cheap, given the above, way of achieving something similar to some extent.

