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Romney-Obama: Handicapping the Race

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Free South Califas
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Postby Free South Califas » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:21 pm

Shofercia wrote:
Although, it looks like Iowa's defying my expectations, but hey, I don't mind that, since it ain't going for Romney. I'm a bit surprised that New England isn't gangbanging New Hampshire, I mean it's red in a sea of blue, maybe the neighboring states can send in pro-Obama agitators.


To gang-rape the voters, you say? I suspect they'll be outnumbered, and opposed by Johnny Law. Perhaps another strategy is in order.

Quebec and Atlantic Canada wrote:
Zaras wrote:
Idaho isn't only more-sheep-than-people-land, it's Crazyville!

Remember that the only way to get Idaho to vote blue is to have the Rep. caught raping a prepubescent girl while feasting on a dead kitten's remains, and even then it would be close.


Questions about the morality of the girl and the kitten would probably be involved.
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Free Soviets
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Postby Free Soviets » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:22 pm

Zaras wrote:
Alien Space Bats wrote:In Idaho (4 EV's), a new Mason Dixon poll shows Romney leading by 36%. The Gem State remains "Strongly Republican".

Idaho isn't only more-sheep-than-people-land, it's Crazyville!

well, at least in the sense that its mormon country.

it does have a developing split, though. as boise becomes a real city, it is trending democratic. and the influx of californians is also starting to have an effect. in 2008, a democrat actually managed to win my old congressional district there (we almost pulled it off in 2006, too). of course, the idaho republicans have fixed this for now by redistricting boise so that it and moscow can't team up to outvote the nazis in coeur d'alene and ruin the unified crazy.

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Farnhamia
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Postby Farnhamia » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:24 pm

Free South Califas wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
Although, it looks like Iowa's defying my expectations, but hey, I don't mind that, since it ain't going for Romney. I'm a bit surprised that New England isn't gangbanging New Hampshire, I mean it's red in a sea of blue, maybe the neighboring states can send in pro-Obama agitators.


To gang-rape the voters, you say? I suspect they'll be outnumbered, and opposed by Johnny Law. Perhaps another strategy is in order.

Quebec and Atlantic Canada wrote:Remember that the only way to get Idaho to vote blue is to have the Rep. caught raping a prepubescent girl while feasting on a dead kitten's remains, and even then it would be close.


Questions about the morality of the girl and the kitten would probably be involved.

Idaho did give us Larry Craig, after all.
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Zaras
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Postby Zaras » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:37 pm

Quebec and Atlantic Canada wrote:
Zaras wrote:
Idaho isn't only more-sheep-than-people-land, it's Crazyville!

Remember that the only way to get Idaho to vote blue is to have the Rep. caught raping a prepubescent girl while feasting on a dead kitten's remains, and even then it would be close.


Or have the candidate be LBJ. :)
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Farnhamia
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Postby Farnhamia » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:41 pm

Free Soviets wrote:
Zaras wrote:Idaho isn't only more-sheep-than-people-land, it's Crazyville!

well, at least in the sense that its mormon country.

it does have a developing split, though. as boise becomes a real city, it is trending democratic. and the influx of californians is also starting to have an effect. in 2008, a democrat actually managed to win my old congressional district there (we almost pulled it off in 2006, too). of course, the idaho republicans have fixed this for now by redistricting boise so that it and moscow can't team up to outvote the nazis in coeur d'alene and ruin the unified crazy.

You're so mean. If you can't be right-wing crazy in Idaho, where the hell can you be right-wing crazy? Look at ASB's map, the Old South is only pink, not deep, American red, even Arizona is looking damned anemic.
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Free South Califas
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Postby Free South Califas » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:44 pm

Farnhamia wrote:
Free Soviets wrote:well, at least in the sense that its mormon country.

it does have a developing split, though. as boise becomes a real city, it is trending democratic. and the influx of californians is also starting to have an effect. in 2008, a democrat actually managed to win my old congressional district there (we almost pulled it off in 2006, too). of course, the idaho republicans have fixed this for now by redistricting boise so that it and moscow can't team up to outvote the nazis in coeur d'alene and ruin the unified crazy.

You're so mean. If you can't be right-wing crazy in Idaho, where the hell can you be right-wing crazy? Look at ASB's map, the Old South is only pink, not deep, American red, even Arizona is looking damned anemic.


Pinkos! They should stand strong, in the blue column, with America and all sensible nations. I demand immediate military intervention.
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Free Soviets
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Postby Free Soviets » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:21 pm

Farnhamia wrote:
Free Soviets wrote:well, at least in the sense that its mormon country.

it does have a developing split, though. as boise becomes a real city, it is trending democratic. and the influx of californians is also starting to have an effect. in 2008, a democrat actually managed to win my old congressional district there (we almost pulled it off in 2006, too). of course, the idaho republicans have fixed this for now by redistricting boise so that it and moscow can't team up to outvote the nazis in coeur d'alene and ruin the unified crazy.

You're so mean. If you can't be right-wing crazy in Idaho, where the hell can you be right-wing crazy? Look at ASB's map, the Old South is only pink, not deep, American red, even Arizona is looking damned anemic.

there's always utah.

...though i've heard even their city is getting better.

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Farnhamia
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Postby Farnhamia » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:25 pm

Free Soviets wrote:
Farnhamia wrote:You're so mean. If you can't be right-wing crazy in Idaho, where the hell can you be right-wing crazy? Look at ASB's map, the Old South is only pink, not deep, American red, even Arizona is looking damned anemic.

there's always utah.

...though i've heard even their city is getting better.

Sure, exile all the God-fearing patriots to the desert. Mean, I tell you, just plain mean.
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And Jesus was a sailor when he walked upon the water ...
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Greed and Death
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Postby Greed and Death » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:42 pm

Farnhamia wrote:
Free Soviets wrote:well, at least in the sense that its mormon country.

it does have a developing split, though. as boise becomes a real city, it is trending democratic. and the influx of californians is also starting to have an effect. in 2008, a democrat actually managed to win my old congressional district there (we almost pulled it off in 2006, too). of course, the idaho republicans have fixed this for now by redistricting boise so that it and moscow can't team up to outvote the nazis in coeur d'alene and ruin the unified crazy.

You're so mean. If you can't be right-wing crazy in Idaho, where the hell can you be right-wing crazy? Look at ASB's map, the Old South is only pink, not deep, American red, even Arizona is looking damned anemic.

Once McCain dies I don't see Arizona staying red.
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Free Soviets
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Postby Free Soviets » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:44 pm

Farnhamia wrote:
Free Soviets wrote:there's always utah.

...though i've heard even their city is getting better.

Sure, exile all the God-fearing patriots to the desert. Mean, I tell you, just plain mean.

the desert is the best place for rugged individualism (and subsidized communications and transport).

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The Emerald Dawn
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Postby The Emerald Dawn » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:45 pm

Free Soviets wrote:
Farnhamia wrote:Sure, exile all the God-fearing patriots to the desert. Mean, I tell you, just plain mean.

the desert is the best place for rugged individualism (and subsidized communications and transport).

And really pretty rock-climbing and sex on top of sandstones.

What were we discussing in this thread again?

OH RIGHT. The odds of someone winning the race for the presidency.

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Neo Art
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Postby Neo Art » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:46 pm

Obama's odds at fivethirtyeight.com have been ever so slowly upticking the last few days, and as of the most recent update, he's once again projected to win a clear majority of the vote, and is now the 2:1 favorite of the race.

Which, if your an Obama supporter, while that looks painfully close, let's not forget that 2:1 odds with 3 weeks to go is not actually all that bad at all.
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The Emerald Dawn
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Postby The Emerald Dawn » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:46 pm

Neo Art wrote:Obama's odds at fivethirtyeight.com have been ever so slowly upticking the last few days, and as of the most recent update, he's once again projected to win a clear majority of the vote, and is now the 2:1 favorite of the race.

Which, if your an Obama supporter, while that looks painfully close, let's not forget that 2:1 odds with 3 weeks to go is not actually all that bad at all.

The problem is he was a 3:1 favorite not two weeks ago.

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Greed and Death
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Postby Greed and Death » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:48 pm

The Emerald Dawn wrote:
Neo Art wrote:Obama's odds at fivethirtyeight.com have been ever so slowly upticking the last few days, and as of the most recent update, he's once again projected to win a clear majority of the vote, and is now the 2:1 favorite of the race.

Which, if your an Obama supporter, while that looks painfully close, let's not forget that 2:1 odds with 3 weeks to go is not actually all that bad at all.

The problem is he was a 3:1 favorite not two weeks ago.

Calm down Obama is pretty much guaranteed to win.
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Neo Art
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Postby Neo Art » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:48 pm

greed and death wrote:
The Emerald Dawn wrote:The problem is he was a 3:1 favorite not two weeks ago.

Calm down Obama is pretty much guaranteed to win.


Oh if only.
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Greed and Death
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Postby Greed and Death » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:50 pm

Neo Art wrote:
greed and death wrote:Calm down Obama is pretty much guaranteed to win.


Oh if only.

Just saying there is no reason to panic and go door to door, or donate more to the Obama campaign it is in the bag.
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The Steel Magnolia
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Postby The Steel Magnolia » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:50 pm

Neo Art wrote:Obama's odds at fivethirtyeight.com have been ever so slowly upticking the last few days, and as of the most recent update, he's once again projected to win a clear majority of the vote, and is now the 2:1 favorite of the race.

Which, if your an Obama supporter, while that looks painfully close, let's not forget that 2:1 odds with 3 weeks to go is not actually all that bad at all.


Oh, wow. I checked this morning and he was still at 60%. Still, that's a definite improvement!

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The Emerald Dawn
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Postby The Emerald Dawn » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:50 pm

greed and death wrote:
The Emerald Dawn wrote:The problem is he was a 3:1 favorite not two weeks ago.

Calm down Obama is pretty much guaranteed to win.

Well, I'd calm down, but if I calmed down any more my pulse would flatline.

Going based solely on the math, yes, Obama wins in a cakewalk. However, he is by no means "guaranteed" anything but a spot on the ballot.

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Not Safe For Work
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Postby Not Safe For Work » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:50 pm

Neo Art wrote:Obama's odds at fivethirtyeight.com have been ever so slowly upticking the last few days, and as of the most recent update, he's once again projected to win a clear majority of the vote, and is now the 2:1 favorite of the race.


Ah. This explains why a new shipment of batshit arrived at Hannity Towers today.

Apparently, the difference between the Benghazi Conspiracy and Watergate, is that no one died in Watergate.

I did wonder where the extra craziness was coming from - the odds going against them seems like a good explanation.
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Neo Art
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Postby Neo Art » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:52 pm

The Emerald Dawn wrote:
Neo Art wrote:Obama's odds at fivethirtyeight.com have been ever so slowly upticking the last few days, and as of the most recent update, he's once again projected to win a clear majority of the vote, and is now the 2:1 favorite of the race.

Which, if your an Obama supporter, while that looks painfully close, let's not forget that 2:1 odds with 3 weeks to go is not actually all that bad at all.

The problem is he was a 3:1 favorite not two weeks ago.


Which almost everyone agreed was far too high to actually be real, and was almost certainly artificial.
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Greed and Death
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Postby Greed and Death » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:52 pm

The Emerald Dawn wrote:
greed and death wrote:Calm down Obama is pretty much guaranteed to win.

Well, I'd calm down, but if I calmed down any more my pulse would flatline.

Going based solely on the math, yes, Obama wins in a cakewalk. However, he is by no means "guaranteed" anything but a spot on the ballot.

If there is a dead hooker in his hotel room he might lose.
"Trying to solve the healthcare problem by mandating people buy insurance is like trying to solve the homeless problem by mandating people buy a house."(paraphrase from debate with Hilary Clinton)
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Greed and Death
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Postby Greed and Death » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:54 pm

Neo Art wrote:
The Emerald Dawn wrote:The problem is he was a 3:1 favorite not two weeks ago.


Which almost everyone agreed was far too high to actually be real, and was almost certainly artificial.

Well prior to Denver Romney had never did anything but put his foot in his mouth.
He finally had one good showing and got enough votes to not lose really badly.
"Trying to solve the healthcare problem by mandating people buy insurance is like trying to solve the homeless problem by mandating people buy a house."(paraphrase from debate with Hilary Clinton)
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The Emerald Dawn
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Postby The Emerald Dawn » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:55 pm

Not Safe For Work wrote:
Neo Art wrote:Obama's odds at fivethirtyeight.com have been ever so slowly upticking the last few days, and as of the most recent update, he's once again projected to win a clear majority of the vote, and is now the 2:1 favorite of the race.


Ah. This explains why a new shipment of batshit arrived at Hannity Towers today.

Apparently, the difference between the Benghazi Conspiracy and Watergate, is that no one died in Watergate.

I did wonder where the extra craziness was coming from - the odds going against them seems like a good explanation.

Hannity imports guano?

....I always thought that stuff was home-brewed.

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Not Safe For Work
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Postby Not Safe For Work » Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:57 pm

The Emerald Dawn wrote:
Not Safe For Work wrote:
Ah. This explains why a new shipment of batshit arrived at Hannity Towers today.

Apparently, the difference between the Benghazi Conspiracy and Watergate, is that no one died in Watergate.

I did wonder where the extra craziness was coming from - the odds going against them seems like a good explanation.

Hannity imports guano?

....I always thought that stuff was home-brewed.


...he may be making it at home over the weekends, and just trucking it in.

*nods*
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Maineiacs
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Postby Maineiacs » Mon Oct 15, 2012 2:03 pm

Free South Califas wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
Although, it looks like Iowa's defying my expectations, but hey, I don't mind that, since it ain't going for Romney. I'm a bit surprised that New England isn't gangbanging New Hampshire, I mean it's red in a sea of blue, maybe the neighboring states can send in pro-Obama agitators.


To gang-rape the voters, you say? I suspect they'll be outnumbered, and opposed by Johnny Law. Perhaps another strategy is in order.



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