Unhealthy2 wrote:New Heliopolis wrote:As with an individual perception there are infinitely many more ways it could be wrong than right, by Bayesian analysis, it's right. Always.
Nonsense. Since there are infinitely many more ways it could be wrong than right, it is essentially a statistical certainty that our perception is wrong.
If we're using statistical probability, which I believe doesn't apply here (as I've said, you're essentially totally ignorant). In fact, from the inordinate amount of reading I've begun, statistical hypothesis testing doesn't really work here, as one would have to figure out the null hypothesis' standards, which there's little way of determining accurately, as again, the conductor of testing or data gatherer has no way of knowing whether a thing that is or isn't perceived is actually there. So to determine the correctness of someone else's perception, one must determine first the correctness of their own.
But anyway, that means the same conclusion can be drawn. Obviously, among the myriad differing perceptions that possibly exist, one could easily be right.
Also, though I'm going to have to look something up briefly, I have some suspicions that Bayesian analysis can be played with rather easily...
Hm. Well, I'll throw it out there, for anyone to solve. By Bayesian probability, what would be the probability of the existence of a specific god that does not go against other understandings of the universe?


You know the guy who wrote Genisis?
What? I presume from your flag that you have been reading Marx and not understanding the concept. The majority of deities advocate charity and love as the highest virtues, these would assist the poor more than plunging a nation into poverty. The rich enjoy a similar "opiate". At least in the West, most individuals enjoy the fruits of their labor- it is typically those who failed who should be assisted. Define fair and square, please. Also, life isn't fair- so don't bother. Those individuals worked and utilized their strength and intellect to be where they are now, feel lucky they don't create a Fascist regime, transform the poor into slaves, and outlaw your Communist ideology. Instead the majority of "bourgeouse" actually give a damn about the poor and donate significant portions of their income. This also has nothing to do with religion. Ninty five percent of the world's population does not worship a god of any sort, due largely to the effects of Communism in Russia and China and the Enlightenment in the West. The last part does not compute.