Nilokeras wrote:it's worth remembering that we don't have to argue hypotheticals about police reactions to crime and their efficacy, we have stats. If you look at the clearance rates for various types of crime in the States - ie the percentage of reported crime where someone gets charged with the offense or is killed in the attempt by the police - surprisingly few crimes are ever actually 'solved'. The highest clearance rate unsurprisingly is for violent acts like assault and murder at ~50%, but it drops off precipitously after that. 30% of sexual assault/rapes ever have charges laid. And these crimes overwhelmingly are carried out by people the victims know - relatives, neighbours, friends, etc. Cases for whom there is a much better evidentiary trail that investigators could follow.
For the most common types of 'stranger' crime, ie crimes carried out by people the victim doesn't know, the clearance rate for things like robbery, burglary and auto theft hover around 15%. 15%. For the vast majority of people who experience crime, their interactions in the police are that they file a report or call 911 during or post the event (since most burglaries happen when the homeowner is out, for example) and the case is never solved. And comparatively, the US spends an enormous amount of money on these police forces.
It's pretty obvious that this model of public safety doesn't make us appreciably 'safer', or provide much in the way of justice to victims of crime, and at an enormous cost to taxpayers.
You can't go, look this statistic shows only 15% of auto theft is solved, and this other statistic shows we spend a lot of money on police, the model of public safety that includes police, as is, clearly is not making us appreciably safer because by looking at these two statistic without any context or proper analysis we cant appreciate it, and expect to convince anyone. If you are really interested in understanding the problem of policing in the US you would at minimum study and preferably provide comparative data from history in the US on both the clearance rates, the number of crimes reported, and the budget of the police force. Additionally it would make sense to compare those statistics with some other countries. So, in short, your rather shoddy presentation of very limited data samples don't support your conclusions. As an added bonus your own source states that the budget of the US police in general are comparable per capita to other western countries.










