American Politics XII: We Can Do Bad All By Ourselves

[San Lumen]

It’s looking increasingly likely McCormick will the Republican Senate Primary in Pennsylvania.

[Shrillland]

It’s looking increasingly likely McCormick will the Republican Senate Primary in Pennsylvania.

I'm still not ready to call it. His majority's only in the 8,000 range and most of the Southeast has yet to report in large numbers.

[San Lumen]

It’s looking increasingly likely McCormick will the Republican Senate Primary in Pennsylvania.

I'm still not ready to call it. His majority's only in the 8,000 range and most of the Southeast has yet to report in large numbers.

I trust your judgement but it’s looking like Dr. Oz may lose narrowly.

[Shrillland]

I'm still not ready to call it. His majority's only in the 8,000 range and most of the Southeast has yet to report in large numbers.

I trust your judgement but it’s looking like Dr. Oz may lose narrowly.

As I trust yours, I'm just one for hard numbers and jumping the gun occasionally.

[San Lumen]

And now a major projection Pennsylvania Governor: Doug Mastriano.

Shapiro is likely the favorite in November.

[Shrillland]

And another round before the Western States come in:

GOP NC-12(Charlotte-Concord): Tyler Lee
GOP PA-Governor: Doug Mastriano

[Shrillland]

Polls are now closed in MDT Idaho and MDT Oregon.

And another call:

Dem PA-10(Harrisburg-York): Rick Coplen

[San Lumen]

Pennsylvania Lieutenant Governor Democrat: Austin Davis.

Davis will be the first African American elected to statewide office in Pennsylvania should Shapiro win.

Pennsylvania has a separate primary for Lieutenant Governor.

[Shrillland]

And to leapfrog again with another round of big calls:

GOP NC-11(Asheville): Chuck Edwards
GOP PA-Senate: Dave McCormick
GOP PA-7(Lehigh Valley): Lisa Scheller

In re Asheville, looking at the numbers, Cawthorn can keep making it close, but both are above 30% so a runoff isn't likely, nor do I see Cawthorn actually overtopping Edwards at this stage. As for Pennsylvania, I said I was waiting for more from the Southeast, and it arrived.

A hard night for Trump, and Idaho's going to make it harder still since his losses outnumber his wins so far.

[San Lumen]

And to leapfrog again with another round of big calls:

GOP NC-11(Asheville): Chuck Edwards
GOP PA-Senate: Dave McCormick
GOP PA-7(Lehigh Valley): Lisa Scheller

In re Asheville, looking at the numbers, Cawthorn can keep making it close, but both are above 30% so a runoff isn't likely, nor do I see Cawthorn actually overtopping Edwards at this stage. As for Pennsylvania, I said I was waiting for more from the Southeast, and it arrived.

A hard night for Trump, and Idaho's going to make it harder still since his losses outnumber his wins so far.

McCormick Probably wins in November.

[Zurkerx]

And to leapfrog again with another round of big calls:

GOP NC-11(Asheville): Chuck Edwards
GOP PA-Senate: Dave McCormick
GOP PA-7(Lehigh Valley): Lisa Scheller

In re Asheville, looking at the numbers, Cawthorn can keep making it close, but both are above 30% so a runoff isn't likely, nor do I see Cawthorn actually overtopping Edwards at this stage. As for Pennsylvania, I said I was waiting for more from the Southeast, and it arrived.

A hard night for Trump, and Idaho's going to make it harder still since his losses outnumber his wins so far.

Hmm, I overestimated Barnette's support although she did get what she was polling. As for Trump, it's more of a mix bag: his choices for NC Senate and PA Governor won but Oz was perhaps his biggest endorsement and he will lose narrowly now it seems. I guess money bought him victory in this case. Now, I suspect Trump will get behind McCormick but considering he called him soft on China, that might play to Fetterman's advantage.

To be honest, McCormick is the Republicans strongest candidate I feel. However, as much as this is more of a toss-up, I give Fetterman the slight advantage at the moment.

[Bienenhalde]

And to leapfrog again with another round of big calls:

GOP NC-11(Asheville): Chuck Edwards
GOP PA-Senate: Dave McCormick
GOP PA-7(Lehigh Valley): Lisa Scheller

In re Asheville, looking at the numbers, Cawthorn can keep making it close, but both are above 30% so a runoff isn't likely, nor do I see Cawthorn actually overtopping Edwards at this stage. As for Pennsylvania, I said I was waiting for more from the Southeast, and it arrived.

A hard night for Trump, and Idaho's going to make it harder still since his losses outnumber his wins so far.

Really surprised to see McCormick win, seeing as he was third place in the recent polls before the election. But anyway, as a Pennsylvanian, I am relieved to see Dr. Oz being defeated.

[Shrillland]

And to leapfrog again with another round of big calls:

GOP NC-11(Asheville): Chuck Edwards
GOP PA-Senate: Dave McCormick
GOP PA-7(Lehigh Valley): Lisa Scheller

In re Asheville, looking at the numbers, Cawthorn can keep making it close, but both are above 30% so a runoff isn't likely, nor do I see Cawthorn actually overtopping Edwards at this stage. As for Pennsylvania, I said I was waiting for more from the Southeast, and it arrived.

A hard night for Trump, and Idaho's going to make it harder still since his losses outnumber his wins so far.

McCormick Probably wins in November.

Against Fetterman? Yeah, given the tide I can see that.

[Daniel-Franklin]

Fetterman is one of the few Democrats who isn't worthless, so there is that. But I don't live in Pennsylvania.

[Shrillland]

Well, it appears I've jumped again, my Pittsburgh call also has to be retracted as Summer Lee is now just 100 votes or so behind Irwin. A race that honestly wasn't being watched.

[San Lumen]

McCormick Probably wins in November.

Against Fetterman? Yeah, given the tide I can see that.

I wouldn’t count Fetterman out though.

[Ifreann]

Yeah, but we're just talking strictly primary voters, which can be harder to decipher, though what we're seeing in Buncombe County now says that Cawthorn may be gone.

If he is gone then the GOP blackmail worked. Painting him as gay worked to get him removed.

C'mon, Madison, name names. They've killed your career, at least try to take a few of them with you.

[Zurkerx]

Against Fetterman? Yeah, given the tide I can see that.

I wouldn’t count Fetterman out though.

I wouldn't either: I consider Fetterman one of the strongest Democratic Senate Candidates. He is the right choice but he will have to overcome the national environment, which is not impossible: he's fairly popular in PA and if I'm not mistaken, McCormick's free trade stances I feel will be a target.

[Shrillland]

If he is gone then the GOP blackmail worked. Painting him as gay worked to get him removed.

C'mon, Madison, name names. They've killed your career, at least try to take a few of them with you.

I wouldn't say his career's dead, he's got a good future doing punditry for Fox News or some such thing.

[Shrillland]

Now for another call or two:

GOP NC-13(Raleigh South-Smithfield): Bo Hines

Hines was and is fairly close, but with 93% in, I think he'll squeak out from a possible runoff. As for Idaho, they have an odd law where they don't report for a while after polls close, and not all of them are closed yet anyway.

[Ifreann]

C'mon, Madison, name names. They've killed your career, at least try to take a few of them with you.

I wouldn't say his career's dead, he's got a good future doing punditry for Fox News or some such thing.

Don't think he's gonna get hired on Fox if they've got any coke orgies of their own they'd prefer kept quiet.

[Deblar]

C'mon, Madison, name names. They've killed your career, at least try to take a few of them with you.

I wouldn't say his career's dead, he's got a good future doing punditry for Fox News or some such thing.

I don't think even Fox will touch the man. OAN might, who knows

[Shrillland]

I wouldn't say his career's dead, he's got a good future doing punditry for Fox News or some such thing.

Don't think he's gonna get hired on Fox if they've got any coke orgies of their own they'd prefer kept quiet.

After reading that NYT piece on Tucker Carlson, I have a feeling that if they had coke orgies, he'd have mentioned it by now.

[San Lumen]

I wouldn’t count Fetterman out though.

I wouldn't either: I consider Fetterman one of the strongest Democratic Senate Candidates. He is the right choice but he will have to overcome the national environment, which is not impossible: he's fairly popular in PA and if I'm not mistaken, McCormick's free trade stances I feel will be a target.

Plus Mastriano could be a drag on the whole ticket.

[Thermodolia]

So, we have here a Florida Man story that involves Governor DeSantis.

It looks like he, and the State Legislature in Florida, has decided to infringe upon the rights of the populace to Protest Peacefully, effectively banning any protests in residential areas, including outside the homes of Politicians.

I can't wait for a Constitutional Challenge on this.

Tennessee did the same but for public property. All because the governor didn’t want to acknowledge the protesters