The Jamesian Republic wrote:Ifreann wrote:It'd get nuked.
Okay.
After paying attention to this situation I’ve been trying think of a way we can stop the Russians without nukes, because sanctions don’t work and neither does revoking western companies. The only option is war but I can’t seem to find a scenario that doesn’t result in the annihilation of Earth.
Nuclear war would not “annihilate the earth”.
It could kill millions. Maybe hundreds of millions. Out of billions.
Nuclear weapons now are actually much fewer in number and less powerful but more accurate than they were during most of the Cold War.
Now obviously millions dead in the immediate impact, not counted those killed by starvation and disease resulting from infrastructure damage, would be really bad. We do not want that.
Which is why even most advocates of NATO intervention only advocate a limited Kargil War type situation, not trying to go full Carl XXII/Napoleon/Hitler, which we obviously lack the military manpower to even do anyways. Trying to go full Iraq 2003 (vs Iraq 1990 which is more like what we would at most actually try) might very well become strategic nuclear war, and even if it did not we could not occupy all Russia.
So it is silly and a straw man because basically nobody has said we should try.
We could relatively easily drive Russia out of the parts of Ukraine it has occupied since February 2022.
And Russia would almost certainly NOT use nuclear weapons in such a case because they would lose far more from doing so vs being forced to retreat from the areas the occupied in the last two weeks
From a cost benefit analysis it would not benefit either side to use nuclear weapons.
It is not a binary choice between do nothing and Barbarossa 2.0 with strategic nukes.
There is huge number of possibilities in the two.